Morning Ideas August 11, 2021Sorry for missing morning ideas yesterday, it doesn't happen often where I don't have the time to make a morning plan.
Inflation numbers came in better than expected, which gave a jolt to the markets. What does that mean? Probably higher prices again and new ATH.
Long and strong for me.
Tradecontext
Morning Ideas August 5, 2021Market in a very tight range here, likely waiting for Non-Farm Payrolls tomorrow at 830 eastern.
I was hoping we'd move out of this area before the number, but the closer we get, the more volatility will be compressed and we won't go anywhere (likely).
Tomorrow should amount to an interesting day, and by the time the morning ideas come out tomorrow, the market will have likely moved out of this area.
Morning Ideas July 30, 2021Last trading day of the month, likely to get some window dressing late in the day.
If the amazon earnings miss sparks some selling in the stock (which I don't really expect), then we may see the market dip a little deeper before a late day rally...
However, I do not see any major trouble here for the longs. I think the market will stay put today. If you're looking for volatility, most likely next week is the time for that.
Morning Ideas July 28, 2021Good morning Traders!
Market participants bought the weakness yesterday, and you shouldn't be surprised.
However, today we have FOMC announcement looming at 2 pm eastern, so please be aware of that. The market will probably move VERY slowly in anticipation of the words used by the Fed.
The big money doesn't want to get caught with their pants down in front of the announcement.
Let us know if you have any questions.
Morning Ideas July 27, 2021Back from the Southwest now, and I was hoping to see some fireworks in the market, but...
Same old market.
Dip down in the overnight last night was bought right back up. Here we are again, nearing all time highs.
Nothing to do here other than what you've been doing...staying long.
If you get flushed out, look to get back on the horse.
Morning Ideas July 20, 2021Very important day setting up today after a really volatile day yesterday.
I got long from 4243 and took a little heat, but ultimately got what I expected, an intitial bounce of 4240.
Now that the bounce has happened, I'd like to see the rally continue into 4290 and above. If it can't do that, and we return to 4240 and are unable to hold, I will exit.
I think this market has a real chance to be weak again today, and I haven't said that in some time.
Until the market proves it, I will stay long from my 4243
Morning Ideas July 16, 2021A quick dip below 4340 yesterday was quickly bought and here we are back into the middle.
I think that with the dip lower yesterday, the odds are in favor of a test of 4390 or a slow sidewaya day. I don't expect to see the market go back down and break 4340 again today.
With the buyers being in control of this market, you MUST give the benefit of the doubt to the longs here.
If the market starts selling off next week, we may miss the first move down, but there will be plenty of opportunities to play the short side.
Morning Ideas July 15, 2021The red boxes on my chart indicate where the majority of the options open-interest is going into OPEX on Friday.
You can clearly see that the market is stuck in between those two areas. I would expect today to be a back and forth type of day, most likely bouncing back up into the value area and towards VPOC at 4370.
By the time the market closes tomorrow, I believe we will still be in between 4390 and 4340, and I am going to play it accordingly.
Morning Ideas July 13, 2021 CPI numbers show Higher than expected inflation and the market has pulled back slightly because of it.
I don't see as much of reaction as I expected, so for now, going to stay long and strong.
If the market can rotate lower, and HOLD , I may start looking for short entries. However, that doesn't seem likely at this point.
Keep an eye on 4390 above and 4340 below, as they will likely frame the market going into Friday.
Morning Ideas July 12, 2021Pretty basic stuff here guys, market back at all time highs nothing really to do other than stay long, IMO.
Now, today opens a little bit of weakness in the underlying options, so we will see if that equates to some downturn in the stocks.
This has not been able to drag the market down in the recent past, the liquidity continues to push us higher.
Looking forward to a great week, let's rock and roll.
Morning Ideas July 9, 2021The pullback looked deep, but was brief.
I wouldn't expect weakness until monday, and that said, I don't expect the market to crash on Monday.
I was really looking forward to getting long down in the 20 area, but the pullback didn't extend down that far. Now it's a wait and see for me, with a bias to the long side.
Morning Ideas July 5, 2021Today there is a trading halt at 12 central (1 eastern)...
These kind of days are usually VERY slow, with the market makers/movers not participating much at all.
We have finally cleaned up the weak high and continue to melt up, on a larger scale.
I'm staying long here until the market tells me otherwise.
Morning Ideas July 2, 2021Not a whole a lot to do here...
Volume is already low and will continue to dry up as the day goes on, as people start heading for the beach for the July 4 long weekend.
I would expect today to be a slow drifting day with nobody really in control. I don't think there is an edge here, so I would certainly stick with the Longs if you had to be in the market.