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FUBOTV moves before earnings LONGWith upcoming earnings on August 4th, as shown on the @H chart, FUBO is moving. The set of three EMAs (35/70/280) show an impending crossover the longest EMA and a golden cross between the other two has already occurred. The MACD demonstrates the bullish momentum. The dual time frame RSI has the low/green line crossing the 50 level from well below it and then the high/ black line in the 60 range another confirmation of bullish trend strength. I can appreciate that other traders are anticipating a bit of a jump in the event of an earnings beat. I will join that group. The target is the level of the double top of mid-July. The stop loss is the level of the golden cross of the EMAs. An identified options trade is the strike of $ 3 expiring 8/11.
NYSE:FUBOLong
by AwesomeAvani
SBUX upcoming earnings opportunity LONGSBUX fell going into earnings in early May and continued down all of May then pivoting into a slow climb on this 2H chart through the lower anchored VWAP bands until the present where it is about to cross the mean VWAP lines as signaled by an engulfing green bar after a Doji. The dual time frame RSI lines have both near the 50 levels with the lower in green slightly above the higher in black. I see SBUX rising in the earning upcoming this week. The target is the ascending trendline in black at about 104 for a quick 2.5% ROI in 2 days. I will play this with some call options contracts striking 102 expiring August 11th. I will take half of them off with a 50% unrealized profit and let the remainder run until 8/9 to avoid acceleration of time decay.
NASDAQ:SBUXLong
by AwesomeAvani
UBER Technologies Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold UBER here: or reentered here: Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of UBER Technologies prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 50usd strike price Calls with an expiration date of 2023-8-18, for a premium of approximately $1.66. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them. Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
NYSE:UBERLong
by TopgOptions
1
MRNA a medical Technology Stock LONG MRNA is a medical technology company. It is in the vaccine sector and competes ( well) with NVAX and PFE among others. Earnings are upcoming on 8/3 in about a week. On the 30 minute chart it appears to be in a descending wedge pattern which is typically a bottoming with a breakout over and beyond the descending trendline. The relative trend indicator shows the downtrend to be a slow grinding type trend with some minor corrections along the way. As might be expected the RS lines are low in the indicator's channel. I see this as a setup for a pre-earnings play with the expectation that MRNA could breakout above the resistance trend line and move toward the horizontal resistance of the triple top earlier in mid-July. I see medical stocks as a good alternative to technology stocks that may be overextended and stressed by the current financial chaos pressuring the markets. Another approach is a two call options targeting $ 125 expiring 8/11 and running the first until 100% profit or 8/2, the day before the expiration whichever comes first and letting the other run through earnings into the middle of the following week at 8/9. I always like to cut these short of expiration by a few days to diminish the effects of time decay.
NASDAQ:MRNA
by AwesomeAvani
2
TLT Short term Treasuries Bullish LONGTLT as shown on a 30 minute chart shows TLT in a narrow range last week and then a pivot down to begin this week followed by a downtrend and a small correction until then the fed news of the rate hike came out. Today the general market dropped after some federal financial data came out and a treasury auction was a dud bond auction with little transactions occurring confounded by Bank of Japan actions inconsistent with the path of the US Fed. The mass index indicator has signaled a reversal as the signal rose above the reversal zone and then dropped below the zone thus triggering. The Relative Trend Index documents the end of the red downtrend with the signal line nearly returning above zero. Overall, I think TLT traders overreacted to the federal news and the catalyst from Japan. I believe this to be a good point to enter long using the pivot low as the stop loss. Targets are 100.5 just below the mean anchored VWAP and 101.5 just below POCl line volume area of the intermediate term volume profile. This offers modest potential profile for a relatively low risk. However, I intend to trade this intraday as a same day expiration (0DTE) option striking 101. I will set a set a stop-loss on the option of 15% while expecting potentially 50-200% ROI making for an acceptable ratio.
NASDAQ:TLTLong
by AwesomeAvani
BA after earnings pop. Will it drop?Boeing had a big pop from very favorable earnings today. So far there has not been a fade or retracement. The relative strength lines however topped out and then retreated a bit signaling bearish divergence with the lower TF below the higher black TF line. Likewise, the MACD indicator is showing a line cross above the histogram whose amplitude has dropped to zero then changed to red / negative. Lastly, the mass index indicator shows a rise above the reversal zone then with a trigger signal in dropping below the zone. I conclude that BA over-extended and is now setup for a short trade which could be either stocks or a put option. For the stock the stop loss is 232 the swing high and the target is 223.25 at the mean VWAP line. If price can cross under that line, the target for the remaining runners will be 217 just above a lower VWAP line. I will buy the strike $225 expiring 8/4 to potentially exploit this expected quick retracement.
NYSE:BAShort
by AwesomeAvani
Macys ( M ) Pre-earnings LongAs can be seen on the 2H chart, Macy's last earnings on June 5th was afavorble beat resulting in first an uptrend and then a sideways price movement for a month and a half. Earnings are expected on 8/22/23. Price has had dynamic support at the mean VWAP anchored in April while the dynamic resistance has been two standard deviations above that represented by the thin red line. Price is currently midway between resistance and support. Additional support is the POC line ( with the highest trading volumes ) of the volume profile beginning at the prior earnings date. Overall I see this as an opportunity to take an options trade with an expiration a couple of weeks after expected earnings to strike the thin red line of dynamic resistance at 17 expiring September 1st. Depending on price action in the days leading up to earnings I may take off half the contracts if they are in decent profit while letting the other half run through the post earnings period figuring that M could repeat and jump after earnings.
NYSE:MLong
by AwesomeAvani
VZ Verizon Communications Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold VZ here: Then analyzing the options chain and chart patterns of VZ Verizon Communications prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 31usd strike price Puts with an expiration date of 2024-1-19, for a premium of approximately $1.08. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them. Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
NYSE:VZShort
by TopgOptions
GLD is the high volume EFT that is tracking the gold bullrun which started two weeks ago on July 3rd after a downtrend for two months starting on May 2nd. This is not a leveraged ETF as so a bit less volatile than JNUG or GDXU. On the 2H chart, I have added a VWAP band line setup anchored into the pivot high. On my analysis: 1. GLD is ascending through VWAP band lines in a VWAP breakout. 2. Volume is steady 3. The Price Volume Trend Oscillator went from a diminishing negative/red histogram into green on July 5th. 4. On the zero-lag MACD, the lines crossed while under the histogram reversing a descent on July 17th and marking the end of a minor correction of the uptrend then confirmed by those lines crossing the zero-line the following day. I conclude that GLD is set up for a long trade. While others might simply take a trade of stocks I will use call options to take a long position. My target is $190 between the second and third positive standard deviations of the mean VWAP. I will purchase 50 options contracts for about $37 each expiring August 4th. I will hold all of them until July 27th and liquidate half of them at the high of day on that Thursday expecting Friday to be a down day. The remaining 25 contracts will be sold at the rate of 6 contracts per day until the overall position is closed. Overall, I expect to realize 200% in profits over the 12-13 trading days in the trade. I plan for a 15% stop loss and expect the trade to be above break-even with the first stop loss advance which I expect will be on Friday.
AMEX:GLDLong
by AwesomeAvani
Current state of play for BTCCurrent state of play for BTC Bitcoin, and the crypto markets overall, have seen a marked strike of volatility which resulted in a new yearly high being made of $31,5000 USD before price then fell away back down to $30,250 USD at the time of writing. What can we gain from this price action? The simple fact that there have been more supply and sellers at these price highs than there has been conviction to continue biding at higher prices. ---- What else could be moving markets overnight? A key metric that may be driving some of this volatility is the options market. The 7th of July is also the largest total value of options expiring until the 28th of July. metrics.deribit.com Option expiry is historically known to cause markets to move as these contracts are settled. Max pain for this contract date is also $30,000USD - so it will be interesting to see if price settles at price range after the contracts settle. (Click here to learn about max pain) ---- Where to next These are the bullish and bearish scenarios to be watching. A clean higher time frame (Hourly or greater) close beyond these range highs or lows will be telling in the bears or bulls are in control. Currently we are in the middle of it all.
by PHundal