Bitcoin Halving CyclesBitcoin halving cycles chart with signficant bear market lows and highs marked. Bull, bear and consolidation phases noted in red, green and orange.
Key data points
Previous close
—
Open
—
Day's range
—
BITCOIN IS A SOLVED GAME. AND I SOLVED IT WITH 1 FIB PULLOne single fib pull to rule them all. From top to bottom in 2018 we can clearly see how many significant levels we get:
The 2.236 level gives us the first ATH in 2021. After that we face a 30% pullback.
The 3.618 level gives us the 63k top in 2021, again to the absolute dollar.
The 4.236 level give
Halftime For Bitcoin [BTC] [PiCycle] [2YMA]Let us be curious whether the Pi-Cycle-Top-Indicator and the 2YMA hit again this time. Maybe "this time is different". But most likely - as always - not.
I watch BTC to cross PI350. And you?
Bearish Logaritmic Regression AnalysisResume
This advanced logarithmic regression predicts we are about to reach top in the middle-late June. To start a bearish long term trend.
Discussion Analysis:
To extrapolate the current logarithmic regression trend. I tried to fit a sinusoidal wave to the logarithmic regression trend. The fit
Inverse DXY 3-months forward suggests Bitcoin top early JulyInverse 3-months forward DXY (blue) seems to guide Bitcoin, and if the current DXY low holds, Bitcoin might top in early July. This idea is corroborated by The 2024-2028 Bitcoin cycle in grey, which bottomed and topped out within a similar timespan. It is also confirmed by Lars von Thienen's observa
Predicting the Next Bitcoin 200MA Peak Using Exponential DecayIn my ongoing study of Bitcoin market cycles, I noticed a compelling pattern in the behavior of the 200-day moving average (200MA) across bull markets. Specifically, I observed that the percentage rise of the 200MA from each cycle bottom to cycle top is decreasing over time, and this decline follows
Where Would Be OUR NEW ATH!A chart simply well put and long thought
It is simple and self explanatory. Fill your bags
Bear market cycle measures - BTCTurning the chart upside down helps a lot! Used exponential decay to calculate the next data point in the returns section after the midpoint in the bear market (trough to trough)
BTC - Diminishing Returns; Risk BandsNo conclusive forecasting, rather documentation of price and time trends; ATH price contraction within the bands acting as resistance, and critical extrema (lows & highs) coinciding with Fibonacci time levels.
See all ideas
Displays a symbol's price movements over previous years to identify recurring trends.