Mastering the RSI - How to use it in trading?What will be discussed?
- What is the RSI?
- RSI overbought
- RSI oversold
- RSI divergences
- How to use the RSI
- How to trade with the RSI
What is the RSI?โจ
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a popular momentum oscillator used in technical analysis to measure the speed and change of price movements. Developed by J. Welles Wilder Jr., it ranges from 0 to 100 and helps traders evaluate whether a security is overbought or oversold. The RSI typically uses a 14-period timeframe and is calculated based on the average gains and losses over that period. A rising RSI suggests increasing buying momentum, while a falling RSI indicates growing selling pressure.
RSI overbought
โจWhen the RSI rises above 70, the asset is generally considered overbought. This condition indicates that the price may have risen too quickly and could be due for a correction or pullback. However, being overbought doesn't automatically mean a reversal will occur, it signals that bullish momentum is strong, and traders should be cautious of potential trend exhaustion.
RSI oversoldโจ
Conversely, an RSI reading below 30 is typically seen as a sign that the asset is oversold. This condition suggests the price may have fallen too sharply and could be primed for a rebound. Just like with the overbought condition, an oversold RSI doesnโt guarantee an immediate reversal but serves as a warning that bearish momentum may be overextended.
RSI divergencesโจ
Divergences occur when the RSI and the price of the asset move in opposite directions. A bullish divergence happens when the price makes a lower low, but the RSI forms a higher low, potentially signaling a reversal to the upside. A bearish divergence occurs when the price makes a higher high, but the RSI creates a lower high, possibly indicating a downward reversal. Divergences are often used to spot early signs of trend changes.
How to use the RSI?โจ
To use the RSI effectively, traders typically look for overbought and oversold conditions to time entries and exits, combine it with other technical indicators for confirmation, and watch for divergences as a sign of potential reversals. RSI can also be adapted for different timeframes or strategies, depending on whether the trader is looking for short-term swings or long-term trend analysis. While itโs a powerful tool, RSI should not be used in isolation, it works best as part of a broader trading plan that considers market context and risk management.
How to trade with the RSI?
The RSI can be a powerful tool for identifying potential trade setups. When the price approaches a key support zone while the RSI remains in overbought territory, this may signal an early warning of a possible market reversal. However, rather than acting immediately, it's wise to wait for confirmation. A clear candlestick reversal pattern, such as a bullish engulfing candle or a pin bar, a provide stronger evidence that momentum is shifting. By combining RSI readings with price action and support levels, traders can improve the accuracy and timing of their entries.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Thanks for your support.
- Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis!
- Drop a like and leave a comment!
BTCUSD trade ideas
Bitcoin โ ATH Sweep or Breakout?Bitcoin is pushing into a critical decision point as it challenges the previous all-time high near 110k. After a strong push out of a rounded bottom formation with clean higher lows, price has now broken above the last visible resistance area and is hovering just under the ATH liquidity. This rally has been aggressive, but the reaction here will determine whether this move becomes an extended breakout or a classic trap.
Liquidity and Key Resistance
The ATH zone around 110k carries a large pool of liquidity, and price is now testing it for the first time since the breakout. Weโve already had a clean break above the prior resistance zone, but we havenโt yet seen a confirmed close above ATH with convincing volume. If price manages to close strongly above this level on the 4H or daily chart, that would be a sign that bulls are in full control. Until then, the possibility of a sweep and rejection remains firmly on the table.
Sweep Scenario and Downside Levels
If we fail to close convincingly above the ATH and instead see a wick through followed by a strong reversal, that would confirm the sweep. In that case, Iโd expect short setups to activate quickly, with downside targets sitting around 105k. This level marks the structure support below the most recent breakout, and would be a logical point for price to rebalance before continuing any broader uptrend. A rejection from current levels would also trap late longs and provide fuel for a quick retracement.
Bullish Breakout Scenario
If we do get that proper breakout above 110k, backed by strong volume and continuation candles, the upside opens fast. Thereโs very little structure above the ATH, so price could move cleanly up into the next round psychological target around 115k. This move would confirm continuation of the higher timeframe trend and offer short-term breakout retests for potential long re-entries.
Volume and Candle Confirmation Are Crucial
At this stage, the setup is binary and all about confirmation. A clean 4H or daily close above ATH with follow-through volume will flip the bias fully bullish. But if we get signs of exhaustion and a failed breakout attempt, the sweep setup becomes highly probable. Waiting for confirmation here is key, rather than trying to front-run the move.
Conclusion
Bitcoin is sitting right at a high-stakes level. We either continue into price discovery toward 115k if momentum follows through, or we see a classic liquidity sweep and rejection back into 105k. The clean structure and recent higher lows support both sides of the argument, but execution will depend on how price reacts around the ATH. Either way, this zone is the key pivot for the next major swing.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
___________________________________
Thanks for your support!
If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like ๐ and leave a comment, Iโd love to hear your thoughts! ๐
BTC monthly yelling at us for something interesting ?We read daily news about ETF, accumulation by institutes and scarcity in the exchanges, but I recognize something different in the chart based on multiple indicators. Historically, BTC boomed after touching 50 EMA and whenever it is extended it traces back to 50 EMA on monthly chart. As per current data, BTC is extended far from it. Also RSI and MACD indicating that it is losing momentum with -ve divergence. Volume as well descreasing since last leg, though price moved up. So, I expect price to retrace to 50 EMA which coincides with previous high at 60K. Let us see how it unfolds.
Is Bitcoin Working Out a New Leg Up? Onchain Data Says It May BeDiamond hands are waving goodbye and institutions are loading up โ itโs why Bitcoin may be struggling to break out of its current consolidation range. How long can this accumulation phase continue?
And yes โ we look at the trades of the decade โ two transactions where each one moved a cool billie from a $7.8K investment in 2011.
Some people cling to their Bitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD stash like itโs their last protein bar before a marathon. Others, apparently, wake up one day and decide to dump their coins and browse the market for islands.
Welcome to the silent shift thatโs redefining the big players in the Bitcoin market, worth about $2.2 trillion as per data from our Crypto Coins Heatmap .
Old-school whales โ the very early adopters and miners holding the OG wallets โ are quietly selling, while institutional heavyweights sweep in to buy every dip (part of the reason why lately every breakout never breaks out).
Over the past year, these OG whales have shed about half a million Bitcoin โ worth north of $50 billion โ according to data from 10x Research. And guess whoโs gobbling it all up? ETFs, corporate treasuries, and family offices that didnโt want anything to do with crypto five years ago.
Is it bullish? Is it bearish? Is it just Bitcoin being Bitcoin? Letโs pull up the charts, squint at the data, and see what the worldโs most famous digital coin might be plotting next.
๐ A Record High โ And Now What?
So hereโs the setup. Bitcoin has been strutting under its record high of $111,000 for months now. Youโd think the hype machine โ from Trumpโs pro-crypto administration, to corporate balance sheets going full Michael Saylor (looking at you, GameStop NYSE:GME ) โ would send BTC blasting past the Moon and landing on Mars.
Instead? Itโs just... chilling. Volatilityโs drying up like the last drop of liquidity in a summer Friday session. And the reason is surprisingly simple: the massive handover happening between big, anonymous early adopters and the suit-and-tie institutional crowd.
๐ From Wild Ride to Easy Cruising?
You could argue this is exactly what Bitcoin needs: maturity, respectability, less drama. But donโt tell that to the day traders who want 20% swings before breakfast. As these whales get out and institutions get in, analysts say the upside could be capped at a chill 10% to 20% a year.
Good news for your retirement portfolio, maybe not so great for that โLambo by Labor Dayโ dream.
Institutions now hold about 25% of all Bitcoin in circulation โ and once these get in, they tend to sit tight for years.
๐ The $1.1 Billion Time Capsule
Speaking of whales: ever wonder what happens when a Bitcoin wallet goes dark for 14 years? It pops back online to make your mind melt.
On April 3, 2011, a wallet labeled โ1HqXB...gDwcKโ moved 23,377 BTC to three addresses. At the time, Bitcoin was worth a mere 78 cents. Fast forward: two of those receiving wallets, each with 10,000 BTC, sat dormant for over a decade.
This month, both wallets moved their treasure troves โ worth over $1.1 billion each โ within 30 minutes of each other. Talk about a coordinated exit. Whatโs behind the move? Tax planning? A lost key finally found?
A savvy crypto thief who figured how to crack the earliest key generation method? We may never know. Also, OG guy, if youโre reading this โ props for the all-at-once move without even a test transaction.
โ๏ธ What Onchain Data Says
Onchain data is like reading tea leaves for nerds with Bloomberg terminals. It says the supply is tightening โ not because thereโs less Bitcoin, but because fewer coins are actually available to trade.
When long-term holders move coins, that typically signals big-picture changes. Hereโs the twist: the net effect has beenโฆ stability. Institutional demand, like Bitcoin exchange-traded funds , soaks up supply just as fast as whales drip it back in.
Thatโs why Bitcoinโs been stuck in this $100Kโ$110K limbo, ping-ponging while the accumulation phase is still going strong.
๐ So, Is a New Leg Up Coming?
This is where the optimists and realists start to bicker over the charts. On the one hand, the structural handover to institutions makes Bitcoin more credible, more regulated, and more boring.
But less volatility can mean steadier gains โ especially if you believe that the world will always want an inflation hedge that no central bank can print into oblivion.
On the other hand, a sideways market can test your patience more than a typical drawdown. Some of the whales are gone, the suits have arrived, and the easy moonshots might not be so easy anymore.
๐ฑ The Trade-Offs of Growing Up
Bitcoin was born in the wild west of finance โ an anonymous, volatile, meme-fueled phenomenon. Now, itโs drifting deep into the mainstream. That might limit the fireworks, but it also locks in its place as an asset class thatโs not going away.
๐ Closing Thoughts: The Next Billion-Dollar Move
Will we see another $7,800 investment turn into a cool $1 billion? Maybe not exactly like that. But the game isnโt over โ itโs just evolving.
Keep your eyes on the whales, the ETFs, the Fedโs next move , and those onchain breadcrumbs.
Over to you , chart-watchers: does this calm consolidation make you bullish, bearish, or just plain bored? Share your thoughts in the comments!
Bitcoin can rebound from resistance level and start to declineHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Recently, the price broke above a local resistance and quickly approached the key resistance level at 110000, which also aligns with the upper boundary of the seller zone (110000 - 110700 points). This area has already proven its strength multiple times, causing sharp rejections in the past. Moreover, the price has tested it again recently and failed to break through. In addition, we can see a triangle structure, which fits the logic of a pennant pattern after a bullish wave. However, the latest move upward has already lost momentum near the apex, and the price is now trading just under the upper edge of this formation. That makes this zone technically overloaded and vulnerable to a downside reversal. Based on this, I expect Bitcoin to test the resistance level one more time and then roll back down toward TP 1 at 106000 points, a zone near previous liquidity accumulation and a local consolidation range. If selling pressure increases, the price might aim for the buyer zone (103800 - 103100). Given the current rejection at resistance, the structure of the triangle, and the reaction inside the seller zone, I remain bearish and expect further decline toward the support. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost ๐
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarketsโ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
80k BTC On The Move - WHAT It Means 80,000 BTC Wallet Movement (2011 Miner)
โข Source: 8 wallets containing 10,000 BTC each โ mined in 2011, dormant for 14 years
โข Total Value: Over $8.6 billion USD
โข Timing: Moved on July 4, 2025 โ largest dormant BTC transfer in history
โข New Addresses: Funds moved to modern SegWit wallets
โข Probable Owner: Likely a single early miner with 200k+ BTC history
Possible Reasons for the Move
โข Key Rotation: Upgrading to modern wallets for better security
โข Recovered Access: Private keys may have been recently recovered
โข Market Strategy: Positioning for profit-taking or major sell-off
โข Yield Farming: Preparing COINBASE:BTCUSD for use in DeFi/lending platforms
โข Collateral Use: Possibly for loans, stablecoin leverage, or RWAs
โข Estate Planning: Legal restructuring or generational wealth setup
โข OTC Transfer: Could be prepping for off-exchange institutional sale
โข Psychological Warfare: Could be intended to spook or manipulate the market
โข Regulatory Response: Aligning with new compliance or tax jurisdiction
Market Reaction
โข COINBASE:BTCUSD Price Dip: Price briefly fell below $108,000 post-move
โข ETF Context: Movement occurred despite record ETF inflows
Key Note: These wallets had not been touched since COINBASE:BTCUSD was worth ~$0.78. Their reactivation adds uncertainty and opportunity in a fragile macro environment.
โข What to do????: Watch the orderbook to find these large bitcoin moves in case of exchange selling
Near term support & resistance
$106000 support
$109500 first resistance
๐ If this breakdown helped your trading, smash that Like and drop a comment belowโlet me know what you think will happen with the 80k COINBASE:BTCUSD . ๐
Best Reguards
MartyBoots, 17-year market trader
Bitcoin - Trust the higher timeframe!โ๏ธBitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) is still 100% bullish:
๐Analysis summary:
For the past couple of months we have been seeing an overall consolidation on Bitcoin. But looking at the higher timeframe, Bitcoin remains in an underlying strong bullrun. Consolidations are always expected and no reason to freak out since everything is still bullish.
๐Levels to watch:
$100.000
๐๐ป#LONGTERMVISION
Philip - Swing Trader
BTCUSD| Bitcoinโs Historic Parabolic Pattern๐ฅ Parabolic Pattern | Institutional COINBASE:BTCUSD Demand Mirrors Gold ETF Era ๐ฅ
COINBASE:BTCUSD vs SP:SPX vs TVC:GOLD
The market is whispering something big โ and it's not retail noise this time. For the third straight quarter, listed corporations have outpaced ETFs in Bitcoin purchases, a seismic shift that echoes one key moment in history: the launch of the Gold ETF. Companies like NASDAQ:MSTR contiune to buy and others are following. Will NASDAQ:AAPL NASDAQ:META and NASDAQ:GOOG be next ? Let me know in the comments who you think will be next to buy?
Back then, companies rushed to gold as a hedge against inflation and a store of value as fiat cracks widened. Fast forward to now โ we're seeing the same institutional footprints in Bitcoin. The buy-the-dip narrative isn't just alive โ it's being driven by corporate balance sheets.
Rumors are circulating that the U.S. government plans to buy 1 million BTC โ a move that would shake the global financial system to its core. If true, this isnโt just bullish โ itโs historic. The last time governments got this aggressive with a hard asset was during the Gold Reserve buildup. Bitcoin isnโt just digital gold anymore โ itโs becoming sovereign-level collateral. ๐๐ฅ
๐ฌ Drop your thoughts below. Is this the beginning of the next parabolic era?
In this episode, we break down the parabolic pattern forming on the chart, why it may signal the next explosive leg up, and how history is repeating with BTC playing the role of digital gold.
๐ Technical breakdown. On-chain behavior. Smart money moves.
Donโt blink. Parabolas end in fireworks.
I've been trading for 17 years
๐ If you found this useful, drop a like.
๐ฌ Got questions or thoughts? Leave a comment below โ I always respond and happy to help.
๐
Best Regards
MartyBoots
HelenP. I Bitcoin may correct to support level and continue growHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. If we look at the chart, the price has formed a clean upward channel after bouncing from the strong support zone at 103500 - 103000 points. This movement marked the beginning of a new bullish phase. Price continued to rise step by step, confirming the structure with higher highs and higher lows. After reaching above 110000 points, it made a minor pullback but still trades above Support 1 - 108800 points. This zone, 108800 - 108200 points, aligns well with the midline of the channel and may serve as a strong area for buyers to re-enter. The price is currently trading around 110382 points and is still respecting the channel structure. As long as BTCUSD stays above the support zone and inside the ascending channel, I expect a potential continuation toward the upper boundary. My current goal is 114000 points - near the resistance line of this bullish channel. Given the strong trendline support, clean reaction at each correction, and buyer activity on lows, I remain bullish and anticipate further growth. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment โค๏ธ
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarketsโ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Bitcoin will drop from resistance level and fall to 103500 levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Some days ago, price entered the pennant, where it turned around from the seller zone, which coincided with the resistance level, and dropped to the 103500 support level. Then it bounced and tried to grow, but soon failed and dropped below the 103500 support level, which coincided with the buyer zone and reached the support line of the pennant. Following this movement, BTC experienced an upward impulse, breaking the 103,500 support level and subsequently exiting the pennant pattern, before rising to the resistance level. Price broke this level and then started to decline inside another pennant pattern. In this pattern, the price dropped top 103500 support level again and then tried to bounce back, but failed and continued to decline. In a short time, it fell to the support level, broke it, and then fell to the support line of the pennant. Next, BTC turned around and repeated an impulse up to the resistance line of the pennant and exited from this pattern. Then it rose to the seller zone, where it rebounded from it and fell, but recently it rebounded and started to grow. Now, I expect that price will reach the resistance level and then drop to the 103500 support level. For this case, this level is my TP. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost ๐
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarketsโ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
BTC POTENTIAL BULLS TRAP IN DEVELOPMENTI am inspecting the 4 hour candle in comparison to the daily chart on BTC and it seem we have all the characteristics of a bulls trap on the chart. If the next 4 hours candle does not close bullish, it will confirm a bulls trap and price will likely pullback into the triangle. So be cautious trading at this resistance level.
Bull Trap Chart Characteristics
Look for:
A strong bullish candle that breaks above recent highs or resistance.
Volume spike on the breakout โ signs that traders are buying.
Followed by a sharp bearish candle (like a shooting star, bearish engulfing, or long wick).
Price falls back below resistance, turning the breakout into a fakeout.
Cheers !!
Bitcoin - Price struggles below resistance, correction to $104k?This 4-hour chart for BTC/USD illustrates a detailed technical analysis scenario highlighting key resistance and support zones, as well as a critical fair value gap (FVG). The chart shows that Bitcoin is currently facing strong resistance in the $108,000 to $109,000 range. This area has been tested multiple times without a successful breakout, indicating significant selling pressure. The price is currently trading just below this resistance zone, struggling to gain momentum above it.
Support zone in the consolidation
A clear support level has been marked in the recent consolidation area around $106,000. This zone has served as a short-term base during the recent upward movement, and a retest here could provide a temporary bounce or pause in bearish momentum. However, if this support fails to hold, the next major area of interest lies within the 4-hour bullish FVG between approximately $103,000 and $104,000.
4H FVG
There is a clear 4-hour bullish FVG between approximately $103.000 and $104.000. This level can act as a strong support for buyers after filling up the inbalance zone. it is highly important to hold this level as support and not to break below it.
Upside potential
On the upside, if BTC can defend the support in the consolidation zone and reclaim momentum, a push back to the $108,000 to $109,000 resistance area is probable. A successful breakout above this zone would invalidate the bearish scenario and may trigger a bullish continuation, with the potential to reach higher targets such as $111,000 or beyond.
Downside risk
The downside risk becomes more pronounced if BTC breaks below the 4H FVG. A sustained move beneath this level would likely signal weakness in buyer interest and potentially open the path to deeper downside targets. In such a scenario, the price could accelerate lower toward the psychological support level at $100,000. This round number also carries technical and emotional significance for traders, which could create both a strong support area and potential buying interest.
Conclusion
In conclusion, Bitcoin remains at a critical juncture. The key levels to watch are the support within the current consolidation and the 4H FVG imbalance zone. A breakdown below the FVG could lead to a decline toward $100,000, while holding above these levels keeps the door open for another test of resistance at $108,000 to $109,000. A breakout from there would indicate bullish strength and a shift in market sentiment. Traders should remain cautious and reactive to how price behaves around these critical areas.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Thanks for your support.
- Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis!
- Drop a like and leave a comment!
BITCOIN - Price can drop from resistance area to $103000Hi guys, this is my overview for BTCUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments๐
Some days ago, price entered a pennant pattern, where it at once made an upward impulse from support line.
Then the price reached $98700 level and soon broke it, after a small correction, and then continued to move up.
Later BTC rose to the resistance line of the pennant, but soon turned around and started to decline, breaking $110000 level.
Price little corrected and then tried to bounce back and failed, after which it fell to $98700 level and then started to grow.
In a short time, BTC rose to a $110000 resistance level and tried to break it again, but recently turned around and started to fall.
Now, I expect that BTC can grow to the resistance area and then drop to $103000 support line of the pennant.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in commentsโค๏ธ
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarketsโ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
BITCOIN now starts ascent to $150k.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) closed last week with a strong green 1W candle, recovering all loses and has started the current one with a stable rise. As stable as the whole Bull Cycle has been so far since the November 2022 market bottom.
The current uptrend is the technical Bullish Leg that has always emerged the Triple Support Combo of the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level and former Resistance, turned Support (Pivot).
As you can see, this has happened 2 times already and this is the 3rd. The previous one peaked a little above the 1.382 Fibonacci extension, which gives us an immediate Target on a 2-month horizon at $150000. This confirms a number of previous studies we conducted, all leading towards this price or around it.
So do you think all roads lead to $150k? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE ๐, FOLLOW โ
, SHARE ๐ and COMMENT โ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ
๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐
BITCOIN Bull Cycle's next two probable stops..Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has been trading within a 2.5-year Channel Up throughout the entirety of its 2023 - 2025 Bull Cycle, showcasing incredible consistency. This is perhaps BTC's most stable Bull Cycle and that can help us estimate to some degree its next two key levels, before its tops.
As you can see, every major Higher High of this pattern has been either on or marginally above a +0.5 Fibonacci interval:
Fib 0.5 was the February 2023 High and Accumulation Phase.
Fib 1.0 the April - September 2023 Accumulation.
Fib 1.5 December 2023 - January 2024.
Fib 2.0 March - September 2024.
Fib 2.5 December 2024 - February 2025.
Right now the market seems to be attempting a break-out above a Bull Flag, following the massive April 07 2025 rebound on the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), a level that has been the most optimal buy entry in the past 2 years.
The next stop based on this model is the 3.0 Fibonacci extension level at 133000, where there are high probabilities for the market to consolidate (accumulation phase) in preparation for perhaps the final stop and Cycle peak on the 3.5 Fib ext around 191000. As we've discussed on previous analyses, a final Target between those two around $150000 may be more fitting, carrying less risk into the final months of the Bull Cycle.
So what do you think? Do you believe that's the blueprint to follow until the end of the year/ Cycle? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE ๐, FOLLOW โ
, SHARE ๐ and COMMENT โ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ
๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐
BTC Breakout Alert: Ready for the Next Bullish Wave The BTC/USD 4-hour chart shows a clear breakout above a descending trendline that has acted as resistance since mid-May. After multiple rejections, the price has now broken above the structure, signaling bullish momentum. The Ichimoku cloud confirms support underneath, providing confluence for a potential rally. The bullish breakout is also accompanied by increasing volume and a bullish engulfing pattern near the breakout zone, which adds confirmation. Price is currently consolidating just above the breakout area, suggesting a retest may be forming before further upside continuation. If momentum sustains, higher levels could soon be tested in the coming sessions.
Entry: 109,400
1st Target: 110,000
2nd Target: 111,870
BITCOIN Is there enough time for another parabolic rally?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is practically consolidating on the short-term, having just recently been rejected off its new All Time High (ATH). Despite the short-term volatility, the long-term outlook is still a very strong, structured uptrend, a Channel Up pattern that is now technically aiming for its next Higher High.
Incredibly enough, this Channel Up since the November 2022 market bottom, has been almost entirely within the Buy Zone (green) of the Fibonacci Channel Up going back all the way to April 2013!
As you can see during the previous two Cycles, every time BTC got above that Buy Zone, it started a parabolic rally. So far, we haven't got such rally on the current Cycle and with time running out (assuming the 4-year Cycle model continues to hold), do you think we will get one this time around?
Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE ๐, FOLLOW โ
, SHARE ๐ and COMMENT โ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ
๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐
Bitcoin: Breakout To 113K Refuses To Pull Back.Bitcoin is poised to test the 113K resistance over the coming week. It has broken the upper trend line resistance and simply refuses to retrace in any meaningful way. With a continuously weakening dollar and other economic inflationary pressures, it will take a surprise negative catalyst to turn this around at least to the point of testing a high probability trend support on this time frame. Here is the way to play this environment:
Buying this breakout for time horizons longer than a swing trade requires a big risk tolerance. While this leg is likely to be the Wave 5 of 5 that I have been writing for some time and can see Bitcoin test some major new highs, investing here still puts you at the mercy of the market. The nearest support is around the 103 to 105K area at minimum and just not worth the risk in my opinion at current levels for INVESTING.
Swing trades are a great way to participate in the breakout continuation. Risk can best be defined by the current candle low or previous candle low. Profit objective now is 113K or 120K area. The Trade Scanner Pro actually called a long and offered numerous opportunities to enter over a week and a half ago. I have been reviewing this regularly on my live stream forecast every Monday at 3 PM ET. It helps immensely to have levels and risk defined for these type of situations in advance so that you know how to adjust your size.
Otherwise the optimal way to go about this is trade the smaller time frames. I will always suggest this near highs and breakouts on larger time frames. The reason is simple: risk can be tightly controlled. This requires some kind of rules or guidelines to judge the market, along with a way to confirm. Using the Trade Scanner Pro for example, the analysis component is easy: trend is bullish on all small time frames. This means you wait for a trade suggestion on the time frame that you regularly trade (1 min or 5 min f or example).
No matter what type of trend following system or rules you use, by aligning with the bigger picture and confirming a setup in some way is what puts the probabilities on your side. The smaller the time frame you operate, the more precise your risk management can be.
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
BTC/USD โ Pullback Before Moonshot?4H Outlook by WrightWayInvestments
Bitcoin just delivered a textbook breakout from the descending channel and is currently consolidating above the breakout trendline. This is a critical zone where market participants are deciding between continuation or a retest.
๐ง Technical Breakdown:
๐น Breakout Confirmation โ Clean bullish breakout above channel resistance
๐น Ascending Trendline Support โ Currently being tested
๐น Fibonacci Reload Zone โ Between 0.382โ0.618 (๐ฆ $105,853โ$102,942)
๐น Bullish Scenario โ Potential higher low before aiming for major fib extension
๐น Target Zones:
โข TP1: $110,525
โข TP2: $113,827
๐งญ Game Plan:
A retracement into the fib support zone ($104Kโ$102.9K) offers the highest RR for long entries, ideally on bullish candlestick confirmation + volume spike. A break and close above $108.5K could negate pullback expectations and signal direct continuation.
๐ Final Note:
Volume expansion on breakout + controlled retrace = power setup.
Let the market come to you โ high-probability zones donโt chase.
Evolving Price & Candle Patterns: BitcoinLook what is happening here with the candle patterns and price action. In the most recent challenge of resistance something changed. Change is good. It can mean the end of this sideways period.
At (1) Bitcoin finds resistance and immediately starts a decent. The same happens at (2). When we reach (3) everything changes. (1) & (2) produced a low and lower low. The down-move was extended. (3) produced only two red candles, a strong higher low and the third day was a full green candle moving above the descending trendline resistance. The price pattern is now erratic, completely different to previous moves.
Now, consider (4). If the strong green candle was intended as a bull-trap, then we would expect a down-move to follow right after the peak, just as it happened with (1) and (2). But nothing, after (4), Bitcoin has been sideways within the bullish zone.
This change is good, bullish.
A drop can develop anytime but the market already had two changes to produce a down-wave, (3) and (4). The fact that a down-move didn't materialize means that the market has something different in store for us, change. This change is good because when resistance is challenged, prices tend to drop when the market is moving within a range. No drop can signal the end of the range trading which in turn can translate into the start of the next bullish wave.
If this idea turns out to be true, Bitcoin will start growing within days. Growth should be strong because consolidation has been happening for months.
Namaste.
BTC/USD 1H Chart, hereโs the clear breakdown:BTC/USD 1H Chart, hereโs the clear breakdown:
---
Current Price:
Around 106,636 USD
---
Bearish Setup Observations:
Price has broken the ascending trendline support
Price is below Ichimoku Cloud โ bearish confirmation
Retest of broken trendline area failed, suggesting more downside
---
Target Levels Based on Your Chart:
โ
First Target: Around 105,200 - 105,400 USD
โ
Second Target (Final Target): Around 103,200 - 103,500 USD
---
Conclusion:
Bearish momentum is strong; watch for price to test 105,200 zone
If that level breaks, likely move toward 103,200
Resistance area remains near 107,200 - 107,500 (good stop-loss zone for shorts)
---
Would you like a risk management suggestion for this setup? Let me know!