NQ1! trade ideas
2025.05.22 nasdaq analysis🔸 Daily Chart Perspective
On the daily timeframe, we can see that the recent low was made within the demand zone, but the market began to fall just before the U.S. session closed. The Asian session appears to be in wait-and-see mode for now.
If the trend continues downward, the red box to the left suggests the possibility of a one-way bearish move. In such a case, a drop toward the 20583 area is open.
The daily 20EMA is also near that zone, and since a one-way drop occurred in the red box area before, the possibility is quite realistic.
🔸 1-Hour Chart View
On the 1H chart, the Nasdaq seems to be forming an expanding wedge.
It's hard to say that a trend reversal to the downside is confirmed yet, because price is still inside the expanding pattern.
However, since the market seems to have formed a short-term top, it gives us a sense of direction for short-term trading.
If the price enters the black box area to the left, that could be seen as a complete trend reversal.
🔸 Today’s Trading Plan
At this point, due to yesterday's sharp drop, there’s no clear buy zone visible.
Only short positions are planned for today.
Short Setup #1
Entry: On break below 21112
TP 1: 21075
Short Setup #2
Entry: On break below 21070
TP 1: 20996
Short Setup #3
Entry: On break below 20970 + trendline break
TP Max: 20830 ~ 20770
🔹 Conclusion
It looks like the trend is leaning toward the downside, but it's best to enter positions only after price breaks out of key support zones.
Indexes Daily "Slow" Trend anticipationExpecting a Daily slowliness a.k.a. HRLR (ICT Concepts) due to the Bonds decorrelation which is bearish. Once Bonds has reached Sell Side Liquidity Target, acceleration will be seen on Indexes higher. Meanwhile "give and take" is expected on a Daily and 4h basis.
Nasdaq’s Next Move Revealed This Week – Don’t Miss the Breakout Following a strong surge at the start of the trading week, the Nasdaq reached a new high since March 26th. At this juncture, I anticipate a potential pullback before any sustained upward movement. My analysis suggests monitoring for a retracement to the New Week Opening Gap (NWOG), where price action will likely provide critical insights. I see two probable scenarios:
1. A move to the NWOG, followed by a strong bounce, potentially targeting a new all-time high, as some market commentators have suggested.
2. A weak reaction at the NWOG, leading to a breakdown below this level, with 16,000 as the next key support target.
This week's price action will be pivotal in determining the Nasdaq's near-term direction. I recommend close observation of these levels and disciplined risk management when positioning for either outcome.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 5/21/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2025
- PR High: 21417.25
- PR Low: 21342.00
- NZ Spread: 168.25
No key scheduled economic events
Maintaining Monday-Friday range, currently back at the lows
- Advertising "indecision"
- Will need to break 21100 to follow through on rollover back to mean
Session Open Stats (As of 12:45 AM 5/21)
- Session Open ATR: 460.78
- Volume: 30K
- Open Int: 276K
- Trend Grade: Neutral
- From BA ATH: -5.4% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22096
- Mid: 20383
- Short: 19246
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
2025-05-20 - priceactiontds - daily update - nasdaq
Good Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Bears get nothing going. Everything is bought. Do not look for shorts unless you can scalp really well. We have room for 1 more day of chop but ultimately I think we will print 22000, like sp500 wants the 6000+. Bull channel is valid until broken, so look for longs.
current market cycle: trading range
key levels: 21000 - 22000
bull case: Bulls want a new ath and we are high enough, that they could easily get it. As long as we stay above 21200, the bull channel is alive and well and we are making higher highs and higher lows. Don’t need to write more for bulls because they have all the arguments on their side.
Invalidation is below 20100.
bear case: Bears can only join the chat again, once we have a daily close below 21000. This channel upwards is tight. Do not look for shorts.
Invalidation is above 21200ish but real confirmation is only below 21000.
short term: Neutral for another day but when the breakout happens, obviously bullish for 22000 and maybe some more. We have room for one more chop day.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-04-20: My most bearish target for 2025 was 17500ish, given in my year-end special. We are +18% from the lows and I do think, once this turns again, it will easily be the short trade of the year.
trade of the day: Buy low, sell high and scalp. 21400 - 21460 was the main range and both sides made money today. Only real bad trade was shorting below 21400 or buying the Globex high.
NASDAQ 100 E-mini Futures - Short-Term Counter-Trend OpportunityAnalysis:
Looking at the NASDAQ 100 E-mini Futures (NQ1!) on the 15-minute chart, we seem to be presenting an interesting setup for a potential counter-trend short, even as our long-term conviction remains firmly bullish.
Long-Term Bullish Thesis:
From a broader perspective, the price action clearly shows a series of "BOS" (Break of Structure) to the upside, indicating sustained bullish momentum. Recent price action, particularly the push through previous resistance levels, reinforces the underlying strength of the market. Our long-term bias is to look for opportunities to go long on dips, aligning with the overall uptrend.
Short-Term Counter-Trend Setup (The Bearish Argument):
However, in the immediate term, we've observed a "MBS" (Market Structure Break) to the downside following a "BOS" to the upside that ran into significant resistance. This indicates a potential short-term shift in momentum. The price has re-entered a previously established demand zone, and the recent rejection from the area marked with the red box and the subsequent downward movement (black candlestick) suggests sellers are stepping in.
Potential Short Entry & Targets:
A counter-trend short opportunity could materialize if the price continues to show weakness from the current levels. The primary target for such a move would be the liquidity below the recent swing low, marked with the '$' symbol, potentially extending towards the 21,200 - 21,150 area (green box). This would be a move to capitalize on the expected short-term pullback.
Invalidation:
This counter-trend short idea would be invalidated if the price decisively breaks above the recent high (the orange dashed line) and sustains above the upper red box, indicating a renewed push to the upside and a continuation of the bullish trend without a significant pullback.
Conclusion:
This setup allows us to potentially capture a short-term bearish move against the prevailing bullish trend. It's crucial to manage risk effectively given this is a counter-trend play. Once this short-term correction plays out, we will be eagerly looking for signs of bullish continuation from lower levels to re-enter long positions, aligning with our overarching bullish long-term view.
MNQ 5.20.25 Trade Management (3)Execution, Risk management and Profit taking shown live in the next 3 posts I am about to share with you guys.
I wanted to use that 4H 10am Low as an entry and we caught it. Now we are watching to see if that was just a manipulation to trade into that bearish FVG I outlined near that Buyside liquidity area we were targetting.
Closing the day out with $110 in profits, Which you will see on Video #3
MNQ 5.20.25 Trade Idea (2)Execution, Risk management and Profit taking shown live in the next 3 posts I am about to share with you guys.
I wanted to use that 4H 10am Low as an entry and we caught it. Now we are watching to see if that was just a manipulation to trade into that bearish FVG I outlined near that Buyside liquidity area we were targetting.
Closing the day out with $110 in profits, Which you will see on Video #3
MNQ 5.20.25 Trade Idea (1)Execution, Risk management and Profit taking shown live in the next 3 posts I am about to share with you guys.
I wanted to use that 4H 10am Low as an entry and we caught it. Now we are watching to see if that was just a manipulation to trade into that bearish FVG I outlined near that Buyside liquidity area we were targetting.
Closing the day out with $110 in profits, Which you will see on Video #3
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 5/20/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2025
- PR High: 21515.00
- PR Low: 21493.00
- NZ Spread: 49.0
No key scheduled economic events
Return to previous week's highs following full supply sweep session
Session Open Stats (As of 12:45 AM 5/20)
- Session Open ATR: 479.66
- Volume: 34K
- Open Int: 281K
- Trend Grade: Neutral
- From BA ATH: -5.4% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22096
- Mid: 20383
- Short: 19246
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
2025.05.20 nasdaq analysisDuring the European session, NASDAQ maintained a downward trend and broke below the 21187 level, as shown here:
This movement suggested a potential shift toward a bearish direction.
However, after that, NASDAQ started forming an upward trend and moved sideways. Eventually, the resistance trendline was broken in the blue box area, which you can see here:
This breakout indicated a short-term trend reversal.
The moment this trend reversal occurred coincided with the U.S. market open, accompanied by a significant surge in trading volume that led to a strong upward move.
At this point, the U.S. session closed with a new high compared to the previous pattern, suggesting that the trend has turned bullish.
However, based on the corrective action seen during the Asian session, it seems that the Asian market is not fully accepting the upward momentum.
Here is the current NASDAQ pattern:
It shows an expanding pennant pattern, with both the highs and lows widening over time.
As of now, it is highly likely that the market will continue to move with volatility in both directions until a decisive breakout occurs.
You can view the current situation in more detail here:
In terms of the upside, even though the price could theoretically reach 22000, it doesn’t hold much significance without confirmation from historical data.
Therefore, I recommend taking buy positions only if the market shows a strong inflection point similar to yesterday’s move.
Even if the recent low of 21112 is broken, the price is still within the expanding pennant pattern, and a rebound remains possible.
A conservative bearish view would only be valid if the price breaks below the previous consolidation area that formed just before the strong rally—specifically the black box range, which is around 20723–20680.
Summary:
There’s a high probability of stop-hunting in the current range.
Whether buying or selling, it's recommended to enter only when a clear setup is provided.
Don’t rely on hope that the price will return to your average entry. If the market chooses a direction during this phase, it could lead to unrecoverable losses.
This could be a highly profitable zone if handled correctly, but trading without conviction is like a drug.
Today is not the only opportunity.
(NQ) | Strong Buyers and Blue‑Box Entry Zones(NQ) | Strong Buyers and Blue‑Box Entry Zones
NQ shows powerful buying pressure, and the marked blue boxes highlight areas where demand has reliably appeared. For those seeking long exposure, two approaches stand out:
Low‑Time‑Frame Breakouts from the Blue Box
Wait for price to dip into a blue‑boxed support zone and then break higher on shorter time frames. A decisive move with rising footprint volume confirms genuine buyer commitment.
Direct Low‑Time‑Frame Breakouts
If price skips a pullback and powers upward on low‑time‑frame charts, that momentum surge—backed by substantial volume—also provides a valid long entry.
Key Considerations
Ensure any breakout is backed by real volume footprint signals, not just price movement.
If these zones fail to hold or volume dries up, stand aside and await the next confirmed setup.
By focusing on these blue‑boxed areas and insisting on volume‑confirmed breakouts, you align your entries with where buyers truly dominate.
📌I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions.
📌My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups.
📌If you would like to learn how to use the heatmap, cumulative volume delta and volume footprint techniques that I use below to determine very accurate demand regions, you can send me a private message. I help anyone who wants it completely free of charge.
🔑I have a long list of my proven technique below:
🎯 ZENUSDT.P: Patience & Profitability | %230 Reaction from the Sniper Entry
🐶 DOGEUSDT.P: Next Move
🎨 RENDERUSDT.P: Opportunity of the Month
💎 ETHUSDT.P: Where to Retrace
🟢 BNBUSDT.P: Potential Surge
📊 BTC Dominance: Reaction Zone
🌊 WAVESUSDT.P: Demand Zone Potential
🟣 UNIUSDT.P: Long-Term Trade
🔵 XRPUSDT.P: Entry Zones
🔗 LINKUSDT.P: Follow The River
📈 BTCUSDT.P: Two Key Demand Zones
🟩 POLUSDT: Bullish Momentum
🌟 PENDLEUSDT.P: Where Opportunity Meets Precision
🔥 BTCUSDT.P: Liquidation of Highly Leveraged Longs
🌊 SOLUSDT.P: SOL's Dip - Your Opportunity
🐸 1000PEPEUSDT.P: Prime Bounce Zone Unlocked
🚀 ETHUSDT.P: Set to Explode - Don't Miss This Game Changer
🤖 IQUSDT: Smart Plan
⚡️ PONDUSDT: A Trade Not Taken Is Better Than a Losing One
💼 STMXUSDT: 2 Buying Areas
🐢 TURBOUSDT: Buy Zones and Buyer Presence
🌍 ICPUSDT.P: Massive Upside Potential | Check the Trade Update For Seeing Results
🟠 IDEXUSDT: Spot Buy Area | %26 Profit if You Trade with MSB
📌 USUALUSDT: Buyers Are Active + %70 Profit in Total
🌟 FORTHUSDT: Sniper Entry +%26 Reaction
🐳 QKCUSDT: Sniper Entry +%57 Reaction
📊 BTC.D: Retest of Key Area Highly Likely
📊 XNOUSDT %80 Reaction with a Simple Blue Box!
📊 BELUSDT Amazing %120 Reaction!
📊 Simple Red Box, Extraordinary Results
I stopped adding to the list because it's kinda tiring to add 5-10 charts in every move but you can check my profile and see that it goes on..
Precision Target Hit—Now, a Critical Retest! What’s Next? Market Recap The price accelerated aggressively, smashing through the target (TP) with pinpoint accuracy. Now, a critical pullback is unfolding—will it set up the next big move or signal a shift in momentum?
What to Watch for Now: Bullish Continuation?
If price stabilizes above a key support zone, it could attract new buyers, fueling another leg higher.
Look for volume confirmation—strong buying activity after the pullback would signal renewed momentum.
Reversal Risk?
A deeper pullback or weakness near key levels could indicate profit-taking or trend exhaustion.
Watch for lower highs—if the price struggles to reclaim previous strength, a shift in market sentiment could be underway.
Key Levels & Strategy Insights Retest Zone: Is this pullback a healthy correction or a sign of sellers stepping in? 📉 Liquidity Areas: Where smart money might enter or exit positions. 📈 Momentum Signals : To gauge strength or weakness in the trend.
Why This Setup Matters:
Helps traders recognize high-probability trade opportunities based on price action and sentiment.
Gives an edge in catching the next major move instead of reacting late.
Adds value by showing how professional traders interpret pullbacks and continuation setups.
🔥 Follow for More Sharp, Real-Time Market Insights! 🔥
NASDAQ 100 – Breakout from Oversold Zone | Belkhayate + VWAP RetExecuted a strong long entry on NASDAQ 100 E-mini Futures following a high-probability confluence setup:
- Oversold confirmation via Belkhayate Cycle in deep green territory
- Falling channel breakout, reclaiming structure
- Bullish volume spike on the breakout candle
- Price pushing toward the Belkhayate Trend filter (hma + 209 MA)
- VWAP reclaim — if price pulls back and holds above VWAP, it could confirm bullish trend continuation .
📈 This is a classic reversal-into-breakout scenario with potential for momentum continuation if VWAP serves as intraday support.
📊 Trade Plan:
✅ Entry: Breakout candle close above descending channel
Stop Loss: Below last swing low (21,123)
Target: 21,449 zone (prior structure / resistance)
💡 Strategy Highlights:
Confluence trade using:
-Belkhayate Cycle (timing)
- Price Action + Volume (structure)
- VWAP (intraday trend bias)
- Belkhayate Trend (macro flow)
Watching for a retest of VWAP – a clean bounce there could trigger adds or re-entries for trend continuation.
Nasdaq Futures - Another 7000 pts move pending?Reposting the last one with the same levels.
Just moved around 700 pts.. The chart says that we can still expect another 7000 points swing? which direction?
Levels as per the last post:
Current Price: 19544 (25th April)
Today's Price: 20230
Mid-Point: 18060.88
Upside: 21424.03, 23364.38, 25353.19 and 27342.00
Downside: 14704.35, 12757.38, 10768.56 and 8779.7
#NQ1!