Why ETH Might Get Rejected... AgainThere are several reasons to believe ETH will get rejected from this area once again:
1_Open interest is extremely high, meaning everyone’s borrowing money to add even more to their long positions. That’s definitely not healthy for a sustained uptrend. We might see a “staircase up, elevator down” type of move soon.
2_This rally is way overextended — we’ve been in a parabolic uptrend with no meaningful correction for the past 47 days. It's been a consistent pattern of higher lows and higher highs. We need at least 2–3 weeks of downtrend to regain strength for another solid move upward.
3_There’s no real fundamental news backing this move. There’s the 401(k) Trump order, but that mostly affects BTC — and even then, it would take ages for any actual money to hit the market (if it ever does). This ETH pump is mostly driven by FOMO — people buying just because others are buying ETFs. Pure hype about ETH hitting some fantasy number in the future.
4_Seasonal weakness matters — I highly doubt ETH can break through major resistance during the summer, especially in a historically bearish month like August.
I expect a correction wave to the downside — at least somewhere bellow the $3,350 area( Why 3350? because it's most recent higher low) . We might get a fakeout above $4,100 before that happens. From there, we can reassess the market to see if it’s ready to finally take out that $4,100 resistance or not.
