Sell off across U.S. Equity into Monday U.S. openU.S. equity indicies failed to register new highs at the close of inauguration week on the heels of famed Trump 'tariff talk' and the initiation of mass immigration reform. Friday 1/24/2025 we saw the bulls slightly outnumbered by bearish interest before the 'full weight' of the move was felt coming
Can the 2 Year Treasury Note Rally? The recent rally of the 2-year Treasury has unfolded following Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's shift toward a slightly dovish stance in the latest policy meeting. Powell's rhetoric emphasized the importance of proceeding cautiously with the path of interest rates, prompting a surge in demand a
The Bottom For the 2 Year Treasury NoteTreasuries have continued to sell off as the Treasury market reprices both interest rate and inflation expectations. Recently, the yield curve has begun to steepen further, and the 2s – 10s inversion has gradually decreased. The longer end of the Treasury market has experienced a significant increas
Key Levels and US Market Review for the Asian session open 3/04Major Indexes ended the month and Quarter on a positive note and held the recent trend up although the price action is extended and hints at some profit taking to come. We are now into a new quarter so could see some longs unwind into the new week; add to that the spike in Oil (cough, cough...manipu
Key Levels and US Market Review for the Asian session open 9/03A review of the price action from the European session and the US session. Major indexes were generally range bound to mildly higher. Inflation and rate rise expectations kept the major indexes under pressure with the focus now on the major US employment data release. The USD held onto the recent ga
Key Levels and Market overview for the Asian session open 27/02A review of the price action from the European session and US session as traders go into 'risk off' mode on stronger than expected inflationary data. The US gapped down on the open and held the lows into the close. The USD continued higher while US bond yields again rallied which pressured the broad
Key Levels and Market overview into the Asian session openA look at the price action from the European and US sessions and what that may mean for the Asian market open after PPI out in the US was stronger than expected adding fuel to the inflation fire. I feel data is still showing 'sticky inflation' which eventually leads to higher interest rates and lowe
Key Levels and Market overview into the Asian session openA look at the price action from the European and US sessions and what that may mean for the Asian market open after PPI out in the US was stronger than expected adding fuel to the inflation fire. I feel data is still showing 'sticky inflation' which eventually leads to higher interest rates and lowe
The yield curve has to un-invert eventually… right? (Part 2)This week, we thought it will be interesting to review the trade from last week given the reaction post-FOMC, as well as discuss an alternative way to set up this trade.
Firstly, let’s review the post-FOMC/employment data reaction.
- Nonfarm Payrolls surprised to the upside, as over half a mi
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Frequently Asked Questions
The nearest expiration date for 2-Year T-Note Futures (Mar 2019) is Mar 29, 2019.
Traders prefer to sell futures contracts when they've already made money on the investment, but still have plenty of time left before the expiration date. Thus, many consider it a good option to sell 2-Year T-Note Futures (Mar 2019) before Mar 29, 2019.