NZD/CHF Triangle Breakout (17.04.2025)The NZD/CHF pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 0.4886
2nd Resistance – 0.4916
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NZDCHF trade ideas
NZDCHF at a Turning Point: Bullish Breakout and Risky Setup? NZDCHF at a Turning Point: Bullish Breakout and Risky Setup?
NZDCHF is on the verge of confirming a bullish Inverse head-and-shoulders pattern.
If the price moves above the neckline at 0.4870, the chances of an upward continuation increase, potentially solidifying a new bullish trend.
However, a major risk remains: The Swiss National Bank (SNB) continues to intervene in the Forex market, strengthening the CHF in ways that seem unpredictable.
Their unconventional monetary policy has often benefited Switzerland at the expense of other economies, and these interventions show little regard for market stability.
Should the SNB interfere, NZDCHF could experience a bearish wave, possibly when least expected. This adds a significant risk and uncertainty to this setup.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
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#NZDCHF: Will Price Continue The Bearish Trend? If we analyse the trading history of NZDCHF, the overall trend has been bearish. The CHF has consistently dominated the NZD, and this trend is expected to continue. The price has dropped significantly, and since the last two weeks, it has filled the gap area. In the future, we anticipate the price moving towards 0.40.
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NZDCHF Reversal Builds as Trade Data Surprises Bulls Eye 0.5078NZDCHF has formed a clear inverse head & shoulders pattern on the 4H chart, with price currently hovering above the neckline at 0.4840. The technical breakout remains valid, with bullish targets at:
TP1: 0.4993
TP2: 0.5078
SL: Below 0.4740
🧠 Fundamental Update – NZ Trade Balance (Apr 21):
Latest Data:
Actual: +80M
Forecast: +510M
Previous: +510M
✅ Still positive, but below expectations
⚠️ Weaker-than-expected trade surplus may weigh on NZD short-term
Combined With Recent CPI Data (Apr 16):
Inflation rose to 2.5% YoY, higher than forecast but still within the RBNZ's target band
Most price pressures are seen as temporary (fuel, education)
RBNZ cut OCR to 3.5% in April and has left the door open to further cuts
Markets still fully price in a rate cut on May 28, with a projected floor of 2.75% by October
🌏 Global Context:
Trade tensions and slowing global growth (esp. from U.S. tariff risk) are driving demand for safe havens like CHF
ANZ economists have revised forecasts for additional RBNZ easing to 2.5%, citing weak global sentiment
🧭 Interpretation for NZDCHF:
Short-term:
✅ Positive technical structure
✅ Net trade surplus supports slight NZD demand
⚠️ Trade miss and dovish RBNZ tone keep bullish momentum cautious
Medium-term:
⚠️ Macro headwinds + expected RBNZ cut may limit upside
⚠️ Potential pullbacks if rate-cut sentiment strengthens into May
💡 Final Trade Strategy:
Bullish bias valid above 0.4840, but watch for volatility
Profit-taking recommended at 0.4993
Be cautious near 0.5078, especially before the May 28 RBNZ meeting
A close below 0.4740 would invalidate the bullish setup
NZDCHF Elliott Wave AnalysisHello friends
In the NZDCHF currency pair chart, we are witnessing the formation of a complete Elliott wave pattern. These waves from 1 to 5 are clearly defined. Now this 5-wave pattern is an upward contracting triangle that usually forms in waves 1 or 4 or 5 or C.
Considering the counting of the previous waves, which is a wide ABC with a C wave extended or waves 1 to 3, we assume that we are facing wave 1 or 4. It is definitely not wave 5 or C.
So if it is wave 1, then it must correct at least 50 to 61.8% of Fibonacci from wave 1.
So the first target is the 04800 range.
If it is wave 5, it must go below the bottom of wave 3 and the second target is at least the 04600 range.
This movement usually occurs with a break of the trend line and a pullback to it.
Good luck and be profitable.
NZD-CHF Will Fall! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
NZD-CHF went up last week
And has almost recovered
The dramatic slaughter
Which happened earlier
But then the pair touched
The horizontal resistance
Of 0.5000 which is a strong
Round number and immediately
Made a pullback which means
That the bears are strong near
The level and so we are locally
Bearish biased and we will
Be expecting a local
Bearish correction on Monday
Sell!
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NZDCHF: Short Signal with Entry/SL/TP
NZDCHF
- Classic bearish setup
- Our team expects bearish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short NZDCHF
Entry Point - 0.4892
Stop Loss - 0.4962
Take Profit - 0.4769
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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NZDCHF market outlookFX:NZDCHF
NZDCHF has came back and reached above its neck level of the QM pattern the second time, also having several demand zones reached and respected, pushing price upwards and forming a compression. We can keep an eye out on this pair and make decisions when it reaches the resistance zone once again. There are two possible scenarios that could happen, if it’s able to break above the resistance zone and close bullish candles, we can look for long opportunities and buy it to resistance 2 which is at 0.49630. If there is a strong rejection from resistance, we can then look for pullback and enter on shorts.
However, due to the fact that NZDCHF is still very bearish on the H4 and Daily timeframes, our bias should be bearish and prioritize selling opportunities. On sell trades, we may be able to hold the position longer and target different take profit levels.
NZD-CHF Bullish Breakout! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
NZD-CHF made a bullish
Breakout of the key horizontal
Level of 0.4880 which is now
A support and as the breakout
Is confirmed we are locally
Bullish biased and we will
Be expecting further growth
After a potential local pullback
Buy!
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NZD/CHF "Kiwi-Franc" Forex Bank Heist Plan (Scalping/Day Trade)6 hours ago
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Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the MA breakout (0.48700) then make your move - Bullish profits await!"
however I advise to Place Buy stop orders above the Moving average (or) Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level for Pullback entries.
📌I strongly advise you to set an "alert (Alarm)" on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs.
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📍 Thief SL placed at the recent/swing low level Using the 30mins timeframe (0.47600) Day trade basis.
📍 SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
🏴☠️Target 🎯: 0.49900 (or) Escape Before the Target
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💰💵💸NZD/CHF "Kiwi vs Franc" Forex Market Heist Plan (Scalping/Day) is currently experiencing a bullishness,., driven by several key factors. 👇👇👇
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As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
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Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
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NZDCHF SHORTS Market structure bearish on HTFs DW
Entry at Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection At AOi
Previous Weekly Structure Point
Daily Rejection At AOi
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 0.50000
H4 Candlestick rejection
Levels 6.98
Entry 95%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
NZD/CHF SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
Hello, Friends!
NZD/CHF pair is in the downtrend because previous week’s candle is red, while the price is clearly rising on the 9H timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 0.475 because the pair is overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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NZD_CHF MOVE DOWN AHEAD|SHORT|
✅NZD_CHF is set to retest a
Strong resistance level above of 0.5000
After trading in a local uptrend for some time
Which makes a bearish pullback a likely scenario
With the target being a local support below at 0.4892
SHORT🔥
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Idea Shared Buy NZDCHF 4H 25042025 09.15 GMT +7Idea share
Buy NZDCHF 4H 25042025 09.15 GMT +7
Tools
2,000$
Buy @ 0.495 / 0.02 lot
Buy lim 1 @ 0.48 / 0.03 lot
Buy lim 2 @ 0.47 / 0.05 lot
SL @ 0.46
TP @ 0.524
5,000$
Buy @ 0.495 / 0.03 lot
Buy lim 1 @ 0.48 / 0.04 lot
Buy lim 2 @ 0.47 / 0.07 lot
SL @ 0.46
TP @ 0.524
10,000$
Buy @ 0.495 / 0.08 lot
Buy lim 1 @ 0.48 / 0.09 lot
Buy lim 2 @ 0.47 / 0.12 lot
SL @ 0.46
TP @ 0.524
30,000$
Buy @ 0.495 / 0.2 lot
Buy lim 1 @ 0.48 / 0.22 lot
Buy lim 2 @ 0.47 / 0.25 lot
SL @ 0.46
TP @ 0.524
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It will rise only if SNB decidesThe NZDCHF pair is showing strong signs of recovery as the New Zealand dollar gains support from positive economic data and expectations of interest rate hikes. Meanwhile, the Swiss franc is under corrective pressure after a prolonged rally. With a bullish reversal pattern forming on the technical chart and buying momentum gradually returning, NZDCHF has strong potential to continue its upward trend in the near future.
NZD/CHF BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
NZD/CHF is trending down which is clear from the red colour of the previous weekly candle. However, the price has locally surged into the overbought territory. Which can be told from its proximity to the BB upper band. Which presents a classical trend following opportunity for a short trade from the resistance line above towards the demand level of 0.477.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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NZDCHF Will Go Up! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for NZDCHF.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 0.489.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 0.492.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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