Gold - The Tea Leaves Say: More Downside On Deck3.5% is a lot in gold, and that's about the range of the total landslide we've been through the entirety of August so far.
It's the kind of pattern where goldbugs and USD collapse narrative nerds go long and go long or hodl and hodl but the price never goes up.
In my last call on gold from the beginning of July, I warned that $2,000 was a death trap. That call was pretty successful, coming just a few dollars shy of the target, abeit it was because the next month's futures contract settled some 2% higher.
Gold - $2,000 Is a Death Trap
And with the index markets at large, I caution that Nasdaq not breaking 15,000 is actually a real bull trap
QQQ - Is It Rally Time? Or Are You Too Early?
With gold, geopolitical risks are heightened because Xi Jinping and the Chinese Communist Party he has yet to throw away bought a lot of gold, and at relatively high prices, according to media reports at least.
And thus, because of this, a form of subtle on-the-low economic sanctions against Xi and/or the CCP can be to devalue the price of gold, which puts the central bank in a bind.
And this is a real problem for China right now with all the other economic catastrophes that land one after another, and the flooding, and the instability, and the posturing of the International Rules Based Order about war/invasion via Taiwan.
The CCP won't invade Taiwan. But China might get invaded by the IRBO via Taiwan.
You might not believe it. But give it some sober thought. Tacticians are tacticians for a reason. Hitting from the shadows and blind spots is a real useful thing.
But for Xi, he can always weaponize the 24-year persecution against Falun Dafa that was launched on July 20, 1999 by former Chairman Jiang Zemin against the entire world.
Because the whole world has been going to Shanghai to train under the Jiang faction for economic and social benefits. Which means a lot of closet skeletons. Which means a lot of data dumps can serve as weapons delivered to international media in the future.
Anyways, here's the call, friends.
Gold is obviously going down and will go down farther. It really looks like it's seeking at least the short term lows, which means $1,900 is longzo-gonzo.
And so on a dump from where we're at at time of posting to, say $1,850, you're getting 5% on a very safe short.
You can short the hole.
And 5% is a lot of money on gold.
Probably only at $1,850 can we look for reversal longs towards new all time highs.
But with how lethargic gold has been, we may very well just have seen the top on the re-run to $2,080.
Platinum
Silver - 33 Moons [And An Options Opportunity](Using 3-Day candles for visibility only. Consult weekly/daily yourself)
I have an open call on Gold in that I believe a new high will be set, but it won't actually be bullish, because metals are going to dump pretty hard in the future and try to make retail sell their bullion.
Gold - When A New ATH Prints, Will You Get Trapped?
I hadn't paid a lot of attention to Silver and was on the sidelines until it dumped 10 percent this week, and now I believe there is a crazy good opportunity.
The problem with Gold is that the Chinese Communist Party bought a lot of it and they're going to get margin called or are the ones actually short selling.
The problem with silver is that there's not a lot of it left and it's really needed for technology.
When smart money wants to buy they accumulate at low prices and distribute at high prices. Often times what precedes the biggest moves are smaller moves that serve the purpose of wiping out and shaking out early short sellers and trapping retail traders who just love to buy high and sell low.
There's a lot of geopolitical risk in the world right now, as you can tell from the weekend "Prigozhin Coup," which I cover the implications of for the US Dollar here.
DXY - The US Petrdollar And The "Prigozhin Coup" In Russia
But the biggest geopolitical risk is what happens if Xi Jinping gets up one morning and dumps the CCP. Nobody believes this can happen and nobody is prepared for it.
But when it happens, it will implicate the whole world for both Xi and China to survive, they will have to weaponize the persecution of the 100 million practitioners of Falun Gong committed by the Jiang Zemin faction starting in 1999.
Since much of the world's financial sector and governments have dirtied themselves with Jiang in the persecution, when that day comes, it will mean that everything, everywhere is limit down. The liquidity will be gone, the algos will be off. Markets will no longer be made.
It is what it is.
In the meantime, nothing about what's going on with silver is bearish. Prices are low and it makes you want to sell, but it's actually a situation where you want to go long.
I believe that $21.20~ or $20.80 is what it's aiming for, and afterwards, the target will be at least $29.
So, what about options? One of the ways you can trade this move is calls on the SLV BlackRock ETF.
Getting in at $19~ and seeing a $10 move would push the ETF to at least $30.
There are two things that are significant about this:
1. Jan '24 at the money calls (based on the price right now) are $2.21
2. Average Implied volatility is only 24% and the 52W week low is 23.6% and the 52W high is 36%.
What this means is that calls are cheap and if iVol were to expand on a bull run from say 26% to 40% you'd pick up an extra ~$1 per contract on top of the strike gains.
The AGQ 2x Bull ETF has even more potential upside but it's a lot more risk and the swings are a lot more dramatic, for really obvious reasons.
All of this also means you can speculate in mining ETFs and individual miners. You need to use the underlying commodities as your metronome, though.
But this also means you'd have to be able to hold a winning position for 3 or 6 months.
You'd want to take profits at $27 and $29.
But if you get ahead of yourself and buy the $30+ high thinking that $50 and $100 and $500 are coming, you're likely to get seriously hurt.
Something is going to happen in this world between now and Q1 2024 and it's not going to be good news for the people lost in delusion wanting to have happy days and be a big baller.
Be careful, and happy trading.
Platinum is ready for a pushWhile long term us yields have been rising heavily, we saw harsh drops on the precious metals including OANDA:XAUUSD , OANDA:XAGUSD and $OANDA:XPTUSD. Platinum has started show reversal movements. The price formed a double bottom and breaking the middle point. RSI also shows the bullish divergence.
Additionally, the ratio between platinum and gold also formed a double bottom, and it breaks through the down trend as well. This is a good sign for all the precious metals. If we look at the previous ratio, platinum is ultra cheap compared to gold. If we are entering the super cyle era for precious metals, platinum is going to be the star of the show.
Disclaimer – WhaleGambit. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Platinum is finally showing some life signals!The price fell hard in the last weeks under the yearly support find, but is finally showing some reversal signals. The green trendline is coming from last August. Both RSI and OBV show some degree of bullish reversal signals. The supertrend painted BUY in 4h. If we can clear the band at 925$, OANDA:XPTUSD can see the 980$ area quickly. Depending on how fast we go there, the structure may look like an eve-adam pattern, which may throw the price to 1040-1080 region.
Combining the move with OANDA:XPDUSD , we may be at the beginning of a big bullish movement of precious metals!
Disclaimer – WhaleGambit. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Precious Metals Schematics: A look into the Macro of FibonacciI have Listed Silver, Copper, Platinum, Palladium, Aluminum, and Gold into one chart. These are 6 of the top Metals all in Heikin Ashi Candle form.
They all have their own complex Fibonacci Clusters within each one. It may look confusing at first. But understand that one set of lines are horizontal extensions and another set are angled extensions within each one.
Gold - $2,000 Is a Death TrapThis is a follow up to my June 2 call for a new ATH on Gold, that will be bearish, instead of bullish:
Gold - When A New ATH Prints, Will You Get Trapped?
In the process of tracking this, price action did not meet expectations (in the sense that it has not traded low enough), and so I began to reconsider the overall topography of the market.
Also, right now, I have an open call on silver for $33:
Silver - 33 Moons
However, as price has not traded down the levels I regard as requisite to trigger a bull impulse, while I still believe that these high prices will manifest in the future, the market makers desire lower prices first.
One thing to note about gold is both the monthly and weekly bars are actually bearish despite price having formed a long-term triple top:
But in the shorter term (1H-4H-1D) candles, gold is clearly heading towards higher prices after bouncing exactly over $1,900.
As I've said before, one of the problems with a metals bull market right now is that Xi Jinping and the Chinese government (the Chinese Communist Party) have amassed a large amount of gold in recent months.
China's economy is doing extremely poorly following the decimation of the Party by Wuhan Pneumonia and the CCP faces threats on all sides, especially from the International Rules Based Order who now chatters about "de-risking" from China.
Since the United States tends to be the market maker of everything, this is trouble for China's central bank. Large stocks of gold and a heavily declining price will put the regime in a great deal of trouble, depleting the money it has available for buying people off.
And this is a huge geopolitical threat, for Xi Jinping has one Trump card to play: throw away the CCP in the middle of Beijing time, which is the U.S. night, and weaponize the 24-year-long persecution and genocide against Falun Dafa (Falun Gong) meditation, which was launched by Jiang Zemin and its band of toad cronies in Shanghai.
Another thing to note is since the pandemic crash, BUT BEFORE 2022, gold has had something of an inverse covariance with the SPX and the SPX has an inverse covariance with the USD.
But after 2022, gold has traded mostly in lockstep with the SPX, although in recent days and weeks that has begun to decouple.
Looking at the daily covariance, gold and the USD have an inverse covariance with the overextended equities market:
And I anticipate a USD rally, as I state here:
DXY - The US Petrdollar And The "Prigozhin Coup" In Russia
Since I believe what the market makers have in store for us is a significant downtrend in the equities market until September:
SPX/ES - An Analysis Of The 'JPM Collar'
Gold setting a new high right now doesn't make sense.
And so what I believe will happen is the target for the algorithm right now is $2,030, and it amounts to a short squeeze/bull trap.
This will both take out the June high and draw in buyside demand over the $2,000 level, since retail goldbugs are always pining for a new all time high.
But the rally will fail, again, and the markets at large will fail again (except for Natural Gas).
Natural Gas - The Girl Who Hopes You Remember Her
And as the rally fails we'll see lower prices. Probably ending in the $1,800 range.
This amounts to a 10%~ drop and is pretty painful if you're sitting leveraged long and even worse if you're leveraged on call options.
If $1,800 is violated, then the top is probably already in, in my opinion.
So, be careful and make sure you practice social distancing from atheism, Marxist-Leninism, the Theory of Evolution, QAnon, and the CCP itself.
Long gold is about returning to tradition, and mankind's Heaven sent traditions are even more luminous than an entire vault of 100.00% pure AU.
XPTUSD Long-term buy opportunity near 1 year Support.Platinum (XPTUSD) is having a strong start to the week following a streak of 2 red 1W candles rejected on both the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1W MA200 (orange trend-line). Regardless of the obvious 1W Golden Cross pattern that those two are aiming to complete, the price got again near the 895 - 903 Support Zone, which has been closing all 1W candles above since September 2022.
With the 1W RSI on a bottom sequence similar to the February 2023, December 2021 and September 2021 fractals, we consider this an excellent long-term buy opportunity. Our target is the bottom of the Resistance Zone at 1100.
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XPTUSD ( Platinum / USD ) Commodity Analysis 18/07/2021Technical Analysis:
As you can see, there exist a Hidden Bullish Divergence with MACD and it is the very sign of bullish trend continuation as the Price is Bullish Bounding in an ascending channel.
We draw Fibonacci retracement from the low to the top of previous impulsive wave for specifying the Bullish Cycles and the Possible Pivot Points and Reaccumulation levels in the correction wave condition, which are defined as the Fibonacci and Support and Resistance levels on the chart.
Currently The commodity is consolidating and Reaccumulating on Fibonacci Golden Zone.
naturally XPTUSD is moving in ascending channel presently.
we believe that the commodity is getting ready in order to shoot to the defined targets by Fibonacci Projection of the Past impulsive wave
💰 Exploring the Potential of Investing in Precious Metals.Throughout the ages, the allure of rare and captivating metals like gold, silver, platinum, and palladium has remained unwavering. Their scarcity, exquisite aesthetics, and enduring nature have made them objects of desire. While these metals are commonly associated with ornamental jewelry, their utility extends far beyond adornment, finding applications in various industrial and technological realms. Moreover, precious metals have long been regarded as a safeguard against inflation and a sanctuary for investors amidst economic upheaval. Consequently, the trading of these invaluable commodities has evolved into a pivotal component of the global financial landscape, witnessing the exchange of billions of dollars each passing day. In this exposition, we embark upon an exploration of the fundamentals of precious metals trading: the mechanisms at play, the influential factors shaping prices, and the diverse avenues through which investors can partake in this exhilarating and ever-evolving marketplace.
The vast realm of metals is neatly divided into two distinct groups: ferrous and nonferrous. The former encompasses iron, manganese, and chromium, although experts occasionally question the inclusion of the latter metal. This classification extends to alloys containing elements from these primary ferrous metals.
Understanding Precious Metals
From an official statistical perspective, ferrous metals command an overwhelming share, reaching up to 90%. One would naturally assume that such metals enjoy significant demand on stock exchanges. However, in reality, a majority of transactions occur outside the realm of these exchanges, transpiring directly between buyers and sellers. Consequently, the ferrous metals market and its liquidity do not boast the most favorable conditions.
Within this category, certain metals hold a prominent position in exchange trading, namely: gold, silver, platinum, palladium, copper, aluminum, zinc, and nickel. Amongst these, gold and silver reign as the favored choices among traders and investors.
To comprehend the market of precious metals in its entirety, it is imperative to examine it through two essential lenses: the functional aspect and the institutional perspective. Ultimately, the market represents a harmonious amalgamation of diverse spheres, encompassing not only extraction, production, and processing but also the final sale to consumers.
The price of precious metals is subject to the influence of various factors, encompassing:
Supply and demand dynamics: The fundamental principles of supply and demand exert a significant impact on precious metal prices. Limited supply coupled with high demand typically drives prices upward.
Economic indicators: Economic data, including inflation rates, interest rates, and GDP growth, can shape the price trajectory of precious metals. For instance, during periods of elevated inflation, investors often seek refuge in precious metals as a store of value, leading to increased demand and subsequent price appreciation.
Geopolitical events: Geopolitical occurrences like wars, trade conflicts, and political instability have the potential to sway precious metal prices. When geopolitical tensions escalate, investors frequently turn to precious metals as a safe haven, fueling demand and subsequently driving prices higher.
Currency fluctuations: Since the price of precious metals is commonly denominated in US dollars, fluctuations in currency value can impact metal prices. For instance, if the US dollar strengthens, precious metal prices may experience a decline as they become relatively more expensive for buyers using other currencies.
Investor sentiment: The sentiment and outlook of investors can play a vital role in shaping precious metal prices. Bullish sentiment may lead to increased buying activity, resulting in price surges. Conversely, bearish sentiment may prompt investors to sell their holdings, leading to price declines.
To summarize, the price of precious metals is influenced by a multifaceted interplay of factors, ranging from the core dynamics of supply and demand to geopolitical events and currency fluctuations.
Investing in precious metals offers several avenues for investors to participate in the market. Here are three of the most popular approaches:
Stocks: Investors can purchase shares in mining companies engaged in the extraction of precious metals like gold, silver, platinum, and palladium. The stock prices of these companies often correlate closely with the underlying metal's price, as their profitability is tied to production costs and market demand.
Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs): Precious metal ETFs enable investors to buy shares in a fund that holds physical precious metals, such as gold or silver. These funds aim to track the price movements of the respective metal, providing a convenient means of exposure to the market without the need for physical storage and transportation of the metals.
Contracts for Difference (CFDs): CFDs are financial instruments that allow investors to speculate on the price fluctuations of precious metals without owning the physical metal itself. By entering into a contract with a broker, investors can buy or sell the metal at a predetermined price on a future date. CFDs are a more speculative approach, involving leverage and potentially significant losses if the metal's price moves unfavorably.
The potential earnings from trading precious metals can vary greatly and are highly dependent on individual factors and market conditions. It's important to note that trading in precious metals can be subject to volatility and fluctuations, and there are no guarantees of specific earnings. While gold and silver have demonstrated a long-term upward trend, it is crucial to approach trading with realistic expectations.
Over the long term, precious metals have historically shown the potential for favorable returns. However, short-term gains can be less predictable. It's important to have a long-term perspective and not expect significant profits within a short period. Patience and a strategic approach are key when investing in precious metals.
It's worth mentioning that the scarcity of precious metals, especially gold, has a significant impact on their value. As the available supply diminishes over time while demand remains steady or increases, the price per unit tends to rise. This trend is driven by the basic principles of supply and demand.
In summary, while precious metals can offer good returns over the long term, it's important to manage expectations and understand that substantial earnings may take years or even decades to materialize.
Investing in precious metals offers both advantages and disadvantages. Here are the key pros and cons to consider:
Advantages:
Safe haven investment: Precious metals, particularly gold and silver, are often viewed as safe haven assets during economic uncertainty or market instability. They can act as a hedge against inflation, currency devaluation, and geopolitical risks.
Diversification: Precious metals provide diversification benefits to an investment portfolio. They have a low correlation with traditional assets like stocks and bonds, which can help reduce overall portfolio risk and enhance stability.
Tangible assets: Precious metals are physical assets that can be held directly, offering a sense of ownership and security for some investors. Having tangible assets can also provide a potential alternative during times of financial crisis or disruptions in the banking system.
Disadvantages:
Volatility: Precious metal prices can be highly volatile, experiencing significant price swings within short periods. This volatility can pose risks, especially for short-term traders or those seeking quick profits.
Limited income potential: Unlike stocks or bonds, precious metals do not generate income through interest payments or dividends. Their value primarily relies on price appreciation, which may limit their long-term growth potential compared to income-generating investments.
Storage and insurance costs: If investing in physical precious metals, storage and insurance expenses can add to the overall costs of ownership. Proper storage facilities and insurance coverage are necessary to protect the value of the assets, which can eat into potential returns.
Market manipulation concerns: Critics argue that the precious metals market may be susceptible to manipulation by large players or governments, potentially leading to artificial price movements that may not reflect true supply and demand dynamics.
It's important for investors to carefully weigh these advantages and disadvantages, taking into account their financial goals, risk tolerance, and the broader investment landscape. Consulting with a financial advisor or conducting thorough research is recommended before making any investment decisions in precious metals.
Are Precious Metals A Good Investment For You?
Determining whether precious metals are a good investment for you requires considering various factors such as your financial goals, risk tolerance, and investment timeframe. Here are some key points to consider:
Diversification: Precious metals can serve as a valuable component of a diversified investment portfolio, as they often have a low correlation with other asset classes. This diversification can help mitigate risk and stabilize portfolio performance.
Inflation protection: Precious metals are historically considered a hedge against inflation since their value tends to rise when the purchasing power of fiat currencies declines. If protecting against inflation is a priority for you, investing in precious metals could be advantageous.
Volatility: It's important to recognize that precious metals can experience significant price volatility, which may not align with the risk tolerance of every investor. If you are uncomfortable with substantial price fluctuations, other investment options may be more suitable.
Liquidity: Precious metals generally offer high liquidity, meaning they can be easily bought or sold on major exchanges. This accessibility allows for flexibility and quick access to funds when needed.
Long-term perspective: Investing in precious metals, particularly gold, often yields gradual and steady returns over the long term. Patience is crucial when investing in these assets, as their growth tends to occur gradually rather than in short-term bursts.
Considering these factors, it is recommended to conduct thorough research, assess your individual circumstances, and consult with a financial advisor before deciding if precious metals are a suitable investment for you.
Impala can break either way. my gut says up but charts say downBroadening Formation (Megaphone) has formed on the daily,
The indicators are all showing bearish but I can't help but feel that the breakout will be up.
Regardless, price action is saying the following
Trend direction down
7 < 21 < 200
RSI =50
Bearish
So, once we get a breakout we will know exactly what to do.
Gold - When A New ATH Prints, Will You Get Trapped?It's not that I am fundamentally bearish on gold. Actually, I am fundamentally bullish on gold.
But it's because I think the fundamentals of gold are bullish that this commodity is not bound to pump while the MMs have tipped their hands that they're going to sell Artificial Intelligence and Chinese Communist Party garbage to a willing horde of retail zombies and dead money hedge funds.
And so if gold is really to return to relatively significant lows, like say $1,500, the purpose would be accumulation for $2,500 and $3,000.
And if that's to happen, with the way the last three months of price action has been, the gold MM, which is really quite a shark, is extremely unlikely to allow the funds and retail cowboys who have been short under the triple top ATH at $2,089 to enjoy the ride down with them
This monthly is too obvious that new lows aren't going to come before the highs are purged:
And the weekly shows that the $1,936 dump rebalanced the gap created by the big March candle.
A significant calculation in the markets is rumors that came out on Friday that the CCP would be pumping some QE to save its crashing markets.
This news came on the back of names as big as Elon Musk, Jamie Dimon, Henry Kissinger, and Condoleezza Rice either traveling to the mainland for the first time in years or attending virtually, along with the Starbucks and Pfizer CEOs.
So what's going on, if you ask me, is that the Party has once again been given a blood transfusion, and that blood transfusion may be in exchange for that gold it spent the last several months buying.
This would naturally mean that gold would pump so it can be sold at high prices and bought back even lower, with the dual purpose being that it would cripple the CCP's gold reserves, which are loaned on leverage.
Whenever you hear someone barking about how strong the CCP is, or worse, if they conflate "China" to "the Chinese Communist Party," you need to take a step back and ask yourself how a country whose lost tens or hundreds of millions of people to a pandemic it's still doing everything it can to cover up could possibly be strong.
It's not that the CCP is going to invade Taiwan. It's that NATO and the other global factions are thinking about how they can take over Beijing via Taiwan when the Party falls in the imminent future.
The persecution of Falun Gong by the Jiang Faction and the Communist Party itself in 1999 wasn't and isn't Xi Jinping's fault, but as the Party Chairman, his head hangs in the noose for this crime, a weakness that anyone can exploit at any time to get rid of Xi and the Party at the same time.
But the problem is that a lot of the western world and Europe and other countries have participated in the persecution, which has targeted 100 million spiritual practitioners and gone so far as to commit the sin of live organ harvesting.
And so this means that the situation in China is Mutually Assured Destruction, a real Game of Thrones, and ultimately the Heavens are playing them all for a fool together.
So, here's the trade:
Expect the $1,936 pivot to hold. (But $1,920 will also work)
Buy really here or anywhere under $1,950.
Be patient and don't get scared
Sell $2,150
Collect 7-12%
Buy wine and whiskey and treat your friends
Now the kicker is that shorting gold at $2,150-2,170 will be a really good trade, but for the bear case to really apply you want to see a liquidity purge and distribution, rather than a sweep.
Like, you want to see a wick or tweezers form on monthly bars, but you want to see gold spend some daily and/or weekly candles distributing and getting knocked down and trying again and getting knocked down over $2,100.
Otherwise an ATH that doesn't show signs of having its fever break can go quite literally anywhere, although the macro and timing does not currently make sense for this to be the case at present.
One of the best ways to play this is in the GLD ETF. Calls when it trades to about $178.5 with at least 3 months on the contract will print a lot of money closing over $200 if my trade is correct.
I can only tell you that the world is in trouble. A bull impulse when breadth is poor, macro conditions are poor, the timing doesn't make sense... all of them should be causes for alarm.
One day these distractions won't be maintained anymore and there will be significant problems we all have to face outside of the computer in the real world.
To make it through that, you have to be a good person, cultivate virtue, and go back to valuing and maintaining our traditions again.
UPDATE Sibanye Stillwater is about to waterfall down to R16.89Since the last update, Sibanye is heading to the first target.
We have a long way to go, so you can see the update here.
There has been an Inverse Cup and Handle form on Daily.
This is definitely deemed a medium term trade. But luckily with shorts, we earn interest income.
200>21>7 - Bearish
RSI<50
Target R16.89
ABOUT THE COMPANY
Sibanye Stillwater is a South African mining company that specializes in precious metals mining, particularly gold and platinum group metals (PGMs).
The company was formed in 2013 as a result of a merger between Sibanye Gold and Stillwater Mining Company, an American PGM mining company.
Sibanye Stillwater is headquartered in Johannesburg, South Africa, and has operations both in South Africa and the United States.
The company operates several mines in South Africa, including the Driefontein, Kloof, and Beatrix mines, which are all located in the Witwatersrand Basin.
Sibanye Stillwater's PGM operations in the United States are centered around the Stillwater and East Boulder mines in Montana. These mines are known for their production of palladium and platinum.
Sibanye Stillwater is listed on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange (JSE) in South Africa and also has a secondary listing on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE).
Jubilee W Formation but with warning target to R2.95W Formation clearly formed on the daily.
We had a false breakout to the upside, but then price went right back into the W.
7>21 Price<200
RSI>50
Target R2.95
WARNING
There are three problems.
1. The JSE ALSI 40 is still within the downside of the symmetrical triangle as it had a fald breakout. This has sent shorting vibes.
2. The penny stock is highly illiquid and volatile. So one candle up breakaway is most times not enough for a strong confirmed change in direction.
3. Metals are currently pointing down which will bring down the smaller companies.
I'm bullish and the charts say up, but I don't think they are ripe for the picking yet.
ABOUT THE COMPANY
Jubilee Metals Group plc is a mining and exploration company that specializes in the reprocessing of historical mine tailings and surface material.
Jubilee Metals Group plc, commonly known as Jubilee Metals, is a British company headquartered in London, United Kingdom.
The company was founded in 2002 and was initially focused on platinum exploration in South Africa.
Jubilee Metals has since evolved into a multi-metal producer, with a strong focus on platinum group metals (PGMs), chrome, and other base metals.
The company employs innovative proprietary technologies to recover valuable metals from waste materials, such as mine tailings and surface material.
Jubilee Metals has developed a unique processing method called the ConRoast process, which enables the efficient extraction of PGMs and base metals from various feed sources.
The company's operations are primarily based in South Africa, where it has established processing facilities and strategic partnerships with mining companies.
The company focuses on acquiring and reprocessing underperforming mining operations, extracting value from previously overlooked or discarded materials.
In addition to its operations in South Africa, Jubilee Metals has expanded its presence to other countries, including Zambia and Mozambique.
The company has established strategic partnerships with major mining companies, such as Anglo American Platinum, to leverage their existing infrastructure and enhance its operational capabilities.
Jubilee Metals' shares are listed on the London Stock Exchange's Alternative Investment Market (AIM) and the Johannesburg Stock Exchange (JSE), allowing investors to participate in the company's growth.
Anglo American PLatinum just chose a direction - DOWN to R743.65After the AMS stock tricked us showing upside to come with the downtrend broken.
This is where Smart Money clearly came in and sold the hell out of it.
Now there is an M Formation accompanied with a Bearish Engulfing candle.
This is more bearish than not.
200>21>7 - Bear
RSI<50
Target R743.65
ABOUT THE COMPANY
Anglo American Platinum Limited is a South African company and is the world's leading primary producer of platinum group metals (PGMs).
The company was incorporated in 1946.
Amplats is a member of the Anglo American plc Group, a multinational mining company with a diverse range of mining operations worldwide.
The company is listed on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange (JSE) under the ticker symbol AMS.
Anglo American Platinum operates a portfolio of mines across South Africa and in Zimbabwe.
Their portfolio includes key operations such as Mogalakwena, Amandelbult, Unki, and Mototolo.
In addition to mining, the company is also involved in smelting, refining, and the marketing of platinum group metals.
Amplats produces several PGMs, including platinum, palladium, rhodium, iridium, ruthenium, and osmium.
The company's products are used in a wide range of industries, from jewelry to automobile catalytic converters, in electronics, and for industrial applications.
HOW IT GOT ITS NAME
Anglo American Platinum Limited, often referred to as Amplats, derived its name from its parent company, Anglo American plc, and its primary business of platinum production.
"Anglo American" reflects the origins of the parent company, which was established in 1917 by Sir Ernest Oppenheimer. The company was initially funded by British and American capital, hence the name "Anglo American."
Platinum is at the triple supportPlatinum hit the triple support: weekly S2 pivot points, green lower band of up trend and horizontal band from long-term price action. Platinum is so cheap compared to historical prices and gold. It seems that NASDAQ:NDX vacuums some money from commodities and crypto, but stock market is close to a correction which may bring some money back to commodities. I expect OANDA:XPTUSD would over-perform Silver and Gold.
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Platinum: How low will you go? 🤔Platinum is on its way downwards to develop wave Y in light green and still has got room to expand. Indeed, there is a 30% chance that the price could even drop into the green zone between $758 and $659, establishing the low of wave Alt.Y in light green instead. Primarily, though, we expect platinum to turn upwards before reaching the green zone.
Platinum- Inverted head and shouldersPlatinum has started the month with a local low shy under 1k psychological figure, a reversal followed which also led to a break above the descending trend line started in May.
At this moment the price is exactly in the horizontal 1040 resistance and a break above this zone would also confirm an inverted H&S pattern.
Buy trades considering this setup would have a perfect 1:2 R: R
Platinum, could this be a new swing higher?Today's focus: Platinum
Pattern – Support hold, trend break
Possible targets – 1070
Support – 993
Resistance – 1035, 1070
Today’s update is on Platinum. We have run over our thoughts and levels we are watching. Yesterday’s solid rally has held support and has started to test support after breaking the current downtrend. Will we see buyers clear resistance and confirm the trend break?
Thanks for stopping by. Good trading, and have a great day.
Platinum's Bearish Path: A Closer Look at the Price ActionPlatinum continues to be confined within a persistent bearish channel, characterized by a pattern of lower highs and lower lows in its price movement. This ongoing trend suggests a prevailing bearish sentiment in the market. As the price of platinum remains locked within this channel, there is a possibility of a new bearish impulse emerging.
Given the current market conditions and the downward trajectory of platinum, our target for the foreseeable future remains at $985. This target signifies a further decline in the price of platinum, aligning with the prevailing bearish outlook. Traders and investors should closely monitor the price action and market developments to assess potential opportunities within this bearish context.
XPTUSD Buy opportunity with High expected in June.Platinum (XPTUSD) is trading on a Triangle pattern which is within a larger Channel Up. Last time we had this sequence on patterns was last November-December. Once the price hit the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), it rebounded to the 1.5 Fibonacci extension. The current 1.5 Fib is at 1180 but we set a Target slightly lower at 1170. Notice how even the 1D MACD sequences between the two fractals are identical.
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1H2023 USD/ZAR (weekly timeframe)Background (a quick look back): The rand's covid recovery, on the back of the Fed’s QE infinity policy and a strong commodities rally, ended in June 2021 after the rand managed to pull the pair to a low of 13.40. The rand got hit by a quick one-two in the middle of 2021 as the DXY found support around 90.00 and the local riots in July which saw the local unit tumble to 16.40 by November. This created the first major impulse wave.
The rand managed to pull the pair to a low of 14.40 in 1Q2022, but the party ended when the Fed started its current interest rate hiking cycle at the end of the quarter. Platinum prices also topped out at $1156/oz in the beginning of March 2022. The hiking cycle, external geo-political, global recession, local energy uncertainties and a 28% decline in platinum prices (from March to September) pulled the pair into a 5-wave rip tide (orange channel) to a yearly high of 18.60.
The final quarter of 2022 saw the rand stage an ABC corrective pattern which allowed the local unit to pull the pair onto the 38.2% Fibo retracement rate of 16.86. The main factors which supported the rand’s recovery was the DXY which fell off its high of 114 in September and the price of platinum which bottomed at $825/oz in the same month. Platinum has since gained roughly 32% and closed on a high of $1088/oz in the first week of January 2023.
Present (where to next): The rand managed to pull the pair onto the critical 61.8% Fibo retracement level of 16.80 from the covid recovery (green) in the first week of January 2023 after a stronger than expected non-farm payrolls report sent the DXY and US 10-year yields tumbling. The critical support range between 16.40 (top of impulse wave 1 and 50% orange Fibo retracement) and 16.80 will give an indication for the rand’s trajectory in 1H2023. The 50-week MA rate of also sits satisfyingly in this range at 16.47.
Support: A break below 16.80 will allow the rand to test the 50-week MA and the bottom of the support range at 16.40, the top of the major first wave. A break below the support range will invalidate the major 5-wave impulse wave which could see the pair fall between the orange 61.8% Fibo retracement rate of 15.88 and the 50% green retracement rate of 16.09. The best-case scenario for the local unit in my opinion is an appreciation onto the 200-week MA rate of 15.61 (this move does not seem highly likely now since the Fed is only expected to ease/pause its hiking cycle in the 2H2023).
Resistance: The first resistance rate which needs to give way for continued rand weakness sits at 17.30, the top of the orange third wave. A break above 17.30 will allow the pair to climb to the top of the corrective wave B at 17.96 and the psychological rate of 18.00. A close above 18.00 will confirm the fifth impulse wave to the covid high of 19.35.
Technical indicators: The weekly RSI is still trending upwards since hitting the oversold range in June 2021 and is current at a neutral level of 49.21 which is rand negative. The weekly MACD is currently holding a sell signal which is rand positive but the gap between the 12 and 26 EMA’s seems to be closing.
(SA is the world's leading platinum producer and the rand behaves like a commodity currency hence the emphasis on platinum price action in the description)
PLATINUM BREAKOUTS X 3 Platinum Futures
At present Precious Metals all seem to have the wind at their back on longer timeframes.
- A H&S pattern with a potential breakout within a
- Cup&handle with a potential breakout within a
- A long term pennant with a potential breakout.
RSI Indications
- You can see how the green/red circles and resistance lines provided great entries and exits.
- We are approaching the upped resistance line and I would expect some resistance here which aligns with the resistance of the Cup and Handle (which aligns with historic price resistance)
- Use the RSI resistance lines to help manage risk.
In summary I am long term bullish however if we breach the bottom of the long term pennant... we exit the trade. RR is great here if you set a stop under the pennant resistance, this being for a long term 36 - 60 motnh trade.
There are also lots of short term opportunities in this chart from the three patterns identified. These you can see and manage within your own timelines using the chart lines as reference points for buy and sells.
Thanks
PUKA