Relative Strength Index (RSI)
Profitable RSI optimizes 3 parameters!Well, it's just a small public announcement.
I went to this for a long time and now it has become possible. Profitable RSI now handles 3 parameters of the standard RSI indicator to find the best tuple of settings. So, additionally to period setting, the optimizer takes under consideration different Overbought (from 60 to 70 ) and Oversold levels (from 30 to 40 ) for each RSI period.
Four main conclusions from my research (if you gonna trade with RSI):
The OB/OS levels are not necessary to be the standard 70/30 ones. With all my respect to J. Welles Wilder, but those bounds cannot be considered optimal.
The OB/OS levels can be asymmetric. So OB can be 65 while OS is 39. Not 70/30, not 60/40 and not 75/25. Asymmetric ones.
There is no efficient trading with period setting higher than 50.
We can make a feast even from the old indicator
And the last thing I wanted to add - let's not live in the old paradigms. The world is changing, trading is changing and we must change too. Don't be afraid to experiment with something new for you.
The tool I talked about, the Profitable RSI, is here
Good luck, Good health, God bless you
4H BTC Waves+ Signal charting, full blindFully blind signal charting followup for Waves+, BTCUSD 4h.
All horizontal lines/signals were plotted with the candlestick chart hidden and not visible. Additionally, this time, all directional trades and exits were determined with the chart hidden.
Additional signal explanation and rationale is detailed in yellow text, annotated on the chart/indicators.
8/10 Trades closed in profit (green checkmark). 2 Trades marked with red X were below 2% profit margin, and are considered a loss unless high leverage is used.
Setup/configuration:
Initial setup with Waves+, DOSC (Derivative Oscillator) with signal line disabled. 1-2 bar delay on signals to provide accurate/realistic demonstration of entries/exits (on bar close).
Waves+ has the LSMA line enabled (dark blue).
Waves+ is a hybrid wavetrend fibbonaci oscillator.
Waves+ components:
Light blue line = Waves line
Dark blue line = LSMA line
Red line = Mmenosyne follower (fib line with medium speed)
Green line = Mmenosyne base (fib line with slow speed)
Shaded yellow zone = Explosion Zone warning (Ehler's Market Thermometer)
Red/green center dots = TTM Squeeze Loose Fire(red), TTM Squeeze Strict Fire (green)
Lower dotted line = 38.2 fib line
Upper dotted line = 61.8 fib line
Lower dashed line = 25 wavetrend limit
Upper dashed line = 75 wavetrend limit
Blue 1/2 height block = suggested TP from short/drop incoming 1-2 bars
Orange 1/2 height block = suggested TP from long
Chart markup:
solid green = buy/long signal
solid red = sell/short signal
dashed red = early sell/short signal
dashed green = early buy/long signal
dashed orange = suggested exit from long signal
dashed blue = suggested exit from short signal
Trades closed in profit/loss, no stops, marked up on chart:
Trade closed in profit = green checkmark
Trade closed at a loss = red X.
Trades that are less than 2% in profit will be considered a loss for scalping unless leverage is used.
Incremental for this blind signal test will be documented below/updated as part of the trade idea/post.
Constance Brown Composite Index, RSI, DOSC Exploration Preliminary exploration of Constance Brown's trading style with a focus on divergence plotting with the Composite Index, RSI + Averages, and the Derivative Oscillator.
first, hide the price action + derivative oscillator so they're not visible, and only the RSI + CBCI are visible:
next, plot vertical lines where the CBCI (gray) crosses above or below it's two moving averages (sma11&33, aqua and green):
then, use the CBCI to spot divergences on the RSI, as an indicator of an indicator to spot divergences.
The CBCI was designed to have momentum + not be range bound and to work to spot divs on the RSI, as follows:
then draw the vertical lines from the crossovers on the price action/candlesticks and unhide the chart:
label/check each divergence and unhide the derivative oscillator:
then, mark on the derivative oscillator zero line crosses + directional momentum changes:
Filter out the majority of derivative oscillator zero line crosses and directional changes that occur during div periods that don't overlap:
Finally, filter derivative oscillator signals to congruence to divergence type and plot on chart:
Release: [AU] Waves+Plus version of Waves with components from both Waves Advanced and Mnemosyne. Essentially, Waves+ is highly configurable hybrid wavetrend oscillator and Fibonacci oscillator.
Pictured to the left are the various indicators that represent incremental steps/advancements toward the development and eventual refinement of a hybrid wavetrend fib oscillator.
Waves+ is available as part of the AU indicator set - contact for trial availability and pricing.
FIB, RSI, MACD, AND BREAKOUT PATTERNS ARE TRASH! (MUST WATCH!)I'm aware the title has offended you. Read through this post anyway, I'm sure I touch up on your complaints.
Stop forming your identity around your strategy. Even I am not immune to this. it’s all too common to form a personal relationship with the tools you’re using to trade. Whether that’s the indicators on your chart, your Gann shooting star wave pattern Fibonacci double top, or your boutique breakout patterns. It doesn’t matter how bland, innovative, common it is or if it’s the “golden standard” everyone worships and trusts. I’m happy that you like it and found something you identify with. It should be nice and comfy for you to settle into that confirmation bias, “Mm, yes it is indeed a double top” as you scroll through the fifth page of the Tradingview ideas section, pinpointing the chart that agrees with you.
There’s a better way to do things. I don’t care what you’re using, maybe, just maybe, there’s a way to improve your strategy. I can confirm this idea is seen as wildly offensive. Ask someone why their strategy works and they’ll cringe like you just asked them if their spouse is cheating. “How dare you question their effectiveness! I’ll let you know we have a long history together and I love them very much.” I’m sure you do, but have you noticed some of the warning signs? They’re all right there in front of you. It may not feel good when I ask, but if the signs are there and 3/4ths of marriages fail, it wouldn’t sit well with me if I didn’t speak up just to keep you comfy cozy.
Analogies aside, your “spouse” is your strategy. The warning sign is that you keep on losing trades, blaming your loses on “volatility” without wanting to admit what the real problem is. Perhaps you’re still green for now, just wait for a larger sample size of a trade history. Much like your imaginary marriage, the odds are wildly against you. Why do you think 95 plus percent of traders fail? You can massage data however you like, the problem is at some point you decided to stop improving because you got confident.
If you met a tribe in the wilderness who planted fish in their fields as “an offering to their gods” in order to grow bigger crops, what do you do? Do you keep quiet about their ways? Sure, their crops WILL grow larger because of this tradition, but not for the reasons they believe. Would providing them industrial fertilizer and a crop rotation plan improve their crop output? Absolutely, but that would require that they admit they’re wrong and would be contrary to their identity. You’d get the response “but it’s worked for us so far! What we’re using is a proven standard.” Their blind faith in their dogma would prevent them from seeing that maybe, just maybe their is a better way to do things. If you don’t know why something works, you need to be skeptical regardless of how effective it is. Don’t be satisfied with mediocrity, comfort and undeserved confidence will only get you so far. There will always be someone with more experience, money, knowledge, and connections than you. You’ve brought a knife to a gun fight and have decided not to pick up the gun because you got some lucky stabs in. What’s worse is this even isn’t a gunfight, it’s thermonuclear war between institutional investors.
If you're a middle school basketball star, do you cry when you skin your knees after getting fouled when you chose to play street ball in downtown Detroit? No, because you should have known what you were getting into, and if you do cry, all the street ballers will tear you to shreds. If you don't want to play street ball and learn to play like everyone else does, go back to your middle school basketball court. If you can't understand why you keep getting hurt trading crypto and are unwilling to adopt the winning fighting style, go back to trading securities. Winners don't need to play by the rules of "golden standard" of TA.
What if the "golden standard" is only so because they're tools that make you predictable for people who know better? If you have the masses all trading the same information, that makes for predictable moves.
Predictable traders make for a predictable market. A predictable market makes for a profitable market. The only reason you've been given the "golden standard" is to provide liquidity for those with more buying power, resources, knowledge, experience and connections than you.
Specifically concerning the crypto market, there are additional flaws.
"There’s a general point here to make about standard oscillators like RSI: the numbers used for them basically assume conventional markets and typical oscillating ranges.
They were not designed to describe dramatically trending coins.
In such trends, they tend to go deep into “oversold”/“overbought” territory and persist. You may get several divergences before the one that actually reverses after exhaustion.
I wouldn’t call it useless so much as having far lower predictive power than advertised.
It’s also something so widely used that you can virtually guaranteed not to have an edge from that information." -acatwithcharts
If you ARE interested in a better way to do things, I am inclined to think my findings aren't half bad. Click through the links below and in my signature to learn more about how I do things differently.
BTCUSD H4/D1 charts (2/15/2019)Good morning, traders. Price is attempting to push its way through the descending wedge's resistance as H4 RSI is pushing through its own resistance. H4 MACD is curled up and nearing a bullish cross above centerline. As we can see, the green target, which is based on the height of the wedge, is near the previous swing high. Traders need to be cautious as price nears that area. A close above that swing high is what is needed. A wick above but close below prints a bearish SFP which will likely have price reversing. However, a close above that swing high opens up the targets I discussed yesterday as price begins closing above the pattern resistances. While anything is possible at all times, there is little-to-no reason to think price is ultimately headed down from here at this time. At the very least, we should see price move up toward $3900. A daily close above $3615 should make this much more likely as that gets price back above the daily pivot. I am still not a big fan of the possible IHS but have left it for those of you who are interested in it.
BTCUSD Shorts may be finding a temporary bottom at the very least. More importantly, they are nearing the area where they have previously bounced and price headed down as a result. Just because it has happened before does not mean it will continue to happen, though, but it is something to keep an eye on. If Shorts happen to drop below that level this time around it may be an indication that the market is reversing.
Every day, we have a choice to act positively or negatively, so if you get a chance, do something decent for someone today which could be as simple as sharing a nice word with them. You just might change their day, or even their life.
Remember, you can always click on the "share" button in the lower right hand of the screen, under the chart, and then click on "Make it mine" from the popup menu in order to get a live version of the chart that you can explore on your own.
BTCUSD H1/D1 charts (2/12/2019)Good morning, traders. Price has continued within the flag and bounced off the 38.2% retracement on the D1 chart as I mentioned I was watching for yesterday. H1 is printing a short-term double bottom with a target of $3620, once price closes above the swing high of $3586 which would confirm it. H1 RSI is just under neutral at 47.3 and butting up against resistance, while H4 RSI has finally retreated to 52 as it bounced off the previous resistance area and is printing a descending broadening wedge, suggesting price may be readying itself to resume its upward momentum soon (as long as it holds). D1 RSI is holding bullishly around 52 while retesting resistance as support at this time as well.
Price is sitting on the H4 21 EMA and just below the 21 EMA on the H1 while volume has been picking up in this area. This also puts price just below the daily pivot, so we need to see D1 price closing above that pivot to signal continued bullishness, though I really want to see price closing above the D1 TR's EQ of $3645. The more convincingly price can close above that level, the more bullish it becomes. However, if this level does not hold, I will be looking for the $3450/70 area to provide support. The pattern-based targets remain valid at this time. Ultimately, I am watching price within the pink descending broadening wedge. A move through the wedge's resistance provides a target above the flag's resistance which signals increasingly bullish likeliness if price can follow through beyond that target. That target happens to align with the D1 TR's EQ. However, a drop through the wedge's support signals, at the least, a test of the bottom of the local flag/EQ of the D1 descending channel.
I see a lot of traders forcing entries right now. Don't. You should be waiting for price action to tell you which way to trade, not enter just to be in the market. The latter is the easiest way to lose money right after FOMO. BTCUSD longs and shorts are currently rising as a result. Volatility has also dropped off after the surge in action four days ago. Visible orders across the major spot exchanges and Bitmex show dominant demand right now which is a good sign if we can see an influx of buying.
Every day, we have a choice to act positively or negatively, so if you get a chance, do something decent for someone today which could be as simple as sharing a nice word with them. You just might change their day, or even their life.
Remember, you can always click on the "share" button in the lower right hand of the screen, under the chart, and then click on "Make it mine" from the popup menu in order to get a live version of the chart that you can explore on your own.
13 tips for tradersI had this on my hard drive, I thought I would wipe the dust of it and write in in a clean manner in a post, helps me think more clearly.
I need, and everyone can benefit from (new intermediate advanced legend even), having all of this in their mind:
1) Advice that trading is 95% psychology ===> Throw it in trash container
Worse advice I have ever seen, or I totally missed something.
Anyway, simple proof that this is all a load of feces: 5% of the population are psycopaths (not the murdering kind) so if this was that important they would all driving roll royce's. Also I am not a psycho (I think) and I do not have much issues with this... I guess not beeing dumb enough to go ALL IN *100 helps.
Also... then, let's just let a bot do the trading.
Making lists like this learning more everyday and always evaluating our own performance and track record, filter what does not work in certain market conditions... This matters 10000000 times more than "muh feeling :'("
2) Look for ideas opposite to yours, especially beginners (less than 1000 hours trading/learning)
Watching what others are doing helps, and when you have an idea looking for views opposite to yours really helps.
Famous billionaires do this alot. Especially they surround themselves with people that view the world differently.
Of course, do not waste time arguing with bagholders, and sadly alot of ideas opposite to yours you might find are trolls drawing arrows pointing up to unrealistic targets, it could even convince you that the "opposition" are clowns and there is no way you could be wrong, so do not fall for that trap. Just because someone is stupid does not mean they are always wrong. Consider bad TA as 50/50.
3) Noobs want a sure thing. Good luck with that one.
4) "It is impossible or super hard to make money you are competing against the best" ==> Trashcan advice...
First, for lighting fast scalping they are using microwaves now... You are not going to win, sure.
But not only is the competition really not that good (maybe I am a little biased here idk), but you do not even have to compete with them. Big money buys, just follow the momentum, ride on their backs.
Forex is full of huge money (central banks, international companies buying a currency) they are not trying to rip traders off by hunting their stops, they actually need to exchange currencies, nothing more.
Beeing arrogant and thinking every one is a dumb ape but you is probably a big plus :)
All that matters are facts, "Is this pattern profitable?" "What is the winrate?" "What is the risk reward I get on average" "How long does the trade last?" "What are the fees?" "What are the odds of a massive selloff?".
5) "We dropped 90%, this HAS to be the bottom. How much further can we drop?"
We can drop another 90%. And another 90%. And another 90%. And so on.
I did not find any statistics but I am pretty sure that looking at ANYTHING that lost 90%, you would find that the vast majority of the time it was not "a huge opportunity" well it was, but not for buyers. Afaik some great traders made and make big money by shorting dead trash before it goes to zero. If a company is dead, how do shortsellers find buyers? Because to sell you need a buyer. Well, all the idiots that skipped math class and think "this is a great opportunity".
Quit trying to fool me, I am insanely bad at maths, how can you drop 90% if you alreayd dropped 90%? How many more times can we drop 90%? * points and laughs with his redneck friends that only have 5 great-grandparents *
x is a real positive number (R, +, .).
y is an integer.
x^1 > 0 since we have said that x is >0 and x^1 = x
Now, consider x^y > 0. If that is the case, x^(y+1) >= 0 since x^(y+1) = x^y * x and the product of 2 positive number is positive. And if the result was 0 then it would mean than 1 of the 2 numbers was 0 (I think I don't need to prove this) so it will be > 0.
There are plenty of stories of money managers that fell for "it CANNOT fall lower" and got destroyed. The internet is full of bagholders that get destroyed all the time with that insane logic. I do not even profit from this... Maybe I should rethink my whole strategy, when I see the sheer amount of bagholders with "buy the dip" mentality I could profit from...Might have been wasting my time this whole time when I could just short bagholder crypto's/stocks. Well maybe not crypto's as they are long sideways (complacency) lmao complacency @ -95% :D
6) "Soooo this means... y can be as high as we want it to, or in other words the number of times we can go down 90% before touching 0 is INFINITE."
I do not know what the "record" is. I know that some companies have started at 10000$ and more and did not disappear even when their price was at 10 cents, that is a drop of 90% 5 times in a row.
There are several examples, but 1 I see alot on social networks (lots of experts were recommanding to buy the dip "opportunity of a lifetime" when it dropped 90%)
Of course it made 5 90% drops in a row looking at bottoms, but if we look at bounces from the tops after it bounced, it is obviously going to be more than 5.
You just... cannot make this up..
And there are people defending it and claming they did the right thing when they "bought cheap" and are thinking of their yacht color etc. I cannot make this up.
7) Use excel. Have a process. This kind of stuff.
Here is what I have for 1 of my strategies, I just wrote it down yesterday, helps me think more clearly and stop thinking about it:
Pre-entry: Check previous occurrences on the chart, do some TA. Note where structures are.
Entry: Entry is on the level or if we're past it a little after previous low.
Target and stop loss: Initial target T1 is next structure, usually 1% for FX. Set stop loss to get a reward:risk of 2.
Trade management: Close half at my target 1, stay until final target as long as the price stays above 0,382 to 0.5 fib.
Here is an example of a winner I would have shorted following that strategy:
Another one:
8) Money is made missing out.
You make money when you miss out.
Let me type this a second time:
YOU
MAKE
MONEY
WHEN
YOU
MISS
OUT
"You missed out" that sentence... wow.
I do not know about others, but when I miss out a move, I like it, I am happy now, I really am. Because I know I am filtering all the bad trades. If even some good ones get caught, then I must be doing a good strict job right?
Let's check the Bitcoin chart real quick. Here are a few moves I missed out:
a- False break
b- Buy the dip
c- Big money is stepping in
- Yes, people really thought a major bull market was starting. Easy to say how foolish that was in hindsight, but back then I was pretty lonely saying that was a bull trap. Even got banned from TV for calling it a bull trap.
9) Do you want to have a life? Or be exceptional at one thing?
Having a life translates too: beeing basic sheeple that tries to mirror the people around him to avoid feeling different, does not have it in him to do whatever he wants but a slave to what others think of him/her, and has a boring depressing life he hates and should hate. Be a sheep or be a winner, your choice.
10) Day trading is bad, you can only make money bla bla bla.
The only reason why daytrading is less profitable than say swing trading is spreads. I do not have the exact numbers here, but a broker analysed the millions of trades his clients took, and the majority of losers... Their losses equaled the fees... You aiming for an intraday 0.3% move and the spread is 0.02%? That is 6.6% of your profit. It can add up really fast. You need a large edge and alot of "margin" as in much more profit than losses to not get hit by fees. I was daytrading a couple of months ago, I filtered so much I had 3 trades a week. And all winners. 3. In a week. "More is better". There is NO WAY that someone making 10+ trades a day is only taking really awesome trades and not giving up alot of his profit to his broker, unless he is trading crypto on Gdax/Bitmex but crypto trading is dead now.
I did it all, and it all works, from scalping for a few seconds to holding for 2-3 months. But you have to spend a little while writing down what you want to do, make sure the fees are small compared to the profit you realistically aim for.
11) Become a specialist.
Find 1 strategy and spend all your time on that.
Or find 1 market... but that one... Nah find 2 markets... What will you do when your market is sideways/dead?
I have 1 single strategy, I am learning about other ones at the moment but I only really have one.
12) If you are new... go for a SIMPLE strategy, do not try to reinvent trading and be greedy.
These are the strategies I am looking at:
- My strategy is picking tops and bottoms where reversals happen (advanced, I would not recommend to most :p)
- I am learning about hidden divergence (trend continuation) (intermediary difficulty)
- I am interesting also in continuation inside bars when there is strong momentum (beginner friendly)
Actually my strategy has to be one of the hardest there is. I use divergence as a filter + additional reason to go against the trend. I have become an amateur-expert at reversals.
I know, this is terrible, every one says not to go for this, but it worked for me till now. I still can use ALOT more experience. Maybe one day I will call myself an expert.
This strategy, if I am correct, is where greedy noobs get slaughtered. It is not easy, it is so dangerous. Sure you look at the chart and think "oh these divergences pop out, I could easilly buy here and sell here".
Or "This was a clear bottom/reversal I could easily buy here". Nope. Sorry. You could not.
What I started with was basic trendlines. I would look for anything bullish and buy when the trendline is touched, then sell when it goes ballistic, if it drops below the line I AM OUT. I was not very excited about making money when I started, but I really really did not want to lose any. I think this is the approach people should have (right?).
Here is an example of a trade I took a year ago before I got bored and switched to another non recommended highly dangerous strategy :D
13) Trading is easy, but it takes time, and all these other qualities you have heard about.
Take something simple: Support and resistance. Pretty basic. Just horizontal lines.
Well, I think I am someone smart, I am a very fast learner, and I do not exagerate when I say I spent THOUSANDS of hours analysing support and resistance. Plus at least several hundred looking at RSI divergence alone. Plus hundreds looking at market life/cycles. Plus hundreds looking at different market conditions. Plus hundreds looking at moving averages. In total I am at 5k in a year.
To become an engineer, you will need 5 years (is this the same in all countries? Can't be much different). You get 200 class days a year, 8 hours a day + 1 for homework (well maybe some people need more idk OR skip all lessons skip homework and rush rush before exams works too I guess) so that's 1800 hours a year or 9000 total. Of course you learn alot of useless stuff, but when you start working you have to learn your new craft anyway.
Would you let an 18 yo surgeon on his year 1 operate on you? Would you expect him to reinvent surgery? Yes actually, but not in the good way :D
Now trading does not require 10 years of studies (hey especially if you full specialize on 1 thing and 1 thing only), but I think you will need a couple thousand years under your belt to really know what you are doing.
If you are lucky and have the qualities of a good trader in you as you start, and go for that 1 simple strategy and nothing else and respect all the rules (easy as you already have all the qualities) you could start making money pretty quick but not too quick (you have all of the qualities = you don't risk too much when you don't know what you are doing), you might get hit when a bull market turns to bear, but you will not get hit hard as you have all the qualities a trader needs. Otherwise, it will take time (or beginner luck), and in both cases before being really good you will need a couple thousands hours under your belt.
So, the best advice you could get: if you do not like this, forget about it. Do not force yourself. The power of greed is not going to turn you into a millionaire even if you really really want to. It will turn you into a hobo thought, for sure.
Making 112%+ Divergence Trading Bitcoin Long TermToday we have a fun one because I love making money. There is nothing better than nailing down an awesome trade and today I am going to teach you about something called 'divergence'. It might seem a bit complicated at first but it will be well worth it. As you can see in the BITFINEX:BTCUSD chart above, the prediction is stupid accurate.
The Basics
You are going to notice that I have a few lines drawn on the chart above and they tell you buy/sell scenarios. The return you would have had by simply following this would be INSANE! So I want you to keep an eye on it in the future. Here is what you need to know:
(Disclaimer: Trading is never perfect. I am not saying there are not scenarios that are exceptions to the rules I am about to talk about. What I am saying is this stuff is gold and will make you money...so pay attention)
So divergence can be done with any indicator but today I am using the RSI.
Bullish Divergence (aka when to Buy): When the price created a lower low but the RSI creates a higher high
- So you can see at all the 'buy' points the price of COINBASE:BTCUSD is making a lower low but the RSI indicator is making a higher high.
Bearish Divergence (aka when to SELL): When the price created a higher high but the RSI creates a lower low
- So you can see at all the 'sell" points the price of COINBASE:BTCUSD is making a higher high but the RSI indicators is making a lower low.
Right now COINBASE:BTCUSD looks good based on divergence! It is moving in that positive direction and the price and RSI are both making higher highs. I will keep you updated on this thread for new developments.
Oh yeah, before I forget...this can be used on short time frames! Be smart with it but it can be SUPER powerful. Let me know if you have any questions or need any help. Cheers!
Educational Lesson on RSII have seen many traders recently use this in a questionable manner and I don't want new traders to get the wrong idea.
I have briefly explained how I use the indicator and what ways it could be useful to you.
This is not the only way I use it I do confirm it with other signals that I have not mentioned in the video but as the Joker says in the Dark Knight
'if your good at something, never do it for free'
Hope it helps
Considerations about "RSI Rollercoaster" trading strategy.The RSI rollercoaster in my opinion is one of the safest trading strategies, because combines a clever use of the stop-loss at points that guarantee receiving a good percentage in profit. It is particularly good when you do middle term trading, and you have regular jobs which impede being in front of the charts regularly.
Nevertheless there is one situation about the RSI rollercoaster that I do not no how to handle:
Lets suppose that you take a long position on any symbol, using the criteria of identifying the upward crossing of the K line with 20.
You go long at 10000, considering a stop loss at the pivot point (9500), and selling half of your position at 10000+50% of your risk.
Possible outcome 1 : first target of 10000+50% of risk is not met, and the value of the share starts going down. In this case the stop loss will protect your position making you going short again, in case the trend continues being bearish.
Possible outcome 2 : first target of 10000+50% of risk is met, and the share continues going up, in this case you liquidate half of you position at targe and increase the level of your stop loss to breakeven. Then go short after the RSI has a downward crossing with the 80 level.
Possible outcome 3 : First target is meet, wich means that you sell half of your position, but then the share goes down up to the break-even point. At this stage, you liquidate all of your shares, but in a market that you expect to be bullish.
The question is, in a situation like outcome 3, How to enter again to the market? , how to define the strategy to enter back again?
I will just keep studying to try to identify patterns, but all comments are welcome.
(Education) EURJPY - How to trade this RSI Bamm on EURJPY?Hey guys, this is an update to the EURJPY setup I posted last week.
We are right there at the bottom of the triangle.
What is interesting to me is the formation of an RSI bamm at Friday's closing price.
Pattern Identification
RSI Bamm at bottom of triangle.
RSI Bamm is the formation of a W/M structure at RSI oversold/overbought where this is considered a prelude to a potential end of trend.
A W/M structure, followed by a retracement to the 50% level of the RSI indicator and a final retest at oversold/overbought will be considered a potential buy/sell opportunity.
Trade Execution
Next week, I will watch out for a move up out of the RSI oversold zone for EURJPY to initiate a buy.
SL will be below the low of Friday.
I am aiming at 119.50 for TP where the higher boundary of the triangle is at.
If EURJPY continues lower on Monday, this trade trade will be invalid and we will look for other opportunities to trade this pair.
Using Multiple Timeframes to Enter a TradeHello Traders!
As many of you know, I use the Stoch RSI as my main cycle indicator. As an indicator of an indicator, it normalizes the RSI indicator itself and provides excellent guidance on the price cycles of Gold. And while I base my daily analysis on the Daily time frame, I use 2 shorter time frames to enter my positions. These time frames are 30 minutes and 60 minutes.
Let me give you a real life example from yesterday of how I added to an existing short position.
Last week ended with a beautiful down candle on the daily chart. Long upper wick and a full body that closed just a few points above the bottom of our wedge. With plenty of room left on the Stoch RSI before it crossed the 20 line, I wanted to add another position to my existing short. But I new that I didn't want to jump in at Friday's closing price. So how could I gauge any potential pullback and set an entry price?
The first thing I did was to look at the 30 and 60 min charts, specifically to find where price was on those charts in relation to the overall down cycle.
Here is the 30 min chart on Sunday night at 11 pm PST. It's clear from the Stoch RSI that price was at the bottom of it's cycle. Not an ideal time to enter a trade. And the same was true on the 60 min chart (bottom chart). Therefore, I wanted the Stoch RSI to cycle up to get the best possible entry price. Looking at the BB, I placed a limit order at the inner BB (1.0 Std. Dev) @ 1321, thinking that would give both Stoch RSIs enough time to complete an up cycle. Turns out that was pretty close to the high of the day!
I have had the best entries when I wait for the cycle indicators across multiple time frames to get in sync. Waiting for harmony across multiple time frames is a great way to create a repeatable system for entries and really helps to remove emotions from your trading.
I would love to hear if this technique is helpful!
Safe Trading and Protect Your Profits!