XPTUSD1! trade ideas
8.3.2024 Platinum Weekend Pre Market AnalysisIt's the weekend. I like to go out to my larger charts and clean off the entire chart and start analyzing the instrument for next weeks trading.
We know that price is going to move up or down from where it currently is located, so we just need to make up a game plan to trade it..
Looking out at the 4 hour, 1 hour, and 15 minute charts for our trend and target analysis. Then dialing it down to the 3 minute or 15 minute to look for an entry!
Bullish on PL1!Looking at this market it seems to be on the bullish side, despite the fact that multiple stage 1's (wyckoff, consolidation, etc)has occurred. Just waiting for the buyers to step in then i'll pay alil more attention to see if there is a possible entry. But if it breaks below that starting point of the range i'll walk away from this market till it shapes back up to good context.
Platinum looking GREAT for upside to 1,117Platinum analysis is looking great for a (Long) Buy
And I am sure many platinum companies will follow with it.
Pattern:
Cup and Handle - Broken above
Falling Wedge - Broken above
Entry 1,019
Stop loss 971
Take profit 1,117
NATURE: HPT (High Probability Trade)
Price>20
Price>200
PL next trade long of a 30" wave B UPIt is a lot more relaxing to trade a longer timeframe, 30 " to 60" work best with Pivot Trading.
This trade is based on riding this wave up to one of these levels, in blue, these fib based numbers show most bearish to most bullish level.
I got here looking at a 5" candle which also looked promising:
we completed an ABC down on 5" to the elliot level predicted, which happens 80% of the time, and are ready to start the next set of 5 waves up, since we are in a mega Grand Supercycle bull trend for 24 years we presume up.
I suggested PL would sell off this morninggyazo.com This was the situation then, PL1! had gone up to recent ATH and set a new record for recent months. I looked at the contract 1 month out, PLQ2024 and found them way overbought, and at the top of wave 5, and there were only 3 buys that took PLQ2024 to the same high as the current contract PLN2024.
Because of all these factors, reasoned that when the current contract sold off there would be no support all the way down to recent highs. It is working.
proof:
www.tradingview.com
This contract is so thinly traded there are 0 buy contracts all the way down into the 1011.7 area.
new information, my EWT SW told me they might shoot up on a 5th wave, so set a very tight stop ( usually I use an ATR stop, but this stop was to protect profits. I took 95% of my profits, went long rode the wave up and re shorted even higher than before. 1033.30.
gyazo.com
Platinum: Destination Reached Platinum has reached our beige Target Zone between $995.40 and $1026. Within this range, the price should place the high of beige wave (4) and enter a larger sell-off. If, on the other hand, there is a direct break of the resistance at $1105 (28% likely), we will still see the price in the green wave alt.X.
PL LONGtrade logPL 976.5: I suggested we sell PL, eventually it went down to 955, see my Ideas to verify.
There was a complex ABCDE UP wave correction up Monday June 10th
we were long all day but sold the close @ R6. We rode it down to
958.6 and went long where you see the first buy. Please feel free to verify my posts. ;p
All I have been doing it using my brokers platform ThinkOrSwin to trade on alone with fewer talking.
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-- I BUY if price has reached my Keltner and bollinger band channels low.
-- I SELL if price has reached my Keltner and bollinger band channels high.
I made $1500 today. PL is volatile to the extreme, with huge margin, trade it carefully, it's not the ES!
I'm long ATM since the buy signals left behind from my trace calls.
If I can I will do a presentation soon.
PL buy outside Pivot Point rangeI showed 6 months of trades and channelged people to find a day that closed outside the PP range. usually efore the market closes if we are below S6 we rally back up into the range. If we are above R6 we fall down back into the range.
This is a high probability trade, especially if you measure how far we fell, from 1,100 to 972, there is a lot of ground to retest.
EWT says PL platinum is about to rumbleThe next wave will likely be a wave 5 up. Current PT 1133
That selloff was paper Selling, I hope everyone used stop losses.
However now we are here near the bottom of wave 4. just above S5, a powerfull buying level.
I don't know exactly when the selling ends but right now there are the potential buy levels.
Advice on trading Platinum PLPL is very volatile, by comparison with NQ it makes the NASDAQ look a little tame. Today I called for VWAP and we reached it, 1016.10 Then I called for long term support at 1022.4 we reached 1020. BUT beware a fast selloff.
Right now we are cimbing up from 1008, at 1012.20. I think we can easily get back up to VWAP and long term suipport.
Be sure you use a trailing stop loss to lock in profits! Don't let them take your hard earned profits.
PLatinum LONGWe ae at major support, a recent TOP wave 1 in blue.
This is a counter trend corrective wave 4. When the trend returns I expect a wave 5 up. Long complex, trend based... The longest wave often.
Mucho profit, more later will b e added
I have made many good and profitable calls to go long on PL in the please review then if you are unsure.
In Platinum, Triangle formed. 1st Target 1882, 2nd Target 2763.Triangle Pattern formed in Platinum Future, wait for the Breakout. Because Breakout is the Confirmation market move to the Bullish Trend. And 1st Target price is 1882, 2nd Target price 2763.
This is for Long Term Analysis.
I want to help people to Make Profit all over the World.
Platinum last line in the sand#platinum reversing at first touch of a 16 year downtrend line. I didn't see it until today, so now I know that this is the prevailing breakout line on the weekly chart.
I've drawn a small projection just to better illustrate where I think next resist/supports are, and not for timing.
Platinum Supply Gap Widens: Johnson Matthey Report AnalysisJohnson Matthey's latest report on the platinum market reveals an impending supply deficit not seen in a decade, despite some expected declines in vehicle production. The shortfall, exceeding 600,000 ounces, is driven by sustained demand across industries like automotive and industrial applications, particularly in China.
Key Points:
- **Supply Shortfall**: The report predicts a substantial deficit in platinum supply due to maintenance issues in South African smelters and lower scrap stream volumes from end-of-life vehicles.
- **Strong Demand**: Surprisingly, the automotive sector saw an 8% increase in platinum demand in 2023, mainly due to the slower-than-expected adoption of electric vehicles (EVs). Industrial applications in China also contributed to sustained demand.
- **Price Implications**: Despite the supply-demand imbalance, platinum prices have remained relatively subdued, suggesting market complexities beyond simple supply constraints.
Looking Ahead:
The report warns of potential disruptions in South Africa, a crucial platinum producer, and uncertainties around EV adoption rates as key risks to watch. Nevertheless, the persistent supply deficit is expected to define the platinum market's near-term trajectory.
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