Forex Heatmap█ OVERVIEW
This indicator creates a dynamic grid display of currency pair cross rates (exchange rates) and percentage changes, emulating the Cross Rates and Heat Map widgets available on our Forex page. It provides a view of realtime exchange rates for all possible pairs derived from a user-specified list of currencies, allowing users to monitor the relative performance of several currencies directly on a TradingView chart.
█ CONCEPTS
Foreign exchange
The Foreign Exchange (Forex/FX) market is the largest, most liquid financial market globally, with an average daily trading volume of over 5 trillion USD. Open 24 hours a day, five days a week, it operates through a decentralized network of financial hubs in various major cities worldwide. In this market, participants trade currencies in pairs , where the listed price of a currency pair represents the exchange rate from a given base currency to a specific quote currency . For example, the "EURUSD" pair's price represents the amount of USD (quote currency) that equals one unit of EUR (base currency). Globally, the most traded currencies include the U.S. dollar (USD), Euro (EUR), Japanese yen (JPY), British pound (GBP), and Australian dollar (AUD), with USD involved in over 87% of all trades.
Understanding the Forex market is essential for traders and investors, even those who do not trade currency pairs directly, because exchange rates profoundly affect global markets. For instance, fluctuations in the value of USD can impact the demand for U.S. exports or the earnings of companies that handle multinational transactions, either of which can affect the prices of stocks, indices, and commodities. Additionally, since many factors influence exchange rates, including economic policies and interest rate changes, analyzing the exchange rates across currencies can provide insight into global economic health.
█ FEATURES
Requesting a list of currencies
This indicator requests data for every valid currency pair combination from the list of currencies defined by the "Currency list" input in the "Settings/Inputs" tab. The list can contain up to six unique currency codes separated by commas, resulting in a maximum of 30 requested currency pairs.
For example, if the specified "Currency list" input is "CAD, USD, EUR", the indicator requests and displays relevant data for six currency pair combinations: "CADUSD", "USDCAD", "CADEUR", "EURCAD", "USDEUR", "EURUSD". See the "Grid display" section below to understand how the script organizes the requested information.
Each item in the comma-separated list must represent a valid currency code. If the "Currency list" input contains an invalid currency code, the corresponding cells for that currency in the "Cross rates" or "Heat map" grid show "NaN" values. If the list contains empty items, e.g., "CAD, ,EUR, ", the indicator ignores them in its data requests and calculations.
NOTE: Some uncommon currency pair combinations might not have data feeds available. If no available symbols provide the exchange rates between two specified currencies, the corresponding table cells show "NaN" results.
Realtime data
The indicator retrieves realtime market prices, daily price changes, and minimum tick sizes for all the currency pairs derived from the "Currency list" input. It updates the retrieved information shown in its grid display after new ticks become available to reflect the latest known values.
NOTE: Pine scripts execute on realtime bars only when new ticks are available in the chart's data feed. If no new updates are available from the chart's realtime feed, it may cause a delay in the data the indicator receives.
Grid display
This indicator displays the requested data for each currency pair in a table with cells organized as a grid. Each row name corresponds to a pair's base currency , and each column name corresponds to a quote currency . The cell at the intersection of a specific row and column shows the value requested from the corresponding currency pair.
For example, the cell at the intersection of a "EUR" row and "USD" column shows the data retrieved for the "EURUSD" currency pair, and the cell at the "USD" row and "EUR" column shows data for the inverse pair ("USDEUR").
Note that the main diagonal cells in the table, where rows and columns with the same names intersect, are blank. The exchange rate from one currency to itself is always 1, and no Forex symbols such as "EUREUR" exist.
The dropdown input at the top of the "Settings/Inputs" tab determines the type of information displayed in the table. Two options are available: "Cross rates" and "Heat map" . Both modes color their cells for light and dark themes separately based on the inputs in the "Colors" section.
Cross rates
When a user selects the "Cross rates" display mode, the table's cells show the latest available exchange rate for each currency pair, emulating the behavior of the Cross Rates widget. Each cell's value represents the amount of the quote currency (column name) that equals one unit of the base currency (row name). This display allows users to compare cross rates across currency pairs, and their inverses.
The background color of each cell changes based on the most recent update to the exchange rate, allowing users to monitor the direction of short-term fluctuations as they occur. By default, the background turns green (positive cell color) when the cross rate increases from the last recorded update and red (negative cell color) when the rate decreases. The cell's color reverts to the chart's background color after no new updates are available for 200 milliseconds.
Heat map
When a user selects the "Heat map" display mode, the table's cells show the latest daily percentage change of each currency pair, emulating the behavior of the Heat Map widget.
In this mode, the background color of each cell depends on the corresponding currency pair's daily performance. Heat maps typically use colors that vary in intensity based on the calculated values. This indicator uses the following color coding by default:
• Green (Positive cell color): Percentage change > +0.1%
• No color: Percentage change between 0.0% and +0.1%
• Bright red (Negative cell color): Percentage change < -0.1%
• Lighter/darker red (Minor negative cell color): Percentage change between 0.0% and -0.1%
█ FOR Pine Script™ CODERS
• This script utilizes dynamic requests to iteratively fetch information from multiple contexts using a single request.security() instance in the code. Previously, `request.*()` functions were not allowed within the local scopes of loops or conditional structures, and most `request.*()` function parameters, excluding `expression`, required arguments of a simple or weaker qualified type. The new `dynamic_requests` parameter in script declaration statements enables more flexibility in how scripts can use `request.*()` calls. When its value is `true`, all `request.*()` functions can accept series arguments for the parameters that define their requested contexts, and `request.*()` functions can execute within local scopes. See the Dynamic requests section of the Pine Script™ User Manual to learn more.
• Scripts can execute up to 40 unique `request.*()` function calls. A `request.*()` call is unique only if the script does not already call the same function with the same arguments. See this section of the User Manual's Limitations page for more information.
• Typically, when requesting higher-timeframe data with request.security() using barmerge.lookahead_on as the `lookahead` argument, the `expression` argument should use the history-referencing operator to offset the series, preventing lookahead bias on historical bars. However, the request.security() call in this script uses barmerge.lookahead_on without offsetting the `expression` because the script only displays results for the latest historical bar and all realtime bars, where there is no future information to leak into the past. Instead, using this call on those bars ensures each request fetches the most recent data available from each context.
• The request.security() instance in this script includes a `calc_bars_count` argument to specify that each request retrieves only a minimal number of bars from the end of each symbol's historical data feed. The script does not need to request all the historical data for each symbol because it only shows results on the last chart bar that do not depend on the entire time series. In this case, reducing the retrieved bars in each request helps minimize resource usage without impacting the calculated results.
Look first. Then leap.
Sentiment
Yorks RSI Combined Bull and Bear Zone with Adjustable TimeframeBased on 'RSI with Divergences, Reverse Formulas, and Bull/Bear Zones by @kylealberry
I have combined two of Kyle's script together with the option of having one set to current time frame and a second on a higher time frame. You can choose your own theshold's for bull/bear zones on both time frames. When both time frames are in agreement the indicator will show either a green (bull zone) or red (bear zone) background. When the two time frame bull/bear zones are not in agreement the indicator will show a grey background (no trade zone).
For example if you have rsi 1 thresholds set to 35 and 65 and rsi 2 thresholds both set to 50 on your chosen higher time frame, when rsi is in a bull zone (rsi has crossed above 65 and not yet crossed below 35) and rsi 2 is above 50 on higher time frame the indicator background will be green. If rsi drops below 50 the background will turn grey.
My idea for use it is in either a red or green background wait for a pullback (background must remain red or green) and use your favourite entry trigger. Avoid trading when the indicator is showing a grey background.
Option Delta CandlesDescription:
The Option Delta Candles with EMA indicator is designed to help traders visualize option delta values as candlesticks, calculated using the Black-Scholes model. It provides a unique way to view the cumulative delta changes in a normalized format, making it easier to identify trends and reversals. The addition of an EMA (Exponential Moving Average) overlay helps smooth out the data for better trend analysis.
Features:
Customizable Inputs:
Risk-Free Interest Rate: Adjust the risk-free rate for more precise option calculations.
Volatility: Input the volatility of the underlying asset to reflect current market conditions.
Strike Price: Enter the desired strike price of the option.
Days to Expiration: Specify the days until the option's expiration.
EMA Length: Modify the length of the EMA to suit different time frames and trading styles.
Visual Styles:
Customizable candle colors for bullish and bearish candles.
Configurable border and wick colors for personalized chart aesthetics.
How It Works:
The indicator uses the Black-Scholes model to calculate the delta of a European call option. Delta measures the sensitivity of the option's price to changes in the price of the underlying asset.
A cumulative delta is calculated and normalized to create candlestick representations, providing a visual cue of how the option delta changes over time.
The scaled delta values are normalized between 0 and 1, allowing for a consistent view of relative strength and weakness.
The EMA overlay helps identify smoothed trends and potential reversals within the delta data.
Applications:
Trend Identification: The indicator helps spot trends and potential reversals in option delta movements.
Volatility Analysis: By visualizing option delta, traders can gain insight into how changes in volatility impact options pricing.
Advanced Analysis: This tool is ideal for options traders and analysts looking to integrate delta analysis into their strategies.
Use Cases:
Traders can use the candlestick view to understand shifts in market sentiment through delta changes.
Options Analysts can visualize delta fluctuations over time, aiding in complex options trading strategies.
Technical Analysts may combine this indicator with other tools to confirm signals and enhance trading decisions.
Indicator Configuration:
Input Settings:
Risk-free interest rate (as a percentage).
Volatility (standard deviation) in percentage.
Strike price of the option.
Days remaining until expiration.
EMA length for trend analysis.
Style Customization:
Select colors for bullish and bearish candles, border, and wicks.
Change the color of the EMA line to distinguish it on the chart.
Release Notes:
Initial Version: Includes full implementation of the Black-Scholes delta calculation with customizable EMA and normalized candlestick view.
Future Updates: Potential additions may include enhancements for put options and integrated alerts.
Bilateral Stochastic Oscillator XI took the Bilateral Stochastic Oscillator created by alexgrover and merely added more moving average filter options and reduced the standard inputs for shorter term trend analysis.
I also updated the script to version 5.
The filter options are now:
SMA
EMA
RMA
HMA
WMA
VWMA
TMA
LSMA
Cheers.
Optimus trader
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Indicateur : Optimus trader **
Cet indicateur avancé de Price Action est conçu pour fournir des signaux d'achat et de vente basés sur l'analyse des modèles de chandeliers, l'action des prix, le volume, et les zones de liquidité. Il est particulièrement utile pour les traders qui veulent identifier des points d'entrée et de sortie avec une analyse précise des tendances et des volumes.
**Caractéristiques principales :** 1.
**Moyenne Mobile et VWAP :**
- Utilisation de la **moyenne mobile simple (SMA)** de 50 périodes pour identifier la tendance générale du marché.
- Calcul du **VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price)** pour détecter le prix moyen pondéré par le volume, permettant ainsi de mieux comprendre l'interaction entre les prix et les volumes.
2. **Détection des modèles de chandeliers :**
- **Pin Bar** : Cette configuration est détectée lorsqu'il y a une grande différence entre le plus haut et le plus bas de la bougie, avec un corps relativement petit. Elle est utilisée pour signaler des retournements potentiels.
- **Pin Bar Haussier (Pin Bar Up)** : Signale un potentiel retournement à la hausse.
- **Pin Bar Baissier (Pin Bar Down)** : Signale un potentiel retournement à la baisse.
- **Inside Bar** : Un modèle de chandelier où la bougie actuelle est entièrement contenue à l’intérieur de la bougie précédente, indiquant une période de consolidation avant un potentiel mouvement important.
3. **Analyse du volume :**
- Utilisation d'un seuil de volume basé sur la moyenne mobile des volumes des 20 dernières périodes, multipliée par 1.2 pour identifier les périodes de volume élevé. Cela permet de filtrer les signaux faibles qui se produisent avec un faible volume.
4. **Conditions de tendance :**
- **Tendance haussière** : Le prix est au-dessus de la moyenne mobile et du VWAP, suggérant une pression d'achat.
- **Tendance baissière** : Le prix est en dessous de la moyenne mobile et du VWAP, indiquant une pression de vente.
5. **Zones de liquidité :**
- L'indicateur identifie les **zones de liquidité** en utilisant les niveaux de support et de résistance basés sur les 20 dernières bougies. Les signaux d'achat et de vente sont filtrés pour ne se produire que lorsque le prix est proche de ces zones, offrant ainsi une probabilité plus élevée de succès.
#### **Signaux d'achat et de vente :**
- **Signal d'achat (BUY)** : Généré lorsque le modèle **Pin Bar haussier** ou l'**Inside Bar** se forme, dans une tendance haussière, avec un volume élevé et à proximité d'une zone de liquidité.
- **Signal de vente (SELL)** : Généré lorsque le modèle **Pin Bar baissier** ou l'**Inside Bar** se forme, dans une tendance baissière, avec un volume élevé et à proximité d'une zone de liquidité.
#### **Utilisation de l'indicateur :**
Cet indicateur est idéal pour les traders qui cherchent à capturer des mouvements de prix significatifs dans des conditions de volume élevé et dans des zones de liquidité cruciales. Il fournit des signaux de trading clairs et précis, ce qui en fait un outil précieux pour les stratégies de **price action**.
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### **Conseils d'utilisation :**
- Utilisez cet indicateur pour identifier des points d'entrée potentiels dans des tendances fortes, en recherchant des configurations de chandeliers spécifiques à des niveaux clés de prix.
- Combiné avec d'autres indicateurs ou l'analyse technique, cet outil peut renforcer la précision de vos décisions de trading.
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**Note :** Cet indicateur ne garantit pas les résultats mais offre des outils solides pour vous aider à prendre des décisions éclairées en fonction de l'analyse des prix, des volumes et des zones de liquidité.
Dual TWAP MomentumDual TWAP Momentum
The Dual TWAP Momentum indicator leverages two Time-Weighted Average Price (TWAP) calculations to identify trend-following and momentum-based intraday trading opportunities. It combines the precision of shorter-term trends with the reliability of higher timeframes, providing traders with a robust framework for entries and exits.
Key Features:
Dual TWAP Confirmation: Uses a 30-minute and 1-day TWAP to validate market direction.
Intraday Focus: Designed specifically for the morning session, with entries based on the 9:33 AM candle.
Dynamic Profit Target: Incorporates risk management rules with adjustable multiple profit-taking levels.
Immediate Exit on SL Hit: Ensures disciplined risk control by exiting trades as soon as the stop-loss is triggered.
Ideal For:
Intraday traders looking for a systematic approach.
Momentum-based strategies in trending markets.
Those seeking to combine short-term precision with higher timeframe validation.
How It Works:
1. Long Entry: When the 9:33 AM candle closes above both TWAPs.
2. Short Entry: When the 9:33 AM candle closes below both TWAPs.
3. Risk Management: Sets stop-loss and profit targets with flexibility for trailing profits, Fixed Stop-Loss and Profit Range: The strategy adheres to a fixed stop-loss with a profit range of 1:2 to 1:3 risk-reward ratio. This ensures consistent risk control while optimizing profit potential.
Applicability:
This strategy is specifically designed for Indices and not suitable for stocks.
Disclaimer:
This indicator is for educational purposes only. Use it as part of a comprehensive trading plan and conduct your own due diligence before trading.
Average Yield InversionDescription:
This script calculates and visualizes the average yield curve spread to identify whether the yield curve is inverted or normal. It takes into account short-term yields (1M, 3M, 6M, 2Y) and long-term yields (10Y, 30Y).
Positive values: The curve is normal, indicating long-term yields are higher than short-term yields. This often reflects economic growth expectations.
Negative values: The curve is inverted, meaning short-term yields are higher than long-term yields, a potential signal of economic slowdown or recession.
Key Features:
Calculates the average spread between long-term and short-term yields.
Displays a clear graph with a zero-line reference for quick interpretation.
Useful for tracking macroeconomic trends and potential market turning points.
This tool is perfect for investors, analysts, and economists who need to monitor yield curve dynamics at a glance.
Directional Sentiment IndicatorThe Directional Sentiment Indicator is a versatile tool designed to capture price movements by combining several key technical elements, providing traders with actionable insights in volatile and trending markets. This script intelligently integrates price action analysis with the Average True Range (ATR) for precise target zones and directional signals.
Key Components & Their Roles:
1. Moving Averages and ATR Zones: The script utilizes custom high, low, open, and close averages over the selected period to gauge directional bias. By combining these averages with ATR, we define potential high and low targets dynamically, making it easier to visualize potential reversals.
2. Buy/Sell Signals Based on Price Proximity to Extremes: Using calculated price distances from highest/lowest points, the indicator identifies long and short signals when prices reach statistically significant deviations. This is designed to capture trend reversals or continuations at critical junctures, reducing noise from insignificant movements.
3. Highlighting Price Crossovers and Zones: The script plots boxes when price crosses above or below critical ATR levels, providing clear visual zones where price may experience increased resistance or support. This functionality helps users identify areas where market direction may shift.
4. Dynamic Plotting of Highs/Lows: With options to plot crossover and undershoot signals, traders can visually assess momentum shifts with green and red arrows for bullish and bearish crossovers respectively. This visual overlay enhances the trader’s ability to make quicker decisions.
This unique combination not only marks direction and key reversal areas but also provides context with ATR-based range boxes, making it an essential tool for traders seeking both clarity and precision in market movements.
US Presidents with Market Returns by Party (1910s-Present)Colored background for presidents by party affiliation with table displaying market returns for each US president and sum of total returns by party.
XRP Comparative Price Action Indicator - Final VersionXRP Comparative Price Action Indicator - Final Version
The XRP Comparative Price Action Indicator provides a comprehensive visual analysis of XRP’s price movements relative to key cryptocurrencies and market indices. This indicator normalises price data across various assets, allowing traders and investors to assess XRP’s performance against its peers and major market influences at a glance.
Key Features:
• Normalised Price Data: Prices are scaled between 0.00 and 1.00,
enabling straightforward comparisons between different assets.
• Key Comparisons: Includes normalised prices for:
• XRP/USD (Bitstamp)
• XRP Dominance (CryptoCap)
• XRP/BTC (Bitstamp)
• BTC/USD (Bitstamp)
• BTC Dominance (CryptoCap)
• USDT Dominance (CryptoCap)
• S&P 500 (SPY)
• DXY (Dollar Index)
• ETH/USD (Bitstamp)
• ETH Dominance (CryptoCap)
• XRP/ETH (Binance)
• Visual Clarity: Each asset is plotted with distinct colors for easy identification,
with thicker lines enhancing visibility on the chart.
• Reference Lines: Optional horizontal lines indicate the minimum (0) and maximum (1) normalised values, providing clear reference points for analysis.
This indicator is ideal for traders looking to understand XRP’s relative performance, gauge market sentiment, and make informed trading decisions based on comparative price action.
Range Detect SystemTechnical analysis indicator designed to identify potential significant price ranges and the distribution of volume within those ranges. The system helps traders calculate POC and show volume history. Also detecting breakouts or potential reversals. System identifies ranges with a high probability of price consolidation and helps screen out extreme price moves or ranges that do not meet certain volatility thresholds.
⭕️ Key Features
Range Detection — identifies price ranges where consolidation is occurring.
Volume Profile Calculation — indicator calculates the Point of Control (POC) based on volume distribution within the identified range, enhancing the analysis of market structure.
Volume History — shows where the largest volume was traded from the center of the range. If the volume is greater in the upper part of the range, the color will be green. If the volume is greater in the lower part, the color will be red.
Range Filtering — Includes multi-level filtering options to avoid ranges that are too volatile or outside normal ranges.
Visual Customization — Shows graphical indicators for potential bullish or bearish crossovers at the upper and lower range boundaries. Users can choose the style and color of the lines, making it easier to visualize ranges and important levels on the chart.
Alerts — system will notify you when a range has been created and also when the price leaves the range.
⭕️ How it works
Extremes (Pivot Points) are taken as a basis, after confirming the relevance of the extremes we take the upper and lower extremes and form a range. We check if it does not violate a number of rules and filters, perform volume calculations, and only then is the range displayed.
Pivot points is a built-in feature that shows an extremum if it has not been updated N bars to the left and N bars to the right. Therefore, there is a delay depending on the bars specified to check, which allows for a more accurate range. This approach allows not to make unnecessary recalculations, which completely eliminates the possibility of redrawing or range changes.
⭕️ Settings
Left Bars and Right Bars — Allows you to define the point that is the highest among the specified number of bars to the left and right of this point.
Range Logic — Select from which point to draw the range. Maximums only, Minimums only or both.
Use Wick — Option to consider the wick of the candles when identifying Range.
Breakout Confirmation — The number of bars required to confirm a breakout, after which the range will close.
Minimum Range Length — Sets the minimum number of candles needed for a range to be considered valid.
Row Size — Number of levels to calculate POC. *Larger values increase the script load.
% Range Filter — Dont Show Range is than more N% of Average Range.
Multi Filter — Allows use of Bollinger Bands, ATR, SMA, or Highest-Lowest range channels for filtering ranges based on volatility.
Range Hit — Shows graphical labels when price hits the upper or lower boundaries of the range, signaling potential reversal or breakout points.
Range Start — Show points where Range was created.
GEX Profile [PRO] Real Auto-Updated Gamma Exposure Levels𝗥𝗲𝗮𝗹 𝗚𝗘𝗫 𝗟𝗲𝘃𝗲𝗹𝘀 𝘄𝗶𝘁𝗵 𝗦𝗲𝗮𝗺𝗹𝗲𝘀𝘀 𝗔𝘂𝘁𝗼-𝗨𝗽𝗱𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝗳𝗼𝗿 𝗼𝘃𝗲𝗿 𝟭𝟲𝟱+ 𝗼𝗳 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗠𝗼𝘀𝘁 𝗟𝗶𝗾𝘂𝗶𝗱 𝗨.𝗦. 𝗠𝗮𝗿𝗸𝗲𝘁 𝗦𝘆𝗺𝗯𝗼𝗹𝘀 (including 𝟬𝗗𝗧𝗘 𝗳𝗼𝗿 𝗦𝗣𝗫, SPY, QQQ, TLT, IWM, etc...)
🔃 Dynamic Updates : Receive precise GEX levels with auto-updating metrics up to 5 times a day throughout the trading session—no manual refresh needed!
🍒 Strategically Developed : Built by experienced options traders to meet the needs of serious options market participants.
🕒 0DTE? No Problem! : Designed with 0DTE traders in mind, our indicator keeps you updated with GEX levels and seamless auto-refresh to capture every crucial market shift.
📈 Optimized for Option Traders : See accurate GEX and NETGEX profiles for multiple expirations to maximize strategic potential.
🔶 Comprehensive GEX Levels
This indicator provides unparalleled insight into market dynamics with levels like Call/Put Support, Resistance, HVL (High Volatility Level), and Call/Put Walls. These levels are auto-updated based on live market movements and reflect gamma shifts and volatility signals essential for options traders.
🔶 Ideal for 0DTE and Multi-Leg Strategies
Track essential GEX levels across expirations with our unique Cumulative (⅀) and Selected Alone (⊙) calculation models. Customize your view to reveal high-impact levels across multiple expirations or focus on a specific expiration for a targeted strategy.
🔶 Coverage of 165+ Highly Liquid U.S. Symbols
Compatible with over 165 U.S. market symbols, including SP:SPX , AMEX:SPY , NASDAQ:QQQ , NASDAQ:TLT , AMEX:GLD , NASDAQ:NVDA , and more. The watchlist is expanding continuously to meet the needs of active traders. List of Compatible Symbols Available Here: www.tradingview.com
🔶How does the indicator work and why is it unique?
This is not just another GEX indicator. It incorporates 15min delayed option chain data from ORATS as data provider, processes and refines the delayed data package using pineseed, and sends it to TradingView, visualizing the key GEX levels using specific formulas (see detailed below). This method of incorporating options data into a visualization framework is unique and entirely innovative on TradingView.
Unlike other providers that only set GEX levels at market open, this indicator adjusts dynamically throughout the day, providing updated insights across the trading day and capturing gamma shifts as the market moves.
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🌑 𝗗 𝗢 𝗖 𝗨 𝗠 𝗘 𝗡 𝗧 𝗔 𝗧 𝗜 𝗢 𝗡 🌑
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🔶 Understanding GEX (Gamma Exposure) and Gamma Profiling
Gamma Exposure (GEX) is a crucial concept in options trading because it reveals how options market positions can influence the dynamics of asset prices. In essence, GEX measures the collective gamma exposure of options market participants, impacting overall market stability and price movements.
🔹 What is GEX?
At its core, GEX captures the aggregate impact of gamma, a key options Greek, which tells us how an option's delta changes in response to price movements in the underlying asset. Positive or negative GEX levels can reflect the collective bullish or bearish stance of the market:
Positive GEX (far above HVL) : Indicates a net bullish positioning by options holders. When GEX is strongly positive, it suggests that as the asset price increases, market participants might need to buy more of the asset to maintain their hedges. This behavior can fuel further upward momentum.
Negative GEX (far below HVL) : Implies a net bearish positioning. In a strongly negative GEX environment, declines in the asset's price might prompt participants to sell, potentially exacerbating the downward movement.
🔹 The Influence of GEX on Strike Prices and Expiration
A unique feature of GEX is its impact near expiration dates. As options approach expiration, GEX levels can “pin” the price to specific strike levels, where options positions are concentrated. This pinning effect arises as market makers adjust their hedging strategies, often causing the asset price to gravitate towards certain strike prices, where a large volume of options contracts sits.
🟨 Overview of our GEX Calculation Models for Options Traders 🟨
Our GEX indicator models were developed with serious options traders in mind, providing flexibility beyond typical GEX providers. We know that using GEX levels for multi-leg strategies, where the underlying doesn't need a strong trend to be profitable , calls for a nuanced approach that aligns with different trading horizons. Here’s a detailed breakdown of our GEX calculation models and how they support strategic trading across varying timeframes.
Thus, the HVL an orher CALL/PUT WALLS depends on the indicator's selected calculation mode and expiration. The NETGEX profile of the chosen expiration appears on the HVL line , which automatically updates five times during trading hours , except for 0DTE, which reflects the value set at market open.
🔶 Cumulative Expiration (⅀) Calculation Method
This method aggregates GEX data for all expirations up to the selected date , giving you a more comprehensive view of market dynamics. We recommend using this method, as it allows you to see how combined expirations impact GEX levels, which can be critical when setting up trades with a longer time horizon.
🔶 Selected Alone (⊙) Calculation Method
This option displays the GEX profile specific to only the chosen expiration , providing a unique, time-bound view. This approach is ideal for those seeking precise insight into how an individual expiration is performing without the broader context of other expirations.
🔶 Example of using calculation methods:
With options trading, especially for multi-leg strategies, choosing the right expiration and calculation model is crucial. Let’s break down an example:
Suppose you’re considering a Friday (4DTE) front-leg diagonal on the SPX at the start of the week. In this case, the focus isn’t strictly on any single expiration (like 0DTE or 4DTE individually), but rather on what might happen cumulatively by Friday across all expirations . Here, the Cumulative Expiration (⅀) model comes into play, as it shows you an aggregated view of the GEX profile, factoring in all strikes and legs for all expirations leading up to the selected date.
For most use cases, we recommend setting your indicator to the Cumulative (⅀) model , which provides a broad and insightful look at GEX levels across multiple expirations. However, you can always switch to Selected Alone (⊙) for targeted analysis of an individual expiration. Remember, 0DTE defaults to “Selected Alone”, and Every Expiry always shows a cumulative value by default.
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🟦 HVL (High Volatility Level) 🟦
Also known as the Gamma FLIP level or Zero Gamma , it represents the price level at which the gamma environment transitions from positive to negative or vice versa. The High Volatility Level (HVL) is a critical point for understanding gamma shifts and anticipating volatility. This shift influences how market makers hedge their positions, potentially increasing or dampening market volatility.
🔷 Understanding the Gamma Flip and HVL
At its core, the gamma flip represents the point where market makers may transition from a net positive to a net negative gamma position, or the reverse. When prices move above HVL, gamma is positive, often leading to lower volatility due to the stabilizing effects of market makers’ hedging. Conversely, when prices drop below HVL, gamma flips negative, and hedging by market makers can amplify volatility as they trade with the direction of price movements.
The HVL (High Volatility Level) is particularly important as it signals a shift in the impact of price movements on the GEX profile. Using the cumulative calculation mode, GEX values are aggregated across all strikes and expirations up to the selected expiration, helping to pinpoint the point where the GEX curve's slope changes from negative to positive.
🔷 Implications for Traders and Market Makers
For market makers, crossing below HVL into a negative gamma zone means that they hedge in the same direction as price movements, potentially amplifying volatility. For traders, understanding HVL's role is essential to choosing strategies that align with the prevailing volatility regime:
Positive GEX 🟢:
Above HVL, where GEX is positive, market makers hedge by buying stocks as prices fall and selling as prices rise. This has a stabilizing effect, creating a lower-volatility environment.
Negative GEX 🔴:
Below HVL, where GEX is negative, market makers' hedging aligns with price movements, increasing volatility. Here, they buy as prices rise and sell as they fall, reinforcing price direction.
🔷 HVL as a Momentum and Volatility Indicator
The HVL offers traders insight into potential shifts in market momentum. For example, above HVL, if the price increases, Net GEX also rises, which stabilizes prices as market makers hedge in opposition to price direction. Below HVL, however, a price rise decreases Net GEX, creating conditions where market makers’ hedging amplifies price movements, resulting in a more volatile environment.
HVL also acts as a significant support level, often preceding put supports. If the price falls below this level, traders may expect heightened volatility and increased bearish sentiment.
Knowing the location of HVL is vital for positioning yourself on the right side of volatility. By monitoring the HVL, traders can better anticipate shifts in sentiment and align strategies with prevailing market dynamics.
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🟩 Call Resistance and Call Wall Levels 🟩
In options trading, understanding GEX levels like Call Resistance and Call Wall levels is crucial for navigating potential price inflection points. Our indicator provides these levels directly on your chart, allowing you to customize and optimize your trading approach. Here’s a detailed guide to help you understand and use Call Resistance and additional Call Wall levels effectively.
🟢 Call Resistance Level
The Call Resistance Level is a key point where our model indicates heightened Call GEX concentration. This level serves as a potential resistance area where price movement may face a barrier, slowing or even reversing before a breakout. Here’s how the Call Resistance Level can influence market behavior:
Resistance and Price Reversal ⬇️ : Similar to the Put Support level, the Call Resistance acts as a "sticky" price level, where upward movement encounters resistance. When the price approaches this level, it’s common for market makers to begin shorting to maintain delta neutrality. This shorting activity, combined with the potential monetization of calls, introduces a technical bearish force in the short term, often causing the price to bounce downward.
Upside Acceleration Point ⬆️ : If investors reposition calls to higher strikes as the price reaches Call Resistance, this level can roll up, allowing the price to push upward and potentially accelerating the rally. This effect can drive the market to higher levels as market makers adjust their positions accordingly.
🟢 Additional Call Wall Levels
Our model identifies the second and third-highest Call GEX levels, known as additional Call Walls. These levels are often secondary resistance points but hold significance as they add layers of possible resistance or breakout points. They offer similar potential as the primary Call Resistance level, acting as either:
Resistance Zones: Slowing the price momentum as it approaches these levels.
Inflection Points for Upside Momentum: Allowing for a possible continuation of upward movement if prices break through.
🟢 How to Trade the Call Resistance Level
To use the Call Resistance level effectively, look for possible price rejections or consolidations as the price approaches this zone. Here are the main scenarios:
Bounce to Downside: As the price nears the Call Resistance level, market makers’ delta-hedging activity (through shorting) can turn this level into a short-term bearish force, leading to price pullbacks.
Rolling the Position: For bulls, a key objective at the Call Resistance level is to see investors roll their call positions higher, effectively moving the resistance up. This repositioning may lead to incremental price gains as the Call Resistance level rises with each roll.
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🟥 Put Support and Put Wall Levels 🟥
In options trading, understanding GEX levels like Put Support and secondary Put Wall levels is essential for managing potential price support points and gauging downside risk. Our indicator places these levels directly on your chart, allowing for customization to enhance your trading strategy. Here’s a detailed guide to help you leverage the Put Support and additional Put Wall levels effectively.
🔴 Put Support Level
The Put Support Level is a key zone where our model shows the highest concentration of negative GEX, representing an area with substantial put option interest. This level functions as a potential support zone, where price may stabilize or bounce upward, or as an inflection point, signaling increased downside momentum. Here’s how the Put Support Level can affect market behavior:
Support and Price Reversal🔺 : Similar to how Call Resistance operates on the upside, the Put Support Level often acts as a "sticky" level on the downside, where price finds support. As the asset price moves closer to this level, market makers begin adjusting their positions, frequently buying to maintain delta neutrality. This activity can create a temporary short squeeze, pushing prices back up.
Downside Acceleration Point 🔻 : If the asset continues moving lower, triggering more hedging activity, this level can become a tipping point for accelerated downside momentum.
🔴 Additional Put Wall Levels
Our model also identifies the second and third-highest negative GEX levels, known as secondary Put Walls. These levels are often seen as secondary support points and hold significance by adding layers of support or potential downside inflection points. Like the primary Put Support Level, they can act in two ways:
Support Zones: Helping slow price declines as they approach these levels.
Downside Inflection Points: Allowing further price decline if the support fails.
🔴 How Investors Hedge with Put Options
Investors commonly use put options to hedge long positions and protect portfolios, especially during times of market stress when implied volatility rises. This demand for puts increases the Put Skew, as market makers short to remain delta hedged.
As prices approach the Put Support Level, the hedging activity often intensifies because more puts become At the Money (ATM) or In the Money (ITM). To realize the value of their hedges, investors typically monetize these puts at this level, triggering the closing of short positions by market makers and resulting in a price bounce.
🔴 The Role of Implied Volatility
Implied Volatility (IV) is also a critical factor since it directly influences market flows. If IV driving put flows decreases, market makers may buy back shorts, which contributes to the bounce at the Put Support Level. Additionally, another Greek, Vanna—representing changes in delta due to IV shifts—plays a vital role here. As IV changes, Vanna affects delta-hedging adjustments, adding a layer of complexity to understanding market makers' actions around these support levels.
🔴 Possible Price Scenarios at the Put Support Level
When the price reaches the Put Support Level, there are generally two scenarios:
Bounce to Upside🔺 : The Put Support Level is where substantial put hedging activity happens. As prices approach, market makers adjust their delta by buying, which can push prices back up.
Roll Positions🔻 : After monetizing puts, investors have two options: roll hedges to higher strikes if they expect a bullish move, or open new out-of-the-money puts at lower strikes. If new hedges are set at lower levels, the Put Support level may also shift lower, creating a new bearish force as market makers begin hedging these new positions.
🟨 Customizing Put Support/Call Resistance and Put/Call Wall Levels on Your Chart
Our indicator settings provide extensive customization options for displaying Put Support, Call Resistance, and Put/Call Wall levels.
You can:
adjust the depth to highlight the highest positive or negative NETGEX levels
choose to display relative data, show only the colored strike line
adjust the offset for enhanced visibility.
This flexibility helps you focus on the critical details that best align with your trading strategy, ensuring a clearer and more tailored view of the GEX levels on your chart.
Currently, we examine the top three levels with the highest positive and negative NETGEX values, allowing you to view seven key GEX levels on your chart (3 Call + 1 HVL + 3 Put). However, in the near future, we plan to expand this to seven levels per side, resulting in a total of up to 15 significant GEX levels on the chart instead of the current 7. This enhancement will cater to all needs, especially benefiting 0DTE traders.
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🔶 ADDITIONAL IMPORTANT COMMENTS
🔹- Why is there a slight difference between the displayed data and other GEX provider's data like MenthorQ, GammaEdge, SpotGamma, GEXBot, etc?
There are two reasons for this, and one is beyond our control:
🔹 (1) Option-data update frequency:
According to TradingView's regulations and guidelines, we can update external data a maximum of 5 times per day. We strive to use these updates in the most optimal way:
(1st update) 15 minutes after U.S. market open
(2nd, 3rd, 4th updates) 1.5–3 hours during U.S. market open hours
(5th update) 10 minutes before U.S. market close.
You don’t need to refresh your window; our latest refreshed data pack is always automatically applied to your indicator. You can see the time elapsed since the last update by hovering over the HVL.
🔹 (2) GEX Levels with Intraday Updates Based on Price Movements
The TanukiTrade Options GEX Indicator for TradingView provides open interest data with a 15-minute delay after the market opens. Using this data, we calculate and update the relevant levels throughout the trading day, reflecting almost real-time price changes and gamma values. Unlike other GEX providers, who set their GEX levels solely at market open without further updates, we dynamically adjust our levels intraday to capture significant price shifts.
🔹 Automatic & Seamless Intraday Updates and Special Cases
For our indicator, the HVL (High Volatility Level) reflects the selected calculation mode and expiration. We update these NETGEX profiles five times throughout the trading day, with one exception: 0DTE data, which is set at market open and does not update intraday due to the rapid narrowing of gamma levels . Note that similar to other GEX providers, our 0DTE remains fixed at open, while cumulative values update during the day based on almost real-time market movements.
🔹Consistent SPX 0DTE GEX Levels with Morning Open Interest Updates Only
For SPX, the 0DTE (Zero Days to Expiration) options and GEX levels are calculated based on openinterest data provided by the clearinghouse at market open. Due to the exponential narrowing of gamma levels throughout the day, we do not update these levels intraday, unlike other expirations. Therefore, if you select the expiring contract on that day, you’ll see the exact morning level, as it was calculated at market open. This status is also published the previous evening, based on the data available then, so you can already view the levels for the following day’s 1DTE (next day’s 0DTE) before market close. After market open, around 15 minutes later, this level is updated with the latest open interest data and remains unchanged for the rest of the day. Other providers take a similar approach. We do not support intraday volume-based GEX calculations, as our benchmarks show this can produce misleading results.
Disclaimer:
Our option indicator uses approximately 15min-3 hour delayed option market snapshot data to calculate the main option metrics. Exact realtime option contract prices are never displayed; only derived GEX metrics are shown to ensure accurate and consistent visualization. Due to the above, this indicator can only be used for decision support; exclusive decisions cannot be made based on this indicator. We reserve the right to make errors.This indicator is designed for options traders who understand what they are doing. It assumes that they are familiar with options and can make well-informed, independent decisions. We work with paid delayed data and we are not a data provider; therefore, we do not bear any financial or other liability.
GEX Profile [Lite] Real Auto-Updated Gamma Exposure LevelsReal GEX Levels with Seamless Auto-updates for 5 U.S. market symbols (AAPL, TSLA, ORCL, DIA, AMZN)
🔃 Dynamic Updates : Receive precise GEX levels with auto-updating metrics up to 5 times a day throughout the trading session—no manual refresh needed!
🍒 Strategically Developed : Built by experienced options traders to meet the needs of serious options market participants.
🕒 0DTE? No Problem! : Designed with 0DTE traders in mind, our indicator keeps you updated with GEX levels and seamless auto-refresh to capture every crucial market shift.
📈 Optimized for Option Traders : See accurate NETGEX profile for multiple expirations to maximize strategic potential.
🔶 Comprehensive GEX Levels
This indicator provides unparalleled insight into market dynamics with levels like Call/Put Support, Resistance, HVL (High Volatility Level), and Call/Put Walls. These levels are auto-updated based on live market movements and reflect gamma shifts and volatility signals essential for options traders.
🔶 Ticker Information:
This 'Lite' indicator is currently only available for 5 liquid U.S. market smbols:
NASDAQ:TSLA NASDAQ:AAPL NASDAQ:AMZN AMEX:DIA and NYSE:ORCL
🔶 Ideal for 0DTE and Multi-Leg Strategies
Track essential GEX levels across expirations with our unique Cumulative (⅀) and Selected Alone (⊙) calculation models. Customize your view to reveal high-impact levels across multiple expirations or focus on a specific expiration for a targeted strategy.
🔶How does the indicator work and why is it unique?
This is not just another GEX indicator. It incorporates 15min delayed option chain data from ORATS as data provider, processes and refines the delayed data package using pineseed, and sends it to TradingView, visualizing the key GEX levels using specific formulas (see detailed below). This method of incorporating options data into a visualization framework is unique and entirely innovative on TradingView.
Unlike other providers that only set GEX levels at market open, this indicator adjusts dynamically throughout the day, providing updated insights across the trading day and capturing gamma shifts as the market moves.
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🌑 𝗗 𝗢 𝗖 𝗨 𝗠 𝗘 𝗡 𝗧 𝗔 𝗧 𝗜 𝗢 𝗡 🌑
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🔶 Understanding GEX (Gamma Exposure) and Gamma Profiling
Gamma Exposure (GEX) is a crucial concept in options trading because it reveals how options market positions can influence the dynamics of asset prices. In essence, GEX measures the collective gamma exposure of options market participants, impacting overall market stability and price movements.
🔹 What is GEX?
At its core, GEX captures the aggregate impact of gamma, a key options Greek, which tells us how an option's delta changes in response to price movements in the underlying asset. Positive or negative GEX levels can reflect the collective bullish or bearish stance of the market:
Positive GEX (far above HVL) : Indicates a net bullish positioning by options holders. When GEX is strongly positive, it suggests that as the asset price increases, market participants might need to buy more of the asset to maintain their hedges. This behavior can fuel further upward momentum.
Negative GEX (far below HVL) : Implies a net bearish positioning. In a strongly negative GEX environment, declines in the asset's price might prompt participants to sell, potentially exacerbating the downward movement.
🔹 The Influence of GEX on Strike Prices and Expiration
A unique feature of GEX is its impact near expiration dates. As options approach expiration, GEX levels can “pin” the price to specific strike levels, where options positions are concentrated. This pinning effect arises as market makers adjust their hedging strategies, often causing the asset price to gravitate towards certain strike prices, where a large volume of options contracts sits.
🟨 Overview of our GEX Calculation Models for Options Traders 🟨
Our GEX indicator models were developed with serious options traders in mind, providing flexibility beyond typical GEX providers. We know that using GEX levels for multi-leg strategies, where the underlying doesn't need a strong trend to be profitable , calls for a nuanced approach that aligns with different trading horizons. Here’s a detailed breakdown of our GEX calculation models and how they support strategic trading across varying timeframes.
Thus, the HVL an orher CALL/PUT WALLS depends on the indicator's selected calculation mode and expiration. The NETGEX profile of the chosen expiration appears on the HVL line , which automatically updates five times during trading hours , except for 0DTE, which reflects the value set at market open.
🔶 Cumulative Expiration (⅀) Calculation Method
This method aggregates GEX data for all expirations up to the selected date , giving you a more comprehensive view of market dynamics. We recommend using this method, as it allows you to see how combined expirations impact GEX levels, which can be critical when setting up trades with a longer time horizon.
🔶 Selected Alone (⊙) Calculation Method
This option displays the GEX profile specific to only the chosen expiration , providing a unique, time-bound view. This approach is ideal for those seeking precise insight into how an individual expiration is performing without the broader context of other expirations.
🔶 Example of using calculation methods:
With options trading, especially for multi-leg strategies, choosing the right expiration and calculation model is crucial. Let’s break down an example:
Suppose you’re considering a Friday (4DTE) front-leg diagonal on the SPX at the start of the week. In this case, the focus isn’t strictly on any single expiration (like 0DTE or 4DTE individually), but rather on what might happen cumulatively by Friday across all expirations . Here, the Cumulative Expiration (⅀) model comes into play, as it shows you an aggregated view of the GEX profile, factoring in all strikes and legs for all expirations leading up to the selected date.
For most use cases, we recommend setting your indicator to the Cumulative (⅀) model , which provides a broad and insightful look at GEX levels across multiple expirations. However, you can always switch to Selected Alone (⊙) for targeted analysis of an individual expiration. Remember, 0DTE defaults to “Selected Alone”, and Every Expiry always shows a cumulative value by default.
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🟦 HVL (High Volatility Level) 🟦
Also known as the Gamma FLIP level or Zero Gamma , it represents the price level at which the gamma environment transitions from positive to negative or vice versa. The High Volatility Level (HVL) is a critical point for understanding gamma shifts and anticipating volatility. This shift influences how market makers hedge their positions, potentially increasing or dampening market volatility.
🔷 Understanding the Gamma Flip and HVL
At its core, the gamma flip represents the point where market makers may transition from a net positive to a net negative gamma position, or the reverse. When prices move above HVL, gamma is positive, often leading to lower volatility due to the stabilizing effects of market makers’ hedging. Conversely, when prices drop below HVL, gamma flips negative, and hedging by market makers can amplify volatility as they trade with the direction of price movements.
The HVL (High Volatility Level) is particularly important as it signals a shift in the impact of price movements on the GEX profile. Using the cumulative calculation mode, GEX values are aggregated across all strikes and expirations up to the selected expiration, helping to pinpoint the point where the GEX curve's slope changes from negative to positive.
🔷 Implications for Traders and Market Makers
For market makers, crossing below HVL into a negative gamma zone means that they hedge in the same direction as price movements, potentially amplifying volatility. For traders, understanding HVL's role is essential to choosing strategies that align with the prevailing volatility regime:
Positive GEX 🟢:
Above HVL, where GEX is positive, market makers hedge by buying stocks as prices fall and selling as prices rise. This has a stabilizing effect, creating a lower-volatility environment.
Negative GEX 🔴:
Below HVL, where GEX is negative, market makers' hedging aligns with price movements, increasing volatility. Here, they buy as prices rise and sell as they fall, reinforcing price direction.
🔷 HVL as a Momentum and Volatility Indicator
The HVL offers traders insight into potential shifts in market momentum. For example, above HVL, if the price increases, Net GEX also rises, which stabilizes prices as market makers hedge in opposition to price direction. Below HVL, however, a price rise decreases Net GEX, creating conditions where market makers’ hedging amplifies price movements, resulting in a more volatile environment.
HVL also acts as a significant support level, often preceding put supports. If the price falls below this level, traders may expect heightened volatility and increased bearish sentiment.
Knowing the location of HVL is vital for positioning yourself on the right side of volatility. By monitoring the HVL, traders can better anticipate shifts in sentiment and align strategies with prevailing market dynamics.
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🟩 Call Resistance and Call Wall Levels 🟩
In options trading, understanding GEX levels like Call Resistance and Call Wall levels is crucial for navigating potential price inflection points. Our indicator provides these levels directly on your chart, allowing you to customize and optimize your trading approach. Here’s a detailed guide to help you understand and use Call Resistance and additional Call Wall levels effectively.
🟢 Call Resistance Level
The Call Resistance Level is a key point where our model indicates heightened Call GEX concentration. This level serves as a potential resistance area where price movement may face a barrier, slowing or even reversing before a breakout. Here’s how the Call Resistance Level can influence market behavior:
Resistance and Price Reversal ⬇️ : Similar to the Put Support level, the Call Resistance acts as a "sticky" price level, where upward movement encounters resistance. When the price approaches this level, it’s common for market makers to begin shorting to maintain delta neutrality. This shorting activity, combined with the potential monetization of calls, introduces a technical bearish force in the short term, often causing the price to bounce downward.
Upside Acceleration Point ⬆️ : If investors reposition calls to higher strikes as the price reaches Call Resistance, this level can roll up, allowing the price to push upward and potentially accelerating the rally. This effect can drive the market to higher levels as market makers adjust their positions accordingly.
🟢 Additional Call Wall Levels
Our model identifies the second and third-highest Call GEX levels, known as additional Call Walls. These levels are often secondary resistance points but hold significance as they add layers of possible resistance or breakout points. They offer similar potential as the primary Call Resistance level, acting as either:
Resistance Zones: Slowing the price momentum as it approaches these levels.
Inflection Points for Upside Momentum: Allowing for a possible continuation of upward movement if prices break through.
🟢 How to Trade the Call Resistance Level
To use the Call Resistance level effectively, look for possible price rejections or consolidations as the price approaches this zone. Here are the main scenarios:
Bounce to Downside: As the price nears the Call Resistance level, market makers’ delta-hedging activity (through shorting) can turn this level into a short-term bearish force, leading to price pullbacks.
Rolling the Position: For bulls, a key objective at the Call Resistance level is to see investors roll their call positions higher, effectively moving the resistance up. This repositioning may lead to incremental price gains as the Call Resistance level rises with each roll.
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🟥 Put Support and Put Wall Levels 🟥
In options trading, understanding GEX levels like Put Support and secondary Put Wall levels is essential for managing potential price support points and gauging downside risk. Our indicator places these levels directly on your chart, allowing for customization to enhance your trading strategy. Here’s a detailed guide to help you leverage the Put Support and additional Put Wall levels effectively.
🔴 Put Support Level
The Put Support Level is a key zone where our model shows the highest concentration of negative GEX, representing an area with substantial put option interest. This level functions as a potential support zone, where price may stabilize or bounce upward, or as an inflection point, signaling increased downside momentum. Here’s how the Put Support Level can affect market behavior:
Support and Price Reversal🔺 : Similar to how Call Resistance operates on the upside, the Put Support Level often acts as a "sticky" level on the downside, where price finds support. As the asset price moves closer to this level, market makers begin adjusting their positions, frequently buying to maintain delta neutrality. This activity can create a temporary short squeeze, pushing prices back up.
Downside Acceleration Point 🔻 : If the asset continues moving lower, triggering more hedging activity, this level can become a tipping point for accelerated downside momentum.
🔴 Additional Put Wall Levels
Our model also identifies the second and third-highest negative GEX levels, known as secondary Put Walls. These levels are often seen as secondary support points and hold significance by adding layers of support or potential downside inflection points. Like the primary Put Support Level, they can act in two ways:
Support Zones: Helping slow price declines as they approach these levels.
Downside Inflection Points: Allowing further price decline if the support fails.
🔴 How Investors Hedge with Put Options
Investors commonly use put options to hedge long positions and protect portfolios, especially during times of market stress when implied volatility rises. This demand for puts increases the Put Skew, as market makers short to remain delta hedged.
As prices approach the Put Support Level, the hedging activity often intensifies because more puts become At the Money (ATM) or In the Money (ITM). To realize the value of their hedges, investors typically monetize these puts at this level, triggering the closing of short positions by market makers and resulting in a price bounce.
🔴 The Role of Implied Volatility
Implied Volatility (IV) is also a critical factor since it directly influences market flows. If IV driving put flows decreases, market makers may buy back shorts, which contributes to the bounce at the Put Support Level. Additionally, another Greek, Vanna—representing changes in delta due to IV shifts—plays a vital role here. As IV changes, Vanna affects delta-hedging adjustments, adding a layer of complexity to understanding market makers' actions around these support levels.
🔴 Possible Price Scenarios at the Put Support Level
When the price reaches the Put Support Level, there are generally two scenarios:
Bounce to Upside🔺 : The Put Support Level is where substantial put hedging activity happens. As prices approach, market makers adjust their delta by buying, which can push prices back up.
Roll Positions🔻 : After monetizing puts, investors have two options: roll hedges to higher strikes if they expect a bullish move, or open new out-of-the-money puts at lower strikes. If new hedges are set at lower levels, the Put Support level may also shift lower, creating a new bearish force as market makers begin hedging these new positions.
🟨 Customizing Put Support/Call Resistance and Put/Call Wall Levels on Your Chart
Our indicator settings provide extensive customization options for displaying Put Support, Call Resistance, and Put/Call Wall levels.
You can:
adjust the depth to highlight the highest positive or negative NETGEX levels
choose to display relative data, show only the colored strike line
adjust the offset for enhanced visibility.
This flexibility helps you focus on the critical details that best align with your trading strategy, ensuring a clearer and more tailored view of the GEX levels on your chart.
Currently, we examine the top three levels with the highest positive and negative NETGEX values, allowing you to view seven key GEX levels on your chart (3 Call + 1 HVL + 3 Put). However, in the near future, we plan to expand this to seven levels per side, resulting in a total of up to 15 significant GEX levels on the chart instead of the current 7. This enhancement will cater to all needs, especially benefiting 0DTE traders.
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🔶 ADDITIONAL IMPORTANT COMMENTS
🔹- Why is there a slight difference between the displayed data and other GEX provider's data like MenthorQ, GammaEdge, SpotGamma, GEXBot, etc?
There are two reasons for this, and one is beyond our control:
🔹 (1) Option-data update frequency:
According to TradingView's regulations and guidelines, we can update external data a maximum of 5 times per day. We strive to use these updates in the most optimal way:
(1st update) 15 minutes after U.S. market open
(2nd, 3rd, 4th updates) 1.5–3 hours during U.S. market open hours
(5th update) 10 minutes before U.S. market close.
You don’t need to refresh your window; our latest refreshed data pack is always automatically applied to your indicator. You can see the time elapsed since the last update by hovering over the HVL.
🔹 (2) GEX Levels with Intraday Updates Based on Price Movements
The TanukiTrade Options GEX Indicator for TradingView provides open interest data with a 15-minute delay after the market opens. Using this data, we calculate and update the relevant levels throughout the trading day, reflecting almost real-time price changes and gamma values. Unlike other GEX providers, who set their GEX levels solely at market open without further updates, we dynamically adjust our levels intraday to capture significant price shifts.
🔹 Automatic & Seamless Intraday Updates and Special Cases
For our indicator, the HVL (High Volatility Level) reflects the selected calculation mode and expiration. We update these NETGEX profiles five times throughout the trading day, with one exception: 0DTE data, which is set at market open and does not update intraday due to the rapid narrowing of gamma levels . Note that similar to other GEX providers, our 0DTE remains fixed at open, while cumulative values update during the day based on almost real-time market movements.
Disclaimer:
Our option indicator uses approximately 15min-3 hour delayed option market snapshot data to calculate the main option metrics. Exact realtime option contract prices are never displayed; only derived GEX metrics are shown to ensure accurate and consistent visualization. Due to the above, this indicator can only be used for decision support; exclusive decisions cannot be made based on this indicator. We reserve the right to make errors.This indicator is designed for options traders who understand what they are doing. It assumes that they are familiar with options and can make well-informed, independent decisions. We work with paid delayed data and we are not a data provider; therefore, we do not bear any financial or other liability.
Volume StatsDescription:
Volume Stats displays volume data and statistics for every day of the year, and is designed to work on "1D" timeframe. The data is displayed in a table with columns being months of the year, and rows being days of each month. By default, latest data is displayed, but you have an option to switch to data of the previous year as well.
The statistics displayed for each day is:
- volume
- % of total yearly volume
- % of total monthly volume
The statistics displayed for each column (month) is:
- monthly volume
- % of total yearly volume
- sentiment (was there more bullish or bearish volume?)
- min volume (on which day of the month was the min volume)
- max volume (on which day of the month was the max volume)
The cells change their colors depending on whether the volume is bullish or bearish, and what % of total volume the current cell has (either yearly or monthly). The header cells also change their color (based either on sentiment or what % of yearly volume the current month has).
This is the first (and free) version of the indicator, and I'm planning to create a "PRO" version of this indicator in future.
Parameters:
- Timezone
- Cell data -> which data to display in the cells (no data, volume or percentage)
- Highlight min and max volume -> if checked, cells with min and max volume (either monthly or yearly) will be highlighted with a dot or letter (depending on the "Cell data" input)
- Cell stats mode -> which data to use for color and % calculation (All data = yearly, Column = monthly)
- Display data from previous year -> if checked, the data from previous year will be used
- Header color is calculated from -> either sentiment or % of the yearly volume
- Reverse theme -> the table colors are automatically changed based on the "Dark mode" of Tradingview, this checkbox reverses the logic (so that darker colors will be used when "Dark mode" is off, and lighter colors when it's on)
- Hide logo -> hides the cat logo (PLEASE DO NOT HIDE THE CAT)
Conclusion:
Let me know what you think of the indicator. As I said, I'm planning to make a PRO version with more features, for which I already have some ideas, but if you have any suggestions, please let me know.
Multi-Currency Economic IndicatorCreating a Multi-Currency Economic Indicator that incorporates data for USD, JPY, AUD, GBP, CHF, NZD, and CAD will provide valuable insights into the economic health of these currencies. By plotting key economic indicators such as interest rates and allowing for customization, users can effectively analyze and make informed decisions.
If you have any further modifications or specific features you would like to add, feel free to let me know!
Trend Levels [ChartPrime]The Trend Levels indicator is designed to identify key trend levels (High, Mid, and Low) during market trends, based on real-time calculations of highest, lowest, and mid-level values over a customizable length. Additionally, the indicator calculates trend strength by measuring the ratio of candles closing above or below the midline, providing a clear view of the ongoing trend dynamics and strength.
⯁ KEY FEATURES AND HOW TO USE
⯌ Trend Shift Signals :
Trend shifts, based on highest and lowest values during input length. When high is == to highest it will change trend to up when low == lowest value it will be shift to down trend.
// Calculate highest and lowest over the specified length
h = ta.highest(length)
l = ta.lowest(length)
// Determine trend direction: if the current high is the highest value, set trend to true
if h == high
trend := true
// If the current low is the lowest value, set trend to false
if l == low
trend := false
Whenever the trend changes direction (from uptrend to downtrend or vice versa), the indicator provides visual cues in the form of arrows. This gives traders clear signals to identify potential trend reversals, enabling them to adjust their strategies accordingly.
⯌ Trend Level Calculation :
As soon as a trend is detected (uptrend or downtrend), the indicator starts calculating the highest, lowest, and mid-level values over the defined period. These levels are plotted on the chart as color-coded lines for easy visualization, allowing traders to quickly spot the key levels within a trend.
⯌ Midline Retests :
Throughout the trend, the mid-level line is often retested, acting as a potential zone for pullbacks or rejections. Traders can use these retests as opportunities for entering positions or confirming trend continuation. The chart shows how price frequently interacts with the midline, helping to identify important reaction levels.
⯌ Trend Strength Calculation :
The indicator measures the trend strength by calculating the delta between the number of candles closing above and below the midline. This percentage-based delta is displayed in real-time, providing a clear indication of whether the trend is gaining or losing momentum.
⯁ USER INPUTS
Length : Specifies the lookback period for calculating the highest and lowest values, which determines the key trend levels.
Candle Counting : Measures the number of candles closing above and below the midline to calculate the trend strength delta.
⯁ CONCLUSION
The Trend Levels indicator provides traders with a powerful tool for visualizing trend dynamics, key levels of support and resistance, and real-time trend strength. By identifying midline retests, tracking candle counts, and providing trend shift signals, this indicator can help traders make well-informed decisions during market trends.
VOLUME DIRECTION INDICATORDesigned for the 1-hour chart, this indicator shows:
Green Line: Volume when price rises, suggesting buying.
Red Line: Volume when price falls, indicating selling.
How to Use:
Watch for Crossover: When the Green Line moves above the Red, it might signal a budding uptrend.
Check Retracement: If the Green Line pulls back but stays above the Red, the uptrend could be strengthening.
Price Check: Look for a small price drop but not a reversal.
Trade Entry:
Enter at the high of the retracement candle.
Or wait for the Green Line to rise again.
For Precision: Draw a line at the retracement peak and switch to a shorter timeframe to find entry patterns above this line.
Remember: Use this with other tools for better trading decisions.
The Volume Direction Indicator provides a visual representation of market activity by assuming volume can be attributed to buying or selling based on price action within each bar. When the price closes higher than it opened, the volume for that period is considered as 'Bought Shares', plotted in green. Conversely, if the price closes lower, the volume is treated as 'Sold Shares', shown in red. This indicator resets daily to give a fresh perspective on trading activity each day.
Key Features:
Buying Pressure: Green line represents the cumulative volume during periods where the price increased.
Selling Pressure: Red line indicates the cumulative volume during price decreases.
Daily Reset: Accumulated values reset at the start of each new trading day, focusing on daily market sentiment.
Note: This indicator simplifies market dynamics by linking volume directly to price changes. It does not account for complex trading scenarios like short selling or market manipulations. Use this indicator as a tool to gauge general market direction and activity, not for precise transaction data.
Trend indicatorThe Trend Indicator script is a custom oscillator-based tool designed for identifying potential entry and exit points in the market. Using a combination of Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and Relative Moving Average (RMA) calculations, it captures the trend direction and signals market momentum shifts. The indicator visually presents buy and sell signals and color-codes background conditions based on potential trend reversals, offering a clear and structured approach for trend-based trading strategies.
Key Components
1. User Inputs
Smoothing Length (smoothLength): The script allows the trader to input a smoothing length for adjusting the EMA and RMA calculations. This parameter fine-tunes the indicator's sensitivity to price movements, where lower values result in a more responsive oscillator, while higher values make it smoother and less reactive to minor fluctuations.
Source (source): This is the price data input for the script, defaulting to the close price but customizable to other price points (e.g., open, high, or low) based on user preference.
2. Smoothed Price Calculation
Using an Exponential Moving Average (EMA), the script smooths the selected source price to reduce noise and make trends clearer. The EMA’s calculation length is determined by the smoothLength input, and this moving average forms the baseline from which other components derive.
3. Oscillator Calculation
The oscillator value represents the relative strength or weakness of price momentum. Here, the oscillator is computed using Relative Moving Average (RMA), applied to the difference between the smoothed price and the SMA of the source price. The RMA further filters short-term fluctuations to identify the core trend direction.
This oscillator measures the divergence between the smoothed price and the SMA, providing insight into whether the market is experiencing bullish or bearish pressure.
4. Signal Line
The Signal Line is a Simple Moving Average (SMA) of the oscillator, using the same smoothLength parameter. The SMA smooths the oscillator’s values, offering a secondary reference that traders can use to identify changes in momentum when it crosses the oscillator line.
5. Buy and Sell Signals
Buy Signal (bullSignal): The script triggers a buy signal when the oscillator crosses above zero. This indicates that momentum may be shifting in favor of buyers, potentially signaling an uptrend.
Sell Signal (bearSignal): The script triggers a sell signal when the oscillator crosses below zero, suggesting a shift in momentum to the downside, potentially initiating a downtrend.
Visualization
1. Plotting the Oscillator and Signal Line
The oscillator line is plotted in blue, representing the current momentum of the price. The signal line, plotted in red, serves as a smoother baseline.
When the oscillator crosses the signal line, it hints at a potential trend shift, which can be a signal for cautious traders to pay attention to trend reversals.
2. Buy/Sell Signal Markers
Buy Signal Marker: A green label appears below the bar whenever the oscillator crosses above zero, indicating a potential buying opportunity.
Sell Signal Marker: A red label appears above the bar whenever the oscillator crosses below zero, marking a potential selling opportunity.
These visual cues make it easy for traders to spot signals directly on the chart without needing to watch the oscillator values closely.
3. Background Coloring for Trend Direction
To further aid in trend identification, the background color changes to green when a bullish signal is active and red during bearish signals. This coloring helps visually reinforce the current trend direction, allowing traders to spot prolonged uptrends or downtrends easily.
Trading Strategy Suggestions
This indicator can be adapted to various trading strategies. Here are a few practical suggestions:
Trend-Following Strategy:
When the oscillator crosses above zero (green background), it could indicate the start of a potential uptrend. Consider entering a long position on this signal and holding it until the oscillator crosses back below zero.
Conversely, a cross below zero (red background) may signal a downtrend, making it suitable for short positions or exiting long trades.
Cross-Confirmation with Signal Line:
Use the crossover of the oscillator and signal line to confirm trends. For example, when the oscillator is above zero and crosses above the signal line, it could reinforce a strong buy signal. Similarly, a cross below the signal line when the oscillator is below zero could strengthen a sell signal.
Combining with Other Indicators:
For added accuracy, combine this indicator with other trend-confirming tools like Moving Averages or Bollinger Bands to confirm the validity of buy/sell signals.
Risk Management:
Always set stop-losses below recent lows in uptrends or above recent highs in downtrends. This indicator is useful for entry and exit points but should always be paired with solid risk management practices.
The Trend Indicator is a comprehensive tool for identifying market momentum and potential reversal points. By smoothing out price data and using an oscillator to track momentum shifts, it offers traders a structured approach to trading trends. Its built-in buy/sell markers and background coloring make it visually accessible and easy to interpret at a glance. However, as with any indicator, it's most effective when combined with other strategies and a disciplined approach to risk management.
Machine Learning RSI Bands"Machine Learning RSI Bands" Indicator
The "Machine Learning RSI Bands" (MLRSIB) indicator leverages advanced algorithmic analysis to enhance traditional RSI strategies:
RSI Customization: Users can customize the RSI settings including source, length, and thresholds for overbought/oversold conditions.
Innovative Machine Learning Application: The script uses a proprietary function FOUNDATION_400x10x2 from the 'FOUNDATION' library, which analyzes the last 400 occurrences of data points, considering various market dynamics like volume changes or RSI movements based on the selected sampling method. Outputs four optimal outcomes for both upper and lower band conditions, representing the most statistically significant patterns or predictions.
Dynamic Band Visualization: Plots the average of these four outcomes as colored lines (red for the upper band, green for the lower band) on the chart, serving as dynamic support and resistance or overbought/oversold levels.
Signal Plotting: Displays triangles above or below the bars to signal potential short or long entries when the RSI crosses these machine learning-adjusted bands under certain confidence conditions.
Market Volatility Indicator: Adjusts the chart's background color based on volatility, using an average deviation analysis to gauge market calmness or agitation.
Alert System: Provides alert conditions for when these sophisticated signals are triggered, allowing for timely trading actions.
This indicator is designed for traders interested in combining traditional technical analysis with machine learning to refine their market entry and exit strategies, focusing on patterns identified from recent market behavior.
Bollinger Bands Mean Reversion by Kevin Davey Bollinger Bands Mean Reversion Strategy Description
The Bollinger Bands Mean Reversion Strategy is a popular trading approach based on the concept of volatility and market overreaction. The strategy leverages Bollinger Bands, which consist of an upper and lower band plotted around a central moving average, typically using standard deviations to measure volatility. When the price moves beyond these bands, it signals potential overbought or oversold conditions, and the strategy seeks to exploit a reversion back to the mean (the central band).
Strategy Components:
1. Bollinger Bands:
The bands are calculated using a 20-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) and a multiple (usually 2.0) of the standard deviation of the asset’s price over the same period. The upper band represents the SMA plus two standard deviations, while the lower band is the SMA minus two standard deviations. The distance between the bands increases with higher volatility and decreases with lower volatility.
2. Mean Reversion:
Mean reversion theory suggests that, over time, prices tend to move back toward their historical average. In this strategy, a buy signal is triggered when the price falls below the lower Bollinger Band, indicating a potential oversold condition. Conversely, the position is closed when the price rises back above the upper Bollinger Band, signaling an overbought condition.
Entry and Exit Logic:
Buy Condition: The strategy enters a long position when the price closes below the lower Bollinger Band, anticipating a mean reversion to the central band (SMA).
Sell Condition: The long position is exited when the price closes above the upper Bollinger Band, implying that the market is likely overbought and a reversal could occur.
This approach uses mean reversion principles, aiming to capitalize on short-term price extremes and volatility compression, often seen in sideways or non-trending markets. Scientific studies have shown that mean reversion strategies, particularly those based on volatility indicators like Bollinger Bands, can be effective in capturing small but frequent price reversals  .
Scientific Basis for Bollinger Bands:
Bollinger Bands, developed by John Bollinger, are widely regarded in both academic literature and practical trading as an essential tool for volatility analysis and mean reversion strategies. Research has shown that Bollinger Bands effectively identify relative price highs and lows, and can be used to forecast price volatility and detect potential breakouts . Studies in financial markets, such as those by Fernández-Rodríguez et al. (2003), highlight the efficacy of Bollinger Bands in detecting overbought or oversold conditions in various assets .
Who is Kevin Davey?
Kevin Davey is an award-winning algorithmic trader and highly regarded expert in developing and optimizing systematic trading strategies. With over 25 years of experience, Davey gained significant recognition after winning the prestigious World Cup Trading Championships multiple times, where he achieved triple-digit returns with minimal drawdown. His success has made him a key figure in algorithmic trading education, with a focus on disciplined and rule-based trading systems.
Bharat Jhunjhunwala v2- Volume Color CodingPurpose of the Script
This script is designed for traders in India to visualize and analyze trading volume in the stock market. It colors the volume bars based on how the current trading volume compares to its average over the past 20 periods. This helps traders quickly identify unusual trading activity.
How It Works Step by Step
Setting Up the Indicator
Name & Display: The script is named "Bharat Jhunjhunwala- Volume Color Coding" and it displays below the main stock chart (overlay=false).
Volume Format: It formats the data specifically for volume (format=format.volume).
User Input
Volume Moving Average Period: Users can set how many periods (e.g., days) to consider for calculating the average volume. By default, it's set to 20 periods, and users can adjust this if needed.
Predefined Volume Ratios
The script uses fixed ratios to categorize the current volume:
Ultra High Volume: 3.0 times the average volume.
High Volume: 1.8 times the average volume.
Ultra Low Volume: Between 0.4 and 0.7 times the average volume.
Note: These ratios are hardcoded, meaning users cannot change them.
Calculating the Average Volume
The script calculates the Simple Moving Average (SMA) of the volume over the specified number of periods (default is 20). This average helps determine what "normal" volume looks like.
Determining Volume Levels
Ultra High Volume: If the current volume is 3 times or more the average, it's flagged as ultra high.
High Volume: If the current volume is 1.8 times or more but less than ultra high, it's flagged as high.
Ultra Low Volume: If the current volume is between 0.4 and 0.7 times the average, it's flagged as ultra low.
Normal Volume: Any volume that doesn't fit the above categories is considered normal.
Color Coding the Volume Bars
Based on the volume level determined:
Red: Ultra High Volume
Orange: High Volume
Blue: Ultra Low Volume
Green: Normal Volume
This color coding makes it easy to spot unusual trading activity at a glance.
Plotting on the Chart
Volume Bars: The script plots the actual trading volume as colored bars according to the categories above.
Volume Moving Average Line: It also plots the 20-period moving average of the volume as a green line. This line serves as a reference to compare current volumes against the average.
Why This is Useful
Quick Identification: Traders can instantly see when there's unusually high or low trading activity, which might indicate significant market moves or investor interest.
Trend Analysis: By comparing current volume to the moving average, traders can assess whether the current market behavior is stronger or weaker than usual.
Decision Making: Colored volume bars can help in making informed trading decisions, such as entering or exiting positions based on volume spikes or drops.
Customization
Adjusting the Moving Average: While the volume ratios are fixed, traders can change the number of periods used to calculate the moving average to better fit different trading strategies or time frames.
Summary
This script enhances the standard volume indicator by adding color-coded signals based on predefined volume thresholds relative to a moving average. It's a helpful tool for Indian stock traders to monitor and react to changes in trading volume effectively.
Market Bias IndicatorOverview
This Pine Script™ code generates a "Market Sentiment Dashboard" on TradingView, providing a visual summary of market sentiment across multiple timeframes. This tool aids traders in making informed decisions by displaying real-time sentiment analysis based on Exponential Moving Averages (EMA).
Key Features
Panel Positioning:
Custom Placement: Traders can position the dashboard at the top, middle, or bottom of the chart and align it to the left, centre, or right, ensuring optimal integration with other chart elements.
Customizable Colours:
Sentiment Colours: Users can define colours for bullish, bearish, and neutral market conditions, enhancing the dashboard's readability.
Text Colour: Customizable text colour ensures clarity against various background colours.
Label Size:
Scalable Labels: Adjustable label sizes (from very small to very large) ensure readability across different screen sizes and resolutions.
Market Sentiment Calculation:
EMA-Based Sentiment: The dashboard calculates sentiment using a 9-period EMA. If the EMA is higher than two bars ago, the sentiment is bullish; if lower, it's bearish; otherwise, it's neutral.
Multiple Timeframes: Sentiment is calculated for several timeframes: 30 minute, 1 hour, 4 hour, 6 hour, 8 hour, 12 hour, 1 day, and 1 week. This broad analysis provides a comprehensive view of market conditions.
Dynamic Table:
Structured Display: The dashboard uses a table to organize and display sentiment data clearly.
Real-Time Updates: The table updates in real-time, providing traders with up-to-date market information.
How It Works
EMA Calculation: The script requests EMA(9) values for each specified timeframe and compares the current EMA with the EMA from two bars ago to determine market sentiment.
Colour Coding: Depending on the sentiment (Bullish, Bearish, or Neutral), the corresponding cell in the table is color-coded using predefined colours.
Table Display: The table displays the timeframe and corresponding sentiment, allowing traders to quickly assess market trends.
Benefits to Traders
Quick Assessment: Traders can quickly evaluate market sentiment across multiple timeframes without switching charts or manually calculating indicators.
Enhanced Visualization: The color-coded sentiment display makes it easy to identify trends at a glance.
Multi-Timeframe Analysis: Provides a broad view of short-term and long-term market trends, helping traders confirm trends and avoid false signals.
This dashboard enhances the overall trading experience by providing a comprehensive, customizable, and easy-to-read summary of market sentiment.
Usage Instructions
Add the Script to Your Chart: Apply the "Market Sentiment Dashboard" indicator to your TradingView chart.
Customize Settings: Adjust the panel position, colours, and label sizes to fit your preferences.
Interpret Sentiment: Use the color-coded table to quickly understand the market sentiment across different timeframes and make informed trading decisions.
Value at Risk [OmegaTools]The "Value at Risk" (VaR) indicator is a powerful financial risk management tool that helps traders estimate the potential losses in a portfolio over a specified period of time, given a certain level of confidence. VaR is widely used by financial institutions, traders, and risk managers to assess the probability of portfolio losses in both normal and volatile market conditions. This TradingView script implements a comprehensive VaR calculation using several models, allowing users to visualize different risk scenarios and adjust their trading strategies accordingly.
Concept of Value at Risk
Value at Risk (VaR) is a statistical technique used to measure the likelihood of losses in a portfolio or financial asset due to market risks. In essence, it answers the question: "What is the maximum potential loss that could occur in a given portfolio over a specific time horizon, with a certain confidence level?" For instance, if a portfolio has a one-day 95% VaR of $10,000, it means that there is a 95% chance the portfolio will not lose more than $10,000 in a single day. Conversely, there is a 5% chance of losing more than $10,000. VaR is a key risk management tool for portfolio managers and traders because it quantifies potential losses in monetary terms, allowing for better-informed decision-making.
There are several ways to calculate VaR, and this indicator script incorporates three of the most commonly used models:
Historical VaR: This approach uses historical returns to estimate potential losses. It is based purely on past price data, assuming that the past distribution of returns is indicative of future risks.
Variance-Covariance VaR: This model assumes that asset returns follow a normal distribution and that the risk can be summarized using the mean and standard deviation of past returns. It is a parametric method that is widely used in financial risk management.
Exponentially Weighted Moving Average (EWMA) VaR: In this model, recent data points are given more weight than older data. This dynamic approach allows the VaR estimation to react more quickly to changes in market volatility, which is particularly useful during periods of market stress. This model uses the Exponential Weighted Moving Average Volatility Model.
How the Script Works
The script starts by offering users a set of customizable input settings. The first input allows the user to choose between two main calculation modes: "All" or "OCT" (Only Current Timeframe). In the "All" mode, the script calculates VaR using all available methodologies—Historical, Variance-Covariance, and EWMA—providing a comprehensive risk overview. The "OCT" mode narrows the calculation to the current timeframe, which can be particularly useful for intraday traders who need a more focused view of risk.
The next input is the lookback window, which defines the number of historical periods used to calculate VaR. Commonly used lookback periods include 21 days (approximately one month), 63 days (about three months), and 252 days (roughly one year), with the script supporting up to 504 days for more extended historical analysis. A longer lookback period provides a more comprehensive picture of risk but may be less responsive to recent market conditions.
The confidence level is another important setting in the script. This represents the probability that the loss will not exceed the VaR estimate. Standard confidence levels are 90%, 95%, and 99%. A higher confidence level results in a more conservative risk estimate, meaning that the calculated VaR will reflect a more extreme loss scenario.
In addition to these core settings, the script allows users to customize the visual appearance of the indicator. For example, traders can choose different colors for "Bullish" (Risk On), "Bearish" (Risk Off), and "Neutral" phases, as well as colors for highlighting "Breaks" in the data, where returns exceed the calculated VaR. These visual cues make it easy to identify periods of heightened risk at a glance.
The actual VaR calculation is broken down into several models, starting with the Historical VaR calculation. This is done by computing the logarithmic returns of the asset's closing prices and then using linear interpolation to determine the percentile corresponding to the desired confidence level. This percentile represents the potential loss in the asset over the lookback period.
Next, the script calculates Variance-Covariance VaR using the mean and standard deviation of the historical returns. The standard deviation is multiplied by a z-score corresponding to the chosen confidence level (e.g., 1.645 for 95% confidence), and the resulting value is subtracted from the mean return to arrive at the VaR estimate.
The EWMA VaR model uses the EWMA for the sigma parameter, the standard deviation, obtaining a specific dynamic in the volatility. It is particularly useful in volatile markets where recent price behavior is more indicative of future risk than older data.
For traders interested in intraday risk management, the script provides several methods to adjust VaR calculations for lower timeframes. By using intraday returns and scaling them according to the chosen timeframe, the script provides a dynamic view of risk throughout the trading day. This is especially important for short-term traders who need to manage their exposure during high-volatility periods within the same day. The script also incorporates an EWMA model for intraday data, which gives greater weight to the most recent intraday price movements.
In addition to calculating VaR, the script also attempts to detect periods where the asset's returns exceed the estimated VaR threshold, referred to as "Breaks." When the returns breach the VaR limit, the script highlights these instances on the chart, allowing traders to quickly identify periods of extreme risk. The script also calculates the average of these breaks and displays it for comparison, helping traders understand how frequently these high-risk periods occur.
The script further visualizes the risk scenario using a risk phase classification system. Depending on the level of risk, the script categorizes the market as either "Risk On," "Risk Off," or "Risk Neutral." In "Risk On" mode, the market is considered bullish, and the indicator displays a green background. In "Risk Off" mode, the market is bearish, and the background turns red. If the market is neither strongly bullish nor bearish, the background turns neutral, signaling a balanced risk environment.
Traders can customize whether they want to see this risk phase background, along with toggling the display of the various VaR models, the intraday methods, and the break signals. This flexibility allows traders to tailor the indicator to their specific needs, whether they are day traders looking for quick intraday insights or longer-term investors focused on historical risk analysis.
The "Risk On" and "Risk Off" phases calculated by this Value at Risk (VaR) script introduce a novel approach to market risk assessment, offering traders an advanced toolset to gauge market sentiment and potential risk levels dynamically. These risk phases are built on a combination of traditional VaR methodologies and proprietary logic to create a more responsive and intuitive way to manage exposure in both normal and volatile market conditions. This method of classifying market conditions into "Risk On," "Risk Off," or "Risk Neutral" is not something that has been traditionally associated with VaR, making it a groundbreaking addition to this indicator.
How the "Risk On" and "Risk Off" Phases Are Calculated
In typical VaR implementations, the focus is on calculating the potential losses at a given confidence level without providing an overall market outlook. This script, however, introduces a unique risk classification system that takes the output of various VaR models and translates it into actionable signals for traders, marking whether the market is in a Risk On, Risk Off, or Risk Neutral phase.
The Risk On and Risk Off phases are primarily determined by comparing the current returns of the asset to the average VaR calculated across several different methods, including Historical VaR, Variance-Covariance VaR, and EWMA VaR. Here's how the process works:
1. Threshold Setting and Effect Calculation: The script first computes the average VaR using the selected models. It then checks whether the current returns (expressed as a negative value to signify loss) exceed the average VaR value. If the current returns surpass the calculated VaR threshold, this indicates that the actual market risk is higher than expected, signaling a potential shift in market conditions.
2. Break Analysis: In addition to monitoring whether returns exceed the average VaR, the script counts the number of instances within the lookback period where this breach occurs. This is referred to as the "break effect." For each period in the lookback window, the script checks whether the returns surpass the calculated VaR threshold and increments a counter. The percentage of periods where this breach occurs is then calculated as the "effect" or break percentage.
3. Dual Effect Check (if "Double" Risk Scenario is selected): When the user chooses the "Double" risk scenario mode, the script performs two layers of analysis. First, it calculates the effect of returns exceeding the VaR threshold for the current timeframe. Then, it calculates the effect for the lower intraday timeframe as well. Both effects are compared to the user-defined confidence level (e.g., 95%). If both effects exceed the confidence level, the market is deemed to be in a high-risk situation, thus triggering a Risk Off phase. If both effects fall below the confidence level, the market is classified as Risk On.
4. Risk Phases Determination: The final risk phase is determined by analyzing these effects in relation to the confidence level:
- Risk On: If the calculated effect of breaks is lower than the confidence level (e.g., fewer than 5% of periods show returns exceeding the VaR threshold for a 95% confidence level), the market is considered to be in a relatively safe state, and the script signals a "Risk On" phase. This is indicative of bullish conditions where the potential for extreme loss is minimal.
- Risk Off: If the break effect exceeds the confidence level (e.g., more than 5% of periods show returns breaching the VaR threshold), the market is deemed to be in a high-risk state, and the script signals a "Risk Off" phase. This indicates bearish market conditions where the likelihood of significant losses is higher.
- Risk Neutral: If the break effect hovers near the confidence level or if there is no clear trend indicating a shift toward either extreme, the market is classified as "Risk Neutral." In this phase, neither bulls nor bears are dominant, and traders should remain cautious.
The phase color that the script uses helps visualize these risk phases. The background will turn green in Risk On conditions, red in Risk Off conditions, and gray in Risk Neutral phases, providing immediate visual feedback on market risk. In addition to this, when the "Double" risk scenario is selected, the background will only turn green or red if both the current and intraday timeframes confirm the respective risk phase. This double-checking process ensures that traders are only given a strong signal when both longer-term and short-term risks align, reducing the likelihood of false signals.
A New Way of Using Value at Risk
This innovative Risk On/Risk Off classification, based on the interaction between VaR thresholds and market returns, represents a significant departure from the traditional use of Value at Risk as a pure risk measurement tool. Typically, VaR is employed as a backward-looking measure of risk, providing a static estimate of potential losses over a given timeframe with no immediate actionable feedback on current market conditions. This script, however, dynamically interprets VaR results to create a forward-looking, real-time signal that informs traders whether they are operating in a favorable (Risk On) or unfavorable (Risk Off) environment.
By incorporating the "break effect" analysis and allowing users to view the VaR breaches as a percentage of past occurrences, the script adds a predictive element that can be used to time market entries and exits more effectively. This **dual-layer risk analysis**, particularly when using the "Double" scenario mode, adds further granularity by considering both current timeframe and intraday risks. Traders can therefore make more informed decisions not just based on historical risk data, but on how the market is behaving in real-time relative to those risk benchmarks.
This approach transforms the VaR indicator from a risk monitoring tool into a decision-making system that helps identify favorable trading opportunities while alerting users to potential market downturns. It provides a more holistic view of market conditions by combining both statistical risk measurement and intuitive phase-based market analysis. This level of integration between VaR methodologies and real-time signal generation has not been widely seen in the world of trading indicators, marking this script as a cutting-edge tool for risk management and market sentiment analysis.
I would like to express my sincere gratitude to @skewedzeta for his invaluable contribution to the final script. From generating fresh ideas to applying his expertise in reviewing the formula, his support has been instrumental in refining the outcome.
