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SP500 trade ideas

SPX - Presidential Update - Downside potential to 3500 in 4 yearHello everyone! Apologies for the audio quality - my laptop has been acting up. I take this moment to update a prior video I did 4 years ago looking at presidential cycles. Historically speaking, looking at the 90s through today, we tend to see bigger corrections during republican leadership. Clinton - Essentially no corrections. Bush - Two major corrections (dot-com bubble and housing bubble) Obama - Essentially no corrections. Trump v1 - 3 corrections, including COVID Biden - 1 correction in 2022 Trump v2 - Remains to be seen Trump has already made significant waves and has demonstrated that he is not afraid to do so. We will probably see some volatile times ahead. I outline in the video 3 important levels to watch: SPX 4800 - Prior all time high in late 2021 SPX 4200 - Seen as support and resistance in 2022/2023 (was the low in Oct 2023) SPX 3600 - 2022 low and Oct 2021 high A correction to 3600 would be a huge correction and would be worst case scenario in my eyes - I'd be more inclined to think 4800 will be the place we will go. This likely will take *years* to complete and is fully dependent upon how Trump situates the USA from a global perspective. Don't get caught on the wrong side of the trade. Make sure you are diversified and have some cash on hand to take advantage of value plays that will almost certainly present themselves to us. Trade safely, friends!
TVC:SPX
by bitdoctor
SPX500The SPX500, or S&P 500, is a major stock market index that tracks the performance of 500 of the largest publicly traded companies in the United States. It includes companies from various sectors, making it a key benchmark for the overall U.S. economy. The index is widely used by investors to gauge market trends and economic health. With a mix of tech giants, financial institutions, healthcare firms, and industrial leaders, the SPX500 is known for its stability and long-term growth potential.
THINKMARKETS:SPX500Short
by HavalMamar
[01/20] GEX Outlook: Decision, Key Levels and Looming VolatilityLooking at the GEX levels through Friday, we can see that since mid-December, the market has been moving in a slightly downward channel. Above 6000–6025: A call gamma squeeze is expected. Between 5925 and 6000: A sideways “chop zone.” Below 5925: The high-volatility zone begins, with 5800–5850 acting as our major support/resistance level characterized by heavy put dominance. Below that level lies a “total denial zone.” We’ve seen this scenario before—think back to the red candle on December 18, when the price broke below that threshold. This “red zone” is currently around 5800, so below 5925 we can anticipate large-amplitude moves. At this point, the market still does not seem worried about significant volatility. Until Friday, all NETGEX values for every expiration are positive , so market participants are pricing in more of a sideways movement. We haven’t yet seen a big pickup in volatility. I’m not pessimistic, but keep in mind that Trump’s inauguration might usher in a high-volatility period—something the market and many retail traders haven’t experienced in a while. Better safe than sorry.
SPREADEX:SPX
by TanukiTrade
4
S&P 500 Maintains Bullish Momentum Near Critical ResistanceThe S&P 500 Index is currently in a strong uptrend, trading around 6,040.2 and approaching a key resistance at 6,102.1. This level previously acted as a barrier, and its breakout could confirm bullish continuation toward 6,200.0, marking a potential new high. However, if rejected, a temporary pullback may occur before another push upward. The support structure is well-defined, with 6,002.0 serving as immediate support. Below that, 5,947.1 and 5,886.1 offer further stability in case of a deeper retracement. If bearish pressure increases, 5,839.0 and 5,777.5 would be crucial areas to watch. Price action suggests minor fluctuations before a breakout attempt. A confirmed move above 6,102.1 could lead to continued bullish momentum, while failure to break may result in a consolidation or retracement before resuming the uptrend. The market remains bullish, but close attention is needed around key resistance and support zones.
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by ArinaKarayi
Bearish reversal off 61.8% Fibonacci resistance?S&P500 is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the overlap support. Pivot: 6,040.89 1st Support: 5,930.68 1st Resistance: 6,100.41 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:US500Short
by ICmarkets
Red Alert! Major Bearish Signal for U.S. Stocks. Attention – this is a Red Alert! This is a Red alert! The main three U.S. stock indices, S&P 500 (SPX), Nasdaq Composite (IXIC), and Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) have recorded a major bearish momentum divergence. In December 2024 all three indices recorded new all-time highs. Last week for several days only SPX reached a new all-time high. This phenomenon occurred in 2007 just prior to the last major U.S. stock bear market. As of this writing on Sunday 01/26/25 at 8:30 PM – PT the S&P 500 – E- Mini futures are down almost .90% it appears the SPX could be trading down more than 1% on 01/27/25. There could be a decline greater than 10% coming soon. This could be the best time to sell or short U.S. stocks in 2025. It looks like the bear is back! This is a Red Alert!
SP:SPXShort
by markrivest
1
SPX500 looks to uptrend on hour chart and will make its way headSPX500 looks to uptrend on hour chart and will make its way heading to daily resistant level. Hello mates, please feel free to share your trading ideas, and please give a Boost if you agree with my trading plan. My trading strategy is Price Action, which is the simplest strategy of trading on the price movement. A key part of my discipline is always setting a Stop Loss when opening a trading position, which ensures every trading is risk managed. Our 1 to 1 trading training is available, please message. Trade well and good luck!
FX:SPX500
by QQGuo-Shane
Markets Meltdown - Trade War Fallout BeginsMarkets Meltdown - Trade War Fallout Begins? | SPX Market Analysis 3 Feb 2025 Ahoy there Trader! ‍‍⚓️ It’s Phil… Markets are waking up in full meltdown mode, all thanks to weekend tariff mayhem and rising tensions throwing a wrench into global trade. SPX futures are deep in the red, but that’s not necessarily bad news if you’re positioned right! With bear swings already paying out big and bull swings needing some management, the real question is—do we get follow-through selling, or is this just another knee-jerk overreaction? Let's dig in! SPX Deeper Dive Analysis: 🔥 Trade War Whiplash Hits Markets Hard The overnight futures carnage was triggered by new tariff disruptions, retaliatory measures, and escalating trade war tensions—all set to take effect on Tuesday. The global market reaction was swift and brutal. SPX Futures: Hit a low of -120 points before bouncing to -80 points (-1.3%). Similar Pattern to Last Monday: Another huge gap down breaking out of last week’s range. Bearish Follow-Through or Bullish Bounce? Watching for a continuation lower or a bounce. 💰 Trade Plan: Profits on Bear Swings, Managing the Bullish Side Friday’s range reversal gave us an edge before the market even opened: ✅ Bear swings from Friday = Near-maximum gains at the open. ✅ Rolling the bull swing may be required—assessing once we see price action. ✅ Large gap downs = Risky entries—patience required before placing fresh trades. ⏳ Key Levels to Watch 📌 Gap Fill Potential: Do we snap back into the prior range or confirm a deeper decline? 📌 Early Flush or Fakeout Rally? Let the first 30-60 minutes set the tone before making big moves. 📌 Fast Forward Group Call Strategy: Real-time assessment of market direction at the open. For now, the plan is patience and precision—we wait for confirmation before making the next move. Fun Fact: 📉 The Worst Market Drop from Tariff Wars? In 1930, the Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act triggered a global trade collapse, slashing world exports by 66% and worsening the Great Depression. Lesson Learned? Tariffs are rarely good news for markets. Every major tariff war in history has caused volatility, market corrections, or outright crashes. Whether today’s chaos is temporary or the start of something bigger remains to be seen! Happy trading, Phil Less Brain More Gain …and may your trades be smoother than a cashmere codpiece
SP:SPXShort
by MrPhilNewton
$SPX Analysis, Key Levels & targets for Today & Tomorrow (FOMC)35EMA Underneath us, island gap above us, top of the expected move on the day is 6120 above that all-time highs and 6130 on tomorrow’s contract. If I was looking at bear call spreads I’d probably do 6130/6140. Bottom of the move on the day 6015 and underneath all of that is that 50 day moving average with the 30 minute and one hour 200 Bearily positioned underneath that. Is we drop I’ll be looking to 6010/6000 bull put spreads on todays contract - Let’s go 🙌
SP:SPX
by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Jan 31, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: During the current weekly trading session, the S&P 500 has successfully retested the significant threshold of the completed Outer Index Rally at 6123. The market is presently exhibiting a downtrend phase, as the bullish momentum appears to be temporarily suspended. Analyses indicate that this downward trajectory will likely persist, with targets set at the Mean Support levels of 5996 and potentially 5936. This considerable corrective pullback may create an opportunity for the re-establishment of a bullish trajectory toward further rally targets. Should this development occur, the market could be favorably positioned for the subsequent phase of the bullish trend, which would involve retesting the completed Outer Index Rally level of 6120 and targeting the following Outer Index Rally levels of 6233 and the highly anticipated target of 6418.
SP:SPX
by TradeSelecter
SPX Pullback Expected To Hold in 3, 7 Or 11 SwingsShort Term Elliott Wave view in S&P 500 ( SPX) suggests that rally to new all time high on 12.16.2024 at $6099.97 ended wave ((3)). Pullback in wave ((4)) is proposed complete at $5773.20 as the 1 hour chart below shows. Internal subdivision of wave ((4)) unfolded as Elliott wave double three structure. Down from wave ((3)), wave (W) ended in lesser degree 3 swings at $5832.30. Wave (X) bounce ended in 3 swings at $6049.75 high. Then wave (Y) lower ended at $5773.20 low with another lesser degree 3 swings thus completed wave ((4)) pullback. The Index has turned higher in wave ((5)) and managed to make a new high above previous wave ((3)) high of $6099.97 confirming the next extension higher. Up from wave ((4)), the rally took place as an impulse sequence where wave ((i)) ended at $5871.92 high. Wave ((ii)) pullback ended at $5805.42 low. Index nested higher in wave ((iii)) & ended at $5964.69 high. Then wave ((iv)) pullback ended at $5930.72 low. Above from there, wave ((v)) ended with extension at $6128.18 high & completed wave 1. Down from there, the index is doing a pullback in wave 2 against 1.13.2025 low. Therefore, pullback should hold in 3, 7 or 11 swings looking for more upside.
SP:SPX
by Elliottwave-Forecast
1
SPX500 H4 | Potential bullish bounceSPX500 is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 6,042.53 which is an overlap support. Stop loss is at 5,995.00 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support. Take profit is at 6,102.21 which is a multi-swing-high resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:SPX500Long
by FXCM
1
Global Liquidity Index Overlaid on S&P 500 Tracking the Global Liquidity Index with the S&P 500 helps understand liquidity's impact on market performance and predict future moves. The GLI offers a unified view of central bank balance sheets, converted to USD, excluding currency-pegged banks, with reliable data since 2007. Rising liquidity often leads to market growth, while declining liquidity could signal pullbacks or increased volatility. Liquidity Spikes: Sudden rises in the GLI may boost the S&P 500. Liquidity Dips: Falling liquidity may signal market decline due to higher volatility and trading difficulties. Divergence between the GLI & S&P 500: If stocks rise while liquidity falls, a correction might be coming. If liquidity rises while stocks fall, the market might catch up to the liquidity increase. The GLI indicates that risk appetite is starting to decline. High liquidity encourages risk-taking; low liquidity leads to safer investments, increasing volatility and potential market declines. Thanks for Liking and Sharing! 🥕🐇
SP:SPX
by GreyRabbitFinance