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Micro E-mini Nasdaq-100 Index Futures (Mar 2021)Micro E-mini Nasdaq-100 Index Futures (Mar 2021)Micro E-mini Nasdaq-100 Index Futures (Mar 2021)

Micro E-mini Nasdaq-100 Index Futures (Mar 2021)

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MNQH2021 trade ideas

Careful Trusting "News" | Fake News TradingOn Monday, April 7th, 2025 amidst incredible market volatility, you'd expect your most trusted news outlet to report on-the-minute news. But most importantly, accurate news . With the markets down nearly 20% in ~4 trading days, every piece of information matters. But with the age of fast (social) media, news outlets will do anything possible to be the first to report. Even .... posting fake news. The way this works is they get news that's "probably true", they post it, then it's verified to be true. This may work often for them and when it doesn't, nobody really cares. But when you're talking about times of volatility unseen since COVID, all this nonsense gets exposed. So - at roughly 10:10 AM EST, CNBC reported that there will be a "90-day pause on tariffs". A ground-breaking report that likely caused John Doe to buy $10M in NASDAQ:NVDA calls dated end of July because that's a no-brainer right? It surely cannot be false since CNBC is his go-to trusted news-source and there is just NO WAY that they would ever post any news without being 100% true and verified. ESPECIALLY news about TARIFFS -- the talk of the town (psh, the world actually) at the moment. 90 day pause? That's not something you report lightly. You know the ripple effect that'll have on the markets. Result of that news report? The markets (e.g. CME_MINI:NQ1! ) jumped 6.60% in under 10 minutes. Jane Doe likely saw that jump, looked at that news, and rebought her shares that she sold at the bottom earlier this morning. Surely that news cannot be fake. It's a 90-day tariff pause. That's huge. Surely the White House will see "Yeah baby! We take credit for that". Nope, at roughly 10:18 AM EST, the same CNBC reported that, "the 90-day pause on tariffs was fake news according to the White House". Results? Market right back down -6.5% in 20 minutes. Suppose you FOMO'd into AMEX:SPY NASDAQ:QQQ calls.. well, you lost almost everything depending on the strike and date. In this market, manage your RISK and always hedge. Don't forget to thank CNBC, your most trusted news-source for that capital gain loss. Welcome to trading in 2025. The age of report-first, verify-later. Welcome home. Be careful listening to the news and take everything they say with a grain of salt. And as always, don't chase the news. KD out.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Education
by kingdips
4
NQ - Nasdaq's potential to reboundThe Median or Centerline: The Median (Centerline) Line is the central element of the Pitchfork and acts as the equilibrium point. Price tends to oscillate around this line, and it often serves as a strong reference for potential reversals or price targets. A price move back toward the Median Line is common after significant moves away from it. Pitchfork (Red): The red Pitchfork, drawn through significant price points, provides the overall trend direction and shows the potential path to the downside. The red line indicates a bearish bias in the current setup, as it has been guiding the price lower. Green Circles and Arrows: These represent key areas of support. The lower green circle and green arrows indicate price has found solid support in this region. The price has been bouncing from this support level, showing that it is reacting to the [ower boundary of the Pitchfork. This behavior aligns with the rule that the price tends to respect these boundaries, creating a foundation for a potential move back toward the Median Line. Price Action Analysis: The price recently tested the lower green circle and green arrows, bouncing off this support level, which is a typical reaction in a Pitchfork setup. According to the Median Line theory , when the price moves too far away from the Median Line, it often returns toward it. Therefore, the bounce off the lower boundary suggests that price may now be setting up for a bullish reversal toward the RED Median Line . Bottom Line: The price action is following the general Pitchfork playbook . The bounce from the lower green circle suggests that the price is setting up for a potential bullish reversal toward the RED Median Line . The next major test will be the upper resistance in the red Pitchfork , after the break of the Centerline. If the price can break through this resistance, a strong move higher is likely. Keep an eye on this critical point!
CME_MINI:NQ1!Long
by Tr8dingN3rd
6
NASDAQ Harmonic pattern indicating strong bounce incoming.AI vs. Dot-Com Bubble When drawing parallels between #AI and the dot-com bubble of the late 1990s, many express concerns that current valuations may be excessively inflated. However, significant differences are apparent. To begin with, the current price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of the NASDAQ-100 is approximately 30, whereas during the dot-com bubble, it skyrocketed to 200, with many companies lacking any earnings in sight. Additionally, the market capitalisation to #GDP ratio reached unprecedented levels in the late 1990s, while today's figures, although still high, are supported by robust earnings and solid cash flows from established business models. Innovations in AI, cloud computing, and digital transformation have fuelled revenue growth, exemplified by #NVIDIA's data centre sales, which surged 409% year-over-year in Q4 2024, and Microsoft's Azure, which experienced a 28% year-over-year increase in 2024. This surge in productivity is being driven by individuals, businesses, and governments alike. As a result, major tech firms are making substantial investments in AI research and development, with clear strategies for monetisation. AI is poised to become a transformative force, akin to the transistor, a groundbreaking invention that scales effectively and permeates various sectors of the economy. Lastly, the Federal Reserve raised interest #rates to 6.5% to tackle inflation after previously lowering them to address Y2K concerns before the bubble burst in 2000. In contrast, current expectations suggest that interest rates will stabilise or decrease, which would support valuations.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Long
by BallaJi
2
2025-04-03 - priceactiontds - daily update - nasdaqGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: 18200 is the next huge support and it’s likely that we get there tomorrow and there I would conclude my W3 thesis. Doing another red day into the weekend seems most reasonable because who the duck wants to hold on to longs in the current environment? current market cycle: strong bear - W3 ongoing - target is 18200ish and W5 should get us to 17500ish key levels: 18000 - 20100 bull case: Bulls can make money buying new lows on days like today but bears made sure to only print lower highs. For tomorrow bulls can’t expect something different to happen. Best they can hope for is to stay closer to 20000 but I highly doubt that. Invalidation is below 18100. bear case: Bears have the 2024-04 and 2024-08 lows in sight and could get there tomorrow. They are in full control if they continue to print lower lows and lower highs. Right now the 1h 20ema is holding like a champ but my drawn bear trend line will most likely have to be adjusted tomorrow before EU open. Every bear who sold the spike down yesterday is betting on a measured move down which is around 17600. Can we get there tomorrow? Very unlikely. This is most likely a spike & channel pattern that started Wednesday and given that tomorrow is the end of the week, I expect market to now go above 19000. short term: Bearish for 18400 or even 18200. Lower highs have to hold, so no prices above 19000 or market turns a tad more neutral at least on lower time frames. Bulls can only hope for long scalps on new lows and going sideways. medium-long term - Update from 2024-03-16: My most bearish target for 2025 was 17500ish, given in my year-end special. W3 underway, W5 should get us to my target. If we get there, no matter how dire, you just have to buy some very long term investments there. Odds that Nasdaq will stay below 20000 for the next 5 years are so abysmally low. trade of the day: Sell anywhere and hold or look which bigger 20ema holds and look for shorts near it. Today it was once again the 1h 20ema.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!Short
by priceactiontds
4
Bearish PotentialBias: Bearish (Pending Confirmation Post-News) Higher Timeframe Context (Daily) Wednesday closed bearish – 4H made a lower high, and a bearish engulfing candle after sweeping the previous day high, and MACD turned from bullish momentum after making a higher high showing hidden bearish divergence Lower Timeframe Breakdown 1hr made a market structure shift after making a higher MACD made a lower high (bearish divergence), the price closed below Wednesday NY session POC 15M made a lower low + MACD lower low( convergence)
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by martiedirect
2
NQ Range (04-08-25)Staying with the Range forecast. NAZ is inside the Yellow arrow range (yesterday post). The Box is the range to watch, NAZ may go above and drop back inside to retest KL's 17,027-16,845. You can see new declining channel above. Below is 30M chart. Watch all moves in both directions with VIX this high. Yesterday (chart below) we had a tweet, leak, comment, etc. regarding tariffs (unofficial, not credible source) that move the NAZ 1,700 points in 30 minutes. Expect some games during lower volume periods (to the upside). Let's go Meathead.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by MAZing
Nasdaq Approaches Bear Territory Amid Escalating Trade TensionsMarket Decline: The Nasdaq Composite has fallen 20% from its December record high, approaching bear market territory. The S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average have also experienced significant drops, marking their steepest weekly declines since March 2020. ​ Trade Tensions: The downturn is largely attributed to escalating trade tensions. The U.S. imposed a 10% tariff on most imports, prompting China to retaliate with a 34% tariff on all U.S. goods, effective April 10. This escalation has heightened fears of a global trade war. Recession Concerns: In response to these developments, J.P. Morgan has increased the probability of a global recession to 60%, up from 40% previously. ​ Market Movements: Support Levels and Potential Retracement: The Nasdaq's 20% decline suggests it's testing critical support levels. While technical analysis might indicate a potential for a short-term retracement or consolidation at these levels, the prevailing market sentiment, driven by ongoing trade disputes and recession fears, could limit any substantial recovery.​ Outlook: Given the current geopolitical and economic climate, a continued downward trend is plausible. However, markets are inherently volatile, and any developments in trade negotiations or economic policies could influence future movements.​ Disclaimer: Please remember that market predictions are speculative. It's essential to conduct thorough research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by ChainAssetsCapital