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BTCUSD trade ideas

BITCOIN Downtrend Continues – Is $70K the Next Stop?COINBASE:BTCUSD continues to trade within a well-defined descending channel, maintaining a clear bearish market structure on the daily timeframe. After a strong rejection from the upper boundary of the channel, the price has retraced to a minor support zone around $78,000. Given the prevailing momentum and strength of the broader downtrend, this support is likely to break under continued selling pressure. A clean breakdown below this level would reinforce the bearish bias and open the door for a move toward the daily support zone near $70,000, which aligns with the lower boundary of the channel. This zone marks a potential area of interest where price may react or attempt a short-term bounce. However, unless there is a significant shift in momentum, the path of least resistance remains to the downside. Traders should watch for confirmation of the bearish continuation, such as lower highs, weak bullish pullbacks, or increased volume on red candles, before considering short entries. If you align with this outlook or have additional perspectives, feel free to share your thoughts below.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by DanieIM
140
Bitcoin + Major altcoins requests! (write your altcoin)I am here to help the TradingView crypto community with decisions on altcoins. Write a comment with your altcoin + hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response. While Bitcoin is heading towards 69,000 USDT, please take a look at my newest technical analysis. The price of Bitcoin is inside this falling wedge pattern, and I expect a drop! I will analyze all your altcoins. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Xanrox
171
BITCOIN → The price is consolidating, but there is a BUT!BINANCE:BTCUSDT is forming a consolidation after a false breakout of trend resistance. Against the backdrop of the global market crash (stock market, futures, forex) bitcoin looks quite strong, but I wouldn't get excited ahead of time Bitcoin is trading inside a downtrend and also inside a range (global 81200 - 88800 and local 81200 - 85600). As long as the price is inside the local range and below trend resistance it is worth considering selling. There have been periods in history when the price seemed strong in the moment, but then, bitcoin caught up with the fall of indices... The fundamental background for bitcoin is unstable: First of all, the price has hardly reacted in any way to the introduction of tariffs, backlash and economic data. The Fed is not giving a clear signal, the market is in uncertainty. Any info noise ( China, Fed rhetoric, company reports ) can cause shake-ups. But at the same time, the same old problems remain: the crypto community is not getting any support. Bitcoin's dominance is growing against the backdrop of its decline. Altcoins continue to storm the bottom. Technically , the situation is weak, the price cannot update local highs and consolidate above any strong support. It is possible to retest the trend resistance, or the zone of interest 85590 before the reversal and fall. Or, emphasis on the trigger 81187. A breakdown will provoke an impulse. Resistance levels: trend, 85585, 88840. Support levels: 81187, 78170, 73500 Buying in the medium term can be considered either after reaching the main target - 73-66K, or after the exit from the descending channel and price fixation above 88840. Now the emphasis is on a possible fall either from the resistance 85580, or when the support 81180 is broken Regards R. Linda!
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by RLinda
60
A Closer Look at Bitcoin's Elliot Wave PatternHello friends, today we'll attempt to analyze the Bitcoin chart using Elliot Waves. Our approach will involve using Elliot Wave theory and structures, which involve multiple possibilities. The analysis we present here focuses on one potential scenario that seems possible to us. Please note that this information is for educational purposes only and should not be considered trading advice or investment tips. There's a risk of being completely wrong, so never trade based solely on this post. We're not responsible for any profits or losses. Individuals should consult a financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions. Now, let's discuss the Bitcoin chart. On the daily chart, we can see that a black primary degree wave has completed its ((4th)) wave, and the ((5th)) wave has started. Within the fifth wave, an intermediate degree wave is unfolding, which will have its own set of waves (1), (2), (3), (4), (5). The primary black degree wave five will be complete once the intermediate degree wave is finished. We've drawn accounts on the chart, illustrating the entire structure, including the nearest invalidation level at around $76,666 and the real invalidation level below $50,000. I hope this analysis based on Elliot Wave theory has helped you understand the chart better and learn something new. Please keep in mind that this is for educational purposes only. I am not Sebi registered analyst. My studies are for educational purpose only. Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing. I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses. Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else. However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business. If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...! Hope this post is helpful to community Thanks RK💕 Disclaimer and Risk Warning. The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by RK_Chaarts
20
Bitcoin - This Is Just Unbelievable!Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) is not dropping at all: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 After we have been seeing one of the craziest weekly drops which I have experienced in my entire trading history, all major cryptos and especially Bitcoin are strongly holding their levels. Since bullish strength continues quite often, I do expect new all time highs on Bitcoin soon. Levels to watch: $70.000, $300.000 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by basictradingtv
29
BITCOIN is exactly where it's supposed to be.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is under heavy pressure lately due to the trade tariffs but as long-term investors, we shouldn't let this volatility affect us. The MVRV has been one of the most consistent cyclical Top (sell high) and Bottom (buy low) indicators giving only a maximum of two optimal signals in each Cycle and it shows that the market is nowhere near a Top. On the contrary the MVRV has spend the first 3 months of the year correcting from the 0.382 Fibonacci level to the 0.236. This is the exact same score it had i March 2017. Even in the other two Cycles that wasn't this low on Fibonacci levels, it still made a correction, flashing a red signal. As the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) continues to support, there are far more greater probabilities that the market will recover, turning the recent trade volatility into the best buy opportunity of 2025. As far as a Cycle Top is concerned, it has always been an excellent exit signal when the MVRV hit the 0.786 Fib. So do you think that will be the case? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
16
Mastering RSI Divergence: A Complete Guide to Trend ReversalsWhat Are Divergences? In this guide, we will explore the concept of divergence and how it can be effectively utilized alongside the Relative Strength Index (RSI), one of the most popular momentum indicators in technical analysis. Divergence occurs when the price of an asset moves in the opposite direction of an indicator, such as the RSI. Understanding RSI divergence can be a powerful tool for identifying potential trend reversals or continuations. In this guide, we'll delve into the various types of divergence that can occur with the RSI and how to incorporate them into your trading strategy. Types of Divergences? There are three primary types of divergence: bullish, bearish, and hidden divergence. Each signals a distinct market condition and potential outcome, and understanding these nuances is key to using divergence effectively in your trading. 1. Bullish Divergence Bullish divergence happens when the price of an asset makes a lower low, while the RSI forms a higher low. This indicates that although the price is declining, momentum is weakening. The failure of the RSI to confirm the new low in price suggests that selling pressure is diminishing, potentially signaling that a reversal to the upside could occur. Essentially, the market is losing its downward momentum, setting the stage for a potential bullish move. 2. Bearish Divergence Bearish divergence occurs when the price forms a higher high, but the RSI forms a lower high. This indicates that although the price is rising, momentum is weakening. It suggests that the uptrend may be losing steam, signaling that a potential reversal to the downside could be on the horizon. As the price continues higher, but the RSI fails to confirm the new highs, it may indicate that the market is becoming overextended and ready for a correction. 3. Hidden Divergence Hidden divergence differs from regular divergence in that it signals a continuation of the existing trend, rather than a reversal. It typically occurs during pullbacks or retracements in a strong trend. Hidden divergence can appear in both uptrends and downtrends, providing traders with an indication that the prevailing trend is likely to continue after the short-term retracement is over. This type of divergence serves as a confirmation of trend strength and helps traders stay in profitable positions during market pullbacks. Why Are RSI Divergences a Powerful Tool? RSI divergence is a powerful tool in trading because it offers early insights into potential trend reversals or shifts in momentum before these changes are fully reflected in price movements. By recognizing divergence, traders can anticipate shifts in market sentiment and make timely decisions. One of the main reasons RSI divergence is so effective is that it serves as an early warning system. It signals when the momentum behind a price trend, whether up or down, is starting to weaken. For example, in a strong uptrend, if prices continue to make new highs, but the RSI fails to reach new highs, this could signal that the buying momentum is losing strength, even though the price is still rising. This divergence indicates that a reversal or pullback might be imminent, allowing traders to exit their positions or prepare for a potential shift in market direction. Understanding this early warning can provide traders with an edge, helping them avoid being caught in the late stages of a trend and positioning themselves ahead of a change. How to Trade RSI Divergences? When the price makes a higher high but the RSI fails to confirm with a higher high, this is known as bearish divergence. While this situation suggests weakening momentum, it doesn’t necessarily mean a correction is imminent. The price may continue to rise for some time, and eventually, the RSI could catch up and make a higher high in line with the price action. Essentially, the market could remain in an uptrend, and the RSI could still align with the price over time. This highlights the importance of not jumping to conclusions solely based on RSI divergence. Divergence can act as a useful warning, but it should not be relied upon as a definitive signal of a trend reversal. To increase the reliability of the signal, traders should wait for additional confirmation, such as a candlestick pattern indicating a potential trend reversal. Candlestick patterns like engulfing patterns, doji candles, or shooting stars at key support or resistance levels can provide stronger evidence that the trend may be about to change. Therefore, it’s wise to wait for a more comprehensive confirmation from price action before making a move, rather than acting on divergence alone. Combining RSI divergence with other technical tools, such as candlestick patterns or chart patterns, can help increase the accuracy of your trade decisions. Conclusion: Divergence is a powerful tool that provides valuable insights into potential trend reversals or continuations. By understanding the different types of divergence and knowing how to identify them, traders can make more informed decisions. However, divergence should always be used in conjunction with other technical analysis tools to enhance the accuracy of your strategy. With practice, patience, and proper risk management, divergence trading can become a profitable strategy for identifying key market turning points. Whether you are seeking trend reversals or confirming ongoing trends, RSI divergence can be an essential component of your trading toolkit. Thanks for your support. - Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis! - Drop a like and leave a comment!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by Youriverse
48
BITCOIN Outlook: Watch for a Drop Toward $85100COINBASE:BTCUSD has reached a key resistance level, an area that has been a key point of interest where sellers have regained control, leading to notable reversals in the past. Given this, there is potential for a bearish reaction if price action confirms rejection, such as a bearish engulfing candle, long upper wicks or increased selling volume. If the resistance level holds, I anticipate a downward move toward 85,100$, which represents a logical target based on previous price behavior and market structure. However, if the price breaks above this zone and sustains above it, the bearish outlook may be invalidated, leading to further upside. Just my take on support and resistance zones, not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by TrendDiva
34
BITCOIN Bollinger squeeze and 1D Death Cross aiming at $150kBitcoin (BTCUSD) will complete today a 1D Death Cross (1D MA50 crossing below the 1D MA200). A technically bearish pattern in theory but in practice it has been one of the greatest buy signals during the 2023 - 2025 Bull Cycle. ** Bollinger Squeeze, 1D Death Cross, 1W MA50 ** As you can see, since the long-term Channel Up started with the November 21 2022 Bear Cycle bottom, we have had another two 1D Death Crosses. Both took place on the Channel Up bottoms (September 04 2023 and August 05 2024), serving as Higher Lows for the pattern. At the same time, the price had a test (or close) of the 1W MA50 (red trend-line), while the Bollinger Bands (blue cloud) have already started to squeeze. This squeeze is critical as it was even present during the November 21 2022 Bear market bottom, having started a little earlier on October 31 2022. In fact the squeeze started earlier on all three bottom phases and even on the current price action we are seeing so far a Bollinger Squeeze since March 17 2025, a little after the near test of the 1W MA50. ** The Transition Month ** In typical cyclical manner, each year had one Channel Up bottom. This bottom process (consisting of the Bollinger Squeeze, 1D Death Cross and 1W MA50 test) technically appears once a year. We call this month 'Transition Month', which is the necessary phase that BTC spends to go from the bottom to the new Bullish Leg of the Channel Up. In 2022 that month was December, in 2023 it was September and in 2024 August. Since all bottom conditions have been met this time also, we expect April to be the 2025 Transition Month. ** What's next? ** As far as the next leg up in concerned, all 3 previous Bullish Legs rose by at least +100% from the bottom. Since March 10 was the close test of the 1W MA50, we can consider that the bottom from which to measure the +100% leg up. That suggests that BTC will hit at least $150000 on the next top. But what do you think? Has this Bollinger Squeeze, 1D Death Cross, 1W MA50 Triple Combo just priced the new bottom? And if yes, will April be the Transition Month for the new Bullish Leg to $150k? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
6
BTC - Analyzing monthly momentum shifts with the Stoch RSI!What is the stoch rsi? The Stochastic RSI (Stoch RSI) is a momentum indicator that applies the stochastic oscillator to the RSI, making it more sensitive to price changes. The Stochastic RSI has two lines: Blue line = the fast momentum line
Orange line = the slower momentum line How It Works: * Helps identify overbought (above 80) and oversold (below 20) conditions. * Crossing above 20 signals possible bullish momentum. * Crossing below 80 signals possible bearish momentum. Why Use It? * Reacts faster than regular RSI. * Helps spot momentum shifts and reversals. * Best used with other indicators for confirmation. Analyzing the Monthly BTC Chart Through the Lens of Stochastic RSI: A Cycle Comparison in this discussion, we’ll take a deep dive into the monthly Bitcoin (BTC) chart and examine how the Stochastic RSI aligns with previous market cycles, dating back to 2016. By comparing BTC’s historical price action with Stoch RSI signals, we aim to identify recurring patterns, overbought and oversold conditions, and how momentum shifts have played a role in past bull and bear markets. Understanding these correlations could provide valuable insights into where BTC currently stands in its broader cycle and what to expect next. Let’s break it down.   Let's dive into the bullmarket of 2016/2017: In 2016 and 2017, the Stochastic RSI on the monthly BTC chart stayed consistently above the 80 level, often fluctuating between 80 and 100. During this period, the blue line occasionally crossed below the orange line, signaling a short-term pullback. When this cross occurred, it was typically followed by a red candle in the next month, indicating a brief dip before the price continued its upward movement. This pattern appeared multiple times throughout the bull market, allowing BTC to make higher highs and pushing the price further up. However, the key turning point came when both the blue and orange lines crossed below the 80 level. This marked a shift in momentum, often leading to a significant drop in price or even a bear market phase. When the Stochastic RSI fell below 80 and remained there, it indicated that bullish momentum had stalled, and a potential reversal or prolonged downtrend was likely to follow. This was a critical signal for traders to watch during the bull cycle.   What happened in 2019-2021? In 2019, the Stochastic RSI on the monthly BTC chart quickly moved from the oversold region to the overbought area, reflecting a rapid surge in BTC’s price during that time. This sharp movement in the Stochastic RSI mirrored the fast-paced price increase. However, once the Stochastic RSI entered the overbought zone, the blue line crossed below the orange line, signaling a potential reversal. When this happened, the Stochastic RSI fell below the 80 level, indicating that bullish momentum was weakening. This crossover was a critical signal of potential downside, suggesting that BTC could experience a correction or even an extended period of bearish pressure. The decline in the Stochastic RSI below 80 marked the beginning of a phase where BTC faced increased downside momentum, leading to a correction in price for months. Later in the cycle BTC and the Stoch RSI went up to the overbought area ones again. When the Stoch RSI with the blue and orange line crossed below the 80 was the start of a prolonged bear market. What occured in this cycle? In the current cycle of Bitcoin (BTC), there have been three notable crosses on the Stochastic RSI, which offer important insights into market conditions. The first cross stayed above the 80 level, which typically signals an overbought condition. When the Stochastic RSI is above 80, it indicates that the market may be experiencing strong bullish momentum, but it's also at risk of becoming overextended, potentially signaling a reversal. However, the other two crosses occurred as the Stochastic RSI moved below the 80 level, which is generally interpreted as a sign that the bullish momentum is weakening and that further downside could be in play. The fact that these two crosses occurred below the 80 level suggests that the overbought conditions are being worked off, and momentum may be shifting to the downside. The last cross is still in play. The momentum is quickly turning to the downside while BTC is facing downside pressure How can we compare this cycle with the last ones? In the last cycle of BTC, there were two key crosses of the Stochastic RSI below the 80 level, both of which marked important turning points for the market. The first cross below the 80 level triggered a significant crash of around 70%, which was a sharp correction from the bull market's peak. This steep drop signified a clear shift in market sentiment, with the bearish trend beginning to take hold. The second cross below 80 marked the official start of the bear market, though it wasn’t as dramatic as the first crash. An interesting aspect of the second cross was that Bitcoin briefly made a slightly higher high before the decline, which might have seemed like a potential sign of recovery or a continuation of the bullish trend. However, this higher high was not sustainable, and the bearish momentum quickly took over, confirming that the market had turned decisively to the downside. This higher high can often be seen as a bull trap, where traders were temporarily lured into thinking the market was rebounding, only for the price to reverse sharply. In contrast, the cycle before this one was marked by Bitcoin staying consistently above the 80 level for the entire duration of the bull market. The Stochastic RSI remained elevated, reflecting strong bullish momentum and a prolonged uptrend. Once the Stochastic RSI crossed below the 80 level, it signaled the official start of the bear market. This transition from above to below 80 is often seen as a clear indication that the overbought conditions had been worked off, and the market was beginning to lose its bullish steam. In both cycles, the Stochastic RSI's behavior has been crucial in identifying key points where the market shifted from bullish to bearish. In the most recent cycle, the sharp crash following the first cross below 80 and the subsequent bear market beginning with the second cross below 80 highlight the significance of this indicator in forecasting major market changes. Meanwhile, in the previous cycle, the sustained time spent above 80 helped to keep the bullish momentum intact until the market finally reversed with that pivotal cross below 80. These patterns suggest that once Bitcoin’s Stochastic RSI starts crossing below the 80 level after an extended period of bullish movement, it’s a strong signal that the market is entering a phase of weakness and may eventually lead to a bear market. Conclusion: The current cycle shows similarities to the 2019/2021 cycle, particularly with the second cross down on the Stochastic RSI, which previously marked a local top. There is a strong possibility that this could signal a cycle top. Thanks for your support. - Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis! - Drop a like and leave a comment!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Youriverse
42
Position Sizing StrategiesPosition sizing is one of the most important aspects in risk management for traders. Proper position sizing helps manage the risk effectively by maximizing profits and limiting the losses. In this publication, we will explore popular position sizing strategies and how to implement them in pinescript strategies 🎲 Importance of Position Sizing in Trading Let's take an example to demonstrate the importance of position sizing. You have a very good strategy that gives you win on 70% of the times with risk reward of 1:1. If you start trading with this strategy with all your funds tied into a single trade, you have the risk of losing most of your fund in the first few trades and even with 70% win rate at later point of time, you may not be able to recoup the losses. In such scenarios, intelligent position sizing based on the events will help minimize the loss. In this tutorial, let us discuss some of those methods along with appropriate scenarios where that can be used. 🎲 Position Sizing Strategies Available in Tradingview Strategy Implementation 🎯 Fixed dollar amount position sizing In this method, trader allocate a fixed value of X per trade. Though this method is simple, there are few drawbacks Does not account for varying equity based on the trade outcomes Does not account for varying risk based on the volatility of the instrument 🎯 Fixed Percentage of Equity In this method, percent of equity is used as position size for every trade. This method is also simple and slightly better than the Fixed dollar amount position sizing. However, there is still a risk of not accounting for volatility of the instrument for position sizing. In tradingview strategies, you can find the position sizing settings in the properties section. In both cases, Pinescript code for the entry does not need to specify quantity explicitly, as they will be taken care by the framework. if(longEntry) strategy.entry('long', strategy.long) if(shortEntry) strategy.entry('short', strategy.short) 🎲 Advanced Position Sizing Strategies There are not directly supported in Tradingview/Pinescript - however, they can be programmed. 🎯 Fixed Fractional Method The Fixed Fractional Method is similar to the fixed percentage of equity method/fixed dollar amount positioning method, but it takes into account the amount of risk on each trade and calculate the position size on that basis. This method calculates position size based on the trader’s risk tolerance, factoring in stop-loss levels and account equity. Due to this, the trader can use any instrument and any timeframe with any volatility with fixed risk position. This means, the quantity of overall trade may vary, but the risk will remain constant. Example. Let's say you have 1000 USD with you and you want to trade BTCUSD with entry price of 100000 and stop price of 80000 and target of 120000. You want to risk only 5% of your capital for this trade. Calculation will be done as follows. Risk per trade = 5% of 1000 = 50 USD Risk per quantity = (entry price - stop price) = 20000 So, the quantity to be used for this trade is calculated by RiskQty = Risk Amount / Risk Per Quantity = 50 / 20000 = 0.0025 BTC To implement the similar logic in Pinescript strategy by using the strategy order quantity as risk, we can use the following code riskAmount = strategy.default_entry_qty(entryPrice)*entryPrice riskPerQty = math.abs(entryPrice-stopPrice) riskQty = riskAmount/riskPerQty With this, entry and exit conditions can be updated to as follows if(longEntry) strategy.entry('long', strategy.long, riskQty, stop=entryPrice) strategy.exit('ExitLong', 'long', stop=stopPrice, limit=targetPrice) if(shortEntry) strategy.entry('short', strategy.short, riskQty, stop=entryPrice) strategy.exit('ExitShort', 'short', stop=stopPrice, limit=targetPrice) 🎯 Kelly Criterion Method The Kelly Criterion is a mathematical formula used to determine the optimal position size that maximizes the long-term growth of capital, considering both the probability of winning and the payoff ratio (risk-reward). It’s a more sophisticated method that balances risk and reward in an optimal way. Kelly Criterion method needs a consistent data on the expected win ratio. As and when the win ratio changes, the position sizing will adjust automatically. Formula is as follows f = W - L/R f: Fraction of your capital to bet. W : Win Ratio L : Loss Ratio (1-W) R : Risk Reward for the trade Let's say, you have a strategy that provides 60% win ratio with risk reward of 1.5, then the calculation of position size in terms of percent will be as follows f = 0.6 - 0.4/1.5 = 0.33 Pinescript equivalent of this calculation will be riskReward = 2 factor = 0.1 winPercent = strategy.wintrades/(strategy.wintrades+strategy.losstrades) kkPercent = winPercent - (1-winPercent)/riskReward tradeAmount = strategy.equity * kkPercent * factor tradeQty = tradeAmount/entryPrice 🎲 High Risk Position Sizing Strategies These strategies are considered very high risk and high reward. These are also the strategies that need higher win ratio in order to work effectively. 🎯Martingale Strategy The Martingale method is a progressive betting strategy where the position size is doubled after every loss. The goal is to recover all previous losses with a single win. The basic idea is that after a loss, you double the size of the next trade to make back the lost money (and make a profit equal to the original bet size). How it Works: If you lose a trade, you increase your position size on the next trade. You keep doubling the position size until you win. Once you win, you return to the original position size and start the process again. To implement martingale in Pine strategy, we would need to calculate the last consecutive losses before placing the trade. It can be done via following code. var consecutiveLosses = 0 if(ta.change(strategy.closedtrades) > 0) lastProfit = strategy.closedtrades.profit(strategy.closedtrades-1) consecutiveLosses := lastProfit > 0? 0 : consecutiveLosses + 1 Quantity can be calculated using the number of consecutive losses qtyMultiplier = math.pow(2, consecutiveLosses) baseQty = 1 tradeQty = baseQty * qtyMultiplier 🎯Paroli System (also known as the Reverse Martingale) The Paroli System is similar to the Anti-Martingale strategy but with more defined limits on how much you increase your position after each win. It's a progressive betting system where you increase your position after a win, but once you've won a set number of times, you reset to the original bet size. How it Works: Start with an initial bet. After each win, increase your bet by a predetermined amount (often doubling it). After a set number of wins (e.g., 3 wins in a row), reset to the original position size. To implement inverse martingale or Paroli system through pinescript, we need to first calculate consecutive wins. var consecutiveWins = 0 var maxLimit = 3 if(ta.change(strategy.closedtrades) > 0) lastProfit = strategy.closedtrades.profit(strategy.closedtrades-1) consecutiveWins := lastProfit > 0? consecutiveWins + 1 : 0 if(consecutiveWins >= maxLimit) consecutiveWins := 0 The quantity is then calculated using a similar formula as that of Martingale, but using consecutiveWins qtyMultiplier = math.pow(2, consecutiveWins) baseQty = 1 tradeQty = baseQty * qtyMultiplier 🎯D'Alembert Strategy The D'Alembert strategy is a more conservative progression method than Martingale. You increase your bet by one unit after a loss and decrease it by one unit after a win. This is a slow, incremental approach compared to the rapid growth of the Martingale system. How it Works: Start with a base bet (e.g., $1). After each loss, increase your bet by 1 unit. After each win, decrease your bet by 1 unit (but never go below the base bet). In order to find the position size on pinescript strategy, we can use following code // Initial position initialposition = 1.0 var position = initialposition // Step to increase or decrease position step = 2 if(ta.change(strategy.closedtrades) > 0) lastProfit = strategy.closedtrades.profit(strategy.closedtrades-1) position := lastProfit > 0 ? math.max(initialposition, position-step) : position+step Conclusion Position sizing is a crucial part of trading strategy that directly impacts your ability to manage risk and achieve long-term profitability. By selecting the appropriate position sizing method, traders can ensure they are taking on an acceptable level of risk while maximizing their potential rewards. The key to success lies in understanding each strategy, testing it, and applying it consistently to align with your risk tolerance and trading objectives.
TRADENATION:BTCUSDEducation
by Trendoscope
8
BITCOIN I H1 CLS within Daily CLS I Model 2 I 50% TP1 and HoldHey Traders!! Feel free to share your thoughts, charts, and questions in the comments below—I'm about fostering constructive, positive discussions! 🧩 What is CLS? CLS represents the "smart money" across all markets. It brings together the capital from the largest investment and central banks, boasting a daily volume of over 6.5 trillion. ✅By understanding how CLS operates—its specific modes and timings—you gain a powerful edge with more precise entries and well-defined targets. 🛡️Follow me and take a closer look at Models 1 and 2. These models are key to unlocking the market's potential and can guide you toward smarter trading decisions. 📍Remember, no strategy offers a 100%-win rate—trading is a journey of constant learning and improvement. While our approaches often yield strong profits, occasional setbacks are part of the process. Embrace every experience as an opportunity to refine your skills and grow. Wishing you continued success on your trading journey. May this educational post inspire you to become an even better trader! “Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own.” David Perk ⚔
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by David_Perk
12
Bitcoin: 76K Test Watch For Reversal.Bitcoin has broken the 81,500 minor support and is now in the process of testing the recent swing low 78K to 76K AREA. With the lower high structure at the 88K area (see arrow) in place, a lower low is likely to follow in the coming week. The question is how much lower? One reasonable estimate is a test of 73K (the previous all time high before November). The current area between 79 and 76K does present a buying opportunity on multiple time horizons (investment, swing trades, day trades) but the key to timing this WAITING for confirmation. From the investing perspective, this is an attractive low because this may establish a reversal formation (double bottom) which may be the bottom of Wave 4. IF this turns out to be true, Wave 5 can potentially begin here. Price can probe as far as 64K before overlapping with Wave 1 of this impulse. Stepping into this our placing a limit order at a lower price is reasonable, but managing risk on this time horizon has a lot to do with your sizing strategy (I have explained this on many streams). Keep in mind price can BREAK and test 73K or lower and you must consider that possibility into your sizing strategy. As far as swing trades, its the same idea except this is where a defined risk (stop) and profit objective has to be assigned (Trade Scanner Pro shines here). While the level is ideal for a double bottom or failed low (see illustration), there is NO confirmation. So it is still highly risky to step into this, especially in light of the stock market situation, etc. Wait for a bullish pin bar, engulfing candle, etc. You can define risk from there and utilize at least a 2:1 or greater profit objective. For day trades, its the same process just on smaller time frames, (1 min to 15 min). Just on the day trade time frame, at this time, SHORTS can still be attractive on minor retracements because momentum on these time frames is CLEARLY bearish. If 79K breaks, there is a greater chance momentum continues toward the 76K AREA low. I realize there must be some news catalyst in play to spark such a move. DO NOT react to the news, this is often a mistake. It doesn't matter what it is because this is a game of recognizing herd mentality behavior and identifying potential opportunities in this context. You want to anticipate an inflection point, WAIT for price behavior to confirm. At that point you can identify risk, and profit expectations. THIS is a MORE objective process compared to "thinking" you know how the news will affect a market. Keep decision making as simple as the "IF this, then that" framework which gives you a more accurate view of market intent since it encourages a more passive view rather than asserting your own irrelevant opinions. Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by MarcPMarkets
7
BITCOIN This is where the most aggressive part begins.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has turned sideways amidst the tariffs implementation today and on the longer picture (1W time-frame) it remains supported just above the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line). On this chart we display our Parabolic Growth Channel (PGC), which is the long-term Zone where BTC is a buy opportunity. Throughout the market's historic Cycles, the time when BTC was supported above the 1W MA50 but still within its PGC was known as an Accumulation Phase (blue ellipse) before the final parabolic rally of the Cycle and its eventual Top (green Arc). Based on this model, so far we haven't seen any such rally, despite the undoubtedly strong rallies of October 2023 - March 2024 and October 2024 - December 2024. Only the March 2024 and then the recent Tops can be counted as marginal breaches above the PGC and it's been no surprise that the market corrected back inside the Buy Zone but remained supported by the 1W MA50. As long as it does, the probabilities of that final, most aggressive Cycle rally get stronger. On the last Cycle the peak was priced just above the 1.618 Fibonacci extension. That is currently a little below $170k and that is why our final Target is just below at $160000. Also right now we are marginally below the 0.618 Cycle top-to-top Fib, which is in line to where all previous final Cycle parabolic rallies started. So do you think the 1W MA50 will now push BTC to its final Cycle rally? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
5
BITCOIN Is it still on track with past Cycles??Bitcoin (BTCUSD) saw a strong correction last week as well as early trade yesterday on Monday, along with all major stock markets, but had an equally impressive round on Wall Street opening, which keeps it so far above its key 1W MA50 on a potentially weekly closing. So the critical question now is this: Will it continue the pattern of past Cycles and give one more major rally in 2025? Well based on the BTC Rainbow Waves, it is still on track and actually in a similar situation as July 2013 when after a 3-month correction/ pull-back sequence, it got back to the Blue Buy Zone and near the Fair Value green trend-line. As you can see all Cycles peaked on the Red Zone and so far on this Cycle we haven't even reached the 1st orange trend-line. Based on the Time Cycles, the next peak should be around November 2025 and if the price action confirms the Rainbow Wave model again, the closest level to the Red Zone by then would be around $180000. Do you think that amidst the trade war chaos, that's a realistic expectation? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! P.S. I am attaching a snapshot below in case the waves aren't displayed properly on the chart above: ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
9
BTC - One More Leg...Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders! This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📉 BTC has been overall bearish , trading within the falling channel marked in red. But the big question is — where could the potential bottom be? 👉 I’m watching the $70,000 zone! Here’s why: The $70,000 area is a key confluence zone — it aligns with the lower red trendline, horizontal support, a psychological round number, and a potential demand zone. 📚 According to my trading style: As #BTC approaches the blue circle zone, I’ll be looking for bullish reversal setups — such as a double bottom pattern, trendline break, and more. 📚 Reminder: Always stick to your trading plan — entry, risk management, and trade management are key. Good luck, and happy trading! All Strategies Are Good, If Managed Properly! ~Rich
TICKMILL:BTCUSDLong
by TheSignalyst
18
Will BITCOIN prove to be resilient amidst this market crash??Bitcoin (BTCUSD) just hit its 1W MA50 (red trend-line) for the first time since September 06 2024, while completing the first 1D Death Cross since August 09 2024. This is a critical double combo development as last time those conditions emerged it was a bullish signal. Despite the theoretically bearish nature of the Death Cross, the last one on 1D was formed just four days after the market's previous major long-term bottom of August 05 2024. That bottom was exactly on the level that the market hit today, the 1W MA50. The 1W RSI sequences among the 2 fractals are identical and if it wasn't for the abysmal negative market fundamentals regarding the back-and-forth tariffs, that would be an automatic long-term buy entry, the 3rd on of this Bull Cycle. The only condition we can technically rely on right now, amidst the stock market crash, is for the weekly candle to close above the 1W MA50, as it did on August 05 2024. In that case and of course if and only if the trade war gets under control (and/ or the Fed makes an urgent rate cut), we can expect a new long-term Bullish Leg to begin towards $150k and above. Failure to address those concerns and a 1W candle close below the 1W MA50, can result into a stronger sell-off towards $50000 and the next long-term technical Support level of the August 05 2024 Low (49150). That would also be a major Support cluster as the 1W MA200 (gray trend-line) is just below that level (and holding since October 16 2023) and by the time of the drop, the market may test that as well. So what do you think? Will BTC turn out to be resilient amidst this market crash or will it follow suit and decline towards $50k? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
5
BTCUSD: We are nowhere near the top.Bitcoin has turned neutral again on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 52.405, MACD = -937.300, ADX = 31.574) and should turn bullish once it crosses above its 1D MA50, which is now a 2 month Resistance. This simple illustration of cyclical tops and bottoms shows that the market is nowhere near a top and we will not consider selling until we enter October (2025). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by InvestingScope
5
BTCUSD Analysis Today: Technical and On-Chain !In this video, I will share my BTCUSD analysis by providing my complete technical and on-chain insights, so you can watch it to improve your crypto trading skillset. The video is structured in 4 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the on-chain data analysis, then I will be moving to the liquidation maps analysis and lastly, I will be putting together these 3 different types of analysis.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Transparent_Fx_Academy
2
BTCUSD: 1D Death Cross can push it to $150k by August.Bitcoin turned bearish again on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 43.071, MACD = -1375.000, ADX = 26.965) showcasing the high volatility that yesterday's tariffs announcement inflicted. 1W remains marginally neutral though (RSI = 45.519), highlighting the long term buy opportunity the current levels present. The market is about to form the first 1D Death Cross, which occurs when the 1D MA50 crosses under the 1D MA200, since August 9th 2024. Even though that's technically a bearish formation, it has worked only as a bottom market during the current Bull Cycle. Both the Aug 9th 2024 and September 11th 2023 1D Death Crosses were formed exactly when BTC bottomed. In symmetric fashion the first two were formed 150 days after the previous high and rose by at least +96.86% by the 1.786 Time Fibonacci extension. Also both bottoms held the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level. This time the 1D Death Cross will be formed approximately 109 days after the previous high, which means that this phase is more aggressive than the others and may equally be more aggresive on the bullish wave too. Still, if it 'just' repeats the previous ones, we estimate to reach $150,000 by this August. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by InvestingScope
2