NQ Swing Long Trade idea based on supply and demand, intermarket analysis, COT positioning and cross market valuation. Following a structured approach with clear entry, risk management, and confluence factors.
MNQ1! trade ideas
Nasdaq Futures Potential Short OpportunitiesThe Nasdaq Futures' brief rebound from the critical 19345 support was decisively rejected at 20458, marking a continuation of bearish sentiment.
Current Scenario: Now, testing immediate support at 19857 failure here opens the pathway downward to subsequent supports at 19716 and 19646, ultimately retesting the critical low at 19345.
Resistance Levels: Clear resistance lies at 20458. Breaking this could temporarily shift sentiment but faces significant challenges amid rising volatility.
Strong bullish outlook for the E-mini Nasdaq-100 (NQM2025)Nasdaq-100 E-mini Futures (NQM2025) – Technical & Fundamental Analysis
Technical Overview:
My Daily chart analysis on TradingView highlights a strong bullish outlook for the E-mini Nasdaq-100 (NQM2025). Here are the key takeaways:
Liquidity Sweep & Support Retest:
The recent decline led to a liquidity sweep (LQ SWEEP) at a critical ascending trendline. This suggests a classic stop-hunt scenario where weaker long positions were liquidated before stronger buyers stepped in.
Historical price action indicates that buyers previously entered at similar levels (noted as "Buyers coming in hot here"), reinforcing this demand zone.
Bullish Trendline Respect:
The long-term ascending trendline has been respected, acting as a dynamic support level.
The recent bounce suggests that this level remains intact, further validating the bullish structure.
Order Block (OB) & Market Structure Shift (MSS):
A previous bearish market structure shift (MSS) led to a short-term decline, but price has since found support and rebounded.
The chart suggests a reversion to the upside, targeting prior imbalance zones and liquidity pockets.
Projected Path & Targets:
The green projection indicates an expectation of higher highs, likely targeting the 21,500 - 22,500 range in the coming weeks.
The sell-side liquidity has been cleared, increasing the probability of a bullish move towards the order block resistance near 21,000.
Fundamental Confirmation (#EdgeFinder & #COT Data):
From a fundamental perspective, the bullish bias is further confirmed by EdgeFinder data and recent Commitment of Traders (COT) reports:
Institutional Positioning:
The latest COT data shows that institutional traders have increased their net long positions in Nasdaq futures, signaling bullish sentiment.
Macroeconomic Factors:
Recent economic reports and Fed statements have favored a risk-on environment, benefiting tech-heavy indices like Nasdaq.
Earnings season is approaching, with expectations of strong tech sector performance potentially fueling further upside.
Conclusion & Market Sentiment:
The confluence of technical support, institutional buying, and positive macroeconomic factors strengthens the case for a bullish continuation in Nasdaq-100 futures.
The key level to watch is 20,000—if held, the probability of a move towards 21,500 - 22,500 increases significantly.
Risk factors include unexpected macroeconomic shifts or stronger-than-expected hawkish Fed rhetoric, which could slow momentum.
This is not financial advice, only data analysis. Please consult a qualified financial professional for personalized guidance.
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq
The Nasdaq closed lower, facing resistance at the 240-day moving average on the daily chart. With a significant gap between the price and the 5-day moving average, a pullback toward the 5-day MA was anticipated. The index did find support at the 5-day MA, closing with a lower wick. The key question now is whether the current correction wave will fill the gap created on Monday, as it faced resistance at the 240-day line. If you’re looking to buy on dips, it’s best to focus on the gap area as a potential support zone. The MACD remains in a golden cross, and with a noticeable spread from the signal line, the market is likely to stay range-bound unless a bearish crossover occurs.
On the 240-minute chart, a bearish crossover (death cross) has formed, suggesting the potential for further downside. However, the price is approaching a strong support zone where buying interest previously emerged. Thus, buying on dips in lower zones may be favorable. In the short term, both the MACD and the signal line remain above the zero line, indicating a possible short-term rebound. Be cautious with chasing short positions and monitor lower time frames.
Also, don’t forget: Today’s GDP release may influence market direction.
Crude Oil
Oil closed higher, reaching $70 on the daily chart. Since the $70–71 range is a major resistance zone, it’s likely the trend may consolidate in this area. The daily MACD is rising sharply, and buying pressure appears strong and one-sided. Despite the resistance at $70–71, if oil gaps up over the weekend, there’s a chance this resistance could be broken by a gap-up move on Monday. Keep an open mind to this possibility, but also be cautious over the weekend (over-the-weekend risk).
On the 240-minute chart, the MACD is bouncing off the signal line, with strong renewed buying pressure. However, if oil fails to break higher, a MACD divergence could develop, so avoid chasing longs at elevated levels. Overall, it’s safer to treat the $71 level as the upper boundary of a range, favoring short-term selling strategies. Watch the lower timeframes for signs of trend reversal.
Gold
Gold ended the day flat within a narrow range, forming a small consolidation box ahead of today’s GDP release and tomorrow’s PCE data. The daily MACD is converging with the signal line, suggesting we are approaching a turning point — either a new leg up or a bearish crossover. Both bullish and bearish scenarios remain open, so it’s important to monitor how the market reacts to upcoming data. If gold fails to push higher, a bearish divergence may form, opening the door to a pullback toward the 5-week MA on the weekly chart.
On the 240-minute chart, both MACD and the signal line are hovering near the zero line, indicating sideways movement. Since the signal line remains above zero, the buy side still holds a slight edge, but confirmation via a strong bullish or bearish candle is needed to establish a trend. Any MACD signal triggered at the zero line could lead to a larger directional move, so keep that in mind. Until data is released, continue range-bound trading, and avoid premature long or short positions, as today’s trend may remain undecided.
March is coming to an end. Make sure to keep a close eye on today and tomorrow's data releases and aim to close the month with solid results.
Wishing you a successful trading day!
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NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 3/27/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2025
- PR High: 20098.00
- PR Low: 20003.25
- NZ Spread: 212.0
Key scheduled economic events:
08:30 | Initial Jobless Claims
- GDP
Partial weekend gap fill
- Retracing above previous session close, in previous week range highs
- Re-enters daily Keltner average cloud near 20200
Session Open Stats (As of 12:35 AM 3/27)
- Session Open ATR: 439.39
- Volume: 42K
- Open Int: 228K
- Trend Grade: Neutral
- From BA ATH: -11.1% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 20954
- Mid: 19814
- Short: 18675
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 4/2/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2025
- PR High: 19697.00
- PR Low: 19595.25
- NZ Spread: 228.25
Key scheduled economic events:
08:15 | ADP Nonfarm Employment Change
10:30 | Crude Inventories
Key daily zones updated
- 200+ point rotation above Monday's high
- Auction back inside previous week range
- Retraced 1/3 of Friday's selloff
Session Open Stats (As of 12:25 AM 4/2)
- Session Open ATR: 437.34
- Volume: 31K
- Open Int: 248K
- Trend Grade: Neutral
- From BA ATH: -13.5% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 20954
- Mid: 19814
- Short: 18675
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
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Double Bullish Divergence Flashing on $SPY and $QQQWe’re spotting a double bullish divergence across two major indices: the S&P 500 ( AMEX:SPY ) and the NASDAQ 100 ( NASDAQ:QQQ ).
On both daily charts:
Price is making lower lows, signaling continued downward pressure.
Meanwhile, the RSI is forming higher lows, revealing a potential loss of bearish momentum.
This kind of setup often precedes a trend reversal or strong relief bounce, especially when observed across multiple indices at once. The fact that both AMEX:SPY and NASDAQ:QQQ are flashing the same signal gives added confluence and strength to this potential move.
Divergence = a potential bullish signal
Watch for confirmation: break of previous highs or strong bullish candles.
Caution: divergences don’t always play out — wait for confirmation before going long.
Are we looking at the bottom forming? 👀
Stay alert. A shift in sentiment could be underway.
MNQ Long March 25, 2025MNQ is bullish, and I believe this trade will execute before it makes any downward movement. Just make sure your trades are protected with a stop loss, and let me know what you think.
Nasdaq: Wave A Done – Now Lining Up for a Strong BounceThe Nasdaq is starting to look really interesting here. In my view, we've completed Wave ((a)) to the downside—a clean (abc) correction. Why do I think it's done? Because we've just tapped into a Fair Value Gap (FVG) and saw a strong reaction, just above last year’s VWAP, which I always consider a key reference point on the higher time frame.
Ideally, I would have liked to see that 19,090 level get tagged—unfortunately, we didn’t quite reach it. But honestly, this reaction is solid enough to still keep the bullish scenario intact.
Adding to that, the RSI is now in oversold territory, and the last two times we’ve seen that, it was followed by strong upward moves. Based on all of this, I’m expecting a solid bounce over the coming weeks, likely lasting into Q1 or even Q2 2025 .
Where could this move take us? I see two key zones: the first between 22,000 and 22,425 and the second between 23,320 and 23,675. Could it land somewhere in between? Sure. But one of those zones is where I expect this corrective structure to wrap up. That would likely complete the larger ((abc)) correction, after which we’ll finally begin forming the macro Wave A—which will open the next big leg of structure.
So the bigger picture is in play here. In the meantime, I’ll be hunting for entries on the lower time frames, because I do think we’re setting up for a pretty solid push on this index in the coming weeks.
MNQ/NQ Short Trade Idea Trading to a Gap Fill To The Downside Will Update Trade Idea As the Week or Day Goes By
NQ!Buying opportunity for NQ.
This idea is based on a search for liquidity after a high-volume rally, leaving a gap that needs to be filled.
A Weychoff-based entry analysis is valid.
High Probability Short Position NQTP: FE 4.618
SL: Swing high
Size based on your risk management strategy
NQ/MNQ Trade Idea #2Depending on what happens near the entry price i will wait for a comfirmation before i enter the trade but the overall outline is Showned
Buy Nasdaq FuturesAs per the chart!
Expectin the market to recover today. Got a nice bounce off the Asian session.
NAS Futures LongNQ1! long the regression break - There are many options this morning as there has been many moves across the USA.
NQ High Probability Short TradeNQ High Probability Short Trade
Short position
TP: 20245.75
SL: 20374.25
Adapt the size to your risk management strategy
Enhance Your Trading with Dual MACD OverlaysBy using two MACD overlays—one based on the current timeframe and another on a higher timeframe—you gain a more comprehensive view of market momentum. This approach helps identify short-term opportunities while aligning trades with the broader trend, reducing false signals. As seen in my chart, combining multiple MACD perspectives can improve decision-making and trade timing.
Try it out and refine your strategy with better trend confirmation!
NQ Short (03-20-25)I may be early (or excited) with the call, it is on the way. O/N lift play is loosing the effectiveness, NAZ needs that for stability (and drop offsets). Anyway, should be on the way tomorrow. Any drop will have to get in front of the Friday-Monday long play (longer overnight trick). Under 19,665 is the express freight train lower and a hold will try another U Turn.
simple analogy to 20kFollow through with indicators, buy area, sell area, and volatility, looking for mid-20k
$NQ IdeaAnalyzing the NQ for the upcoming week, we observe that the price held at the monthly OB, where an SMT also formed, reinforcing the indication of a bullish continuation from that point.
On the daily chart, we identify a shift in market structure, evidenced by the presence of an SMT + MSS, followed by a continuation purge of the price. Given this, we understand that our weekly DOL will initially be the daily CRT High and the Weekly FVG, although the final target may be the monthly Range High.
Additionally, based on the economic calendar, we anticipate more significant movements on Monday, Thursday, and Friday due to news related to the dollar.
It is important to emphasize that this analysis is based solely on price action, and macroeconomic factors may impact the market throughout the week. Therefore, we must be prepared for potential changes in the scenario.
GOLD 24.03.2025-28.03.2025Expecting a meltdown on GOLD. Weekly retracement profile. Against the overall bullish orderflow. Risky. but thats the thought. I will only hunt for shorts
Explanation of Wyckoff VSA Trigger Bar and Future ReactionIn this short video, Author of "Trading in the Shadow of the Smart Money" explains the importance of identifying "Trigger Numbers and Bars" in multiple timeframes.
Markets and price action move because three universal laws:
Supply and Demand
Cause and Effect
Effort Vs Reasult
This example in the Nasdaq futures shows it perfectly.
Wishing You all goodtrading and constant profits,
Gavin D Holmes
Author and Trader
