OATS Futures ShortShort on Regression Break with +1.3% roll short per a month.
I will not take this trade.
ZOK2022 trade ideas
Oat Futures break above the daily resistance line *****Oat Futures are breaking above the daily resistance line. 2024-2025 production outlook is up and stronger demand should support a rally at some point this year. This could mark a good entry point for a swing trade through January where it could climb back up to the daily 200ema.
Oats Long with Tight Stop is viableOats are either about to start trending again, or could make a new low. Hence, we long with a tight stop, the stop represents the 200w ema minus epsilon, the target represents a monthly mean reversion target from the 2022 highs and $5 psychological selling point for farmers.
Good time to buy an Oat farm if you are buying physical real estate, some distressed deals out there as financially unsavvy oat farmers have had negative returns for a few years here.
Long Oats/Short WheatNot everyone is going to understand that Oats are a really inefficient market and that's okay. The cattle herds are huge, and they're going to be eating Oats. Oats are the superior feed, and cattle ranchers are pretty rich right now from years of high prices, and will probably want to go for the premium/superior form of feed from a cattle health perspective, which is Oats.
I'm buying anywhere between here and 560 on the spread, and I basically expect a bullish engulfing of that candle in the next week or following week to back above 600 or so. Ultimately targeting just range recovery play, which is common in illiquid inefficient markets.
ZO1! Potential For Bearish ContinuationLooking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for ZO1! is bearish due to the current price being below the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a bearish market. Looking for a sell entry at 351.000, where the 38.2% Fibonacci line is. Stop loss will be at 362.000, where the 61.8% Fibonacci line is. Take profit will be at 327.500, where the previous swing low is.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
ZO1! Potential For Bearish ContinuationLooking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for ZO1! is bearish due to the current price being below the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a bearish market. Looking for a possible pullback sell entry at 354.375, where the 50% Fibonacci line is. Stop loss will be at 377.500, where the previous swing high is. Take profit will be at 330.500, where the recent lows and liquidity hotspots are located.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Oats Potential For Bullish RiseLooking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for ZO1! is bearish due to the current price being below the Ichimoku cloud , indicating a bearish market. However, I am looking to play the pullback. So, I am looking for a possible buy limit entry at 321.125, where the 127.2% Fibonacci extension line and -27.2% Fibonacci expansion line are. Stop loss will be at 161.8% Fibonacci extension line and -61.8% Fibonacci expansion line are. Take profit will be at 369.125, where the 38.2% and 50% Fibonacci lines are.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
ZO1! Potential For Bullish RiseLooking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for ZO1! is bearish due to the current price being below the Ichimoku cloud , indicating a bearish market. However, I am looking to play the pullback. So, I am looking for a possible buy limit entry at 321.125, where the 127.2% Fibonacci extension line and -27.2% Fibonacci expansion line are. Stop loss will be at 161.8% Fibonacci extension line and -61.8% Fibonacci expansion line are. Take profit will be at 369.125, where the 38.2% and 50% Fibonacci lines are.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Oats Potential for Bullish RiseLooking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for ZO1! is bearish due to the current price being below the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a bearish market. However, I am looking to play the pullback. So, I am looking for a possible buy limit entry at 321.125, where the 127.2% Fibonacci extension line and -27.2% Fibonacci expansion line are. Stop loss will be at 161.8% Fibonacci extension line and -61.8% Fibonacci expansion line are. Take profit will be at 369.125, where the 38.2% and 50% Fibonacci lines are.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Oats Futures ( ZOK2022 ), H4 Potential for Bearish MomentumTitle: Oats Futures ( ZOK2022 ), H4 Potential for Bearish Momentum
Type: Bearish Momentum
Resistance: 745.500
Pivot: 613.250
Support: 665.000
Preferred case: On the H4 chart, we have a bearish bias. To add confluence to this, price is under the Ichimoku cloud which indicates a bearish market. If this bearish momentum continues, expect price to head back down the the support level at 665.000, where the 78.6% Fibonacci line is.
Alternative scenario: Price may go back up and head towards the resistance at 745.500 where the 38.2% Fibonacci line is located.
Fundamentals: There are no major news.
Oats Futures ( ZOK2022 ), H4 Potential for Bearish MomentumTitle: Oats Futures ( ZOK2022 ), H4 Potential for Bearish Momentum
Type: Bearish Momentum
Resistance: 745.500
Pivot: 613.250
Support: 665.000
Preferred case: On the H4 chart, we have a bearish bias. To add confluence to this, price is under the Ichimoku cloud which indicates a bearish market. If this bearish momentum continues, expect price to head back down the the support level at 665.000, where the 78.6% Fibonacci line is.
Alternative scenario: Price may go back up and head towards the resistance at 745.500 where the 38.2% Fibonacci line is located.
Fundamentals: There are no major news.
Oats Futures ( ZOK2022 ), H4 Potential for Bearish MomentumTitle: Oats Futures ( ZOK2022 ), H4 Potential for Bearish Momentum
Type: Bearish Momentum
Resistance: 745.500
Pivot: 613.250
Support: 665.000
Preferred case: On the H4 chart, we have a bearish bias. To add confluence to this, price is under the Ichimoku cloud which indicates a bearish market. If this bearish momentum continues, expect price to head back down the the support level at 665.000, where the 78.6% Fibonacci line is.
Alternative scenario: Price may go back up and head towards the resistance at 745.500 where the 38.2% Fibonacci line is located.
Fundamentals: There are no major news.
Oats Futures ( ZOK2022 ), H4 Potential for Bearish MomentumTitle: Oats Futures ( ZOK2022 ), H4 Potential for Bearish Momentum
Type: Bearish Momentum
Resistance: 745.500
Pivot: 613.250
Support: 665.000
Preferred case: On the H4 chart, we have a bearish bias. To add confluence to this, price is under the Ichimoku cloud which indicates a bearish market. If this bearish momentum continues, expect price to head back down the the support level at 665.000, where the 78.6% Fibonacci line is.
Alternative scenario: Price may go back up and head towards the resistance at 745.500 where the 38.2% Fibonacci line is located.
Fundamentals: There are no major news.
Oats Potential For Bearish DropLooking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for Z01! is bearish due to the current price being below the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a bearish market. Looking for a sell stop entry at 378.250, where tyhe 38.2% Fibonacci line is. Stop loss will be at 390.500, where the previous swing high is. Take profit will be at 362.500, where the 61.8% Fibonacci line is.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Oats Futures (ZOK2022), H4 Potential for Bearish MomentumTitle: Oats Futures ( ZOK2022 ), H4 Potential for Bearish Momentum
Type: Bearish Momentum
Resistance: 745.500
Pivot: 613.250
Support: 665.000
Preferred case: On the H4 chart, we have a bearish bias. To add confluence to this, price is under the Ichimoku cloud which indicates a bearish market. If this bearish momentum continues, expect price to head back down the the support level at 665.000, where the 78.6% Fibonacci line is.
Alternative scenario: Price may go back up and head towards the resistance at 745.500 where the 38.2% Fibonacci line is located.
Fundamentals: There are no major news.
Oats Futures (ZOK2022), H4 Potential for Bearish Momentum Title: Oats Futures ( ZOK2022 ), H4 Potential for Bearish Momentum
Type: Bearish Momentum
Resistance: 745.500
Pivot: 613.250
Support: 665.000
Preferred case: On the H4 chart, we have a bearish bias. To add confluence to this, price is under the Ichimoku cloud which indicates a bearish market. If this bearish momentum continues, expect price to head back down the the support level at 665.000, where the 78.6% Fibonacci line is.
Alternative scenario: Price may go back up and head towards the resistance at 745.500 where the 38.2% Fibonacci line is located.
Fundamentals: There are no major news.
Oats Futures (ZOK2022), H4 Potential for Bearish Momentum Title: Oats Futures (ZOK2022), H4 Potential for Bearish Momentum
Type: Bearish Momentum
Resistance: 745.500
Pivot: 613.250
Support: 665.000
Preferred case: On the H4 chart, we have a bearish bias. To add confluence to this, price is under the Ichimoku cloud which indicates a bearish market. If this bearish momentum continues, expect price to head back down the the support level at 665.000, where the 78.6% Fibonacci line is.
Alternative scenario: Price may go back up and head towards the resistance at 745.500 where the 38.2% Fibonacci line is located.
Fundamentals: There are no major news.
Oat Futures ( ZO1! ), H1 Potential for Bearish dropType : Bearish Momentum
Resistance : 691'1
Pivot: 663'0
Support : 607'4
Preferred Case: Price is moving below the ichimoku cloud and MACD is moving in a bearish momentum which supports our bearish bias that price will drop from the pivot at 663'0 where the overlap resistance is to the 1st support at 607'4 in line with the swing low support, 78.6% fibonacci retracement and -61.8% fibonacci expansion.
Alternative scenario: Alternatively, price may break pivot structure and drop to the 1st resistance at 691'1 in line with the swing high resistance, 78.6% fibonacci projection and 78.6% fibonacci retracement .
Fundamentals: Since both countries, Russia and Ukraine, are major exporter of agriculture goods and their persistent war will lead to a shortage of agricultural goods and give us a bullish bias for oat.
Oat Futures ( ZO1! ), H1 Potential for Bullish bounceType : Bullish Rise
Resistance : 690'6
Pivot: 679'3
Support : 673'1
Preferred Case: Price is moving above the ichimoku cloud which supports our bullish bias that price will rise from the pivot at 679'3 where the pullback support and 23.6% fibonacci retracement are to the 1st resistance at 690'6 in line with the swing high resistance, 78.6% fibonacci projection and 78.6% fibonacci retracement.
Alternative scenario: Alternatively, price may break pivot structure and drop to the 1st support at 673'1 in line with the overlap support and 38.2% fibonacci retracement.
Fundamentals: Since both countries, Russia and Ukraine, are major exporter of agriculture goods and their persistent war will lead to a shortage of agricultural goods and give us a bullish bias for oat.
OATS - SHORTWe may get a March CPI print that is slightly higher, but that should be the end of it based on commodity prices and projected GDP going into Q2.
SL is 760 or thereabouts based on your risk tolerence.
Oat Futures ( ZO1! ), H1 Potential for Bullish bounceType : Bullish Rise
Resistance : 731'3
Pivot: 699'2
Support : 684'6
Preferred Case: Price is moving along the ascending trendline and is moving above the ichimoku cloud which supports our bullish bias that price will rise from the pivot at 699'2 where the pullback support is to the 1st resistance at 731'3 in line with the 78.6% fibonacci projection , 61.8% fibonacci retracement and swing high resistance.
Alternative scenario: Alternatively, price may break pivot structure and drop to the 1st support at 684'6 in line with the swing high support.
Fundamentals: Since both countries, Russia and Ukraine, are major exporter of agriculture goods and their persistent war will lead to a shortage of agricultural goods and give us a bullish bias for oat.
Oat Futures ( ZO1! ), H1 Potential for Bullish bounceType : Bullish Rise
Resistance : 731'3
Pivot: 699'2
Support : 684'6
Preferred Case: Price is moving along the ascending trendline and is moving above the ichimoku cloud which supports our bullish bias that price will rise from the pivot at 699'2 where the pullback support is to the 1st resistance at 731'3 in line with the 78.6% fibonacci projection, 61.8% fibonacci retracement and swing high resistance.
Alternative scenario: Alternatively, price may break pivot structure and drop to the 1st support at 684'6 in line with the swing high support.
Fundamentals: Since both countries, Russia and Ukraine, are major exporter of agriculture goods and their persistent war will lead to a shortage of agricultural goods and give us a bullish bias for oat.
Oat Futures ( ZO1! ), H1 Potential for Bullish bounceType : Bullish Bounce
Resistance : 648'1
Pivot: 633'1
Support : 626'0
Preferred Case: With price moving above our ichimoku cloud , we have a bullish bias that price will rise to our 1st resistance at 648'1 in line with the horizontal pullback resistance and 61.8% Fibonacci projection from our pivot of 633'1 in line with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and horizontal swing low support.
Alternative scenario: Alternatively, price may break pivot structure and head for 1st support at 626'0 in line with the horizontal pullback support.
Fundamentals: No Major News
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