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ISP1! trade ideas

SP500 ES Weekly Recap | ATH Deviation → Pullback or Powell Pump?Overview: ES made a new all-time high last week, sweeping the previous high with strong momentum. However, the move ended up being a deviation, and the price quickly reversed — suggesting short-term exhaustion. Bearish Scenario (Baseline): 🔻 Rejection from ATH 🔻 Possible retracement targets: 12H Swing Low (turquoise line) Weekly Fair Value Gap (purple zone) I believe a pullback into those levels could provide bullish continuation setups for new highs. I’ll look for LTF confirmation once price reaches those zones. Bullish Scenario (Catalyst-Driven): 🚨 If Fed Chair Powell resigns this week (a circulating macro rumor), the market may not wait for retracement. This could lead to an aggressive breakout, driving ES and risk assets straight into new ATHs again. Plan: ✅ Watch for LTF confirmation after pullback ✅ Stay open to both scenarios ✅ Focus on HTF bullish structure as long as key levels hold
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by UA_CAPITAL
Bounce or Burial? The MES Funeral is Loading…The Micro E-mini S&P is walking a tightrope. After weeks of controlled movement within a rising parallel channel, price has now slammed into the lower boundary and the next move will define the week's direction. I've mapped the channel from the July 2 low, with multiple precise touches on both upper and lower boundaries. Currently, MES is printing a heavy rejection from the 6360 supply zone, falling nearly 90 points back to the channel’s base near 6270. Preferred Bias: Short-term Bearish Until Reclaimed While the macro structure is still technically bullish (channel intact), momentum, supply pressure, and volume structure suggest sellers are gaining the upper hand: - Mid-channel equilibrium (EQ) at 6310 was sliced without bounce - No absorption yet at 6270 demand box - Previous rally legs show decreasing impulsiveness — weakening buyers Unless bulls aggressively defend 6270 with a reclaim candle or V-shape wick, this looks like a liquidity tap + structural breakdown loading up. Bearish Play: “Channel Collapse Incoming” Entry: Break + retest of 6,255–6,260 zone SL: 6,275 (above retest structure) TP1: 6,225 TP2: 6,180 Confluences: - Channel break - No support bounce at EQ - Supply rejection at 6360 - Volume void below 6250 Bullish Play (Countertrend Fade): “Defend the Line” Entry: Bounce off 6,270 with bullish engulfing or reclaim SL: 6,255 (invalidate structure) TP1: 6,310 (mid-channel) TP2: 6,340–6,360 (supply reload zone) Only valid if buyers show up with real intent don’t pre-empt. This is a textbook inflection zone. If the lower trend line breaks and retests from below, momentum favours the bears. If bulls trap and reverse this drop at 6270, we could see a fast grind back to 6360 but as of now, all signs lean toward breakdown over bounce.
CME_MINI:MES1!Short
by stakkd
BEAR WITH ME... First of all, I'm getting into the field of other players and trying to call their type of shots. I don't intend to come across as ignorant when it comes to this market, since I only trade gold and I have seen FOREX traders try to predict gold and get it completely wrong. I have NO ARGUMENTS WHATSOEVER with which I could back this PREDICTION up; NOT PROJECTION... As a matter of fact, Technically speaking , the " PROJECTION " would actually be BULLISH , because price is entering a "discovery" phase, In which there is no previous high to "top" a potential impulse with. When price is making ATH, YOU CAN'T CALL THE TOP UNTIL THE TOP IS FORMED. That being said, I only want to have this on my profile for personal use and see if my "prediction" comes a reality between December 2025 and February 2026. --
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by PersaGold
DIYWallSt Trade Journal: Missed Entry & Climbing Back From Loss **07/11/25 Trade Journal, and ES_F Stock Market analysis ** EOD accountability report: -46.25 Sleep: 5 hours Overall health: Good ** VX Algo System Signals from (9:30am to 2pm) 3/3 success** — 9:41 AM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3! — 10:15 AM VXAlgo ES X7 Buy signal, — 10:23 AM Structure flipped bullish — 11:30 AM VXAlgo ES X3DD Sell Signal **What’s are some news or takeaway from today? and What major news or event impacted the market today? ** I was a little busy this morning and missed the chance to short the market at MOB with Bearish market structure at 9:30, so I had to wait for the next chance but when i shorted the MOB on the move up, the X7 buy signal came out and pushed market structure bullish. Ultimately If i had a better entry on my short, I would have been okay, but since i shorted early, i got stopped at at 6306 and it ended up dropping right after that. So the day actually started pretty bad and i was -300 from there and was just trying to climb back and forth the next few hours. News *LATEST TARIFF THREATS COULD DELAY RATE CUTS, CHICAGO FED’S GOOLSBEE SAYS - WSJ **What are the critical support levels to watch?** --> Above 6290= Bullish, Under 6280= Bearish Video Recaps -->https://www.tradingview.com/u/WallSt007/#published-charts
CME_MINI:ES1!
by WallSt007
2
TACO about to become TUFTThe acronym "TACO" has been adopted as a market slogan to explain the shocking volatility brought on by Trump's follow through with his campaign promises to enact and/or adjust tariff's in the USA on its trading partners around the world. The mere mention resulted in a 1,334 point sell-of culminating in April. When Trump walked back {read: backed off in terms of immediacy of effect..} the market "rallied." However, at the bottom of the lows, ES1=4,832, all strength fell out of the index and all Minor pattern lows were breached. This leads me to believe that 4,832 was just that...a LOW and not a bottom. To resolve this aspect of the price pattern in relation to strength, price and go for a higher low on less strength, or a lower low on more strength...either way, this can only result in a sell-off of .618 of 1,334, or approximately 824 points. Assuming participants intend to go lower on more strength, the bottom will be struck approximately 2,159 points lower in the 4,200 region, since this irregular B has complicated the direct 1.0 hit in the 4900 region. Still possible, but unlikely we swing within 100 points of the low, all while strength falls out and holders get brave. The other problem I see with this wave higher is that it is sloppy. How? (1) It is sloppy first of all because as it approached its 1.382 level off the first wave up (at least as noted by a premier Elliot Wave pub) it basically ripped right through. What is healthy for an impulse is to approach the 1.382, then pause for a retracement to the 1.0. (2) The wave began with an obvious 3 wave pattern, and I was surprised to see prominent publications accepting such an obvious corrective pattern as the start of a true impulse upward. The 3 waves that took us to 5,528.75 are accordingly labeled as the A wave on this chart. Even if this is an Ending Diagonal, which is a motive wave, but not an impulse, which starts with 3 waves, we should at minimum get overlap at the 5,528.75 level in order to continue higher. (3) We are getting mixed MACD readings between the daily and hourly charts right where price would be expected to blast off if the daily is correct and would be expected to fail if the hourly bearish divergence is correct. As we approach this 1.618 level of 3,398.75 on ES2, off the pattern as stated, we can use it to guage the downside expectation. A direct hit and sell-off might lead us to the conclusion that the 4900s are in order or even 5400s, but a failure here, 10-20 points off, would be considered more bearish. Giving the benefit of the doubt to price, I have included various ways that price can regain its footing, here stating a primary count that this is the Minor A of an intermediate (B) wave, because it has been very bullish, very disorganized, and has created a higher MACD reading on the daily chart. Alt count is that this is All of Intermediate (B), and Intermediate C should commence to carry price into the low 4k region. If price is to go higher, it must overcome a 3 wave start, an irregular and disorganized pattern, and conflicting strength readings...not to mention, a Fundamental hurdle that Trump Ultimately Follows Through.
CME_MINI:ES2!Short
by CuzDelux
2
MES1! Stacked Rejection & Distribution into NY ClosePrice is stalling above PDH after tapping a clear HVRA (Supply) zone. We’re seeing layered rejection with a Secondary Distribution Shelf forming beneath it a classic signature of trapped longs and passive seller absorption. If structure fails to hold above the rejection zone, we expect a reversion through the inefficiency and potential rotation into the demand base. Key Zones & Structure HVRA (Supply): 6345–6355 – Liquidity exhaustion, failed breakout Secondary Distribution Shelf: 6315–6325 – Trap zone, weak re-test Mean Reversion Target: 6285–6295 – Execution gap, inefficient rotation Absorption Zone (Demand): 6260–6275 – Institutional long buildup Bearish Trade Idea Entry: 6332 (within HVRA) Stop: 6342 (above HVRA high) TP1: 6300 – Break of shelf TP2: 6288 – Fill inefficiency TP3: 6270 – Rotation into demand R:R: Approx. 1:2.8 / 1:4.2 depending on target Staakd Outlook Stacked rejection with no volume follow-through above PDH. Unless NY reclaims 6330+ with force, structure favoUrs reversion to inefficiency and absorption zone below. Follow for post-session confirmation and Friday morning bias update. Staakd Bias: Bearish Lean ★★★★☆
CME_MINI:MES1!Short
by stakkd
Accumulation to Acceleration ESThis chart shows a long-term market analysis using Elliott Wave Theory, suggesting the market is currently in Wave 4 and preparing for a big Wave 5 rally. 📈 Past yearly moves averaged 15–21%, with 30%+ currently and up to 66% historically. 🟩 A "rebalance" zone (accumulation phase) is forming before a possible breakout. 📊 The next move projects a +60% rally, targeting 7,112 to 7,570. 🔁 Historical patterns and past rallies are being used to support this bullish forecast. Bottom line: If history repeats, a strong upward move is expected soon.
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by goat-farm
DIYWallSt Trade Journal: Starting Down $400 & Patience Pays Off 07/09/25 Trade Journal, and ES_F Stock Market analysis EOD accountability report: -271 Sleep: 4.5 hours Overall health: Good VX Algo System Signals from (9:30am to 2pm) 4/4 success 10:00 AM VXAlgo ES X1 Sell Signal 10:36 AM VXAlgo ES X3 Sell Signal 11:00 AM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3! 1:33 PM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3! What’s are some news or takeaway from today? and What major news or event impacted the market today? I took some short positions overnight and got caught in the big push up this morning and started the day with -400, I was very tempted to go big and tried to trade it back but decided it was better off just to wait for a better day to recover the account instead. Consider yesterday was a big manipulation day and today was another one but squeezing to the upside for a rug pull downwards. News *(US) FOMC JUN MINUTES: COUPLE OF PARTICIPANTS NOTED THEY WOULD BE OPEN TO CONSIDERING A RATE CUT AS SOON AS THE JULY MEETING IF DATA EVOLVE AS THEY EXPECTED (Bowman and Waller have said as much since the FOMC meeting) What are the critical support levels to watch? --> Above 6290= Bullish, Under 6280= Bearish Video Recaps -->https://www.tradingview.com/u/WallSt007/#published-charts
CME_MINI:ES1!
by WallSt007
In forty years of trading, I have tried a lot of methods....In forty years of trading, I have tried a lot of methods. Over the years, things have changed. Right now, I swing trade S & P 500 Index ETFs through a commission free broker off this chart GLOBEX FUTURES and this one single indicator. I always enter after the daily close, in the aftermarket. Trade at a price, a limit order "all or none". NOTE: You must chart FUTURES to get the signal at 6:00 PM NYC time in order to have it to position in the aftermarket. if you, chart SPX cash market, the TradingView "runtime" won't show the signal until the RTH opening "tomorrow". NO GOOD ...because overnight trading can gap the cash market. Try 5 minute chart for DAY trading Futures: use only RTH ! try configuring 3, 7, and 13, "swing" values. Happy trades! P.S. I am long right now SPX ETF.
CME_MINI:ES1!Education
by anotherDAPTrader
How to Spot Flag Patterns on TradingViewLearn to identify and trade flag patterns in TradingView with this step-by-step tutorial from Optimus Futures. Flag patterns are continuation formations that help traders join existing trends by buying high and selling higher, or selling low and buying back lower. What You'll Learn: • How to identify bullish and bearish flag patterns on any timeframe • Breaking down flag patterns into two parts: the flagpole and the flag • Finding strong flagpole formations with fast, obvious price moves • Spotting flag consolidation areas that form tight ranges • Why flag patterns work: buyer and seller psychology explained • Real chart examples showing how flag patterns develop and play out This tutorial may help futures traders and technical analysts who want to trade with market trends rather than against them. The concepts covered could assist you in identifying opportunities to join strong price movements when they pause before continuing. Learn more about futures trading with Tradingview: optimusfutures.com Disclaimer: There is a substantial risk of loss in futures trading. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Please trade only with risk capital. We are not responsible for any third-party links, comments, or content shared on TradingView. Any opinions, links, or messages posted by users on TradingView do not represent our views or recommendations. Please exercise your own judgment and due diligence when engaging with any external content or user commentary. This video represents the opinion of Optimus Futures and is intended for educational purposes only. Chart interpretations are presented solely to illustrate objective technical concepts and should not be viewed as predictive of future market behavior. In our opinion, charts are analytical tools—not forecasting instruments. Market conditions are constantly evolving, and all trading decisions should be made independently, with careful consideration of individual risk tolerance and financial objectives.
CME_MINI:ES1!Education
by OptimusFutures
1
MES Futures – ORB Strategy Long from London Open Range BreakDescription: Executed a clean ORB long trade on MES during the London session, with confirmation from the 5-min chart and structure mapped on the 15-min. Setup Breakdown: Session: London Open Strategy: Opening Range Breakout (ORB) Entry: Break of ORB high with confluence from 15-min demand zone + EMA support Stop: Below session low and structural demand Target: Previous session high & key 1HR supply zone T echnical Context: Price rejected from previous session low and formed a clear ORB range. After consolidation, a strong bullish candle broke above the range high with increasing volume and EMA cross. Trade was managed up to the previous session high and partials secured before price met the diagonal resistance trend line. Key Zones: ✅ Entry Zone: 6270.00 🟥 Stop Loss: ~6260.25 🎯 Target Area: 6287.75 (Previous Session High) 🟥 15-min Supply overhead could pose resistance Staakd Rating: ★★★★☆ (Rated 4/5 for textbook ORB play, clean risk:reward, and structure alignment)
CME_MINI:MES1!Long
by stakkd