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PT1! trade ideas

Platinum Supply Gap Widens: Johnson Matthey Report AnalysisJohnson Matthey's latest report on the platinum market reveals an impending supply deficit not seen in a decade, despite some expected declines in vehicle production. The shortfall, exceeding 600,000 ounces, is driven by sustained demand across industries like automotive and industrial applications, particularly in China. Key Points: - **Supply Shortfall**: The report predicts a substantial deficit in platinum supply due to maintenance issues in South African smelters and lower scrap stream volumes from end-of-life vehicles. - **Strong Demand**: Surprisingly, the automotive sector saw an 8% increase in platinum demand in 2023, mainly due to the slower-than-expected adoption of electric vehicles (EVs). Industrial applications in China also contributed to sustained demand. - **Price Implications**: Despite the supply-demand imbalance, platinum prices have remained relatively subdued, suggesting market complexities beyond simple supply constraints. Looking Ahead: The report warns of potential disruptions in South Africa, a crucial platinum producer, and uncertainties around EV adoption rates as key risks to watch. Nevertheless, the persistent supply deficit is expected to define the platinum market's near-term trajectory. (insert-link-here)
NYMEX:PL1!Long
by MorMedia
Platinum: Examining Resistance Retests and Seasonal BehaviorThe recent movement in Platinum futures has seen a notable retest of the upper boundary of the range, coinciding with a resistance zone commonly referred to as "Supply." Our analytical approach begins at this critical juncture, where we factor in various elements, including the seasonal behavior observed in this precious metal over the past decade and a half. A meticulous examination of historical data reveals a consistent pattern wherein Platinum experiences a significant decline in value from May through July. This seasonal trend, observed over the course of the last 10 to 15 years, underscores the likelihood of a continued downturn in Platinum's value during this period. In light of this compelling historical precedent, we are inclined to anticipate a continuation of this seasonal pattern in the current market environment. Consequently, our focus is squarely on identifying and capitalizing on potential bearish opportunities. Specifically, we are actively seeking a setup that anticipates a local retest of the aforementioned resistance zone, which could serve as a catalyst for a reversal in price direction. By aligning our analysis with both technical and seasonal considerations, we aim to position ourselves strategically to navigate the evolving dynamics of the Platinum futures market.
NYMEX:PL1!Short
by FOREXN1
1
PLatinum shaping up for a ton of upside to $1,132 tech and fundsBox Formation and W Formation is showing on the Daily chart of PLatinum. We do need the price to close above the neckline of both patterns to really confirm upside to come. So far the MAs are also confirming a bullish inclination along with the rising uptrend. Price >20 and crossing 200MA Bullish bias Target $1,132 Let's drill into the fundamentals for the rising PLatinum price One of the significant reasons for the price increase is the deepening supply deficit that was observed in 2023, which is expected to continue into 2024. The World Platinum Investment Council (WPIC) had revised its expectations for the platinum deficit in 2023 to nearly twice its initial estimate, highlighting a considerable shortfall in supply against demand​ (INN)​. This deficit is largely due to decreased supply, with production challenges in major platinum-producing countries like South Africa, where mines have faced electricity issues leading to production deficits. Despite some improvements in production, the overall global output of platinum decreased year-on-year, while demand, particularly from the automotive sector and for investment purposes, has seen a notable increase​ (INN)​. Also, the demand for platinum in the production of green hydrogen, which uses platinum-group metals (PGMs) as catalysts, is also contributing to the increased demand. The green hydrogen sector, which focuses on producing hydrogen from renewable sources, has seen significant investment, further boosting platinum demand​ (INN)​. The auto sector, a major consumer of platinum due to its use in catalytic converters, has begun to return to pre-pandemic production levels, further straining the available platinum supply​ (INN)​. And investment demand for platinum is expected to rise, with projections indicating an increase in platinum bar and coin demand to a three-year high, as manufacturers in North America and Europe allocate more capacity to platinum due to weaker demand for gold and silver​ (The future of trading)​. All giving great buying signs for the precious metal.
NYMEX:PL1!Long
by Timonrosso
Platinum Represents Big Value and Upside in MetalsPlatinum has been one of the worst performing metals. However, it presents a compelling opportunity for upside should the Fed ultimately deliver rate cuts. Based on daily fibonacci patterns, it is holding support at the 61.8% percent lines. And, it is holding weekly, daily, and hourly support. Today, Monday, Feb 5th, does present a unique opportunity to get in long at these lows and ride up a wave to much high level. PLJ5 is currently trading at 883.4 . . . Buy now, with a SL at 870 and a move that could go as high as 1000 within the next month.
NYMEX:PL1!Long
by CeresTrader
Platinum welcomes Bull Market since April 2023SInce April, we've seen the price on a strong decline from $1,143 down to $843. It then reached a low and has consolidated around forming a Triple Bottom. The price has broken above the downtrend along with the neckline of the pattern. This means, we are ina bull market. But hold up. There are two ways this can go. EIther the market continues to consolidate and move sideways which will be a drag holding onto platinum longs. Or the bulls will do what they can to push up and take us to the target. With the Santa Claus Rally on the way and the positive sentiment reverberating world-side, I can only hope for the latter. My first target will be $1,094.00.
NYMEX:PL1!Long
by Timonrosso
PL poised to continue upWhen I first posted about PL it was at 806, since then each time I posted about it it went up another 30 points. Prior to me pointing out what a bargain it was it had fallen 150 points from $946. One time it went up 50 point in one day, or $2500 in one day per contract. Now it has developed a life of it's own, steadily climbing towards higher levels. I expect this to continue, the corrections have been minor since $844. My profit target for it is $935.
NYMEX:PLZ2023Long
by dryanhawley
Can Platinum Hold Key Support?The precious metals complex has been under pressure since the April highs for several reasons. For one, the dollar has been on the rise, and typically when the dollar is ripping higher the precious metals will take a hit to the downside. Also, treasury yields have also been ripping higher adding to the bear case for the metals. Looking at the chart on a weekly basis, there is a solid bull and bear case to consider looking at this market, and as we are nearing the end of the quarter there could be some great volatility. Bull Case: If you are looking to get long this market, there are a few supporting factors to consider. On the technical side, we are testing major trendline support going back to the pandemic lows, and we have not broken this level when it has been tested and have seen significant rallies from this point. There is also good support from 883-892, and that pocket has held well when tested. Bear Case: As mentioned before, the dollar and treasury yields have been screaming higher, and have been pressuring the metals lower. With yields and the dollar running up, the metals complex will struggle to find any conviction higher, so keep an eye on those markets to see if we can get a turnaround. If the market does break below this trendline support, then we could see prices sent back down to 860.5. Check out CME Group real-time data plans available on TradingView here: www.tradingview.com Disclaimers: CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com *Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. Futures trading involves substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Trading advice is based on information taken from trade and statistical services and other sources Blue Line Futures, LLC believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account holder. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
NYMEX:PL1!
by Ryan_Gorman
PLATINUM FUTURES, Massive BEARISH TRIANGLE-Formation, BREAKOUT!Hello There! Welcome to my new analysis about PLATINUM FUTURES on the global timeframe perspective. The precious metals market is moving into a decisive momentum within the recent times as developments within the financial markets point to a continuation of exceptionally high interest rates within vast majorities of economies and a continuation of hawkish interest rate approaches. An market with continued higher interest rates is pointing to an main indication of a more bearish determination for the precious metals market. If there is no change in the hawkish FED policies and a turning point into more dovish policies decreasing interest rates this is likely to setup the continuation of a bearish indication for precious metal derivatives such as PLATINUM FUTURES. This in combination with a strong DXY, U.S. Dollar Currency Index is increasing opportunity costs of holding precious metal derivatives such as PLATINUM FUTURES, especially within the currencies baskets this is likely to decrease long open interst and increase open interest in short positions to hedge against a depreciating fiat currency pointing to a bearish precious metal scenario. From a technical perspective the signs are definitely worthwhile to consider here as PLATINUM FUTURES form this gigantic descending-channel-formation in which PLATINUM FUTURES already completed several massive bearish waves to the downside increasing bearish pressure and momentum forming several lower lows and pointing to a higher likelihood possibility of a continuation within the descending-channel-formation. Within this channel PLATINUM FUTURES also form the coherent wave-count with the waves A to C being already completed and now within the formation of the wave D PLATINUM FUTURES are forming this gigantic triangle-formation which is likely to complete within the next times. A breakout below the lower boundary of the triangle-formation will setup the origin of a continuation into the bearish direction and a substantial extension of the wave E within the whole wave-count increasing the bearish momentum till the final targets have been reached. Taking all these factors into the consideration here the final breakout can setup faster than expected and then it will be important on how PLATINUM FUTURES setup the actual bearish momentum to develop within the wave-E of the whole wave-count because when the momentum is that strong reaching out to the initial target-zones marked in blue this can lead to a continuation just below these levels and a invalidation of the descending-channel into the lower directions. If this does not happen and PLATINUM FUTURES show up with the ability to stabilize within the final target-zones from there on the potential for a reversal increases and if this reversal setups, once it has emerged PLATINUM FUTURES also have the potential to show up with a final breakout out of the upper boundary of the descending-channel-formation. Especially with continued hawkish interest rate policy, in combination with the open interest in short-positions increasing exponentially, and the strong DXY putting bearish pressure on commodities as well as precious metals this is pointing to the final bearish acceleration and breakout developments to emerge realizing this whole bearish scenario. In this manner, thank you everybody for watching the analysis, support from your side is greatly appreciated. VP
NYMEX:PL1!
by VincePrince
3