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ES1! trade ideas

14 February 2025The S&P rose on Thursday after President Donald Trump announced plans for reciprocal tariffs but postponed their implementation. Investors also reacted to a new report indicating that inflation may be picking up again. Despite Trump’s tariff announcement, markets remained steady. During a briefing, he emphasized the need for “fair and reciprocal” tariffs on all U.S. trading partners. However, the order he signed did not immediately enforce the tariffs. Instead, they are set to take effect as early as April, allowing time for potential negotiations with other countries.
CME_MINI:MESM2025Long
by cyfoo
OTEUM EXPERT CALL: Afraid of Tarrifs? SP500 Intraweek Short!🚨 E-mini S&P 500 (ESH2025) | Inflation & Tariff Pressure Short Setup 🔻 This chart screams "bearish vibes" 📉 as inflation heats up and tariff talks continue, casting a shadow over market optimism. We will be opening up NY session in a critical value area 🔴, signaling a potential continuation of the sell-off. 🎯 Riding this wave could unlock some sweet profit potential as macro pressures keep the market under fire. Stay sharp, traders! ⚡💼
CME_MINI:ESH2025
by Karel_OTEUM
2
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 2-12: Base Rally PatternAlthough I believe the Base Rally pattern is still valid, the markets have been wound tightly near recent highs and I belive this unwinding/breakdown is what I have been suggesting (the Deep-V breakdown) for more than 35+ days. I believe the sticky inflation data (CPI) will overpower the Base Rally pattern today and we will see the SPY/QQQ move downward into the Deep-V lows - likely setting up by Friday/Monday of this week. I'm sorry I'm not able to create a morning video. I'm taking my disabled VET father to his annual checkup this morning. He is still sleeping and I don't want to wake him up. So, you get this content as a substitute. Be prepared for the markets to FLUSH OUT a low and try to grab some easy profits throughout today and tomorrow as the markets struggle to find support. Remember, the broader cycle patterns can sometimes overpower the Daily Cycle Patterns. This happens when NEWS overpowers a Daily cycle pattern construct. In this case, the CPI data is overpowering the Base Rally Daily Cycle Pattern. Ultimately, the markets will find support and move into a brief recovery phase. Get some.
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by BradMatheny
2
ES Morning Update CPI DayYesterday’s setup came from a failed breakdown of the 6066-70 zone at 9:30 AM in ES. The daily target of 6093 was reached at 11 AM, and sellers have held below that level since. With CPI scheduled at 8:30 AM today, it’s time to let the runners work if you have them. Or sit on hands til after As of now: • 6078 and 6066-70 must hold through any CPI traps to keep 6109, 6115, and 6126+ in play • If the price dips below 6066, expect a move down to 6020 Check my CPI Trading Guide I sent out yesterday evening on how to trade days like today.
CME_MINI:ESH2025
by ESMorg
Important Support and Resistance Points: 6066.50 Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please click "Boost". Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- (ES1! 12M chart) When looking at the Fibonacci ratio, the area marked with a circle is an important support and resistance area. If there is an additional rise in the area where the current price is located, it is expected to determine the trend again around the left Fibonacci ratio point of 3.618 (6579.25). If it fails to rise, it is expected to fall to the Fibonacci ratio range of 0.618 (5273.25) ~ 2.618 (5434.75). - (1D chart) The point to watch is which direction it deviates from the box range of the HA-High indicator. The HA-High indicator is formed at the 6066.50 point. - Since the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1D chart) indicator is passing around 6066.50, the 6066.50 point is expected to play an important role as support and resistance. Accordingly, the key is whether it can be supported in the 6066.50-6106 range and rise to around the Fibonacci ratio 1 (6178.50). If it falls below 6066.50, it is expected to fall to around 5935.75-5972.75. - Ultimately, if it cannot get out of the box range of the HA-High indicator, you should trade within the box range. The box range of the HA-High indicator is 5906.50-6148.0. - Thank you for reading to the end. I wish you successful trading. --------------------------------------------------
CME_MINI:ES1!
by readCrypto
4
MES Futures – Critical Supply & Demand Zones Based on VPThe current price action in MES Futures is approaching a key supply zone while sitting above multiple demand levels, creating a pivotal moment for the next significant move. Based on historical volume profile analysis, the following zones are identified: Supply Zone (6,087-6,104): Sellers have previously stepped in aggressively in this range, making it a strong resistance area. If price rejects here, we could see a pullback toward lower demand zones. Initial Demand Zone (6,040-6,060): This area has seen notable buyer activity in the past. If price pulls back but holds this zone, it could act as the first support level for a potential bounce. Deeper Support from Major Buyer Aggression (6,013-6,020): If selling pressure continues, this level is where significant buyers previously stepped in. A test of this zone could result in a strong reaction and possible reversal. Major Demand Zone (5,975-5,988): This is a key structural support area where large institutional buying has been recorded. If price reaches this level, it would be a crucial inflection point, with a high likelihood of buyers stepping in to defend. Possible Scenarios: Bullish Continuation: If price holds above the initial demand zone (6,040-6,060) and breaks above 6,100, momentum could push MES toward 6,147-6,150. Pullback Before Higher Move: A rejection at the supply zone could lead to a retracement toward 6,040-6,060 for a support test before another breakout attempt. Deeper Correction: If 6,040 fails, price may move toward 6,013-6,020, where stronger buyer activity is expected. A failure at this level could send price to the major demand zone at 5,975-5,988 for a structural retest. This analysis highlights key reaction zones based on historical liquidity and volume profile data. Traders should monitor price action at these levels to confirm strength or weakness before entering trades.
CME_MINI:MES1!Long
by Ravgod
1
10 February 2025S&P 500 saw gains as investors appeared to grow accustomed to President Donald Trump’s latest tariff threats. Many on Wall Street now perceive these announcements as primarily a negotiation tactic. However, concerns remain that the expanding list of tariff hikes could drive inflation higher, potentially delaying expected interest rate cuts. Investors will closely watch Wednesday’s release of the January Consumer Price Index (CPI) for inflation clues, along with retail sales data later in the week. Meanwhile, the latest New York Federal Reserve survey, published Monday, revealed that consumers’ long-term inflation expectations have risen to 3%, the highest level since May 2024. Although markets seem more resilient to tariff-related news, the broader economic consequences of these policies continue to be a key focus for investors and policymakers.
CME_MINI:MESM2025Long
by cyfoo
DeepSeek Is Not What the Market FearsWith the emergence of DeepSeek, tech stocks have generally dropped by 6% over these few short days across all US indices, but from the peak in late November to December, we saw a much more massive drop among all of them. The Russell 2000, representing small and medium-sized enterprises in the U.S., declined by 12%, What triggered this sell-off in the tech giants (Nasdaq), the old guards (Dow Jones), the suite of blue-chip stocks (S&P 500), and the medium-sized firms (Russell 2000)? Markets are inter-connected. What should we be looking out for, and how should we navigate if the market break below this recent all-time low? E-mini S&P 500 Futures & Options Ticker: ES Minimum fluctuation: 0.25 index points = $12.50 Micro E-mini S&P 500 Futures & Options Ticker: MES Minimum fluctuation: 0.25 index points = $1.25 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. Trading competition: www.tradingview.com Trading the Micro: www.cmegroup.com CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by konhow
Market StuctureObjective This tracker is designed to systematically log and analyze algo-generated signals in relation to market structure changes. VX Algo only alerts two specific signals: 📗 Bullish Market Structure X3 → Market expected to move bullish for 1-3 hours • Ideal Strategy: Look for long opportunities or BTD (Buy The Dip) setups. • The first 30 minutes after the signal is most critical for execution. • Use key support zones for entries and manage risk accordingly. 📕 Bearish Market Structure X3 → Market expected to move bearish for 1-3 hours • Ideal Strategy: Look for short opportunities or STP (Sell The Pop) setups. 💡 X3 means the market structure shift is expected to hold for 1-3 hours. Trading Strategy 📈 When to Enter a Trade • Only trade when a market structure changes happen • double down position at key support/resistance zones
CME_MINI:ES1!
by WallSt007