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ES1! trade ideas

DIYWallSt Trade Journal: Missed Entry & Climbing Back From Loss **07/11/25 Trade Journal, and ES_F Stock Market analysis ** EOD accountability report: -46.25 Sleep: 5 hours Overall health: Good ** VX Algo System Signals from (9:30am to 2pm) 3/3 success** — 9:41 AM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3! — 10:15 AM VXAlgo ES X7 Buy signal, — 10:23 AM Structure flipped bullish — 11:30 AM VXAlgo ES X3DD Sell Signal **What’s are some news or takeaway from today? and What major news or event impacted the market today? ** I was a little busy this morning and missed the chance to short the market at MOB with Bearish market structure at 9:30, so I had to wait for the next chance but when i shorted the MOB on the move up, the X7 buy signal came out and pushed market structure bullish. Ultimately If i had a better entry on my short, I would have been okay, but since i shorted early, i got stopped at at 6306 and it ended up dropping right after that. So the day actually started pretty bad and i was -300 from there and was just trying to climb back and forth the next few hours. News *LATEST TARIFF THREATS COULD DELAY RATE CUTS, CHICAGO FED’S GOOLSBEE SAYS - WSJ **What are the critical support levels to watch?** --> Above 6290= Bullish, Under 6280= Bearish Video Recaps -->https://www.tradingview.com/u/WallSt007/#published-charts
CME_MINI:ES1!
by DiYWALLST
2
TACO about to become TUFTThe acronym "TACO" has been adopted as a market slogan to explain the shocking volatility brought on by Trump's follow through with his campaign promises to enact and/or adjust tariff's in the USA on its trading partners around the world. The mere mention resulted in a 1,334 point sell-of culminating in April. When Trump walked back {read: backed off in terms of immediacy of effect..} the market "rallied." However, at the bottom of the lows, ES1=4,832, all strength fell out of the index and all Minor pattern lows were breached. This leads me to believe that 4,832 was just that...a LOW and not a bottom. To resolve this aspect of the price pattern in relation to strength, price and go for a higher low on less strength, or a lower low on more strength...either way, this can only result in a sell-off of .618 of 1,334, or approximately 824 points. Assuming participants intend to go lower on more strength, the bottom will be struck approximately 2,159 points lower in the 4,200 region, since this irregular B has complicated the direct 1.0 hit in the 4900 region. Still possible, but unlikely we swing within 100 points of the low, all while strength falls out and holders get brave. The other problem I see with this wave higher is that it is sloppy. How? (1) It is sloppy first of all because as it approached its 1.382 level off the first wave up (at least as noted by a premier Elliot Wave pub) it basically ripped right through. What is healthy for an impulse is to approach the 1.382, then pause for a retracement to the 1.0. (2) The wave began with an obvious 3 wave pattern, and I was surprised to see prominent publications accepting such an obvious corrective pattern as the start of a true impulse upward. The 3 waves that took us to 5,528.75 are accordingly labeled as the A wave on this chart. Even if this is an Ending Diagonal, which is a motive wave, but not an impulse, which starts with 3 waves, we should at minimum get overlap at the 5,528.75 level in order to continue higher. (3) We are getting mixed MACD readings between the daily and hourly charts right where price would be expected to blast off if the daily is correct and would be expected to fail if the hourly bearish divergence is correct. As we approach this 1.618 level of 3,398.75 on ES2, off the pattern as stated, we can use it to guage the downside expectation. A direct hit and sell-off might lead us to the conclusion that the 4900s are in order or even 5400s, but a failure here, 10-20 points off, would be considered more bearish. Giving the benefit of the doubt to price, I have included various ways that price can regain its footing, here stating a primary count that this is the Minor A of an intermediate (B) wave, because it has been very bullish, very disorganized, and has created a higher MACD reading on the daily chart. Alt count is that this is All of Intermediate (B), and Intermediate C should commence to carry price into the low 4k region. If price is to go higher, it must overcome a 3 wave start, an irregular and disorganized pattern, and conflicting strength readings...not to mention, a Fundamental hurdle that Trump Ultimately Follows Through.
CME_MINI:ES2!Short
by CuzDelux
2
MES1! Stacked Rejection & Distribution into NY ClosePrice is stalling above PDH after tapping a clear HVRA (Supply) zone. We’re seeing layered rejection with a Secondary Distribution Shelf forming beneath it a classic signature of trapped longs and passive seller absorption. If structure fails to hold above the rejection zone, we expect a reversion through the inefficiency and potential rotation into the demand base. Key Zones & Structure HVRA (Supply): 6345–6355 – Liquidity exhaustion, failed breakout Secondary Distribution Shelf: 6315–6325 – Trap zone, weak re-test Mean Reversion Target: 6285–6295 – Execution gap, inefficient rotation Absorption Zone (Demand): 6260–6275 – Institutional long buildup Bearish Trade Idea Entry: 6332 (within HVRA) Stop: 6342 (above HVRA high) TP1: 6300 – Break of shelf TP2: 6288 – Fill inefficiency TP3: 6270 – Rotation into demand R:R: Approx. 1:2.8 / 1:4.2 depending on target Staakd Outlook Stacked rejection with no volume follow-through above PDH. Unless NY reclaims 6330+ with force, structure favoUrs reversion to inefficiency and absorption zone below. Follow for post-session confirmation and Friday morning bias update. Staakd Bias: Bearish Lean ★★★★☆
CME_MINI:MES1!Short
by stakkd
Accumulation to Acceleration ESThis chart shows a long-term market analysis using Elliott Wave Theory, suggesting the market is currently in Wave 4 and preparing for a big Wave 5 rally. 📈 Past yearly moves averaged 15–21%, with 30%+ currently and up to 66% historically. 🟩 A "rebalance" zone (accumulation phase) is forming before a possible breakout. 📊 The next move projects a +60% rally, targeting 7,112 to 7,570. 🔁 Historical patterns and past rallies are being used to support this bullish forecast. Bottom line: If history repeats, a strong upward move is expected soon.
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by goat-farm
DIYWallSt Trade Journal: Starting Down $400 & Patience Pays Off 07/09/25 Trade Journal, and ES_F Stock Market analysis EOD accountability report: -271 Sleep: 4.5 hours Overall health: Good VX Algo System Signals from (9:30am to 2pm) 4/4 success 10:00 AM VXAlgo ES X1 Sell Signal 10:36 AM VXAlgo ES X3 Sell Signal 11:00 AM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3! 1:33 PM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3! What’s are some news or takeaway from today? and What major news or event impacted the market today? I took some short positions overnight and got caught in the big push up this morning and started the day with -400, I was very tempted to go big and tried to trade it back but decided it was better off just to wait for a better day to recover the account instead. Consider yesterday was a big manipulation day and today was another one but squeezing to the upside for a rug pull downwards. News *(US) FOMC JUN MINUTES: COUPLE OF PARTICIPANTS NOTED THEY WOULD BE OPEN TO CONSIDERING A RATE CUT AS SOON AS THE JULY MEETING IF DATA EVOLVE AS THEY EXPECTED (Bowman and Waller have said as much since the FOMC meeting) What are the critical support levels to watch? --> Above 6290= Bullish, Under 6280= Bearish Video Recaps -->https://www.tradingview.com/u/WallSt007/#published-charts
CME_MINI:ES1!
by DiYWALLST
In forty years of trading, I have tried a lot of methods....In forty years of trading, I have tried a lot of methods. Over the years, things have changed. Right now, I swing trade S & P 500 Index ETFs through a commission free broker off this chart GLOBEX FUTURES and this one single indicator. I always enter after the daily close, in the aftermarket. Trade at a price, a limit order "all or none". NOTE: You must chart FUTURES to get the signal at 6:00 PM NYC time in order to have it to position in the aftermarket. if you, chart SPX cash market, the TradingView "runtime" won't show the signal until the RTH opening "tomorrow". NO GOOD ...because overnight trading can gap the cash market. Try 5 minute chart for DAY trading Futures: use only RTH ! try configuring 3, 7, and 13, "swing" values. Happy trades! P.S. I am long right now SPX ETF.
CME_MINI:ES1!Education
by anotherDAPTrader
How to Spot Flag Patterns on TradingViewLearn to identify and trade flag patterns in TradingView with this step-by-step tutorial from Optimus Futures. Flag patterns are continuation formations that help traders join existing trends by buying high and selling higher, or selling low and buying back lower. What You'll Learn: • How to identify bullish and bearish flag patterns on any timeframe • Breaking down flag patterns into two parts: the flagpole and the flag • Finding strong flagpole formations with fast, obvious price moves • Spotting flag consolidation areas that form tight ranges • Why flag patterns work: buyer and seller psychology explained • Real chart examples showing how flag patterns develop and play out This tutorial may help futures traders and technical analysts who want to trade with market trends rather than against them. The concepts covered could assist you in identifying opportunities to join strong price movements when they pause before continuing. Learn more about futures trading with Tradingview: optimusfutures.com Disclaimer: There is a substantial risk of loss in futures trading. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Please trade only with risk capital. We are not responsible for any third-party links, comments, or content shared on TradingView. Any opinions, links, or messages posted by users on TradingView do not represent our views or recommendations. Please exercise your own judgment and due diligence when engaging with any external content or user commentary. This video represents the opinion of Optimus Futures and is intended for educational purposes only. Chart interpretations are presented solely to illustrate objective technical concepts and should not be viewed as predictive of future market behavior. In our opinion, charts are analytical tools—not forecasting instruments. Market conditions are constantly evolving, and all trading decisions should be made independently, with careful consideration of individual risk tolerance and financial objectives.
CME_MINI:ES1!Education
by OptimusFutures
1
MES Futures – ORB Strategy Long from London Open Range BreakDescription: Executed a clean ORB long trade on MES during the London session, with confirmation from the 5-min chart and structure mapped on the 15-min. Setup Breakdown: Session: London Open Strategy: Opening Range Breakout (ORB) Entry: Break of ORB high with confluence from 15-min demand zone + EMA support Stop: Below session low and structural demand Target: Previous session high & key 1HR supply zone T echnical Context: Price rejected from previous session low and formed a clear ORB range. After consolidation, a strong bullish candle broke above the range high with increasing volume and EMA cross. Trade was managed up to the previous session high and partials secured before price met the diagonal resistance trend line. Key Zones: ✅ Entry Zone: 6270.00 🟥 Stop Loss: ~6260.25 🎯 Target Area: 6287.75 (Previous Session High) 🟥 15-min Supply overhead could pose resistance Staakd Rating: ★★★★☆ (Rated 4/5 for textbook ORB play, clean risk:reward, and structure alignment)
CME_MINI:MES1!Long
by stakkd
07/08/25 Trade Journal, and ES_F Stock Market analysis EOD accountability report: +220 Sleep: 7 hours Overall health: Good VX Algo System Signals from (9:30am to 2pm) 4/4 success — 9:30 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3! :check: — 10:30 AM VXAlgo NQ X1 Buy Signal :check: — 12:24 PM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3! :check: — 1:30 PM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3! :check: What’s are some news or takeaway from today? and What major news or event impacted the market today? After taking losses, I usually set a lock out on my account after $200 profit to build back small wins and confidence. so luckily I was locked out pretty early today and avoided most of the market whipsaw. But on days like these, if you don't walk away after you make money, you could eventually get triggered and tilted by the whipsaw. a lot of orb traders probably died today. News *HOWARD LUTNICK ON TARIFFS: EXPECT ANOTHER 15-20 LETTERS TO GO OUT OVER THE NEXT 2 DAYS- CNB *Trump announces 50% tariff on copper imports, threatens 200% tariff on pharmaceuticals and maybe chips What are the critical support levels to watch? --> Above 6280= Bullish, Under 6260= Bearish Video Recaps -->https://www.tradingview.com/u/WallSt007/#published-charts
CME_MINI:ES1!
by DiYWALLST
Watch me trade NQ LIVE!This is a just a quick video showing what I look for in order to take a trade. I entered a short on NQ minutes ago, looking for 2.44 RR! Apologies for this rough cut video. It was spur of the moment, and I wanted to share with my followers and viewers! Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by RT_Money
Are We Completing the Larger Ending Diagonal Now?The last time I updated followers of my work; I stated that the pattern was advancing, but NOT with confidence, and that it is marked with choppy, overlapping price action that appears to be an ending diagonal. Those sentiments have not changed. However, what has changed is I was forecasting a more pronounced drop first before getting to new highs. It is now possible; this move higher is completing that move on a more immediate basis. Although I cannot rule out the previous larger ABC... it is more likely once this high completes, it could represent the end of the bull market. Only the structure of the decline will inform us what is playing out. I will warn followers that once this more immediate high completes, I am expecting a forceful and swift reversal that will undoubtedly catch most traders off guard. Best to all, Chris
CME_MINI:ES1!
by maikisch
2
S&P 500 BULLISH BREAKOUT ABOVE ALL TIME HIGHS!Hey Traders taking a look at the S&P500 this week it is clear that we are in a strong bull market. Notice that we broke above 6300 on the ES Futures Contract last week on July 3. This level is extremely important because it was the all time high from Feburary 2025. So now that the market has closed above this level buying opportunities can be considered at the trendline. 6135-6150 look like a good place to grab this bull again by the horns. 😁 So if your bullish wait for the pullback no need to chase the market imo. Eventually it will pullback lets see what happens July 9 WED with the Tarrifs. Expect Volatility! However if your bearish be very careful I don't think there is a good risk to reward ratio to shorting at this time. Good Luck & Always use Risk Management! (Just in we are wrong in our analysis most experts recommend never to risk more than 2% of your account equity on any given trade.) Hope This Helps Your Trading 😃 Clifford
CME_MINI:ESU2025Long
by TradeTheIndex
Stock Index: ES, NQ, YM Weekly Update📈 S&P 500, Nasdaq & Dow Jones – All-Time Highs, But Caution Creeping In 🟩 S&P 500 | Nasdaq | Dow Jones All three indices hit new all-time highs to close out June. Powered by: 🔋 AI optimism 💰 Solid earnings 🕊️ Dovish Fed tone and falling bond yields SPX continued its breakout run Nasdaq surged as big tech led the charge Dow followed with slower but steady strength ⚠️ But Watch the Signs Beneath the Surface Consumer confidence dropped sharply Home sales weakened Fed speakers remained non-committal on cuts All three indices now look extended — particularly Nasdaq Momentum remains bullish, but these rallies are now resting on softening macro, yield compression, and hope that the Fed stays on hold. 🧠 Key Takeaway Price action is euphoric — but fundamentals are flashing mixed signals. When tech leads the market at extremes, volatility risk is elevated.
CME_MINI:ESU2025
by LegendSince