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NQ1! trade ideas

NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 4/7/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2025 - PR High: 17100.00 - PR Low: 16550.00 - NZ Spread: 1231.0 ⚠ No key scheduled economic events AMP margins remain increased due to tariff news - Continue high volatility value decline, 2.45% weekend gap - Weekend gap fills above 17417 - Overall sentiment: anxiously hesitant in hopes of a nearby bottom Session Open Stats (As of 12:15 AM 4/7) - Session Open ATR: 593.15 - Volume: 131K - Open Int: 276K - Trend Grade: Bear - From BA ATH: -25.8% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 20954 - Mid: 19246 - Short: 16963 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQM2025
by mv3trader5
NASDAQ - Point of Control - Stop and Up from here? This is the point of Control (most traded price) since the COVID crash. Looks the same for the /YM Dow Jones continuous front month contract. Why does this matter? Because that is where the market stopped for COVID Crash - the point of control going back to 2008 GFC. (which I realized 6 months later) But NOT this time! With that said - the /ES Futures are not quite to there - but interestingly and check yourself on a daily time frame the /ES Futures is at .618% Fib retracement. That folks is confluence. I'll it there for all to consider.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Long
by Maximilianned
When will NASDAQ stop melting? You can't say I didn't warn you!I hate to say I told you but I warned about this crash at my analysis back at September 2024 for NQ1! (you can see it at related ideas below), anticipating market moves based on structure well before the narrative around election and tariffs even began circulating. We often see markets engineer these kinds of dramatic dives below obvious lows. This projection towards the 4.0-5.0 zone looks characteristic of such a liquidity hunt, designed to clear out sell-side stops and shake out traders before a potential major move higher – a dynamic not unlike what we anticipated previously. While the projected sharp drop on NQ1! below key levels like the Monthly Order Block near 3.0 and the AG (actual gap) level near 3.5 might look aggressively bearish, I'm viewing this as a potential setup for a significant buy opportunity. My attention is focused on that "Possible reversal level 1" between 4.0 and 5.0. If price stabilizes and shows rejection signs within this zone, it could signal the start of a powerful rally, potentially targeting levels back up towards the 1.75 area or even revisiting prior highs. Remember, these market structure plays can take time to fully develop, just as previous setups did. We could see NQ consolidate or even briefly dip lower within that 4.0-5.0 zone before the anticipated upward reversal truly gains traction. Thanks for reading, boost and follow to stay liquid and not become liquidity. Wish you safe and informed trading decisions. ___________ CME_MINI:NQ1! TVC:VIX
CME_MINI:NQ1!Long
by TradeConfirmed
1
#202514 - priceactiontds - weekly update - nasdaq e-mini futures Good Evening and I hope you are well. comment: W3 has likely concluded and I expect the same price action as for W2. Market is respecting technicals precisely. Look at the chart and the obvious numbers and lines. We can always do an over- or undershoot but for now I don’t think looking for shorts after two days of crashing make any sense. current market cycle: strong bear trend key levels: 16000 - 19600 bull case: Bulls still running for the exits but we have fallen too much too fast and we are getting into value territory for bigger players to buy the dip. Almost nothing is ever as bad as these extreme market reactions want to trap you into. Not to the downside and certainly not to the upside but to the upside everyone is busy pounding their chest because they are such a genius for making money in a bull market. Bulls want a squeeze up to 19000, that’s about it. Bear trend line around 18800-19000 will most likely get hit over the next 2 weeks. Invalidation is below 17000. bear case: Same reasoning as for dax. Bears want the big bull trend line around 16500 but they won’t get there in a straight line. W4 is likely around the corner. If we stay below 18800, that would once again leave another gap open and be another show of big strength by the bears. Invalidation is above 19100. short term: W3 has likely concluded, shorting below 18000 is really really not a good trade unless it’s a momentum scalp. Looking to scalp some longs on the squeeze up. medium-long term - Update from 2024-03-16: My most bearish target for 2025 was 17500ish, given in my year-end special. Clear W1 of this bear trend. Market now has to close below 19000 to confirm W3. Depending on how deep W3 goes, W5 will either reach only around 17500 or the bull trend line around 16000. current swing trade: None chart update: Made the bear trend clear and my expectation for W4 and W5. As always, it’s a guess.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!
by priceactiontds
Market Update: NASDAQ 100 Analysis📈 The NASDAQ 100 is currently trading at 18,075.00, which represents a -22.6% decline from the all-time high of 22,425.75 . This marks a significant drop from its peak, entering into what could be classified as a bear market by traditional standards. 📊The previous decline from the high of 16,800.00 in November 2021 saw a decline of 37.47% , eventually bottoming out at the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level (10,514.25), from which it staged a significant recovery to reach the all-time high of 22,425.75. 📊Current Demand Zones & Fibonacci Levels: These zones represent potential reversal areas where buyers could regain control. The Fibonacci retracement levels align well with historical price action, reinforcing their significance as support zones. DZ-1 (17,539.00-16,334.85): Approximately the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the recent bull rally DZ-2 (16,334.85-15,384.25): Approximately the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement - Historically a strong support level DZ-3 (15,384.25-14,557.00): Critical structural level with prior buyer interest DZ-4 (14,557.00-14,140.25): Deep support level - key psychological zone 📈 Recovery Potential To regain the all-time high of 22,425.7 5, the market would need to achieve the following percentage gains from each demand zone: From DZ-1 (Top: 17,539.00, Base: 16,334.85): 📈 +37.3% to all-time high From DZ-2 (Top: 16,334.85, Base: 15,384.25): 📈 +45.8% to all-time high From DZ-3 (Top: 15,384.25, Base: 14,557.00): 📈 +54.0% to all-time high From DZ-4 (Top: 14,557.00, Base: 14,140.25): 📈 +58.6% to all-time high The DZ-2 to DZ-3 range provides the most likely region for a significant reversal based on confluence between historical support levels and Fibonacci retracements. While DZ-4 aligns with the 37% historical decline. 🔑 Key Takeaways The NASDAQ 100 s is in a significant correction phase, down -22.6% from its peak. Price is approaching critical Demand/support zones (DZ-1 to DZ-4), which may act as reversal points. A return to all-time highs would require substantial gains, particularly if the market reaches the deeper demand zones. Investors should closely monitor price action around the DZ-2 to DZ-3 range (15,384.25 - 14,557.00) for signs of a potential reversal. Additionally, staying updated on developments related to the new tariffs is essential, as they may heavily influence market dynamics in the coming months.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by MESHANL
Nasdaq Approaches Bear Territory Amid Escalating Trade TensionsMarket Decline: The Nasdaq Composite has fallen 20% from its December record high, approaching bear market territory. The S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average have also experienced significant drops, marking their steepest weekly declines since March 2020. ​ Trade Tensions: The downturn is largely attributed to escalating trade tensions. The U.S. imposed a 10% tariff on most imports, prompting China to retaliate with a 34% tariff on all U.S. goods, effective April 10. This escalation has heightened fears of a global trade war. Recession Concerns: In response to these developments, J.P. Morgan has increased the probability of a global recession to 60%, up from 40% previously. ​ Market Movements: Support Levels and Potential Retracement: The Nasdaq's 20% decline suggests it's testing critical support levels. While technical analysis might indicate a potential for a short-term retracement or consolidation at these levels, the prevailing market sentiment, driven by ongoing trade disputes and recession fears, could limit any substantial recovery.​ Outlook: Given the current geopolitical and economic climate, a continued downward trend is plausible. However, markets are inherently volatile, and any developments in trade negotiations or economic policies could influence future movements.​ Disclaimer: Please remember that market predictions are speculative. It's essential to conduct thorough research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by ChainAssetsCapital
2022 NQ Bear Market Fractal scenarios Index has declined more than 20% and we've failed RSI 40 on weekly, indicating a bear market has started. Best case scenario, I could see it bottoming around 16,666/15000 and recovering very quickly with a blow-off top +100% in less than a year, similar to 2000, topping around 30k-33k. Bear markets typically last 3M-3Y, with most ending in a year or less. This one topped mid Q1, so mid Q2, Mid-May, might be a great time to buy, if only for a few weeks. Bottoming there after 3M would fit close to orange pattern, or stretch it 3M to bottom mid Q3, October. Green pattern is the only 1:1 with 2022 top to present, with a bottom around 1Yr and then blue and green are steeper variation bottoming a little later, mid 3Y. Pink is more of a 2000 top with 3Y bear market, but would just be a recession. Red is worst case scenario; great depression followed by rapid hyperinflation that sends markets screaming with exponential gains just to outrun inflation. You can stretch the scales on idea to zoom in and out and see the patterns better, or try drawing your own. Linked are my ideas from 2022 top. There is more confirming TA, but removed for clarity on an already busy chart.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by Nicklaus68
Nasdaq futures , printed a cash signal on close of march candle.So I am cash in my trading accounts with exception of my SPY price action trading which works in any condition . The market Nasdaq futures market has closed under the monthly 20 period ema , I have tested the Dow jones on this logic to 1897 for over 100 years of results and when the market makes closes below I go to cash and wait for a H2 monthly close to get back in . I personally think that this is a very easy way to trade as there is very little user interference its very black and white and if you traded this way on Dow jones from 1987 to now it would have even outperformed buy and hold from 1897 to 2015 (and maybe we will be outperforming soon again too with what the market seems to be threatening ). The 2X Nasdaq , QLD which from 2023s buy signal to end of last months cash signal yielded 78% return. ( that's what my strat uses instead of QQQ for these signals , note however that TQQQ has too much decay to work well imo) It's not hard to make money this way , but there is lots of inaction and us humans don't do so well with that . In any case we have a cash signal and now the game is to wait .... possibly quite a while . Also the Dow , SPY , QQQ and MES , have not quite yet printed sell cash signals so you could argue that they should do this before going to cash but they are all below their sell signals and the market is flashing pretty notable warning signals , So I am cash . I do plan on continuing my price action trades when I have time it can work in all markets but that is a tiny account in comparison to my monthly signals capital . I mostly do it for fun and experience building and often don't have the time . Take care and good luck out there .
CME_MINI:MNQ1!
by NAK1987
we might continue dropping daily hidden divergence, price might want to continue seeking sell side liquidity 4hr is making a new low and taking out old lows (sell side liquidity) to the left MACD is not converging as of yet 1hr hbrsh-div price is dropping ahead of red news this Friday, could head to 1hr old low or weekly low, waiting to see how price reacts to news m15 price is below POC of previous NY session POC, as well as overnight Asian and London session converging nicely ahead of news I would favor price reacting short-term from m15 bearish imbalance before reaching the lows around the NY open after news but we will see
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by martiedirect
NQ! Short Idea (MXMM, Quarterly Theory)Dear Traders, today I present you once again my current idea on the Nasdaq. We have swept a High Liquidity Area marked as my lower HTF PDA. Because of that we might see a stronger Pullback as shown on my Chart. However, I will still keep my eyes open and wait for the 9:30 (UTC-4) Manipulation to look for a Market Maker Sell Model which I will only consider a after a Pullback into my Key Areas and Price Action showing interests of a bearish continuation. (09:30 Manipulation, Liquidity Sweep + SMT Divergence, Break Of Structure, Any PD-Array) Praise be to God -T-
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by MarketMakers_T
1
Bearish PotentialBias: Bearish (Pending Confirmation Post-News) Higher Timeframe Context (Daily) Wednesday closed bearish – 4H made a lower high, and a bearish engulfing candle after sweeping the previous day high, and MACD turned from bullish momentum after making a higher high showing hidden bearish divergence Lower Timeframe Breakdown 1hr made a market structure shift after making a higher MACD made a lower high (bearish divergence), the price closed below Wednesday NY session POC 15M made a lower low + MACD lower low( convergence)
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by martiedirect
2
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq The Nasdaq closed sharply lower due to the aftermath of tariff impositions. Following a significant gap-down, the index broke below the lower Bollinger Band, intensifying selling pressure. Yesterday’s bearish candlestick confirmed a sell signal, leading to an expanded third wave of selling. The index has now reached the previous support zone near 18,500, with additional volatility expected due to today’s Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report and Fed Chair Powell’s speech. On the monthly chart, the Nasdaq is forming a lower shadow around the 20-month moving average. Given the sharp decline, if further selling occurs, oversold conditions may trigger a strong rebound, making it risky to chase shorts at this stage. The 240-minute chart also shows a sell signal, with heavy selling pressure continuing. However, this is a risky zone to enter new short positions, so it's advisable to monitor short-term price movements before making a move. Regardless of whether you take long or short positions, due to high volatility, make sure to set stop-loss levels and adjust leverage to a manageable risk level. Additionally, the VIX surged, forming a large bullish candle and reaching its March 11 high. With the VIX in an uptrend and a buy signal appearing, further volatility expansion is likely. However, since it has reached a key resistance zone, a short-term pullback in the VIX could allow for a Nasdaq rebound. For the VIX to break above its previous high, a period of consolidation may be necessary. Given the strong buying momentum on both the weekly and monthly charts, this should be taken into consideration when forming a trading strategy. Crude Oil Crude oil plunged following the OPEC meeting, where supply increases became a key issue. While oversupply concerns are a factor, the economic slowdown fears from tariffs have also played a major role in the decline. Previously, $68 was considered a strong support level, but oil collapsed from $72 in a steep decline. The final key support lies around $66. On the daily chart, the MACD and signal line are converging near the zero line, suggesting that once a new wave begins, it could lead to a strong trend movement. Depending on today's session and Monday’s market, oil could see an aggressive breakout in either direction. Current candlestick patterns indicate that the weekly chart remains bearish, meaning holding long positions over the weekend carries significant risk. The 240-minute chart also confirms a strong sell signal, with MACD plummeting. Oil may form a temporary sideways range near the $66 support, but if this level breaks, selling pressure could intensify. Ensure you manage stop-loss risks carefully in case of further downside. Gold Gold declined, reacting to fluctuations in the U.S. dollar's value. The price failed to hold above $3,200 and dropped below the 5-day moving average. Gold has been in a one-way trend, so a bullish approach remains valid unless it breaks below the 10-day MA. However, it has now entered a range-bound phase, and MACD on the daily chart is nearing the signal line, suggesting potential downside risks. The MACD failed to break its February highs, increasing the likelihood of divergence, which could trigger a strong correction if selling intensifies. With rising market volatility and today's NFP release, further wild swings in gold prices are expected. The 240-minute chart has shown a sell signal, leading to a sharp decline. However, the price has found support near a key resistance-turned-support zone. Since the MACD and signal line remain above the zero line, gold may continue trading within a range in the short term. On shorter timeframes, candlestick volatility is high, so reducing leverage and widening stop ranges would be a prudent strategy. During periods of extreme market volatility, technical analysis may become less effective, as market sentiment often overrides chart patterns. As always, trade only within your manageable volatility range. The market is always open, so even if you incur losses, there will always be opportunities to recover. Manage risk wisely, and best of luck with your trades today! If you like my analysis, please follow me and give it a boost! For additional strategies for today, check out my profile. Thank you!
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by Futureguard