NQ weekly walkthrough and outlook for the next weekExpecting onesided displacement on NQ towards the sellside. Also we have NFP week.
NQ1
Weekly Market Forecast: SELL THE INDICES!In this video, we will analyze the S&P 500, NASDAQ, AND DOW JONES Futures for the week of March 31st - April 4th.
The equity markets took a bearish turn last week. This is likely to continue for the upcoming week.
Monday is the end of March. Tuesday brings a new week and new opportunities. April 2nd brings... potentially market flipping volatility. The day the Trump tariffs are implemented.
Be careful. Let the market give you direction, and then get involved.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
ES Draw for next weekExpect onesided meltdown on ES. Upcoming week is going to be massively liquid. Try to position less compare to your original postitions
$NQ IdeaWhen analyzing the NQ weekly chart, we observe that the price has consumed internal liquidity in the premium region of the range and closed in a way that favors the continuation of the bearish movement. Given this, we believe the next **Draw on Liquidity** will be the weekly double bottom located just below.
However, since the market has experienced a sharp decline without corrections, there is a possibility of buying opportunities before the downtrend resumes. As we are in a discounted region on the weekly chart, the price may seek momentum toward the premium region, capturing **buyside liquidity** as fuel for the continuation of the bearish movement.
It is important to highlight that we must wait for the market to open and observe its initial movement to better define our trading strategy.
NASDAQ Will the disappointing PCE today form a Double Bottom?Nasdaq is on a strong 3 day correction that has almost erased the recovery attempt since the March 11th low.
That was a higher Low inside the 8 month Channel Up and the current correction may be a bottom formation attempt like September 6th 2024.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy before the closing market price.
Targets:
1. 23350 (the 1.382 Fibonacci extension).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1d) illustrates the similarities with July-September 2024 in a much better way. Strong indication that the Channel Up is attempting to price a bottom.
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Strong bullish outlook for the E-mini Nasdaq-100 (NQM2025)Nasdaq-100 E-mini Futures (NQM2025) – Technical & Fundamental Analysis
Technical Overview:
My Daily chart analysis on TradingView highlights a strong bullish outlook for the E-mini Nasdaq-100 (NQM2025). Here are the key takeaways:
Liquidity Sweep & Support Retest:
The recent decline led to a liquidity sweep (LQ SWEEP) at a critical ascending trendline. This suggests a classic stop-hunt scenario where weaker long positions were liquidated before stronger buyers stepped in.
Historical price action indicates that buyers previously entered at similar levels (noted as "Buyers coming in hot here"), reinforcing this demand zone.
Bullish Trendline Respect:
The long-term ascending trendline has been respected, acting as a dynamic support level.
The recent bounce suggests that this level remains intact, further validating the bullish structure.
Order Block (OB) & Market Structure Shift (MSS):
A previous bearish market structure shift (MSS) led to a short-term decline, but price has since found support and rebounded.
The chart suggests a reversion to the upside, targeting prior imbalance zones and liquidity pockets.
Projected Path & Targets:
The green projection indicates an expectation of higher highs, likely targeting the 21,500 - 22,500 range in the coming weeks.
The sell-side liquidity has been cleared, increasing the probability of a bullish move towards the order block resistance near 21,000.
Fundamental Confirmation (#EdgeFinder & #COT Data):
From a fundamental perspective, the bullish bias is further confirmed by EdgeFinder data and recent Commitment of Traders (COT) reports:
Institutional Positioning:
The latest COT data shows that institutional traders have increased their net long positions in Nasdaq futures, signaling bullish sentiment.
Macroeconomic Factors:
Recent economic reports and Fed statements have favored a risk-on environment, benefiting tech-heavy indices like Nasdaq.
Earnings season is approaching, with expectations of strong tech sector performance potentially fueling further upside.
Conclusion & Market Sentiment:
The confluence of technical support, institutional buying, and positive macroeconomic factors strengthens the case for a bullish continuation in Nasdaq-100 futures.
The key level to watch is 20,000—if held, the probability of a move towards 21,500 - 22,500 increases significantly.
Risk factors include unexpected macroeconomic shifts or stronger-than-expected hawkish Fed rhetoric, which could slow momentum.
This is not financial advice, only data analysis. Please consult a qualified financial professional for personalized guidance.
High Probability Long Position NQHigh Probability Long Position NQ
SL: Swing Low
TP: FE 1.618
Size based on your risk management strategy
High Probability Short Position NQTP: FE 4.618
SL: Swing high
Size based on your risk management strategy
Trump's Auto Tariffs Shake Things Up on Wall StreetTrump's tariffs are clearly not going away. In fact, he's upped the ante with a 25% tariff on all non-US cars, vowed to target pharmaceuticals and promised more are to come on April 2nd. Given the dire weakness in consumer sentiment data, I suspect Wall Street indices may have seen a swing high.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
NASDAQ on the first minor pullback of the new bullish wave.Nasdaq / US100 has just started the new bullish wave of the long term Channel Up.
The bottom was made 2 weeks ago and every time the bullish wave crossed over its 4hour MA50, it is expected to make a pullback retest at some point.
This pullback is taking place today.
Whether it replicates the first bullish wave of the Channel Up or the second, the index aims for either a 22.48% total rise or the 1.382 Fibonacci extension.
Both happen to be around the same level.
Buy and target a little under them at 23400.
Previous chart:
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US Cash Market Goes 'Flippant'. Understanding Revenge in TradingFirst of all, revenge trading is a destructive pattern of behavior in trading where individuals make impulsive and emotionally-driven decisions in an attempt to recoup previous losses. This practice is not limited to novice traders; even experienced traders can fall prey to it. The primary emotions driving revenge trading include anger, frustration, greed, fear, and shame, which cloud judgment and lead to irrational decision-making.
Causes of Revenge Trading
Emotional Response: Traders often react emotionally to significant losses, feeling compelled to immediately recover their losses without adequate analysis or strategy.
Lack of Discipline: Deviating from established trading plans and risk management principles is common in revenge trading.
Psychological Triggers: Feelings of injustice, anger, or a desire for vengeance against the market can trigger revenge trading.
Consequences of Revenge Trading
Financial Losses: Revenge trading often results in larger losses due to riskier trades and poor timing.
Emotional Burnout: The stress and frustration from repeated losses can lead to emotional exhaustion and decreased trading performance.
Career Impact: Persistent revenge trading can erode confidence and lead to a trader questioning their abilities.
Real-Life Examples of Revenge Trading
Increasing Position Size: A trader experiences a significant loss and decides to double or triple their position size in the next trade, hoping to quickly recover their losses. This action disregards risk management principles and often leads to even greater losses.
Ignoring Stop-Loss Orders: After a loss, a trader might hold onto a losing position longer than planned, hoping it will turn around. This behavior ignores established stop-loss orders and can result in further financial damage.
Chasing Trades: A trader feels compelled to enter trades without proper analysis, driven by the urge to recoup losses quickly. This impulsive behavior can lead to a series of poor trading decisions.
Market Reversal Scenario: A trader suffers a loss due to a sudden market reversal. In an attempt to recover, they enter a trade in the opposite direction without thorough analysis, which can exacerbate their losses.
Wish more examples? Watch recent one below 👇👇
How to Avoid Revenge Trading
To avoid revenge trading, traders should focus on maintaining discipline and adhering to their trading strategies. This includes:
Taking Breaks: After a loss, taking time to reassess the market and calm emotions can help prevent impulsive decisions.
Sticking to Plans: Adhering to established trading plans and risk management principles is crucial.
Emotional Awareness: Recognizing emotional triggers and taking steps to manage them can help prevent revenge trading.
In conclusion, revenge trading is a HARMFUL AND DANGEROUS practice that can lead to significant financial and emotional consequences. Understanding its causes and recognizing its signs are essential steps in avoiding this behavior and maintaining a successful trading career.
--
Best wishes,
@PandorraResearch Team 😎
NASDAQ: Short term Channel Up on critical Resistance.Nasdaq is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 49.418, MACD = -276.610, ADX = 37.535) as it has recovered from the oversold state of 2 weeks ago. By doing so, it has formed a Channel Up on the 1H timeframe but as the price hit its top and the 1H RSI has formed a bearish divergence like the previous HH, it is possible to see a quick pullback. As long as the price stays inside the Channel Up, target the 1H MA200 (TP = 19,900). If it crosses above the top of the Channel Up, buy and target the R1 level (TP = 20,650).
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Tuesday's NQ Trade idea 3.25.25 first trade of the day. SL was hit at $160 profit. We disrespected the bearish FVG level.
Let's see what happens next.
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There is a possibility of losing some or all of your initial investment, and therefore, you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. Be aware of the risks associated with leveraged trading and seek professional advice if necessary.
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CFTC RULE 4.41 - HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN.
Performance results discussed in my content are hypothetical and subject to limitations. There are frequently sharp differences between hypothetical performance results and the actual results subsequently achieved by any particular trading strategy. One of the limitations of hypothetical trading results is that they do not account for real-world financial risk.
Furthermore, past performance of any trading system or strategy does not guarantee future results.
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Trading in futures, forex, and other leveraged products involves substantial risk and is not appropriate for all investors.
Do not trade with money you cannot afford to lose.
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Short position NQShort position NQ high probability setup
SL: swing high
TP: FE 1.618
Size based on your risk management strategy
Short Position High Probability NQShort Position High Probability NQ
TP: FE 1.61
SL: Swing High
Size based on your risk management strategy
NQ High Probability Short TradeNQ High Probability Short Trade
Short position
TP: 20245.75
SL: 20374.25
Adapt the size to your risk management strategy
MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 03/24/2025MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 03/24/2025
*LAST UPDATE FOR THIS WEEK*
📈20370 20420
📉20140 20090
Like and share for more daily NQ levels 🤓📈📉🎯💰
*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research and a quantitative system demonstrating high accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
NASDAQ The recovery has officially started.Nasdaq (NDX) has been trading within a 2-year Channel Up and with today's opening, it broke above the Lower Highs trend-line of February's Bearish Leg. Even though the confirmed bullish reversal signal technically comes above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), we already have the early bottom signals.
First and foremost, the 1D RSI rebounding from the same oversold (<30.00) level where all major Higher Lows of the Channel Up did (August 05 2024, April 19 2024, October 26 2023). Every time the price reached its -0.5 Fibonacci extensions following such bottoms. Also each Bullish Leg tends so far to be smaller than the previous.
As a result, targeting a +24% rise (-3% less than the previous Bullish Leg) at 23500 is a very realistic Target technically, as it is considerably below the -0.5 Fibonacci extension.
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Looking for a minimum of ES 5850In the days to come our initial pattern off the recent has the high probability to get into the 5850 area.
Here I will be looking for a pullback.
If this pullback can be viewed as corrective in it's structure then I expect the subdivisions and pathway on my ES4Hr chart should follow suit. However, if the pullback turns out to be impulsive, I will be looking for follow through for either Minor B having completed early, or the alternate wave (iv). If that sort of price action were to materialize, it's Friday's low of 5651.25 that must support any drop if we're to continue to subdivide higher and have this minor B take more time.
Weekly Market Forecast SP500 NASDAQ DOW: Short Term BUYS!In this video, we will analyze the S&P 500, NASDAQ, AND DOW JONES Futures for the week of March 24 - 28th. We'll determine the bias for the upcoming week, and look for the best potential setups.
The equity markets have been choppy lately, but this week may be different. The economic calendar shows a smooth week ahead, as there are no NFP, FOMC, or similarly volatile news ahead to potentially reverse a market out of the blue. The indices show potential to break consolidation and move upwards. So we wait until there are definitive market structure shifts to occur, acting as confirmations.
Only then do we pounce!
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
$NQ IdeaAnalyzing the NQ for the upcoming week, we observe that the price held at the monthly OB, where an SMT also formed, reinforcing the indication of a bullish continuation from that point.
On the daily chart, we identify a shift in market structure, evidenced by the presence of an SMT + MSS, followed by a continuation purge of the price. Given this, we understand that our weekly DOL will initially be the daily CRT High and the Weekly FVG, although the final target may be the monthly Range High.
Additionally, based on the economic calendar, we anticipate more significant movements on Monday, Thursday, and Friday due to news related to the dollar.
It is important to emphasize that this analysis is based solely on price action, and macroeconomic factors may impact the market throughout the week. Therefore, we must be prepared for potential changes in the scenario.
NQ weekly review and outlook for next weekExpect a buyside run on NQ towards weekly FVG coupled with daily arrays. IRB on the weekly
