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What's next for SP 500?

🧠 SPX500USD – June 6, 2025 (Midday Update)
Pennant Pinball.. be mindful of Friday risk off close
📊 Current Price: 5,996.25 (+1.08%)
🟢 Bias: Bullish (Confirmed by structure & momentum)
🔹 Macro + Data Recap:
NFP: 139K vs 130K expected ✅
Hourly Earnings MoM: 0.4% vs 0.3% forecast ⚠️
Unemployment steady at 4.2%
Used Car Prices: -1.4% MoM → disinflationary
🔹 Options Flow (SPX):
Gamma Flip: 5950
Max Pain: 5940
Call Wall: 6000C → Price pushing into dealer hedging territory
Put/Call Ratio: 0.75 (Bullish lean)
🔹 Chart Insights:
Reclaimed VWAP and broke ORB high at 5990
Smart Buy actived with 80% confidence
Volume remains thin – moves can overextend fast
🎯 Targets:
TP1: 5973 ✅
TP2: 6024
Macro TP: 6065+
⚠️ Risk:
If price drops below 5950, we may flip back into negative gamma territory.
Liquidity remains shallow – tight stop management recommended.
🛡️ Titan Protect Strategy:
Momentum + structure align. Let price confirm continuation through 6000.
No chasing — only scale into strength.
Take Profit, Not Chances. Manage Risk to Accumulate.
👉 Follow us for NAS100USD & Watchlist sentiment next.
Pennant Pinball.. be mindful of Friday risk off close
📊 Current Price: 5,996.25 (+1.08%)
🟢 Bias: Bullish (Confirmed by structure & momentum)
🔹 Macro + Data Recap:
NFP: 139K vs 130K expected ✅
Hourly Earnings MoM: 0.4% vs 0.3% forecast ⚠️
Unemployment steady at 4.2%
Used Car Prices: -1.4% MoM → disinflationary
🔹 Options Flow (SPX):
Gamma Flip: 5950
Max Pain: 5940
Call Wall: 6000C → Price pushing into dealer hedging territory
Put/Call Ratio: 0.75 (Bullish lean)
🔹 Chart Insights:
Reclaimed VWAP and broke ORB high at 5990
Smart Buy actived with 80% confidence
Volume remains thin – moves can overextend fast
🎯 Targets:
TP1: 5973 ✅
TP2: 6024
Macro TP: 6065+
⚠️ Risk:
If price drops below 5950, we may flip back into negative gamma territory.
Liquidity remains shallow – tight stop management recommended.
🛡️ Titan Protect Strategy:
Momentum + structure align. Let price confirm continuation through 6000.
No chasing — only scale into strength.
Take Profit, Not Chances. Manage Risk to Accumulate.
👉 Follow us for NAS100USD & Watchlist sentiment next.

Since early 2024, the market has been holding onto one narrative: “The rate cut is coming.”
Month after month, CPI prints, labor data, and Fed speakers say otherwise — and yet, SPX keeps pricing in a dovish pivot that never arrives.
This is no longer optimism — it’s dependency.
🧠 The Fed’s dual mandate is not to protect asset prices, but to ensure price stability and employment. With unemployment still historically low and tariffs likely to reignite inflation over the next 4–6 months, there is no rational case for a cut in the near term.
Markets are too desperate, too early.
We’ve been stuck in the “rate cut soon” cycle since Q1 2024 — and that hope trade is long in the tooth.
📉 The longer the Fed waits, the harder the unwind.
#SPX #FederalReserve #RateCutHope #MacroRisk #EquityMarkets #CFA #Inflation #TariffLag #LiquidityTrap #TradingView
Fall back down