Spotting signals without staring at charts all day? [Advanced]Prologue & disclaimer, you can skip this:
[ I am not talking about a strategy. I call this advanced because someone that has only been around for 3 months should be busy touching and looking at everything, soaking up info, someone around for 6 months should be busy backtesting and coming up with a decent method or strategy supported by a sufficient knowledge base.
What the focus is here is how to generate ideas without wasting time. You're profitable or hoping to be, you've got a few years doing this, you're going to keep doing it for the next 30 years, you're not going to be staring at charts all day long just to spot something.
Profitable strategies are complex, I seriously doubt something any idiot picked off the street can do will make money in the long run. An essential part of the strategy is knowing where to look. I guess most pro traders don't even do this step since they are hired to be experts at 1 thing and 1 thing only. "Looking for an Oil trader in the London region". I've heard of offers for FX & something, but those are portfolio managers, or managers for traders. I don't know how many people this applies to. What do equity traders do? Read the news, keep their ears open, and focus on companies they heard about? Day trading is still stupid.
I thought I had a huge amount with 35 (4 commodities + ~10 currencies total of 31 pairs), and here investopedia is talking about building a primary database that contains between 300 and 500 stocks and a secondary list that fits on their trading screens. Haha ye sure ok. Scram.
A site interviews a stocktwits troll "My stock selection preparation is done more on a weekly basis. 90% of my watch-list is created on the weekend, for the week ahead. At any given time I have 50–100 stocks I’m eyeing daily for potential setups.".
The fact that 90% get rekt within months and quit, 9% barely make it and don't really know what they are doing, and 1% are complete autists and paranoid about losing their edge, makes finding that kind of info pretty hard.
My watchlist barely changes, I always have 35 symbols in it. You want it big enough that you filter filter filter and go for the juiciest setups only, but hundreds LOL!!! netpicks "I day trade a watchlist of 10-25 names I spend 5-10 minutes 3 times a day scanning the whole list". Hedge funds hold hundreds of stocks currencies etc. What is this? It's like I am an OTP with a massive watchlist of 35. One Trick Poneys are always absolute beasts. Especially when they one trick complex high risk high reward things that others struggle with. And it gets worse the more abstract it is. I like it. I like it very much 😊
End of Prologue ]
This is a marathon not a sprint.
Have you ever been carrying a backpack or grocery bags and thought "hey this is quite light" and rushed forward only to get tired and have a hard time after 20 minutes, losing breath, losing your grip, and running out of energy?
What about these trolls that sprint in actual marathons and lead the race... for about 50 seconds...? Then finish in 4-5 hours (Eliud Kipchoge holds the world record with 2:01:39 man grandpa broke the record at 34 years old, and he set the london record at 35, it's never too late max heart rate goes down with age but that's all, plenty of top marathon runners and bodybuilders are like almost 40, and those are physical activities, so imagine for mental activities that rely on experience and rational thinking NOT impulses, but excuse finders will always find excuses "I am too young too young to invest yet, and I have all the time in the world, and should focus on studies" followed by "I am too old now").
Absolute 😂😂😂
Short bursts are so much easier. Quick explosion and then you're done. Sweat alot and out of breath for a while, but done.
Marathons are painful!
Feels easy at the start but it gets difficult over time. That's enough explaining.
What you want is to make it as simple and as easy as possible because your short burst motivation won't last.
Myself, I want to have a focus that is small enough to stay performant and not exhaust myself, but I don't want it to be so small I miss out a ton.
I'm going to go throught my thought process and come up with something at the end of this idea:
I have a large watchlist...
Would I miss alot?
Solution 1: I keep my 35 charts and quickly look at them visually to get ideas, to get a quick "feel" of where the price is compared to where I want it to go.
Solution 2: I go for 12-15 charts and spend more time on each thinking of all the possibilities and looking for more.
You absolutely have to make it as simple as possible.
I could remove some pairs. USDTRY I don't really ever touch. I don't remember ever doing anything with AUDCHF.
But even if I reduced it I would want to keep 25 to 30 tickers in there.
I can't be constantly scanning it. I don't look at indices much anymore, but still a bit, sorta need too I guess, and it's interesting.
Looking at US indices and Bitcoin and Tesla breaks the routine, it makes it interesting, so that's part of the solution not the problem.
I don't want to drastically reduce my watchlist, and I don't want to spend 2 hours a day looking at chart in a repetitive way.
"2 hours work a day isn't much". Doesn't work like this. First of all it is repetitive and extremely boring.
Check.
Mate.
Let's say I am looking for price reaction around support levels after an ABC. The strategy is advanced but I can divide it in steps:
There's pretty much all I can think of here, not sure what else one would look at, maybe I missed something.
When I have a potential setup I know how to analyse it, but the problem is in what order, more importantly how to get an idea?
I can't spend 20 hours a day 7 days a week analysing every currency in depth.
What is the simplest?
1- Draw supports on 35 charts once a week, set price alerts and go in more depth when an alert pops?
2- Look for reactions and then check it?
3- Do an analysis on 35 charts then set price alerts on the few levels I am interested in?
4- Look at the central bank calendar, and only pay attention to currencies moving (there's periods with certain currencies offering lots of trades and other ones doing nothing, no point looking at the ones not doing anything special or predicatable)
It takes time but it is less boring than other ways. Imperfect.
5-
This looks like the more viable direction, so let's dig into it more...
==>
So then the question is, how often do I watch, and what alerts do I use?
Better look at another now.
Other examples of "dirty" ABC:
And another question? How to know what the macro trend is etc?
Can read news often but most Forex "news" is, going to use the correct word for it, retarded.
And boring too. Absolute load of rubbish. Just read central bank announcements?
I have yet to find an interesting media. Tried to post ideas myself but it's too much.
I don't know if this is clear but it doesn't matter anyway.
Just wanted to show the thought process.
I did plenty of backtesting (I just posted a couple of charts here but I did hundreds more, not counting those I traded and those I backtested without this particular problem in mind in other words my experience).
Basically I think the optimal lazy/reward ratio is with scanning my watchlist twice a week.
More is greedy and I just won't do it (and end up missing out more), less is starting to be a little too little and I might miss out really often.
You're not here to go and chase every little move. But you do want to grab some!
At some point maybe we're all supposed to tire of it all anyway and go long term hold, or hire people.
Going to fry my brain with too much thinking.
So anyway I think I came up with this:
This would make a decent template.
Then all you have to do is fill the box with your method, system, strategi(es), preferences.
What I need to keep in mind out of this:
Step 1: Have clean charts with fib drawn (make a copy before vomitting all over it - I know I won't do it but I like to pretend)
Step 2: Sunday & Wed: When it's not Bitcoin tier and actually resembles something ⚠️, spot the area of interest (10 sec top chrono 🚨). Price alert early into.
Step 3: When I get an alert, that is a price alert ===> Then I go full TA. I have time. And it will take time. 90% filth ignored, rest gets a "reaction alert".
Step 4: When I get an alert, that is a reaction alert ===> Verify, and well I know what to do w/e. Very few to keep an eye on at this point.
If I spend too much time looking for an area to buy in then it's trash. The quicker I see it, the higher quality it is.
If I can't do this correctly, a solution is to rent an office. Easier to do pointless boring stuff regularly with an office. Just need to go twice a week.
But I really like this process. The NAZI lockdown makes it harder tbh, but with a semi normal life, following a process this simple is not a problem.
I don't even see how I can make it smoother and simpler I think I reached the limit.
That's all folks. Make it as simple and clean as possible. Good luck.
The best system in the world is the one you stick to.
System
200 EMA - best use for entries!I don't use indicators, they're not my style, they lag, they repaint; and in my opinion they don't work.
The 200 EMA on DAILY can be useful because of how slow it is. We can use it to filter the direction of which way we trade.
Price ABOVE 200 ema = ONLY BUY
Price BELOW 200 ema = ONLY SELL
Then drop timeframes for your entries via your strategy whatever that may be. If your strategy says go long but price is below EMA, don't take the trade etc...
Ignore the EMA on other timeframes lower than the daily. You want a slow daily direction indicator.
Don't blindly trade this, wait until price is clearly past the EMA and maintaining a good distance from it.
Use it as a guideline if you struggle working out fundamentals to help you filter a direction to trade.
NOT TO REPLACE FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS!!!
The process to becoming a traderIntro:
Imo most hedge funds are bad, just marketters trying to get as much funds under management as possible.
Alot of traders are not speculators but execute orders for clients, sometimes arbitrage, etc.
Those that do speculate are often (most of the time?) degen gamblers that are in the red in their entire career but have some very green years where they get a big bonus and red years. So you end up seing them drive ferraris even thought they're not even profitable. Dumb system.
And once in a while you see rogue traders, they manage to lose millions to billions with all sorts of checks in place (maybe, just maybe, some are set up but some are clearly not for sure).
All the stock funds, they consistently under perform the Snp... so...
And most institution traders, when they try going solo, guess what? They fail.
Big banks get fined all the time for cheating.
They are actually mostly garbage.
Floor traders same story, when they had an unfair advantage and could front run their clients they were making tons of cash and once came electronic trading they all vanished. They were done. None was heard from again. I haven't heard of a single trader making money since then. Now robinhood hft clients algos do all the front running.
Lmao which reminds me of hearing people that waited 2 minutes to get filled on small orders on big volume companies, no suspicious at all XD It's actually hiralous. Like children. So obvious.
THESE ARE MY COMMANDMENTS. This applies to a new trader, in this order. But to every one too even profitable... just some steps might not be necessary anymore or can be fast forwarded. New traders are the ones that need it more but I just know profitable traders are the ones that look at this kind of info and care more about it. That's why they are profitable.
1- Thou shalt: Set your goals
Conserve Capital, Make Money, Increase Bet & Account Size.
Have realistic goals, try running the numbers to see if it is possible (example "I want to turn 1000 in 100,000 in 1 year oh for this I need to make nearly 10% every single week how much do I need to risk for that will I blow up oh yes I will with 99% odds therefore this goal is too ambitious and anyway I cannot take positions big enough for this").
1 of your goals will always be: be patient. This will take time so accept it.
2- Thou shalt: Spend several hours a day reading & watching videos.
Just absorb all the knowledge. You can make it fun. Social networks, youtube, articles, trading view, documentaries...
It's going to take a while anyway so take it easy. It's better of course if you have an absolute obsession and can't even get enough ;)
16 hours a day was a slow day for me when I started. I wanted MORE. Typically I slept 6 hours and read or looked at videos 18 hours. Idk what's wrong with me.
Well it's not like there is anything else to do in this pointless life is there, I think something is wrong with casuals that like to do nothing simply exist.
During this time have fun on a demo account or better a live one with micro lots. You will very probably lose money so have a tiny account with tiny sizes. Make sure whatever happen you won't owe 3 millions to your broker. EU has account protection now so whatever.
3- Thou shalt: Look at charts and backtest. A lot.
No skipping this. It may be boring but you ABSOLUTELY HAVE TO do it. I'm going to write a huge paragraph on this.
It shouldn't be too boring either, if it is, speculating is not for you, it's fine, go find something else there are plenty of other things to do, you don't even have to leave finance you can be an investor.
There is so much to look at. I recommend starting slowly because you can quickly get overwhelmed with too much info, too much ifs, trying to overoptimize.
I would personally recomment getting familiar with charts, looking at ideas, have fun just clic play, follow trades and see what happens, get a feel. This can go for a couple of months. You should not become stubborn in that time and be persuaded that some things work some things don't.
I have been backtesting for ever, but in particular in 2017-2018 I spent over 12 months looking at charts and noting what happened. I could not stop, I did it at home, I did it in the morning, I did it at night, I did it in the train I did it at work. There must have been a period of at least 6 months where I was completely addicted and just backtest charts more than 12 hours a day.
This is what it takes. I was looking for turn based video games just so I can alt tab and grind little by little without losing my mind.
I started just looking at charts but ultimately I filled excels with data, and I made it a little more complicated where I looked at a chart and noted the various levels the trend the EW count fib what drives the market etc. So it wasn't just checking a simple indicator or line and noting what happened but actually more advanced with "full" analysis, each example would take me 5 to 50 minutes (if I wanted to really dive in depth).
I just ran a search on a drive that contains such screenshots going from november 2018 to today. There is over 10,000 screenshots. I clic on a random one, an old one. Some indicators are on. Divergence + resistance. I noted how far past the peak it went, and how far down it went. This is how I know where to enter, where to set SL, what targets to aim for what to expect.
10,000 screenshot in a year. I haven't done much in 2019. That's 27 a day, but really more like 50 a day during 2018. 10 minutes each only would mean 8 hours a day which is more or less what I did in 2017 & 2018. And 8 hours watching videos etc.
THIS IS WHAT IT TAKES.
"It is harder than competing in the Olympics". This means something.
They don't say this just to mess around.
I can assure you less than 5% succeed, I believe it is less than 1%.
EU brokers say "78% of accounts lose money" this does not mean that 22% of new traders make money, it does not even mean that 22% of traders currently on the platform do. The 22% count takes into account all traders that have been active for a very long time, the 78% number is almost entirely made up of new traders that will soon quit. So for 100 traders on the platform you have 22 winners 78 losers even if we assume the 22 are making real money and not just short term lucky (which I KNOW is not the case) understand the 22 will still be here in the next 3 months but the 48/78 will be gone, and replaced by 48 new losers, then 3 months after 48 new losers then next 3 months 48 new losers and in a year you actually had: 22 winners, 78 + 48 + 48 + 48 = 222 losers.
In 10 years ==> 22 winners 2222 losers or 1% winners.
It's simplified just to make a point.
When I started I looked for data, I didn't want to go through the hours, but after a while, a few months I understand I just had to bite the bullet.
Let me guide you on the first steps:
Go look at Oil, draw every swing high & low and look at what the price did. A basic backtest like this might be easy to automate.
It takes seconds at first, when you just look at the basics.
You need a database to know what works what doesn't how often etc.
It's not that hard. At least start with the basics like this. Then you'll decide what next maybe you'll want to take it slowly if you can't be spending 8-16 hours a day doing this like insane people like me. I'm sure alot can be automated. If you want to be a discretionary trader like all the famous ones back in the day eventually you will have to go manual and do alot of thinking, what is good is you have the internet full of articles and other at your fingertip, you can know anything you want instantly, there is tremendous info on everything.
Empty your mind and do it. Do not overthink it or it will drive you crazeeeeeey. Focus on 1 pattern at a time. Over and over until you have stats with a sample size of hundreds and you became really comfy about it charts look less random already.
Depending on your own capacities, patterns might pop out often. History does repeat itself. Here I don't know how much you can work on this. Pattern recognition (Both as you backtest and in real time as they are created) is pretty much dictated by IQ. And then you need a good enough memory to remember what you backtested or experienced.
This is a big reason why I think an IQ of at least 110 is necessary. Anyway even research has shown it made a big difference. Warren Buffet says past 125 it doesn't make a difference for investing. Propably does but with diminishing returns for speculating. It's not like these patterns are rocket science either an IQ of 190 isn't necessary lol.
But the faster you see them... And memory access is as important.
OF COURSE REMEMBER: you spend alot of time analysing the market. You have time to remember etc. You don't just sit 1 hour a day look at charts and instantly guess what to do, this is what trading educators do. This is why they sell courses to make money.
You might have heard of Paul Tudor Jones that traded the 1987 market crash by comparing it to the crash of 1929. He saw the situation was similar and then analysed it in depth...
Doing this is what will make the difference. Being smart is an advantage, and necessary and those that say otherwise are idiots but it won't make the difference.
It is like boxing. The "purists" will not allow you to lift weight and force their trainees to focus on the technic, and yes, muscles is not what makes a champion, even thought they all have muscles. The best boxers are not the ones with the biggest muscles. (That said weight categories are there for a reason don't go suicide on someone 30 kilos heavier purists are right to make people focus on technic but they are a little crazy).
Put in the hours, the boring grinding work. This is where your gains will be made. Knowledge and a database of probabilities. I repeat myself it should not be TOO boring either.
This is the big secret. This is the big main thing that separates REAL trader from jokers.
Who has spent this much time (thousands of hours) doing this? Make sure you take money from others by putting in more PRODUCTIVE hours in than they did.
4. Thou shalt: Choose your tools.
You choose what markets you were interested in during steps 2 & 3. May I recommend futures? :D You do not care about scaling to billions on your 5000 bucks account, you can even trade orange juice. You also have an idea of what strategy you will use and your time frames (please no daytrading).
You probably already chose TradingView MT45 Ninja Trader or Sierra Charts for your backtesting. Investing dot com uses TV charting tools and has some tickers they don't (Nickel Zinc...)
Once your charting tool(s) is chosen, next you will choose:
- A solid broker with good reputation, commissions, execution. Not a scammer stop hunting and selling order flow. Price is important but quality before price. Your goal is to make money not zero comissions so you lose more slowly.
- News service: CNBC as a counter indicator, FT, Bloomberg, Twitter, Broker feed, fxfactory, forums, tradingview chat & ideas, WSJ, and so on. Get comfy.
- A good alert system (probably included with the charting one).
- Your setup: PC internet desk.
5. Thou shalt: Capital management.
- Choose how your money is spread around, how much is with a specific broker
I spread my money between brokers, and bank accounts. And even crypto wallets actually. It is almost impossible something crazy happens that way. I don't just mean a broker going bankrupt.
And it's convenient too, you can have a broker for your 12 hours to 2 week trades, another for longer ones multi months, and an account for holding stocks years...
- Choose how much you want to risk per trade.
- Choose how much you want to risk over a certain period (a month?)
- Allocate capital and risk per strategy/broker/timeframe
- Calculate and choose your drawdown for the per trade risk you have
- Set a max drawdown, what to do when you lose a certain amount, what to do when you win a certain amount
6. Thou shalt: Set rules, decide on how you execute.
Decide on what to do once you have decided your bias/goal for the month/week/day (please no no daytrading yikes):
- What technical patterns are you looking for or news you are waiting for, or Trump tweet ;)
- Where do you want to see this continuation or reversal pattern? (Typical answers: At a certain resistance or just below or just above)
- When do you want to see the pattern (not just before a central bank meeting, never)
- Where exactly - almost exactly - will you enter to have a risk reward that will make you profitable? NO FOMO.
7. Thou shalt: Plan your trade management. And your trade management system.
You're going to need a general method for managing trades once you got in.
And you're going to need a general method for managing specific trades you got yourself into.
What do you want to see? What do you not want to see? Do you exit as soon as Trump tweets? Do you trail your stop? What are your targets? How fast should they be reached? Etc.
Up to your and your backtest + experience.
8. Thou shalt: Learn to know yourself.
Know if losing 10 in a row makes you rage. Decide how to avoid raging. Do you have a hard time staying in trades, and get nervous when they reverse? (LOL COWARD WEAKLING)
This step can be skipped if you are a super alpha bodybuilding mastermind with an ego over 9000 and testicles so big you can barely walk. Umm your ego should not be making you risk 90% per trade thought.
But seriously, I don't have much to say on the "psychology" part. I am not sure it really is a big deal, just something "trading educators" say all the time. I just don't understand how people can become illogical and fail for no real reason just "their feelings"
Pretty sure all the best have zero psychology issues and those that say they sometimes might have, are just losers looking for excuses to bathe in their own mediocrity.
I am happy when I have a big winner that keeps going my way, and I get angry if I lose 10 or more in a row. Sorry but it has zero impact on my trading. ZERO.
Doesn't mean you can't be successful if you have some issues. By the way, I read somewhere psychopaths did not do very well, and why should they? Having no empathy and manipulating people won't help when dealing with the market. Ignore the "be a robot" nonsense it's coming from struggling try hards 3000 games still gold 4. Getting euphoric and angry makes it fun and keeps it interesting. Tyson was angry and still number 1 prodigee. Just don't lose control and start biting Evander Holyfield ear. If you have serious mental issues do not trade. If you attempted suicide in the past trust me DO NOT TRADE. I think being "emotionless robot" isn't even good, being healthy and balanced is optimal. Probably like what is asked of astronauts. Ok enough on this.
This is more important and makes sense:
Apart from the tender feelings aspect, you need to ignore your weaknesses and play on your strength. You can work on weaknesses but usually it's best to find a trick to ignore them (just don't trade at all) and really focus on what you naturally are good at.
9. Thou shalt: Have a routine.
All I can say is I usually look at all of my currencies (about a dozen currencies and 20 pairs) and futures (half a dozen) during the week end (on top of continuously following what is going on), set/reset alerts. Plan what I want to see for the week, I tag the 3-4 tickers I am interested in (such as AUDUSD and EURJPY I posted about and will never get filled on).
I have my habits and all but it's not all written down and I don't even know what I do apart from what I just said lol.
10. Thou shalt: Hold a journal.
I kept the best for last: Keep a log of all your bets.
This is not a suggestion.
Also screenshot your past trades after they are complete + you let a while pass.
Excel is good here. Note the pair, note the date, note a couple things. Was the trade a winner? Then it's up to you. You could write what EW extension it was. You could note if you bent the rules. You could not what pattern you entered on (hammer flag double top...). You could write what broker it was with. You could write what was the long/short positions. What was the market conditions (negative rates with bad unemployement news and price in sideways). And so on, figure it out.
Focus on doing what works, and the opposite of what loses money, breakeven has no edge. Note how the market evolves. Improve strategies. The journals help you know yourself.
You get to figure out your performance over hundreds of trades, if it's good enough maybe you can afford to increase the risk from 1% to 1.25% or something.
Think about noting the trades you missed out or decided not to take too. You will learn something from those too.
You will get so much out of it. Don't forget to go re-analyse your past trades and spend time learning from your journal.
Practice does not make perfect. You can practice for 10,000 hours and still remain at step 0 (go take a look crossfit idiots god I hate them so much, it's incredibly good at getting disabling injuries thought, look at pot belly "social gym activities" goers). Perfect practice makes perfect. This includes having a journal and analysing your results constantly.
11: The facts
Surprise bonus one.
Always look at the data... The facts... It's obvious and most don't do this.
Don't listen to "some dude" because you think he has authority because his grandpa called the 1929 crash. What is this? Divination?
There is no authority there is no consensus there is just facts.
Complete autists end up disconnected from everything and ignoring everything they call it noise.
If you need to do this I think it's too much and just no.
How hard is it? Form a clear logical reasoning using facts. Then intuition comes into play to here I can't help you if you naturally have a tendency to overly focus on bad news and act on it I'm sure you can work on this flaw a bit, but not sure you can be saved. You need "good" intuition. Ye I guess this is lottery at birth probably.
Just try your best to stick to the facts. Learn to.
Do what it takes: Write down a system, here is a random example (you'll want to add steps, detail, and write down your strategy for each step) ==>
Easier to do things right & to stick to facts when you have this. That's not the only advantage.
This is not going to have its own number.
I am still working on designing my own system. My problem is I want to grab as many good opportunities as I want but I can't be spending 48 hours a day analysing everything I don't have a time machine. And I don't even want to spend 12 hours aggressively hunting as fast as I can.
So for me, do I look for patterns on 20 charts every 4 hours? Or do I analysing charts tag a few and then look for patterns on these few? Do I make a bit of both?
It's very uncomfortable right now, really, giving me a headache, and I'm analysing the optimal procedure, that will make it more comfortable and efficient.
I used some inspiration from a Trader Dante (Tom Dante) video on youtube, it is certainly an interesting presentation. You can find it easilly. "A blueprint for Trading Success".
The baggy dead stock bounce strategy (works with crypto too)Hello,
let me present you: the baggy dead stock bounce strategy.
What is this strategy? Short version: Often, when a company has clearly died, has had months and months and years of downtrend, bad earnings, bad sales, bad everything one ofter the other, it does not reached the ground (where it belongs), but gets to the bagholder super strong hand area. And in that area, you might see some positive news. This gives a sliver of hope to iron hands bagholders, it is not rare to see stocks surge 200-500- here even 250,000% up!!! In a FEW DAYS!
The goods:
1- The price has kept going down, all the smart money has been out for a long time, there is no way any pro's are left, all that is left are dumb retail baggies that will never sell. Which makes it very unlikely that the price just falls 99% in 1 day or something like this.
2- Since the only people left is dumb money, well it's not even dumb money at that point, it's beyond... These baggies are NEVER going to sell. They will hold the bag to ZERO and beyond! So, since no one is interested in selling, any small demand can push the price up massively. Hundreds of percents.
3- Obviously, the massive returns for small accounts (even small accounts should risk a small % thought).
4- You do not have to worry about "wall street" competition for 2 reasons: First, the liquidity is often too small for them, Secondly and more importantly, there is no way anyone serious will be bullish on companies (or something else) like this, AND if a trader goes to a metting and tells people "Oh ye guys I am very bearish on this but I am going long today because reasons idk I just feel like it" and ends up taking a loss, this is a sackable offense and good luck finding another job (and maybe get a punch in the face too :p).
5- You do not have to worry about taking advantage of baggies false hopes and misery, these people are complete morons and you stepping in will not make them lose more money. Consider you increase their buy price by 20%. They are going then to buy a little higher and lose 100%. If you do not interfere they would buy lower and lose 100% of that... Literally makes 0 difference.
6- No risk of short squeeze like people shorting penny stocks...
7- You will have good laughs. I CRIED looking at this today and seeing the price remained at that 0.10$ level more than 10 years later, I swear I am not making this up.
Strong hands! They did not sell! Just a matter of time before this recovers now!
The bads:
1- Risky business of course... Be prepared to lose 100%. Obviously this is easilly countered by not going all in like a madman. You risk 100% of what you put in, but since it goes up hundreds of percent, your RR is high with a "stop loss" at 0.
2- You must make sure you do not overstay your welcome! So one must be good at knowing what people in this think (not much ;}), and understanding how momentum works.
3- Small. Very niche. Does not scale.
4- You would be a complete Vulture.
I do not trade this myself, I already watch plenty of markets and have 3 strategies (they all use the same tools and are similar but still that's alot), I can't add yet another...
So I do not know exactly how that will work, for those interested, play around with it see how you can do this. But from what I looked at and from what I heard, this works well. This is different from the penny stock educator scammers that go short after pumps.
Here for example on HMNY that made every one laugh last year:
Here, after dropping from 500$ to a few cents, Bitconnect did the same thing, as idiots bought, thinking "wow this is so cheap, what if it goes back to 500$ +1 million % returns". And what if your lottery tickets is a winner?
charts.cointrader.pro
AIG example:
A few more:
There should still be plenty of opportunities in crypto for the years to come because like it or not, crypto is full of idiots.
Back Testing - Evaluating your Trading Strategy 101SELF DEVELOPMENT/METHODOLOGY/PSYCHOLOGY
Back Testing - Evaluating your Trading Strategy 101
Backtesting of technical methods in light of past prices is the most popular testing strategy among technical traders.Below is a short list that will get you started;
1. How many trades does it generate?
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2. Whats the reliability of the system?
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3. How big is the average profit compared to the average loss?
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4. Many more..............
#Remember that you need enough data to create at least 30 trades in each test #
Please let me know if you would like to know more :)
Happy Trading
"success occurs when opportunity meets preparation" Zig Ziglar
Combining Fibonacci with TDIUsing triple charts, TDI' Complementary Overlay, TDI' PRO and a basic entry rule we can make profitable trades possible.
Based on the condition of using an account with just under $5,000 trading account capital, with 1:500 leverage, with a deposit margin of ~$80, a single trade with lot size of 0.35
~ $310 Profit, 1 trade in one day
Third Chart use example
Why Most Forex Traders Fail... LEVERAGEWay too many traders trade with very little capital and they do this because their brokers allow them to by offering them insane amounts of leverage. We really don't understand it because you would think that these brokers would want their clients to succeed in order to continue placing trades which yields the broker revenue from commissions and spreads. It is inevitable that with such little capital ($50-$100) these traders will go bust and blow their accounts, especially if they are allowed to take position sizes of upwards of 500 times their account value. These retail traders have been conditioned to believe that this is the way Forex trading is and quite frankly it isn't. The most successful Forex traders in the game use little to NO leverage at all and they only return a small consistent return of 1-3% per month. It seems impossible to make money with such small returns but if you actually take the time to break out a calculator and calculate how much such a return yields over extended periods of time like 5 years or 10 years you will see it is immense. Take $10,000... in 8 years with a consistent 5% a month return... that $10,000 will become $1,000,000.
So please guys read through the information on the chart. It is long but it is very valuable!
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