ADA might be repeating the 2025 US elections price actionThis repeating pattern makes you wonder if we are living in a simulation.
ADAUSD trade ideas
CARDANO 1week MA50 holding. Sky is the limit.Cardano / ADAUSD is holding its 1week MA50 for the 6th straight week.
The pattern is almost identical to the previous Cycle's:
A Channel Up (that breaks once to the downside for a short time) is used as a guide through the whole Bull Cycle. The final consolidation on the 1week MA50 intiates the final and most aggressive rally of the Cycle.
The previous one in 2021 hit the 3.0 Fibonacci extension.
Based on that, we can expect to see $9 on ADA by the end of the year.
Previous chart:
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Cardano: New Low or Off We Go?!For Cardano, we primarily still expect a new low in the blue wave (ii), but the price should stay above the support at $0.31. Once the wave (ii) corrective movement is completed – which theoretically could have already happened – the blue wave (iii) should drive the price significantly above the resistance at $1.32.
Potential Head and Shoulders Pattern Signals Major Correction Potential Head and Shoulders Pattern Signals Major Correction to $0.15ish
I've identified a potential Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern forming on the ADA/USD daily chart. This classic bearish reversal pattern suggests a significant correction could be imminent.
The pattern's neckline is clearly visible, and if it breaks, the implied move, calculated by measuring the distance from the head to the neckline and projecting it downwards, targets approximately $0.15. This represents a potential drop of around 76% from the current price.
While many influencers and analysts predict ADA to reach $5, it's crucial to acknowledge the bearish signals presented by this H&S pattern. The reality of technical analysis dictates that we must consider all possibilities, even those contrary to popular sentiment.
Good Luck
Cardano(ADA) Bearish Momentum Builds Following Support BreakdownCardano (ADA) has entered a renewed phase of selling pressure following a critical breakdown below the $0.6995 support level — a structural level that had acted as a floor since early March 2025. This breach signals a bearish continuation pattern, with traders increasingly eyeing the next major support at $0.4400 as the likely target for this leg lower. The broader crypto market remains under pressure amid cautious sentiment and liquidity outflows from altcoins, and ADA appears to be particularly affected, slipping further into a clear downward trend. The technical breakdown suggests the selling may not yet be done.
Technical Overview: Support Breakdown Opens Path to $0.4400
The daily chart shows a well-defined bearish structure, with price action confirming a sequence of lower highs and lower lows. The decisive break below $0.6995 — a previously well-defended support level — acts as the primary catalyst for this forecast. This level had repeatedly provided a floor for ADA throughout March but has now flipped into resistance.
The rejection from $0.6995 and failure to sustain even minor rallies indicate a lack of buyer conviction. This, combined with persistent bearish candlesticks and decreasing volume on green days, reinforces the idea that bears are in control. With momentum building to the downside, the next critical area of interest lies at $0.4400 — a major historical support that aligns with the April 2023 consolidation base.
A stop-loss for bearish positions remains well-placed at $0.8000 — just above the last key swing high and the upper end of recent consolidation. As long as price trades below this level, the risk-to-reward ratio continues to favor short positioning.
ADA Technology and Vision: Fundamentals vs. Price Action
Cardano remains one of the most fundamentally sound projects in the crypto space, even as its token price trends lower. Built on peer-reviewed research and academic rigor, Cardano was developed with a long-term vision in mind — emphasizing sustainability, scalability, and security.
The platform operates on a layered architecture, separating the settlement and computation layers to enhance performance and modularity. Its consensus mechanism, Ouroboros — a provably secure proof-of-stake protocol — has helped ADA remain energy-efficient and highly decentralized. This is crucial in an environment where environmental concerns are reshaping investor preferences.
Cardano also supports smart contracts through its Plutus framework and is actively expanding its DeFi and NFT ecosystems. With a strong developer community, active treasury, and continuous updates (including the Hydra scaling solution), Cardano is laying the groundwork for future mass adoption.
However, despite these robust fundamentals, ADA’s price continues to reflect market psychology and risk-off sentiment — rather than its technological merit. This divergence between fundamentals and price is not uncommon in crypto, especially during broad altcoin corrections.
Potential Scenarios and Trading Strategy
Bearish Scenario: A sustained move below $0.6995 opens the door for a continuation toward the $0.4400 support level. This level is also a realistic profit target for current short positions. If $0.44 fails to hold, further downside potential could follow in an extended bearish environment.
Bullish Scenario: A Weekly close back above $0.6995 would invalidate the immediate bearish bias. To trigger a larger reversal, bulls must reclaim the $0.73-$0.80 zone, which would signal strength and potentially pave the way for a broader recovery.
Conclusion
Cardano’s price action paints a clear bearish picture following the breakdown below $0.6995. While the project’s fundamentals remain strong and long-term adoption prospects are promising, the current market conditions and technical signals continue to favor downside potential. The next major support at $0.444 is now in focus as the primary bearish target. Unless the price quickly reclaims lost ground and regains key resistance levels, traders are advised to remain cautious and align with the prevailing trend.
KEEP TRADING SIMPLE - ADAGood Morning,
Hope all is well. Another bullish movement in the crypto work this morning. ADA blew through a past resistance and is now trending in a bullish direction. I am waiting for confirmation on the support line and will enter a trade once this is completed.
Thanks
Keep Trading Simple - ADAGood Afternoon
Increasing volume good support. Nice for a quick trade.
ADA!
Thanks
KEEP TRADING SIMPLE - ADAGood Morning,
Yesterday presented a good opportunity for a day trade, however since most accounts charge 2% on Crypto you were basically cutting your profits to 2-3% depending on when you closed out.
Currently we got rejected, mid-way to the next resistance line. Trend is showing bullish and is looking for another support to land on.
day two new ADA/Cardano price prediction date: 3/31/2025ada is looking like it could be starting wave two or just be retesting and could break to the down side what we want to see is the triangle wave start or turn into a wave one of a bullish impulse
NEW: day one ADA/Cardano price prediction Date:3/30/2025this is a new prediction that i am doing along with the others and is looking a little bearish to me but who knows this could all flip upside down in a few hours but if my prediction follows through it could lead to a bullish reversal at the end or just continuing downward momentum.
oh and the orange A and B are different possible outcomes for the a and b wave.
Prepare for LIFTOFF $ADAThe Global Net Liquidity index is breaking out of its multiyear downtrend channel on the back of a weak TVC:DXY dollar. Altcoins like CRYPTO:ADAUSD and other risk assets historically wildly outperform during Global Net Liquidity uptrends and dollar debasement cycles. As the business cycle heats up with ISM Manufacturing PMI ECONOMICS:USBCOI rising above 50, expect altcoins to gain relative strength to CRYPTO:BTCUSD and a Bitcoin Dominance
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D collapse into the 35-45% range.
This is your last chance.
Cardano the next big Crypto fall to 0.37Cardano is another Crypto that is falling flat due to the tariff implementation.
And we can expect it to do so as long as price remains below 20 and 200MA>
Here are some reasons why we can expect a continued downside.
Escalating Trade Tensions: President Donald Trump's recent tariff announcements have intensified global trade disputes, leading to a broader market sell-off affecting cryptocurrencies like ADA.
Investor Shift to Bitcoin: Amid market volatility, investors are gravitating towards Bitcoin, perceived as a 'blue-chip' crypto, resulting in decreased demand for altcoins such as Cardano.
Whale Sell-Offs: Large holders have sold approximately 120 million ADA tokens recently, exerting additional downward pressure on the price.
And in technical news, the charts agree with major downside to come.
MAJOR M Formation
Price<20 and 200
Target $0.37
Let's see if Crypto is going to endure this Crypto Depression.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
ADA Long Term Projection ModelAn evolving projection on ADA. Using time and experience in the market as well as Elliot Wave methods this is my projection of the market.
Cardano: New Low or Off We Go?In line with our primary scenario, Cardano’s ADA should develop a new low as part of the blue wave (ii). However, this corrective move should conclude with sufficient distance from the $0.31 support so that the blue wave (iii) can take over afterward and drive the price decisively above the $1.32 resistance. That said, our 40% likely alternative scenario suggests that the low of wave alt.(ii) in blue may have already been settled back in February. Confirmation of this alternative trajectory would arise with a clear breakout above $1.32.
Cardano - Focus On This One Altcoin!Cardano ( CRYPTO:ADAUSD ) will lead the bullish rally:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
It really seems to be unbelievable but Cardano is 100% repeating the previous cycle which we saw back in 2018. A double bottom neckline breakout, followed by a significant rally and another break and retest and Cardano is now clearly heading towards the previous all time high.
Levels to watch: $0.6, $2.5
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
* ADA: Just Chilling *Hello again degenerados,
Just like you read in the title, COINBASE:ADAUSD is on chilling mode and I don't have anymore hair to pull out.
If you have been following my analysis, you are now expecting price to be moving towards our T1 range. HOWEVER, while we are watching COINBASE:XRPUSD and COINBASE:BTCUSD making moves, ADA is just chilling as if our future is not at stake.
But instead of pulling our bags from the exchange and end up regretting it for the rest of our lives, lets see what has been happening with Cardano:
- As you saw in the main image of this post, I have not changed my bullish bias towards Cardano yet. What helps me through this are the Price action that we see happening in XRP and BTC and how they compare to what Cardano is doing:
- XRP
- BTC
- As you can see from the charts above, both XRP and BTC are looking somewhat more bullish than Cardano but why?
- In my opinion, I think ADA is going through a consolidation phase, possible the W2 of our 5 impulse waves that creates the first bullish leg of the next bull run.
- As you can see in the Image, W1 was kinda weird and choppy which brought us to an even weirder W2, but the outcome has still not changed as we target the retest of that upper trendline in the $0.84 - $0.95 range.
- As for Wave 2, these are the following scenarios(Orange and Yellow) that I think might be happening:
- For one scenario (orange), W2 was already completed and we are now beginning W3.
- For the other scenario(yellow), we might have just completed W2 or we are pretty close to complete it with the possibility of retesting that $0.67 level.
I DON'T KNOW
The fact is that the whole financial market is being played with by geopolitical and economic wars around the world and there is nothing we can do about it.
ADA has been acting heavy. Some accumulation has definitely happened and might still be happening right now. All we need is enough stimulus for the market to start moving.
I still need to remind you to be aware of the lower trendline as our last hope of support. If price breaks through $0.65, a new wave recount will need to happen.
All we can do is wait and observe as ADA continues to test the limits of our patience.
Keep strong!
#ada price and timing projectionTA analysis shows a convergence of multiple trend lines of support and resistance. The intersection of these trend lines have shown the power of the macro bull support line. The
bear support trend line shifted to that of the 2 year Macro bull. The SMA and EMA trends are converging as well as high volatility and volume.
* ADA: PUMP OR DUMP? *Hello again fellow gamblers,
I can imagine what is going through every ADA holder at this time: "Why are we not pumping?"
Only the lords of the charts can answer that question. I rather not dig in this deep rabbit hole, it's almost nap time.
I do, however, have some interesting to show you all.
I got for yall a comparison between COINBASE:ADAUSD and COINBASE:BTCUSD :
1) Trendlines:
- We need to be aware that bitcoin is getting pretty close to that trendline, which means that it will probably face some resistance around that level and a possible downside move can happen. A dump on bitcoin could mean a huge dump on Cardano, if the buyers cannot hold that $0.6 support.
2) Purple arrows:
- If you place your attention on the purple arrow in the chart, you will realize that while Bitcoin started to pump after election day, Cardano was moving but slowly. It took some time for the momentum to pick up. The same is happening today, which means that this is normal and that soon Cardano will have their moment to shine.
3) RSI:
- The 3rd thing I would like to highlight is down at the RSI. Bitcoin has finally broken the lower high resistance that was being formed in its RSI. What does it mean? IDK, but it does makes me believe that a retest and a potential pump will happen soon.
It is time to set your alerts, check your bags, and listen to "How to fix anxiety" videos on Youtube. Things will begin to pick up pretty soon.
It seems neutral Neutral for now...could go even further down after testing support again.
Unless it tests the support and some huge green candle appears...I would not be so sure of any bull running.
What do you think?
*IMPORTANT WEEK IS ABOUT TO BEGIN*Hello fellow Degenerates,
This time I got both XRP and ADA charts together to show you both theories that created this slow and boring drama we are facing now. This week we might finally get to its conclusion, for better or worse so watch closely.
If you been observing and watching the crypto market, you know that these two tickers are the ones that will drive a lot of the market this year, and for better or for worse, their price action have always been kinda similar, with a few deviations or delays but the doodles kinda look alike.
- For better visualization, in the XRP chart is the bearish view. We need to have a break of that $2.6 level to confirm that the bulls are back. The price movement of last week created a lot of hope but we all know that this is also how the institutions enjoy playing with our emotions. If price continues down, $2.0 could be broken and $1.5 PT might be our next landing.
- On the ADA chart is the hopium for the bulls. Although it doesnt looks as bullish as XRP, it is also a characteristic of the market when starting new impulsive waves. Retail is usually not believing it, they are skeptical of the movement. The fact is that Cardano and XRP are filled with Institutional money and a faithfull community, so what the market needs is a catalyst to shake things up. What could it be? SPX recovery? XRP vs SEC settled? ETF approvals?(that wont be until at least another month)
- If you compare RSI's, the Daily RSI has still some room down towards the Higher low trendline being formed. The 1H RSI shows that this little dump we had this weekend was enough to bring it to the same levels as last week's lows and the lows from before the strategic reserve news.
The point is that we need to look at the different perspectives and be prepared for both.
Understand where price could go, manage your risk, but also understand what is coming.
I do not believe the bull cycle is over. The geopolitical and socioeconomic cycles are keeping the market in this stagnant state, but they are also what will drive it to boom like never before.
Keep your eyes open.
Bullish or Bearish? Let me know what you think!
*I am not a Pro, I'm just a beginner learning Elliot Waves and technical Analysis. This is simply my humble attempt at losing money while looking smart*
Cardano ADAUSD The Week Ahead 17th March ‘25The ADA/USD pair is currently exhibiting a bearish sentiment, sustained by the prevailing downtrend. The critical trading level to monitor is at 8,530, representing the current intraday swing low and the 50-day moving average (DMA) level.
In the short term, an oversold rally from present levels, followed by a bearish rejection at the 8,530 resistance, could lead to a downside move targeting support at 6,576, with further potential declines to 6,000 and 4,846 over a longer timeframe.
Conversely, a confirmed breakout above the 8,530 resistance level and a daily close above it would invalidate the bearish outlook. This bullish scenario could pave the way for a continued rally, aiming to retest the 9,775 resistance, with an extension to 11,244.
Conclusion:
The sentiment for ADA/USD remains bearish, with the 8,530 level acting as a critical resistance. Traders should remain cautious, waiting for either a bearish rejection or a breakout and daily close above this level to assess the next directional move.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
