Palladium 8 Year Cycle Low is in and Gold AgreesMaking the case for an 8 year cycle low in palladium
PAQ2025 trade ideas
the S&P oil gold silver coffee and othersApril 2nd 2025 this is a general review of markets today follow
Upside Bias as Palladium found strong support around $850Palladium has found strong support around $850 and remains above the 200-day moving average (MA).
A bullish RSI divergence has formed on the weekly chart, and $850, previously a resistance level, has now turned into support.
However, a break and close below $850 would negate this bullish setup.
Palladium buyDivergence is present
reversal falling wedge pattern
seasonality supports the trade
Instant buy
Important changes in the market today1.10.25 days like today are exciting days because are significant markets that are expanding. even though you may miss some opportunities or the markets appear to treacherous to you...
such as the copper Marketeven if you don't take a trade today the market is going to give you an opportunity as a buyer and a seller depending on your Market and if you didn't establish a trade position today don't worry about it because this Market is going to give opportunity to buyers and sellers because it's expanded. I try to show a couple of examples in this video where I gave my opinion on previous days that copper was setting up to go higher.... and I would hope that you would look at the previous video on copper and look at what copper is doing today. generally the best trades are on markets where the price action looks to risky for the Trader that doesn't know how to read for Price action... or even worse... the market looks like a no-brainer trade to the trader who does not know why his not only wrong but he completely assess the pattern incorrectly. I have done that many times in my life I discovered that that kind of thinking is too expensive.... so I had to find tutors and I read... or at least bought many books.... I even went to a practicing well-trained psychologists who specialized in helping Traders... he claimed that he helped some of the most successful traders in the United States. he was about $300 an hour. there is a price to pay for an education. by the way and this is some years ago... the advice that I got from that psychologists ended up being useful but that's psychologist didn't want to see my charts and apparently he was a successful Traders well and I never saw his charts..... and that probably would seem unusual to most people.....the bed actually in the end I was okay with the experience the contracted for 10 sessions and I have no regrets.
PALLADIUM | XPDUSD: Prepare to SELL!Over the next couple of weeks, be ready to sell Palladium on the pullback! This is a ERL to IRL to ERL move in the making! Don't miss it!
Check the comments section below for updates regarding this analysis throughout the week.
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May profits be upon you.
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Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
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This could be the lowLooking at the RUS:PD1! contract:
After completing the three impulse waves (1, 3, 5) upward, Palladium futures entered a steep downward correction, reaching the final Fibonacci level (76.4%). It appears that the price is now forming the first green daily candle in a long time. With an upward-pointing elliptical trendline, this could mark the low. We’ll need to wait for confirmation in the coming trading days. Additionally, Palladium’s bullish seasonality is set to begin soon, suggesting a potentially strong end to the year. Let’s see how it unfolds!
LONG PALLADIUM - XPDUSD, PA!Very bullish pattern about to be completed...
Waiting confirmation for a strong breakout
Palladium: Analyzing the Recent Surge in PricesSince the beginning of August 2024, Palladium has experienced a notable surge in value, reaching approximately $1,250 today. This strong bullish rally signals renewed interest in the precious metal, driven by various market dynamics. However, as the price approaches a critical supply area, traders must exercise caution and prepare for potential market reversals.
Price Movement and Historical Context
The recent price increase in Palladium has not gone unnoticed, and it coincides with a historical trend. Over the past five years, data shows that Palladium has typically encountered a reversal in value around this time of year. This historical pattern serves as a vital reference point for traders considering their next moves.
Evaluating Supply Areas and Potential Reversals
As Palladium nears a significant supply area, it becomes essential to analyze price action carefully. Before contemplating any short positions, it is prudent to wait for a clear bearish pattern to emerge. This approach minimizes the risk of entering prematurely, particularly in a market characterized by bullish momentum.
Commitment of Traders (COT) Report Insights
The latest Commitment of Traders (COT) report reveals contrasting positions among market participants. Retail traders appear to be holding long positions, indicating optimism regarding Palladium's future performance. Conversely, "smart money" or institutional investors have begun to build bearish positions, suggesting that they anticipate a potential downturn. This divergence in sentiment may create a volatile environment as both sides adjust their strategies.
The Importance of Patience
In the current landscape, patience is crucial. Rushing into trades without solid confirmation can lead to unfavorable outcomes. By waiting for a clear bearish signal, traders can better position themselves for potential market reversals. This disciplined approach aligns with the principles of risk management and enhances the chances of executing successful trades.
Conclusion
In summary, Palladium's recent rally to $1,250 places it at a critical juncture. As it approaches a historically significant supply area, traders must remain vigilant and analytical. Observing the emergence of a bearish pattern, coupled with insights from the COT report, will be essential in determining the appropriate timing for any potential short positions.
With patience and a strategic mindset, traders can navigate the current market conditions effectively. What are your thoughts on Palladium's trajectory, and how do you plan to position yourself in this evolving landscape?
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Metals Set Up For Sells Based on COT AnalysisGold, Silver & Palladium are nicely setup for shorts if we get a confirmed bearish trend change on the daily.
Worth noting, Palladium recently had a major bullish divergence trigger, which implies higher prices coming for this market.
Enjoy your week.
Ducks in A Barrel Long Setups - BTC, SOL, TON & PADISCLAIMER: This is not trade advice. This for educational purposes only to show how I am looking to participate in these markets. Trading involves significant risk, do your own homework and due diligence.
Ducks in a Barrel Weekly-Daily Strategy
LONGS: BTC, SOL, TON
SHORT: PA
LONGS:
The crypto market is overall in a strong up trend based on weekly MA's sloping up. We see that BTC, SOL & TON are undervalued vs the price of Gold and Treasuries, and are oversold on stochastic. If we see a trend change to the upside on the Daily chart, I'll look to long these markets. I admit, I'd like to see sentiment more bearish, as currently sentiment is in the middle of the road. Perhaps one more flush to the downside would create some panic and bearish sentiment, which would make this trade idea even more valid.
SHORTS:
Palladium is in a strong weekly downtrend. Right now we are overvalued vs treasuries, but not yet overvalued vs gold or overbought. I'd like to see this market get overbought & overvalued vs gold to qualify looking for shorts on the daily time frame.
Good luck & Good trading.
Palladium 1hr fibPalladium is sitting pretty at the 1hr fib retracement levels. If the economy keeps roaring, so does Palladium; get some. Stop below.
Palladium short Gonna sell when price get back to that zone
Holding till my fundamentals says differently from my bias
Palladium long After checking my fundamentals
I have identified a supply on weekly tf
Now I’m expecting price to close and test this supply giving me a entry to go short
Palladium is breaking out of the long-term downtrendTechnical Analysis of Palladium:
Palladium may now be in the process of establishing a bottom after a sharp decline from around USD 3,000 to today around USD 1,000.
Solid technical support has been established for Palladium around USD 850, and on the upside there is an important technical resistance level around USD 1,120.
An established break above USD 1,120 will trigger a strong technical buy signal for Palladium, which will then have the potential to initially reach USD 1,350, which will then be the next important technical resistance level.
Further up, there is an important technical resistance level around USD 1,600.
Palladium has now broken above the 50-day moving average, and is also about to break above the 200-day moving average.
The overall technical picture for Palladium now signals that a break above the important technical resistance level around USD 1,120 could come shortly.
In that case, it will trigger a strong technical buy signal for Palladium, which is then considered to have a potential of around USD 1,600 in the 3-6 month term.
Palladium appears to be becoming more inexpensiveCould be a decent buy at these prices considering the historical prices of palladium which were higher at one time and the rsi and macd indicators do look especially oversold might not be the worst time to ease into a position especially since the dealers are all showing palladium as being in stock which historically was hard to find
Palladium and SilverAre we on the cusp of an epic 8 year run for #silver and #palladium?
I'll let this chart help you make up your mind...
Palladium priced in goldIf you are wondering why #Palladium is bouncing...
A bounce does not imply an immediate trend reversal
Buy palladium ahead of CPIThe technical side aligns well, Volume is going up.
CCI divergence is strong.
Huge potential upwards, especially long term 10 years. Since the price is very low. I mean, the production costs of palladium are around this level
Palladium ETF better than CFD instrument if you want to capture the full potential.
Said that. This week is full of data, with CPI on Tuesday 12th (tomorrow), so manage your risk accordingly
PA1!: K.O. or bear-trap Round 2?With rate cut questions fueled by the West's bumbling towards another Mid-East war, palladium bears have returned the recent pump to sender with a vengeance. Factor in more EVs and the future for the PGMs looks bleak, right? But a closer look suggests not is all as it seems for these precious metals with their unique properties.
A recent Reuters article from December 2023 revealed that Russian and Chinese scientists with government backing "have been conducting semi-industrial tests of palladium-based catalysts for the hydrogen industry's water electrolysis and fuel cell technology," with the tests "due to be completed in the first quarter of 2024." With Russia being the largest miner of palladium and China the biggest importer, these new "products could add 40 metric tons of global demand for palladium by 2030, offsetting a surplus of 10-20 tons owing to the expected reduction in consumption by the automotive industry by the same year". Furthermore, tests of these new "palladium-based catalysts for the chemicals industry will start in the second quarter" of 2024 with focus also on the "development of a palladium-based photocell..for the solar power sector." (source: www.reuters.com)
Add to this equation massive US investment in a hydrogen economy as evidenced by the number of projects presenting at CES '24 and PA1! is worth keeping an eye on.
(Disclaimer: Any and all ideas and or comments published by me is not financial advice and you trade at your own risk.)
Palladium is on secular bull and has a lot to go!/Palladium is the best commodity in town, in an ever rising trend since inception and with another 8/10 years to go...
Palladim UpdatePalladium is one of the most clearly bullish commods in a secular bull market... could see around 1k if current support goes (which seems likely at the moment)...
Palladium: deaths, taxes and PA1!They say only deaths and taxes are certain, and yet palladium's recent pump and dump has been so clockwork it puts German trains to shame. They also say markets never travel in straight lines, but clearly they haven't traded palladium which has now retraced all the way back to where it pumped from. On the 4 hourly chart, the precious metal has been swimming with the fishes under the RSI's oversold for more than week and yet despite appearances it can't stay there forever. With the economy in soft-landing rude health and interest rate cuts in sight, hints of which likely spurred this metal out of its slumber, how long until we see another clockwork pump back up to the daily 200MA and beyond?
