MNQ1! trade ideas
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 7/10/2025 SessionNQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 7/10/2025 Session
CME_MINI:NQU2025
- PR High: 23065.25
- PR Low: 23033.25
- NZ Spread: 71.5
Key scheduled economic events:
08:30 | Initial Jobless Claims
13:00 | 30-Year Bond Auction
Session Open Stats (As of 12:35 AM 7/10)
- Session Open ATR: 300.61
- Volume: 20K
- Open Int: 270K
- Trend Grade: Neutral
- From BA ATH: -0.4% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 23239
- Mid: 21525
- Short: 20383
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 7/9/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2025
- PR High: 22923.00
- PR Low: 22900.50
- NZ Spread: 50.5
Key scheduled economic events:
10:30 | Crude Oil Inventories
13:00 | 10-Year Note Auction
14:00 | FOMC Meeting Minutes
Session Open Stats (As of 12:25 AM 7/9)
- Session Open ATR: 303.33
- Volume: 16K
- Open Int: 270K
- Trend Grade: Neutral
- From BA ATH: -0.8% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 23239
- Mid: 21525
- Short: 20383
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
NQ (NASDAQ 100 E-Mini Futures) Market AnalysisKey Observations
The NQ is currently trading at 22,706.50, with a high of 22,847.50 and a low of 22,702.75, based on the 4-hour chart provided, timestamped at 11:22:26 UTC (7:22:26 AM EDT).
The price has pulled back from a recent high of 22,829.00 (recorded at 02:37:34) and is testing support near 22,700–22,720.
The market shows a short-term consolidation after a strong upward move, with potential for further direction depending on upcoming economic data.
Technical Analysis
Price Action: The chart displays a series of higher highs and higher lows since late June, indicating an overall uptrend. However, the recent red candles and rejection at 22,829.00 suggest a possible short-term reversal or pause. The current level of 22,706.50 is near a support zone marked by previous consolidation.
Volume Profile: The right-hand volume profile highlights high volume nodes (HVNs) between 22,700 and 22,829, with the point of control (POC) around 22,829.00. The pink bars (selling volume) dominate above 22,829, indicating strong resistance, while teal bars (buying volume) are concentrated around 22,700–22,720, suggesting a support area.
Support and Resistance:
Support: 22,700–22,720 (current level and volume-based support), with deeper support at 22,600–22,650 if the price breaks lower.
Resistance: 22,829.00 (recent high and POC), with a psychological barrier at 23,000 if bullish momentum resumes.
Indicators: The Market Profile (e.g., HH, HL, LH, LL) shows a value area narrowing near 22,700–22,829, indicating indecision. The presence of multiple timeframes (4-hour) suggests this is a key level for swing traders.
Market Context
The pullback aligns with recent economic data, including the June 2025 ADP employment report (released July 02), which reported a loss of 33,000 jobs, below the expected 100,000. This could signal economic slowdown, impacting tech-heavy indices like the NASDAQ 100.
Negative sentiment around Tesla, a significant NQ component, due to an Elon Musk-Donald Trump incident, may be contributing to the pressure.
The Nonfarm Payrolls report on July 03, 2025, is a critical upcoming event. A weaker result (forecasted at 110,000 jobs) could exacerbate selling, while a strong report might support a recovery.
Scenarios
Bullish Case: If the price holds above 22,700 and breaks 22,829 with increased buying volume, it could target 23,000. Look for a strong bullish candle to confirm.
Bearish Case: A break below 22,700 could see the price drop to 22,600–22,650, with further downside possible if selling intensifies.
Volatility: Expect increased volatility ahead of the Nonfarm Payrolls data, given its potential to sway market direction.
This is a Wyckoff VSA Shakeout and Test with Alert In this short video Author and Fund Manager, Gavin Holmes, reveals two key set ups based on the Richard D Wyckoff and Volume Spread Analysis trading strategy based on supply and demand, cause and effect and effort versus result. We have posted detailed TradingView charts at www.tradetowin.com and you can get your questions answered from there.
NASDAQ / $NQ!! Projecting the Next CycleIf history rhymes, we should see:
A 6–7 000‑point gentle climb (blue “2”) off the 17 000 springboard into ~23–24 000.
Followed by a sharper 8 000‑point blow‑off (blue “3”) into the low‑30 000s.
Of course, any big exogenous shock (geopolitics, Fed surprise) can alter the timing—but structurally the chart wants to repeat its 1→2→3 cycle into 2026.
Preventing Holiday Schedule Glitches in Automated Futures Trade
Yesterday the market closed at 1:00 PM, and I still had two open positions. Normally my algorithm sends an “exit all” signal at 3:59 PM EST to close every futures contract, but it didn’t account for the holiday schedule. That glitch cost me $5,000 in just a few hours. Lesson learned.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 7/7/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2025
- PR High: 23028.50
- PR Low: 22943.00
- NZ Spread: 191.25
No key scheduled economic events
First full trading day following long holiday weekend
Session Open Stats (As of 12:45 AM 7/7)
- Session Open ATR: 323.71
- Volume: 33K
- Open Int: 271K
- Trend Grade: Neutral
- From BA ATH: -0.6% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 23239
- Mid: 21525
- Short: 20383
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
NQ 100 E mini
🧠 NASDAQ 100 (NQ) Weekly Outlook – July 8–12, 2025
📍Liquidity Sweep Before Expansion?
After the rejection near 23,100, NQ appears to be entering a rebalancing phase, with potential downside liquidity grabs before any continuation to the upside.
📊 Key Technical Levels:
🔸 High: 23,102.50 → Major buy-side liquidity zone.
🔸 Equal Lows: 22,675 – 22,725 → Potential draw on liquidity.
🔸 0.75–1.00 retracement zone (from the recent bullish leg) overlaps with a clear demand area.
🔸 Multiple open Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) remain above and below current price.
📈 Primary Scenario:
✅ Bullish bias, after a potential liquidity sweep below the Equal Lows.
🔻 A downside sweep into the 22,675–22,725 zone would open up opportunities to go long on bullish confirmation, targeting:
22,975 (FVG fill)
23,050 (intermediate resistance)
23,102+ (liquidity above previous high)
⚠️ Alternate Scenario:
If the market fails to sweep the lows and begins pushing higher early in the week, I’ll look for breakout-retest setups above 22,975 to participate in continuation plays.
🎯 Weekly Game Plan:
Plan A: Wait for a liquidity sweep below the equal lows, then look for a bullish reaction and structure shift to go long.
Plan B: In the absence of a sweep, only consider longs above 22,975 after confirmation of strength.
📌 This outlook is based on price action, market structure, liquidity zones, and FVG analysis. Not financial advice.
10a4h PO3 $MNQ 10a4h PO3:
Weekly Bias = Bullish. Liquidity Targets hit. Projection Targets still in play.
Daily Bias = Bullish. Liquidity target hit.
4h Candle Closure Bias = Bullish
Structural Bias = Bullish
Waiting for 15m Liquidity Sweep or Tap into 15m BISI
Entry = 3m +CISD
Partial = 2R
Runner = 4h -2 STDV (21,562 to 22,130.75)
NQ Short (07-01-25)YTD Open level is Blue line below. NAZ up 8% YTD and 40% from YTD low. We may see 8-10% range be the drop zone and retest the YTD Open Level. 22,800 -21,800 has been an extremely low volume 1,000 1 way ride up (not seeing any selling). We should see the sell side show up as NAZ should drop back in the 1,000 soft zone.
4HR YTD Chart below:
July Seasonality Patterns For Index, Metals and ForexSeasonality can be a useful tool if used wisely (and in context) with current sentiment and news flows. Seasonality really is a backwards looking indicator that can easily be overpowered by key macro drivers. But its strength comes in to play when seasonality aligns with the macro landscape.
With that in mind, I share my seasonality matrix for indices, metals and USD FX pairs to highlight potential patterns for July, then wrap up with an update on my Nasdaq 100 analysis.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com.
Nasdaq (NQ) Continues Bullish Cycle, Reaching New All-Time HighThe Nasdaq (NQ) has surged to a new all-time high, reaffirming the strength of its ongoing bullish trend. The index established a significant low on April 7, 2025, at 16,460, following a sell-off triggered by tariff war concerns. This low marked a critical turning point, from which the Nasdaq embarked on a robust upward trajectory, unfolding in a five-wave impulse structure as per Elliott Wave analysis.
From the April 7 low, wave 1 peaked at 18,357.25. A corrective wave 2 then followed which bottomed at 16,735. The index then rallied in wave 3, reaching 22,222, before a shallow wave 4 pullback concluded at 21,565.17, as illustrated on the one-hour chart. Currently, wave 5 is in progress, exhibiting an internal impulse structure in a lesser degree. Within this wave 5, wave (i) topped at 21,944.25, with wave (ii) finding support at 21,738.25. Wave (iii) extended to 22,915, followed by a wave (iv) correction that ended at 22,781. The final wave (v) is expected to conclude soon, completing wave ((i)) of the higher-degree wave 5.
Looking ahead, a wave ((ii)) pullback is anticipated to correct the cycle from the June 23, 2025 low, likely unfolding in a 3, 7, or 11-swing pattern before the index resumes its ascent. In the near term, as long as the pivot low at 21,565.17 holds, any dips should find support in a 3, 7, or 11-swing structure, paving the way for further upside. This technical outlook underscores the Nasdaq’s resilience and potential for continued gains, provided key support levels remain intact.
Market Watch UPDATES! Stock Indices, Gold, Silver, US OILWelcome to the Market Watch Updates for Monday, July 14th.
In this video, we will give the forecast updates for the following markets:
S&P500, NASDAQ, DOW JONES, GOLD, SILVER and US OIL.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
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Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
MNQ LONGHere we go again with confusing charts.
So to begin with, iam bullish until the orange trendline is broken, if its not broken and the price is still reacting positively to it as its doing so far, then iam very much bullish.
Also you should be aware that there is divergence started to show up on the daily and it looks massive on the 4h tf, also price swept last high and moved lower, even though the trend is still intact, it still shows some weakness.
my confidence in this setup is 7 out of 10
Since the price action is bearish for now, then if you want you can take some short until 22840, then go long from here.
2025-07-14 - priceactiontds - daily update - nasdaqGood Evening and I hope you are well.
nasdaq e-mini futures
comment:
The biggest surprise for next week would be a huge gap down Sunday futures open and having that gap stay open. If bears could actually do something like that and trap all bulls who bought above 22600, that would be amazing.
Spoiler: Bears could not. Another gap down and bear trap. It’s sad but the reality. Don’t expect strong bears all of the sudden.
current market cycle: bull trend
key levels: 22000 - 23100
bull case: Bulls defended 22800 which is still as bullish as it gets. Don’t make it more complicated than it is. We are going sideways under the ath, can print a new one any given day. Since I don’t have any targets above 23100ish, I won’t make stuff up here. I only wait for the profit taking to begin to look for shorts.
Invalidation is below 22700.
bear case: Bears are sad. Need a daily close below 22700. If they prevent bulls from printing a new ath above 23111, I would be surprised. No need to write more here until we see much much bigger selling pressure.
Invalidation is above 23500.
short term: Neutral. Bears not doing enough and bulls going sideways under ath. No interest in buying, so I am neutral until big bears come around.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-06-29: No change in plans. I expect 20000 to get hit over the next 3 months and maybe 19000 again.
trade of the day: Long the double bottom above 22800 or the retest on US open around 22830. Bears failed to print consecutive good looking 30m/1h bear bars, so a reversal was the most likely outcome after the double bottom.
07/14 Nasdaq TradeThis time I had to wait for the red candle to create the wick for me to enter. I just needed that because we already had enough volume. Nasdaq is dangerous with this type of time frames. So review
Yellow Part: Variation
Blue Part: The wick that the red candle was creating for me to enter mroe confidently and using the wick as a stop loss.
Red Part: Execute the volume is on your side