US100 - Corrective Pullback into FVG + Golden Pocket setup?This 1H Nasdaq chart paints a classic structure of retracement within a bullish leg, offering potential for continuation after a clean corrective move into inefficiency. It's all about balance restoration before the next impulse.
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1. Resistance Reaction & Local Distribution
Price faced strong rejection at a clearly defined Resistance Zone , marking a point of supply where sellers stepped in with aggression.
- The sharp rejection indicates profit-taking from earlier longs or a short-term distribution zone.
- Structure is transitioning from impulsive to corrective, suggesting a pullback is unfolding rather than a trend reversal (at least for now).
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2. Short-Term Demand Zone Holding Price (Gray Box)
Before reaching deeper liquidity, price is hovering above a local demand block —a previously unmitigated consolidation that supported the last push up.
- This gray zone may provide temporary support, but lacks depth of imbalance.
- It's a weak floor, and smart money typically seeks deeper fills for proper re-accumulation.
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3. Fair Value Gap Below (Primary Draw on Liquidity)
The key area of interest lies just below, where a clean Fair Value Gap (FVG) is formed. This imbalance represents a void in price action where buy-side inefficiency remains.
- Aligned with the 0.618–0.65 Fibonacci retracement range (confluence entry).
- Price is likely to seek this inefficiency for proper rebalancing.
- It’s not just a “fill the gap” play—it’s a liquidity grab where smart money is most likely waiting.
This zone is ideal for reaccumulation before resuming the move higher.
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4. Internal Structure Suggests Bullish Intent After Fill
Price is forecasted to:
- Step 1: Break beneath the short-term demand to draw in liquidity
- Step 2: Tag the FVG zone, tapping into fresh demand
- Step 3: Shift structure via higher low formation and breakout
This is the behavior of an engineered retracement—not panic selling.
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5. Macro Bias Still Bullish – Controlled Pullback
While the short-term price action looks bearish, the context remains supportive of upward continuation:
- No signs of aggressive selling below structure
- Current flow is corrective, not distributive
- FVG zone is strategically placed in alignment with optimal trade entry levels (OTE)
If this zone holds, expect a return to bullish expansion targeting inefficiencies left behind on the push down.
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Conclusion:
This setup is textbook:
- Efficient rejection at resistance
- Controlled retracement into FVG with Fibonacci confluence
- Potential structural shift post-rebalance
Watch for bullish intent to return once the imbalance is filled. Until then, this is not a breakdown—it's a setup.
NQ1
MNQ1!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 04/25/2025MNQ1!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 04/25/2025
📈 19430 19580
📉 19140 18980
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*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research and a quantitative system demonstrating high accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 04/22/2025MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 04/22/2025
📈18210 18365
📉17910 17760
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Please like and share for more NQ levels Tues & Thurs 🤓📈📉🎯💰
*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research and a quantitative system demonstrating high accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
NASDAQ 100 Elliott Wave Update – Wave (5) in Play?CME_MINI:NQ1!
📊 NASDAQ 100 E-mini Futures – Elliott Wave Analysis
🗓️ Weekly Chart – April 2025
The NASDAQ 100 appears to have completed an ABC corrective pattern, marking the end of wave (4). A bullish move toward wave (5) is now projected, with a potential target zone highlighted in yellow:
🎯 Target 1: 32,291 (100% extension)
🎯 Target 2: 38,678 (127% extension)
This zone marks the Fibonacci projection for the fifth wave, based on the Elliott Wave principle. The bullish structure remains valid as long as the key support at 16,551 holds.
🔎 Key things to watch:
Confirmation of a reversal at wave (C) low
Increasing volume on upward moves
Momentum indicators like RSI / MACD
Nasdaq (NQ1!) Weekly Chart Analysis – What’s Next? (Week 16)📌 Title:
NASDAQ – 18,000 Holding, But Downside Risk Remains
Review of Last week's outlook:
I said that buying between 18,600 and 18,700 on the 12-hour chart would be reasonable,
but if a 12-hour candle closed below 18,500, it would be a major warning signal.
That strategy was valid at least until Tuesday.
But then three more 12-hour candles formed,
and Tuesday's closing price was 18,938.
The market opened Wednesday with a gap down at 18,790.
Looking at the chart at that time,
price had dropped below the 200-day line on the 2-day chart,
and the 12-hour chart was also not looking good.
So the strategy of buying near 18,600 on the 12-hour chart was no longer valid.
I had mentioned that if a 12-hour candle closed below 18,500,
it could get very dangerous.
And on the 4-hour chart, I had suggested short-term scalping was possible in the low 18,000s.
As expected, there was one bounce from that level,
but the price continued to fall after that.
📋 Description:
Now, NASDAQ is currently hovering near 18,000.
Although volatility remains low, price action continues to drift lower with weak momentum on higher timeframes.
Key Technical Observations:
• 📉 Still inside the 5-day bullish Ichimoku cloud
• 📍 17,000 = Bottom of the Bi-weekly Kumo + 3D 200SMA
• 📍 16,500 = Previous swing low, potential double bottom area
• 📈 18,400 = Needs to be reclaimed by weekly close to consider range recovery
A clean break below 17,700 could open the path toward 17,000, and possibly lower.
For now, this is a watch-and-react zone not yet a clear buy or sell signal, but conditions are forming for the next move.
🔁 Bias: Neutral to Bearish
⏳ Strategy: Wait for confirmation at 17,700 or breakdown
NASDAQ Decision making becomes easy after seeing this chart.NASDAQ (NDX) is currently on the 3rd straight red month (1M candle), following the February High and subsequent sell-off due to the Trade War. This has been analyzed extensively in previous analyses and how the fundamental scene is only now starting to show some positive progress but still has a long way to go.
Technically though, the picture is very clear and favors long-term investing. The market has been trading within a Fibonacci Channel Up since the U.S. Housing Crisis in 2008 and along with the 2022 Inflation Crisis, those have been the only real Bear Cycle events in the past 18 years.
In between those there have been another 5 shorter term corrections, that offered great buying opportunities for the long-term and the recent 3-month one classifies as one.
There reasons are three. First it has come very close to the 1M MA50 (blue trend-line), which only broke during the Major Corrections. Second, the 1M RSI hit the 50.50 Symmetrical Support, which has held during all those 5 prior Minor Corrections. Third, those corrections only range between two Fibonacci levels.
The current correction fulfills all those conditions. And since the 'weakest' rally we've have on this 5 event sample has been +37.57% and the strongest +96.77%, we have a medium-term Target on Nasdaq at 22800 and a long-term one at 32500.
Do you still reserve doubts at investing long-term after seeing this macro chart?
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NQ for the weeki don't see a lot of options for shorters here if you didn't catch the move, possibly you can you get some short in lower time frame toward that ray i pointed out there, some options if you want to buy is wait for that thursday low get taken and patiently wait for a reversal. IF today have been this volatile, i don't suggest to trade tomorrow.
Weekly Market Forecast: Stocks Markets Are Stalled! Patience!In this video, we will analyze the S&P 500, NASDAQ, and DOW JONES futures for the week of April 21 - 25th
The Markets are stalled! No bullish follow through from the previous week. Last week failed to break the previous weekly high. This stall out looks consolidative and unclear. Wait for clarity! Let the markets break the high or low of the range convincingly... and trade accordingly.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Will Nasdaq Test Liquidity at 17,800 Before an Upside Move?NASDAQ is experiencing bearish slow down at the support level for the past 3 weeks. A re-test of the recent low looks imminent. and if price could be rejected after clearing H4 liquidity at 17,800, then we could see a sharp upside move.
Key risks: Fed commentary, major tech earnings, and geopolitical headlines.
N.B!
- NASDAQ price might not follow the drawn lines . Actual price movements may likely differ from the forecast.
- Let emotions and sentiments work for you
- ALWAYS Use Proper Risk Management In Your Trades
#nq!
#nasdaq
GC1! Gold Futures Weekly Outlook. Expecting Mid week reversalCOMEX:GC1!
Expecting a massive meltdown on Gold after $3400. On the Daily Internal Range Liquidity.
Trading All Time Highs is different compare to trading when you have a data on the left. Very volatile conditions on GOLD. I will buy from a 4H orderflow upto $3400. Then would short from $3400 CME_MINI:NQ1!