USDSEK Head and Shoulders giving an end-of-year sell.We haven't looked at the USDSEK pair in exactly 1 year but it was that Higher Higher rejection (see chart below) that gave us the best sell opportunity since COVID:
On the 1D time-frame an Ascending Triangle has emerged since and the price has been rejected on the latest September 21 Higher High. We can see the emergence of a Head and Shoulders pattern that is supported on Higher Lows. Similar Higher Lows structures have been formed on long-term peaks, you can even see the resemblance on the 1D MACD sequences.
As a result, if the market closes a 1D candle below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), we will see and target a potential contact with the 1W MA100 (red trend-line) at 10.4500.
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SEKUSD trade ideas
USDSEK 10/2I like this rising flag pattern we have here, this is a quick move, not a swing trade. Ideally, I wanna see price test that resistance trend line a few more times and then break it to the downside.
However, we just tested a major support zone on the 4hr timeframe so this could be a reversal to the upside ( worst case scenario). Im more sells bias for now though.
Key day reversal on USD/SEKWe've observed a bearish key day reversal on the daily USD/SEK chart. This pattern typically forms when the market reaches both a new high and a new low compared to the previous day's trading range and closes below the previous day's low. It's crucial to note that there should be a previous upward movement in the market for this pattern to be significant.
In addition to this, we've noticed a weakening of upward momentum, as indicated by the divergence in the daily Relative Strength Index (RSI). All these factors suggest a significant loss of upward momentum in anticipation of the Federal Reserve's announcement tomorrow.
If you are currently invested in this market, it might be wise to consider tightening your stops!
USDSEK likely for bearish reversalUSDSEK is moving sideways on 1H time frame and bearish divergence has been observed on RSI. Upon further scrutiny, a rising wedge reversal pattern is observed. A short entry is planned on break of last swing low and downward breakout of the wedge pattern. SL and TP have been set accordingly.
Exotic pair exotic tradeThe pair is poking the upper vortex and I see in other pairs that dollar is getting strong and the stock market may drop sharply. I don't know if is going to break up this time but if is rejected is highly probably that is going try again and before another attempt I would open another long position.
USDSEK: Head and Shoulders at the PCZ of a Bearish ABCDUSDSEK is trying to confirm a Right Shoulder of a Bearish Head and Shoudlers Pattern at the PCZ of a Harmonic Bearish AB=CD. If it is able to goback down from here and break through the neckline then we could see action similar to what we saw on the EURHUF.
USDSEK under pressure!We've recently seen USDSEK consolidate in a descending triangle after a sharp drop from 10.55 highs.
Sellers have been gaining traction as seen from the lower highs each time buyers have bought the 10.23 support.
Market has now broken below 10.23 support and if we get a rounded retest we could see sellers fully dominate and the descending triangle pattern plays out to 10.04 lows.
One for the radar!
Emerging market currencies to outperform G10 in 2023With the global economy showing more resilience and the Fed slowing its pace of tightening, we believe EM currencies can outperform relative to G10 peer currencies this year. Attractive real yields should result in market participants accumulating exposure to developing currencies, while our assumption for contained banking sector stresses should lead to improved risk appetite.
USDSEK Failed Break Down. Return of the dollar? So, have you been keeping an eye on the USD/SEK pair lately? It's been pretty interesting to watch. Even though the FOMC meeting had an impact on the pair, it didn't completely break down. In fact, there's a buy signal on the daily Stochastic, which suggests that the pair could be turning bullish.
What's even more exciting is that the USD/SEK pair is currently trading above the trendline that began on January 23. This is a good sign for those who are bullish on the pair.
So, what does all this mean? Well, it looks like the USD might be making a comeback against the SEK. It might be a good idea to take a long position in the pair, with a stop-loss set below the trendline for protection.
Of course, as with any trade, it's important to keep an eye on the market and adjust your position accordingly. But overall, it looks like there could be some potential for profit here.
How to close out the Trading week 1,000 Pips Caught (USD/SEK)This week New was the beginning of the great volume I've missed seeing in a while trading USDSEK in 2023 Currency markets.
The last three trading days have been Short trades during London session and U.S. session conversion which led to three consecutive trading days shorting during this time.
Instock traders :Jrow in this scenario have put himself in great positions this week trading successfully.
Trader IG: Jrowbee
Trading Co. IG: INSTOCK247365