Get started
US 500 (SPI) / US DollarUS 500 (SPI) / US DollarUS 500 (SPI) / US Dollar

US 500 (SPI) / US Dollar

No trades
See on Supercharts
Overview News
Ideas
Discussions Technicals Seasonals

SPIUSD trade ideas

US Stocks Wipe Out $6.6 Trillion in Two Days—What Just Happened?Shoutout to the real MVPs of April: the traders who did absolutely nothing. You market wizards, zen masters of the sidelines — while others were busy buying the dip that kept on dipping, you outperformed the S&P 500 SP:SPX , avoiding the nastiest market faceplant since the Covid crash of March 2020. Since April 2, Liquidation Day , Liberation Day , the S&P 500 SP:SPX has nosedived a brutal 10%. That’s officially a correction — the kind that makes you stare out your window like a philosopher, questioning your life choices, your portfolio, and whether you really needed that Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA call. This isn’t just a dip. It’s a market reality check served with extra salt. So raise a (half empty?) glass to the ones who stayed flat — you just made Warren Buffett proud . In a world of overtrading, doing nothing was the most alpha move of all. Everyone who checked the market at least once on Thursday or Friday (even today when futures markets were all red ) knows what that is all about. It’s Trump’s tariff rollout coming like a wrecking ball. While the US President portrays his efforts as a fair and even lenient response to other countries’ trade policies with the US, investors don't seem to think so. In just two days, Thursday and Friday, the US stock market washed out $6.6 trillion. The violent selloff threw the Nasdaq Composite NASDAQ:IXIC into a bear market (down 20% from its peak) and the S&P 500 into correction territory. The broad-based Wall Street darling waved goodbye to 6% on Friday, extending its 4.8% loss from the previous day. On Thursday, Trump unveiled his new plan to boost the US economy through reciprocal tariffs. China got hammered with a total of 54% , while Europe wasn’t spared either, slapped with a flat 20%. Some uninhabited islands also made the list — Heard and McDonald Islands (Australia's icy outpost) and Jan Mayen (Norway's frozen Arctic rock) got served a 10% tariff. Now, the thing with tariffs is, they tend to backfire. Because they are paid by the party receiving them, i.e. US companies, they hike the prices of imported goods, squeeze consumers, and isolate the country imposing them. They strain international trade relationships, disrupt supply chains, and — as history shows — often spark retaliation. And that’s exactly what happened. On Friday, China hit back hard, launching a 34% tariff barrage on US imports — a sharp counter-strike against Trump’s escalating trade war tactics. What did Trump say on the matter? “CHINA PLAYED IT WRONG, THEY PANICKED - THE ONE THING THEY CANNOT AFFORD TO DO!” he said on his social media platform. Just as the markets were a dumpster fire on Friday, Federal Reserve boss Jay Powell gave a speech at a business journalists' conference. In his remarks, he said that Trump’s tariffs would cause “higher inflation and slower growth.” “It is now becoming clear that the tariff increases will be significantly larger than expected. The same is likely to be true of the economic effects,” Powell said. Trump's response? “This would be a PERFECT time for Fed Chairman Jerome Powell to cut Interest Rates. He is always ‘late,’ but he could now change his image, and quickly,” Trump wrote in a post. “Energy prices are down, Interest Rates are down, Inflation is down, even Eggs are down 69%, and Jobs are UP, all within two months - A BIG WIN for America. CUT INTEREST RATES, JEROME, AND STOP PLAYING POLITICS!” So here we are — $6.6 trillion lighter, futures in free fall, inflation fears reignited, and a full-blown trade war back on the table. The Fed’s caught in a political crossfire, Trump’s turning up the heat, and markets are flashing every red light imaginable. On top of it all, corporate earnings are just around the corner with the big banks on Wall Street kicking off the first-quarter reporting at the end of this week. Keep track of all big reports in the Earnings Calendar . One thing’s for sure: this isn’t the time to trade on hope or headlines. It’s the time to trade with eyes wide open, risk tightly managed, and a clear understanding that your next move could shape the rest of your year. Most of all, don’t panic . Off to you now: are you sitting this one out like Buffett — or are you moving in before the smoke clears?
SP:SPX
by TradingView
44
Stock Market Dives into Correction? It Happens—Here's What to DoYou wake up, check your portfolio, and see a sea of red. The market’s down, your stocks are taking a nosedive, and CNBC is running apocalyptic headlines about an impending crash. Sounds familiar? It’s maybe because we’re in (or super close to) a correction right now — the S&P 500 SP:SPX was down 10% from its record high two weeks ago and a lot of people are unsure what to do. The truth of the matter is, stock market corrections are routine—not as often as the meeting that should’ve been an email, but also not as rare as a winning trade in the Japanese yen ( widow maker is real, yo ). And, most importantly, they’re usually not as catastrophic as they feel in the moment. So, before you hit the panic button (or worse, start revenge trading to “win it all back”), let’s talk about what’s shaking the market right now and how to navigate corrections like a pro. 🤔 First Things First: What’s a Correction? A stock market correction is a drop of 10% or more from a recent high. It’s not a crash, it’s not the end of capitalism, and it’s definitely not a sign that you should liquidate your entire portfolio and move to a remote cabin in the woods. Corrections happen regularly, typically once every year or two. They’re a natural part of market cycles, shaking out excessive speculation and resetting valuations to more reasonable levels. For the record, a drop of 20% is considered a bear market. 🤝 Why the Market’s Getting Jittery Markets don’t move in straight lines, and sometimes they hit turbulence. Lately, two big themes have been dominating headlines: Trump’s Hard-Line Tariffs Hit Hard (And Markets Are Nervous About It) If there’s anything Trump knows how to do is say things online or on-site and move markets. And his hostile and straight up combatant approach to handling international relations has sent traders scrambling to offload risk. With hiked tariffs on China, Europe, and Mexico and Canada, businesses are bracing for severe supply chain disruptions, higher costs, and tighter margins. When tariffs go up, corporate earnings tend to go down—and the market doesn’t like that math. Inflation Just Won’t Quit The Federal Reserve spent most of the last two years trying to tame inflation, and just when it seemed like things were cooling off, it’s creeping back up. The latest readout of the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) report showed prices ticked up more than expected at 2.8% in February. Higher inflation means the Fed might keep interest rates elevated for longer than expected, making borrowing more expensive and slowing down growth. Every new inflation release has investors guessing: Will the Fed cut rates, hold steady, or—worst case—hike again? Between trade wars and stubborn inflation, uncertainty is running high, and that dynamics breeds volatility. But a correction doesn’t mean the market is broken—it just means sentiment has shifted. ⚠️ How NOT to React (aka: Rookie Mistakes to Avoid) When corrections hit, bad decision-making is at an all-time high. Here’s what not to do: Panic selling – Selling at the bottom is a classic rookie move. If you weren’t planning to sell at the highs, why dump everything when it’s down? Trying to time the exact bottom – Good luck. Nobody, not even Warren Buffett, can catch the bottom (not that he’s trying). If you’re waiting for the “perfect” dip, you’ll likely miss the rebound. Going all-in on one asset – Thinking of putting everything into one stock or crypto because it’s “cheap” now? Please don’t. Diversification exists for a reason . Getting glued to financial news – Watching every market update during a correction is like doom-scrolling Google after a mild headache—you’ll only freak yourself out more. Now that we’ve covered what not to do, let’s focus on the smart plays. 💪 So, What Should You Do? If you want to come out of a correction with your sanity (and portfolio) intact, here’s your game plan: 1️⃣ Zoom Out—Corrections Are Temporary The market moves in cycles, and corrections are just part of the game. Historically, corrections last a few months, while bull markets last years. If you’re investing for the long term, a correction is a blip on the chart, not an extinction event. 2️⃣ Review Your Portfolio Like a Hedge Fund Manager Corrections are a great excuse to audit your holdings. Ask yourself: Is this stock/ETF/index still worth holding? Has anything fundamentally changed, or is this just temporary market noise? Do I have too much exposure to one sector? Think of it as spring cleaning for your investments. It's also an opportunity to make some good use of the handy Stock Screener or Stock Heatmap to spot the best (and worst) performers. If something was a FOMO buy and doesn’t belong in your portfolio, consider trimming it. 3️⃣ Buy Selectively, Not Blindly Corrections create opportunities, but that doesn’t mean you should just throw money at every stock that’s down. Some companies deserve their declines ( looking at you, Nikola )—others are just collateral damage in a broader selloff. Look for quality companies with strong earnings, manageable debt, and real growth potential. If they were solid before the correction, they’ll likely recover faster than the overhyped names. Example: Remember when Amazon stock NASDAQ:AMZN tanked 90% in 2000, the dot-com bubble? No, because you were too busy being 2 years old instead of loading up on Jeff Bezos’s dream. And look where the guy’s now. 4️⃣ Do Some Good Old DCA Instead of dumping all your cash into the market at once, use dollar-cost averaging (DCA). Buying in small increments at regular intervals helps you avoid the stress of trying to time the bottom. If prices drop further, you can buy more at an even better price. 5️⃣ Keep Emotions in Check Corrections test your patience and discipline. The best investors don’t let fear dictate their strategy. If you’re getting emotional about your trades, step away from the screen and take a breath. The market will be there when you come back. 👍 The Market Always Bounces Back—Eventually Every correction feels like the worst one while it’s happening. But let’s look at history: The S&P 500 has faced 30+ corrections since 1950. It survived them all. The average correction lasts four months before a recovery begins. After a correction, markets typically rally higher within a year. Unless you believe the global economy is permanently broken (hint: not yet, at least), every major downturn has eventually turned into a new bull run. 🦸‍♂ Final Thought: Be the Hero, Not the Victim Market corrections separate the professionals from the wannabes. The people who panic and sell at the bottom? They usually regret it. The ones who keep a level head, stick to their strategy, and take advantage of good opportunities? They come out stronger. And finally, if you need to take away one thing it’s this: Corrections aren’t the enemy. They’re the price of admission for long-term gains. 👉 Let’s hear it from you! How do you handle corrections, what’s your strategy when the market is in a downturn and what’s in your portfolio then? Share your experience in the comment section!
SP:SPXEducation
by TradingView
12
S&P500 - The Correction Is Over Now!S&P500 ( TVC:SPX ) is retesting massive support: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 Over the past couple of days, we have been seeing a quite harsh stock market "crash" with an overall correction of about -20%. However, as we are speaking the S&P500 is already retesting a major confluence of support and if we see bullish confirmation, this drop might be over soon. Levels to watch: $4.900 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
TVC:SPXLong
by basictradingtv
39
Buckle Up for the Next Part of the Huffy CycleAs everyone knows, indices move on a predictable 4 month cycle - known as the "Huffy cycle", and this is programmatically built into markets are Donald Trump switches from being "Huffy" (Down moves) to "Less Huffy" (Parabolic organic growth moves). Donald has been huffy lately ... so we ALL KNOW what comes next ...! Are you mentally prepared for the next glorious breakout of the Huffy cycle? I'm sure everyone has noticed the 4 month huffy cycle which can be extensively studied, understood and used to forecast the future flawlessly because if we look at markets over 12 months we can see it looks a little bit kinda like a pattern - so long as you just ignore or remove the parts that are not a pattern. Which is how market cycles work. If you see something a few times, you can be sure it will happen again forever. And if it doesn't you can be sure at worst it can only go down 70% and then it's probably a buy from there. So the huffy cycle is basically risk free, if you look at it in the right way. "But what about all the the things happening" I hear you ask. Lol. NGMI! If you're too stupid to understand the huffy cycle, that's your problem. Not mine! HFSP. Now, of course we all know SPX is not where near gambley for us to generate our birth right generational wealth from the markets. It could take literally YEARS to make money in SPX. Who has time for that? Of course, we want to be looking at the most stupid and speculative things we can - because those are the ones the savvy investors are buying. That's right folks .... "Squeeze season" is upon us. It's been 4 years since we seen anything make any truly irrational hyper parabolic moves in stocks. As we all know, this is too long. Stonks are not allowed to go this long without there being a squeeze cycle. Some doomers out there are even saying squeeze season has been cancelled (lmao ok boomer) - but we know the truth. Squeeze season has just BEEN DELAYED and it being delayed actually means it will just be BIGGER THAN EVER! I don't really have any logic or ideas to back up why it was delayed and why this means it will be an even bigger move, but if I say the word "Whales" I think that covers everything. There are some idiots who are sceptical of the huffy cycle, but I am only writing my post for the future billionaires who are not too bothered about checking the details. And we all know what comes next!!! WGMI, fam.
SP:SPXLong
by holeyprofit
27
Is 5,700 the New 6,000?The S&P 500 has struggled recently, and some traders may see risk of further downside. The first pattern on today’s chart is the three-day jump above 5,700 early last week. The move peaked around the January low of 5,773. It also represented a false breakout above the November low of 5,696.50. In other words, two former support levels have emerged as new resistance. It’s also reminiscent of the price action in January and February, when failure to hold 6,000 triggered selling. Next, last week’s high occurred at the 200-day simple moving average. That may suggest the longer-term uptrend has ended. Third, the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) has remained below the 21-day EMA. That may indicate that a shorter-term downtrend has begun. Finally, given the weakening momentum, traders may start eyeing longer-term levels for potential support. One potential spot could be the September low of 5,403, followed by the August trough of 5,119. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
SP:SPX
by TradeStation
5
SPX500 & Nasdaq: Confluence! Confluence! Confluence!With consumer confidence off at circuit breaking levels, the market, technically, has reached extreme levels of support. Let's look at it: Technicals: (1) Horizontal Levels of support (2) 50%/61.8% fib confluence (3) exDiv1 (4) extreme indicators (5) Chikou span testing cloud support (6) 28% drop is SPX All of these levels are lining up around the same location. And just like in real estate "Location! Location! Location!" is the adage; in markets, "Confluence! Confluence! Confluence!" is the adage!
FX:SPX500Long
by Rocketman
12
S&P500 down -4.84%, worst day since 2020 COVID crash! GAME OVER?The S&P500 (SPX) had yesterday its worst 1D closing (-4.84%) in exactly 5 years since the COVID flash crash started on March 11 2020 (-4.89%). Not even during the 2022 Inflation Crisis did the index post such strong losses in a day. Obviously amidst the market panic, the question inside everyone's minds is this: 'Are we in a Bear Market?'. The only way to view this is by looking at SPX's historic price action and on this analysis we are doing so by examining the price action on he 1W time-frame since the 2008 Housing Crisis. As you can see, starting from the Inflation Crisis bottom in March 2009, we've had 4 major market corrections (excluding the March 2020 COVID flash crash which was a Black Swan event). All of them made contact with the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) and immediately rebounded to start a new Bull Cycle. Those Bull Cycles typically lasted for around 3 years and peaked at (or a little after) the red vertical lines, which is the distance measured from the October 15 2007 High to the May 07 2011 High, the first two Cycle Highs of the dataset that we use as the basis to time the Cycles on this model. The Sine Waves (dotted) are used to illustrate the Cycle Tops (not bottoms), so are the Time Cycles (dashed). This helps at giving a sense of the whole Cycle trend and more importantly when the time to sell may be coming ahead of a potential Cycle Top. This model shows that the earliest that the current Cycle should peak is the week of August 11 2025. If it comes a little later (as with the cases of October 01 2018 and June 01 2015), then it could be within November - December 2025. The shortest correction to the 1W MA200 has been in 2011, which only lasted 22 weeks (154 days). The longest is the whole 2008 Housing Crisis (73 weeks, 511 days). All other three 1W MA200 corrections have lasted for less than a year. On another note, the 1W RSI just hit the 34.50 level. Since the 2009 bottom, the market has only hit that level 5 times. All produces immediate sharp rebounds. The December 17 2018, March 16 2020 and August 15 2011 RSI tests have been bottoms while May 09 2022 and August 24 2015 bottomed later but still produced sharp bear market rallies before the eventual bottom. Uncertainty is obviously high but these are the facts and the hard technical data. Game over for stocks or this is a wonderful long-term buy opportunity? The conclusions are yours. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:SPX
by TradingShot
5
S&P 500 Index Under Pressure – Another -10% Drop Incoming?Today, I want to analyze the S&P 500 Index ( FOREXCOM:SPX500 ) for you. This index is one of the most important indices in the US stock market , which has been determining the direction of parallel financial markets such as crypto and especially Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) for the past few days, so an analysis of this index can be important for us. The S&P 500 Index started to fall after Donald Trump imposed new tariffs on countries around the world, which was like a coronavirus . The question is whether this fall is temporary or will continue . To answer this question, we need to consider many parameters, but if we look at the sds chart from a technical analysis chart , we can expect a further decline . The S&P 500 Index is moving near the Resistance zone($5,284-$5,095) and is completing a pullback . It also lost its important Uptrend lines last week, which is not good news for the S&P 500 Index and US stocks . From an Elliott wave theory , the S&P 500 IndexS&P looks like it has completed the main wave 4 , and we should expect the next decline(-10%) . I expect the S&P 500 Index to attack the Heavy Support zone($4,820-$4,530) at least once more. The area where we can expect the S&P 500 Index to pull back is the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) . What do you think? Will the S&P 500 Index continue its downward trend, or was this decline temporary? Note: If the S&P 500 Index touches $5,408, we can expect further Pumps. Note: There is a possibility of a Bear Trap near the Heavy Support zone($4,820-$4,530) and PRZ. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. S&P 500 Index Analyze (SPX500USD),4-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by pejman_zwin
22
I May Have this Bull Idea Horribly WrongI know it looks good at this exact moment in time but that spike move we just had was so sus. It's really the sort of thing I expect to be dealing with when following a downtrend. Sell > big profit. Sell > big profit Sell > WTF was that Oh correction > Sell > Big profit. I could stack up odds that put the odds of a rally in this area at around 90% (Which is crazy high for the way I estimate odds). But that might have been it. I may have terribly misjudged how deep it would be. If I have this wrong, 4500 in MIN I've expect to hit and if that level breaks we might capitulate to 3000. EXTREMELY STRONG WARNING TO ANYONE USING ANY OF THE BULL IDEAS I'VE EXPESSED. If they're good, they'll be good and easy - and if not, ditch the ideas! They would be predicted to fail spectacularly if wrong. Probably around 5170 area.
CAPITALCOM:US500Short
by holeyprofit
19
S&P500 Dead Cat Bounce or V-shaped Recovery?The S&P500 index (SPX) saw a remarkable turnaround yesterday after the Wall Street opening. The early futures sell-off came very close to the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line), which has been the ultimate Support level since the March 2009 Housing Crisis bottom (the last major Bear Cycle). It supported the 2022 Inflation Crisis, the 2018 U.S. - China Trade War, the 2015 E.U./ Oil Crisis and 2011 correction. It only broke during the irregularity of the March 2020 COVID flash crash. Note that the 1W RSI hitting 27.30 has only happened during the COVID crash and the actual March 2009 Housing Crisis Bottom. At the same time, the index reached the All Time High (ATH) trend-line (dashed0 of the High before the 2022 Inflation Crisis (previous correction phase). As this chart shows, previous ATH trend-lines have never been broken during the correction phases that followed them. In any case, the million dollar question is of course this: Was yesterday a Dead Cat Bounce inside the new Bear Cycle or we are ahead of a V-shaped recovery? Well technically it depends on the 1W MA200 (the market needs 1W candles to close above it) while fundamentally if depends on potential trade deals and of course the Fed (the market needs rate cut assurances). If this is a V-shaped Recovery indeed, there is no reason not to expect the market to follow all previous rebounds of 1W MA200 corrections that weren't Bear Cycles (Bear Cycles on this chart are 2008 and 2022). As you can see, all rebounds have been sharp, indeed V-shaped recoveries, ranging from 20 to 27 weeks (140 - 189 days) until they broke their previous High. So this indicates that technically, SPX should make new ATH by October 13 2025 the latest (and September 02 earliest). Of course this is just a projection, this time we have no COVID shutdowns, no Grexits or Brexits, no Oil crises, it is all due to one fact, the tariffs and if deals are reached and the Fed delivers the much needed rat cuts, the recovery may be even faster, as sharp as the correction has been. The facts are on the historic data on the chart. The conclusions are yours. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:SPX
by TradingShot
4
The Stock Market (SPX) Will Also RecoverGreat news my dear friends, reader and followers, truly great news. The S&P 500 Index (SPX) is now reversing after challenging a strong support level. This level is the 0.618 Fib. retracement for the bullish wave that started after the October 2023 market low. A strong bounce is visible as soon as this level was hit. The correction is a classic ABC and the C wave is very steep. When a move is really strong, great force, it can't last that long. So the drop happened all at once, fast, and this means a fast end as well as a strong reversal, but the reversal will not be the same. We are more likely than not to experience a long drawn out recovery, higher highs and higher lows long-term. Higher prices next. This is the main support level, 0.618 around 4885. If this level breaks, the next strong support sits at 4540. We are going up. It is not only Bitcoin and the Altcoins, the stock market will also grow. The correction is over. Total drop amounts to a little more than 21%. This is huge and more than enough. The bears are satisfied. The bears are done. A bearish wave is followed by a bullish wave. Short bearish action, long bullish action. Thank you for reading. Namaste.
SP:SPXLong
by MasterAnanda
5
Hellena | SPX500 (4H): LONG to resistance area of 5445.2.Explaining what is happening in terms of wave theory is quite difficult, but always possible. Of course, geopolitics has been affecting the price a lot lately, but even in this chaos there are regularities. Let's take a look at the wave markup. I believe that there is a big correction going on at the moment. Most likely it is not finished yet and has just started to form wave “B”, which means that wave “C” is coming, but I still want to see an upward movement to the resistance area at 5445.2. The price has been in a downtrend for too long and I think a correction is very likely. Well, let's see. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by Hellena_Trade
5
Hellena | SPX500 (4H): LONG to resistance area of 5788.8.Dear colleagues, I am still counting on an upward movement. It seems that the sellers have not lost their strength yet and I see that an update of the low in the area of 5445 is possible. Then I expect a resumption of the upward movement with a target to reach the 5788.8 area. As usual there are 2 possible entry options: 1) Market entry 2) Entry by pending limit orders if the price starts a small downward movement. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by Hellena_Trade
15
US500 Drops 22% in 7 Weeks-What's Next?US500 Drops 22% in 7 Weeks-What's Next? On February 20, 2025, the US500 index reached a record high of 6147, a level it had never touched before. Many expected Trump to support the stock market further, but instead, his tariffs and ongoing market disruptions led to the opposite outcome. In just 1.5 months, the US500 dropped by nearly 22%, hitting a strong support zone near 4810. Buyers stepped in at this level, helping the index recover 8%. From a technical perspective, the US500 appears poised for a bullish wave from this zone. However, its future direction heavily depends on Trump’s tariffs and his economic plans for the United States. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by KlejdiCuni
6
1987 vs 2025: Are We on the Edge of Another Black Monday? 🕳️📉 The chart comparison is chilling. On the left, the infamous 1987 crash—a sudden gap over the weekend followed by a brutal free fall. On the right? 2025. A similar gap, a similar setup... and the fear is creeping in. 🫣 🔍 Here’s what we’re seeing: The current price action on the S&P 500 Futures eerily mirrors that of 1987. A sharp drop after a failed breakout, followed by a massive gap down. The psychological setup is nearly identical: markets under pressure, global tension, and growing uncertainty. ⚠️ While history never repeats exactly, it often rhymes. Is this just a healthy correction—or the beginning of something bigger? 📊 Keep an eye on volume, volatility, and macro catalysts—if we see continued panic selling, this pattern might live up to its reputation. 🧠 What do you think—coincidence, or a warning we shouldn’t ignore? #BlackMonday #1987Crash #S&P500 #MarketCrash #SP500 #HistoryRepeats #TechnicalAnalysis
VANTAGE:SP500FTShort
by SmartSignalss
6
Is Trump Intentionally Crashing the Econ?I want to preface this by saying I'm a TA and this is just dinner table chat as far as I am concerned. I've no interest what-so-ever in why a market moves. All the money is made based on how it moves- and the TA is working great for that. Just sharing a theory that is floating about (It's not mine). The idea is Trump is intentionally crashing the markets in an attempt to reduce the debt burden on the US. This would work by this sequence of events; 1 - Markets crash. Making people who care about their money anxious and less eager to take risk in the stocks (etc) markets. 2 - This money moves to bonds. Pushing bond prices up. Rising bond prices push interest rates down. So crashing the econ can lead to lower interest rates. 3 - At a lower interest rate (say 2%) the US can refi its debt. Inside of this theory, everything we're seeing is part of a calculated plan to, literally, force stocks lower.
SP:SPXShort
by holeyprofit
16
US500 - Long-Term Long!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈US500 has been overall bullish trading within the rising channel marked in blue. Moreover, it is retesting its previous all-time high at $4,800 and round number $5,000. 🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of previous ATH and lower blue trendline acting as a non-horizontal support. 📚 As per my trading style: As #US500 approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:US500Long
by TheSignalyst
4
Understanding Market Downturns: How to Navigate the StormLately, the markets have been in a downtrend, leaving many traders and investors wondering what comes next. Whether it’s stocks, crypto, or other financial assets, downturns are an inevitable part of the game. While they can be unsettling, they also present opportunities—if you know how to navigate them. Market declines happen for many reasons: economic slowdowns, geopolitical tensions, changes in interest rates, or even shifts in investor sentiment. Regardless of the cause, understanding the different types of market downturns, their impact, and the right strategies to handle them is key to making informed decisions. So, let’s break down market downturns, how they unfold, and what you can do to stay ahead. 📊 DOWNTURN #1: Down -2% — A Ripple of Volatility A -2% drop is like a minor speed bump—annoying but not alarming. These small dips are common and often part of natural market fluctuations. ✅ Key Characteristics: • Typically short-lived and often recovers quickly. • Can be triggered by minor news events, investor sentiment shifts, or profit-taking. • Provides opportunities to enter positions at a slightly better price. 💡 Strategy: • If you're a long-term investor, ignore these small movements. They are normal. • If you're a trader, these dips can be buying opportunities in an uptrend. ________________________________________ 🔄 DOWNTURN #2: Down -5% — The Pullback Perspective A 5% decline is often called a pullback—a temporary market retreat within an ongoing trend. ✅ Key Characteristics: • Pullbacks often occur after strong rallies as the market cools off. • Typically seen as healthy corrections in an overall uptrend. • Not necessarily a signal of long-term weakness. 💡 Strategy: • Long-term investors should hold steady and potentially add to positions. • Swing traders may look for a bounce at key support levels (moving averages, previous highs/lows). ________________________________________ 🛑 DOWNTURN #3: Down -10% — Entering Correction Territory When a market drops 10% from its recent high, it officially enters correction territory. ✅ Key Characteristics: • Often caused by changes in economic outlook, inflation concerns, or major geopolitical events. • Moving averages may start crossing downward, signaling caution. • Momentum shifts, and bearish traders begin to take control. 💡 Strategy: • If you’re a long-term investor, consider rebalancing your portfolio or hedging with defensive assets. • Traders may look for short opportunities or play reversals at support levels. • Be cautious with leverage—downturns can accelerate quickly. ________________________________________ 🐻 DOWNTURN #4: Down -20% — The Bear Market Looms A 20% drop or more marks a bear market, signaling a significant shift in market sentiment. ✅ Key Characteristics: • Confidence is shaken; investors turn risk-averse. • Defensive sectors (utilities, consumer staples, healthcare) tend to outperform. • Market psychology shifts from "buying the dip" to "protecting capital." 💡 Strategy: • Consider defensive positions, hedging strategies, or increasing cash reserves. • Avoid high-risk assets—stocks with weak fundamentals often fall the hardest. • If you’re a trader, look for short-selling opportunities or inverse ETFs. ________________________________________ ⚠️ DOWNTURN #5: Down -50% — The Market Crash Crisis A 50% market decline is rare but catastrophic, often fueled by deep economic crises. Historical Examples: • 2008 Financial Crisis: Banks collapsed, and global markets fell over 50%. • Dot-Com Bubble (2000): Tech stocks crashed after unsustainable hype. • Oil Crisis (1973-74): Economic stagnation and inflation led to severe losses. ✅ Key Characteristics: • Panic selling dominates the market. • Fear-driven liquidation leads to extreme undervaluation. • Long-term recovery often follows—but timing is uncertain. 💡 Strategy: • If you have cash reserves, these moments present once-in-a-decade buying opportunities (but patience is needed). • Dollar-cost averaging (DCA) can be effective for long-term investors. • Traders should expect extreme volatility—both to the downside and in sharp relief rallies. ________________________________________ 🌧️ DOWNTURN #6: Prolonged Downside — The Economic Depression Unlike a crash, a depression is a long-term, sustained downturn that deeply affects the economy. ✅ Key Characteristics: • Prolonged recession, lasting years rather than months. • Unemployment soars, economic activity collapses. • Investor confidence remains low for an extended period. Historical Example: The Great Depression (1930s) • U.S. unemployment hit 25%. • Stock markets stayed depressed for a decade. • Industrial production and wages plummeted. 💡 Strategy: • Preservation of capital is key—cash, gold, and defensive assets become crucial. • Income-producing investments (dividend stocks, bonds) provide stability. • Patience is essential; full recovery can take years. ________________________________________ 🧭 Conclusion: Navigating Market Downturns Like a Pro Downturns are an inevitable part of investing and trading. While they can be unsettling, being informed and prepared is the key to staying ahead. ✅ Key Takeaways: • Minor dips (-2% to -5%) are normal and often present opportunities. • Corrections (-10%) require caution, but markets usually recover. • Bear markets (-20%) signal broader economic concerns—risk management is crucial. • Crashes (-50%) are rare but can create massive buying opportunities for long-term investors. • Depressions are the most severe and require a long-term, defensive approach. No matter the downturn, the key is to stay calm, adjust your strategy, and use market cycles to your advantage. With the right approach, you won’t just survive market downturns—you’ll thrive in the long run. 🚀
SP:SPXEducation
by Mihai_Iacob
4
Is the U.S. Stock Market Forming a Bottom? (April 7th 2025, YES)Is the U.S. Stock Market Forming a Bottom? (April 7th 2025 Analysis) - by Yuri Duursma Market Overview: Indices in Bear Market Territory After a strong start to the year, U.S. equities have stumbled extremely badly in recent weeks. The S&P 500 is currently down about 22% below its February 2025 all-time high (as the time of writing this, Monday 7 april 3AM EST time), the index is trading slightly above $4,800) , while the Nasdaq Composite has fallen roughly 26.5% from its peak – putting it deep into a bear market at $16,325 points. Even the blue-chip Dow Jones Industrial Average is in a correction, having slid around 19%+ from its ATH. This broad decline has been accelerated by escalating trade tensions – notably sweeping tariffs announced in early April – which sparked a vicious selloff and the worst week for stocks since 2020 In just the two days following the tariff news, the S&P 500 plunged over 10%, wiping out trillions in market value (Hedge funds capitulate, investors brace for margin calls in market rout | Reuters). Such rapid, across-the-board declines have investors asking: Is the market finally near a bottom, or is there further pain ahead? This analysis will go over key technical indicators and sentiment gauges as of April 7, 2025 to assess whether a market bottom may be forming. Volatility and Options Sentiment (VIX, Put/Call Ratio & Implied Volatility) One classic hallmark of a market bottom is extreme volatility as investors capitulate. The Cboe VIX, Wall Street’s “fear gauge,” recently spiked to 60 on April 7, a level not seen since the early stages of the COVID crash in 2020 and the peak of the Global Financial Crisis in 2008. This move marks a significant shift in sentiment: while in the beginning of last week the VIX was in the low 20s, this surge indicates a full-blown volatility shock, consistent with historical capitulation events. Such a sharp spike strongly suggests the market is experiencing a climax in fear and forced liquidation. Over the past three decades, VIX readings above 50 have typically occurred only at major market bottoms. This extreme VIX level adds to the growing body of evidence that fear has reached saturation, and we are potentially witnessing the formation of a durable bottom. Another critical indicator is the put/call ratio, which reflects how aggressively traders are buying put options versus call options. Initially, the ratio hovered around 0.85, indicating moderate bearishness. However, as of April 6, 2025, the put/call volume ratio surged to 2.06 on SPY options specifically, based on live Barchart data. That means traders are buying more than twice as many puts as calls, a level not seen since the COVID crash. Further reinforcing the signal, SPY’s open interest put/call ratio stands at 1.68 or 1.64 depending on the scource, with put open interest at 10.99 million contracts compared to 6.72 million calls, according to OptionCharts.io. This skew indicates extreme hedging behavior, consistent with historical panic conditions. Even more striking is the implied volatility (IV) for SPY options: • IV (30d): 38.52% • IV Rank: 101.48% • IV Percentile: 100% • Historical Volatility: 27.98% This means the current implied volatility is higher than 100% of the past year’s readings, signaling maximum premium demand for protection. When IV reaches such extremes, it generally implies that traders are paying record-high prices to hedge downside risk—a common occurrence at or just before market bottoms. In summary, options sentiment now reflects not just fear, but full-blown capitulation: • VIX at 60 (multi-year high, extremely rare event) • Put/Call Volume Ratio at 1.68 • SPY IV at 38.52% with 101.5% IV rank • Put open interest heavily outweighs calls Taken together, these suggest an intense bearish consensus that, historically, often occurs just before a reversal. While no single metric predicts a bottom, the convergence of these extreme levels across volatility, positioning, and premium costs dramatically increases the probability that a capitulation low is forming or has just formed. Market Breadth and Technical Trends Broad market internals provide further clues about the selloff’s severity. Market breadth – the ratio of advancing to declining stocks – has deteriorated dramatically, reflecting how widespread the downturn is. In late March and early April, down-days were strikingly one-sided. For example, during the week of March 31 which, only 188 stocks on the NYSE rose while 2,662 fell, with a staggering 1,073 stocks hitting new 52-week lows (Markets Diary - WSJ). That means roughly 93% of all NYSE-listed issues declined over that period – an extremely weak breadth reading. Such lopsided selling (where virtually everything is “thrown out”) is often seen in the late stages of a bear move, as even high-quality names get caught in the capitulation. That said, some technicians look for 90% down days (when 90%+ of volume and issues are to the downside) as a classic bottom signal. So far we’ve seen readings in the 80-90% range (e.g. about 81% of S&P 500 stocks fell on March 31) (Wall Street searches for elusive signs that market bottom reached | Reuters), but not quite a definitive 90% washout on a single day. The breadth data thus indicates heavy selling pressure, if not a textbook capitulatory flush just yet. But keep in mind this was on march 31st. The real pain came the week after that, with the s&p500 falling 10% in 2 days, a decline I have rarely seen in my 7 year trading career. Death Cross, might actually signal a bottom instead of a further decline In terms of trend indicators, the major indices have decisively broken below key moving averages. The S&P 500, Nasdaq, and Dow are all trading well under their 50-day and 200-day moving averages, which confirms the intermediate-term downtrend. In fact, the decline has been steep enough that the market turned into a so-called “death cross” pattern – where the 50-day average crosses below the 200-day average. This crossover is a lagging technical signal, but it underscores that momentum has flipped negative. (Notably, many high-flying stocks from last year have already seen “death crosses” of their own.) While ominous, it’s worth remembering that such signals often follow the bulk of a decline – i.e. by the time a death cross occurs, a significant amount of downside has typically already happened. Often, a death cross appears right when stocks are about to bottom. From a contrarian perspective, technical weakness itself can set the stage for a bottom, as oversold conditions and deeply negative momentum sometimes precede eventual stabilization. Still, at this juncture the price trend remains firmly downward, and bulls would want to see indices regain their moving averages or at least flatten out before declaring a true bottom. Fear & Greed Index: Sentiment at Extreme Fear. REDICULOUS levels (4/100) Perhaps the clearest evidence of the market’s psychological state comes from CNN’s Fear & Greed Index, a composite of seven market indicators (market momentum, stock strength, breadth, options activity, junk bond demand, volatility, and safe-haven demand). As of early April 2025, this index is deep in the “Extreme Fear” zone (Best Buys April 2025 - Compounding Quality ). In fact, the Fear & Greed reading has collapsed to levels last seen only during major crises – comparable to September 2008 (the Lehman collapse) and March 2020 (the COVID crash) (Best Buys April 2025 - Compounding Quality ). Such an abysmal sentiment reading of 4/100 indicates that investor psychology is extraordinarily bearish right now. Anecdotally, panicked retail investors and cautious institutions alike are exceedingly risk-averse – selling stocks, hoarding cash or Treasury bonds, and otherwise assuming the worst. Also, gold hit a new all time high on April 3rd, completely shattering the $3000 mark. Another sign of extreme fear in the markets. From a contrarian standpoint, extreme fear is usually a super bullish signal. The famous adage by Warren Buffett, “Be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful,” resonates strongly at moments like this (Market and Investor Sentiment for April 2025 | Certuity). An Extreme Fear reading implies that a lot of bad news and pessimism is already “priced in” to the market. Historically, when the Fear & Greed Index is this low, stocks have often been near a bottom or at least poised for a relief rally (because most investors who were inclined to sell have already done so). It suggests the market may be approaching maximum pessimism, a precondition for a durable bottom. However, sentiment alone doesn’t call the bottom – it’s necessary but not sufficient. We need to also see actual buying interest returning (or catalysts improving) to confirm a turning point. As one market technician noted, “First you get the fear (capitulation), then you need the positive reaction to confirm a low has been made” (Wall Street searches for elusive signs that market bottom reached | Reuters). Right now we clearly have the fear, but we’re waiting to see if buyers step back in to establish a floor. Looking at the volume of the SPDR S&P500 retail ETF trust, we can see that the volume hit 217.97M. This is the highest volume we have seen since January 2022, which was the low before the index at least saw a significant bounce up. Macroeconomic Backdrop and Market Psychology Beyond technicals, the broader macroeconomic narrative and investor psychology cycle provide context for whether a bottom is forming. The current selloff has been catalyzed by a specific shock – a global trade war scenario – which raises uncertainty about economic growth and possibly higher inflation leading to raised interest rates. Newly announced U.S. tariffs and swift retaliation from China have led investors to price in a higher risk of recession (which J. Powell confirmed), shattering the complacency that prevailed in late 2024 (Stock Market on April 4, 2025: Dow plunges 2,231 points into correction territory while Nasdaq enters bear market; S&P 500 books biggest weekly drop since 2020 as China retaliates on tariffs. - MarketWatch) (Hedge funds capitulate, investors brace for margin calls in market rout | Reuters). Just a few months ago, many market participants were optimistic (perhaps overly so) about U.S. economic “exceptionalism” and continued earnings growth. Now, that optimism has flipped to extreme fear and disbelief. We see signs of capitulation on the institutional side: some hedge funds have reportedly liquidated their stock portfolios entirely to cut risk, citing a “chaotic” outlook and unclear future (Hedge funds capitulate, investors brace for margin calls in market rout | Reuters). Margin calls are forcing leveraged investors to sell into the falling market, adding to the sense of forced liquidation. This kind of “get me out at any price” trading behavior is typical of late-stage bear market panic. However, a chain reaction of margin calls could lead to even bigger losses. (this might also be the reason traders both institutional and retail are panicking) On the psychological curve, markets appear to be transitioning from the “fear” to “capitulation” phase. Complacency (seen when investors kept buying dips earlier despite warning signs) has definitively evaporated. In its place, despair and panic are increasingly evident – but these are ironically the emotions that precede a market bottom in the classic Wall Street psychology cycle. The saying “darkest before dawn” applies: just when sellers are most exhausted and pessimistic, the groundwork for a bottom is laid. I think the article about margin calls for hedgefunds is a good indication of that. There are also early hints of a possible turn in narrative. For instance, the bond market was rallying tonight (this wasn’t the case onas money seeks safety, and traders are starting to anticipate Federal Reserve rate cuts to cushion the economy (Hedge funds capitulate, investors brace for margin calls in market rout | Reuters). Easier monetary policy or a breakthrough in trade negotiations could serve as a catalyst to stabilize stocks. Always keep the possibility of trade negotiations in mind with trump. You never know what he is up to. He could flip 180 degrees in a second, as we have seen his unpredictability in the first quarter of his presidency term. It’s also worth considering what the next phase after a bottom might look like: often, markets experience a “disbelief rally” – an initial rebound that many mistrust, thinking it’s just a short-lived bounce. If a bottom is indeed forming around now, any rebound in coming weeks might be met with skepticism (investors calling it a “dead cat bounce” or expecting another drop). Such skepticism is normal in early recovery stages; only after the market consistently stops making new lows do investors shift from disbelief to cautious optimism. For now, though, the predominant macro mood is still one of shell-shock. Economic indicators (e.g. manufacturing data and consumer confidence) have weakened, and corporate earnings outlooks are guarded, all of which justify a cautious stance. The collective psyche has moved toward “prepare for the worst”, which, paradoxically, is what creates the conditions for things to start getting better. Major indices have undergone a sharp correction, valuations have pulled back, and sentiment is extremely bearish – Fear & Greed is at extreme fear (Best Buys April 2025 - Compounding Quality ), put/call ratios are elevated (Wall Street searches for elusive signs that market bottom reached | Reuters), and market breadth shows widespread capitulation-like selling (Markets Diary - WSJ). Importantly, these are the kinds of conditions that historically precede market bottoms, as selling pressure eventually exhausts itself and opportunistic buyers step in. There are early anecdotes of capitulation (e.g. hedge funds giving up on stocks) and volatility has surged, indicating peak fear may be near. However, it is equally important to note what’s absent or uncertain: No obvious positive catalyst has emerged yet to definitively turn the tide. The risk factors (e.g. trade war, recession odds) are still in play, meaning investors could remain skittish. In essence, the market might be forming a bottom, but it has not conclusively confirmed one. Bottoms are only ever obvious in hindsight. In real time, one can merely weigh the evidence. As of April 7, 2025, the evidence leans toward an aging selloff with growing contrarian appeal – the crowd is very fearful, and value is returning – but patience and caution are warranted. Traders will be watching for telltale confirmation signals of a bottom: stabilization of prices above recent lows, a drop in volatility, improvement in breadth (more stocks advancing), and the market’s ability to rally on bad news (indicating selling has dried up). For investors, the current environment calls for a balanced, objective approach. The conditions are certainly closer to a bottom than they were a few months ago during the greed/complacency phase, but that doesn’t guarantee the exact bottom is in. It helps to remember that “being early” to a bottom is far better than being late to a panic. I think it is time to DCA aggressively into the markets as of 7 april 2025. With fear running high, long-term investors may find opportunities to start nibbling selectively at high-quality stocks trading at a discount, while keeping some powder dry in case of further downside (Wall Street searches for elusive signs that market bottom reached | Reuters). In summary, the U.S. stock market is showing classic signs of bottoming – extreme fear, heavy hedging, and broad weakness – yet until we see the market’s reaction stabilize (and some resolution to macro risks), it’s prudent to remain vigilant. A bottom could be forming, but confirmation will come only with time and subsequent market action, not simply the calendar. Investors should stay disciplined, focus on quality, and be ready for continued volatility as the market seeks out its true bottom. Sources: Key market statistics and sentiment indicators were referenced from recent analyses and reports, including Reuters, MarketWatch, and investor sentiment surveys (e.g. CNN Fear & Greed Index) (Wall Street searches for elusive signs that market bottom reached | Reuters) (Stock Market on April 4, 2025: Dow plunges 2,231 points into correction territory while Nasdaq enters bear market; S&P 500 books biggest weekly drop since 2020 as China retaliates on tariffs. - MarketWatch) (Best Buys April 2025 - Compounding Quality ) (Wall Street searches for elusive signs that market bottom reached | Reuters) (Markets Diary - WSJ). These sources provide context on the April 2025 market conditions, highlighting the elevated volatility (Wall Street searches for elusive signs that market bottom reached | Reuters), bearish options positioning (Wall Street searches for elusive signs that market bottom reached | Reuters), weak market breadth (Markets Diary - WSJ), and extreme fear sentiment (Best Buys April 2025 - Compounding Quality ) that characterize the potential bottoming process. Technical analysis TA: As for the technical analysis, my self written indicator (which is also based on various community open scource trading view scripts) Shows that we are back in the equilibrium zone. Furthermore, the stochastic RSI has hit 0 on the weekly, and the regular RSI is sitting at 26.6, the lowest level since the 2020 covid crash. Furthermore the indicator printed an 8/9 on the weeikly chart, with 9 giving a checkmark. Usually an 8 or a 9 signals a bottom. The daily chart is sitting at a 7/9, which makes me think that we are at a bottom, if not EXTREMELY close to one. Right now, we have also hit a key support area, the 2022 all time high before the markets crashed like i predicted (see previous articles) So TLDR: What is the plan? Of course, timing the market is risky, however I think this is a good time to Dollar Cost Average very aggressively into the markets. Personally I did my first buy ins on Friday April 4th, and will continue to do so this week. EVEN if we end up crashing further, we will always experience a dead cat bounce. Stocks don’t go down in a straight line. As my stocks are in the profit, i will put my stop losses into the profit as well. If the stop losses get hit into the profit, we wait what the market does. Maybe we buy again, a few weeks later maybe we will stay out and hold cash. Only time will tell what the best plan is when that happens. There is no point in deciding that right now. TDLR: Bottom is most likely in or VERY, Very close. BUY, but keep some cash at hand for if the market declines even further (or to keep healthy margin requirements if we end up buying with leverage, which is a bit riskier. Don’t time the market, but act appropriately. Opportunities like this create wealth for the brave in extreme fear situations. TIME TO BUY, DCA HARD INTO THE MARKETS, but keep a little bit of cash for if we do end up going lower!!!!!!!!!!!! Personally, I think blue chip stocks are a steal right now. And the buying doesn't stop there as mid caps also provide amazing opportunities right now.
SP:SPX
by Y_Duursma
10
Is This a Bear Market or a Golden Opportunity?The indices have plummeted sharply, and whether you believe this is due to Trump’s tariffs or would have happened anyway, regardless of the trigger, the reality remains the same. Both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 are officially in bear market territory— defined by a decline of more than 20% from their peaks . Meanwhile, the Dow Jones Industrial Average is down approximately 15%. Given these facts, the big question is: Are we in a bear market, or is this a fantastic buying opportunity? 📉📈 Now, let's break down the key levels, potential scenarios, and how to approach the current market environment. 🚀 Dow Jones 30 (DJI): Navigating Key Support and Resistance Levels On the weekly chart, DJI has been in an uptrend since the pandemic lows of 2020. The double top formation from 45k measured target has already been exceeded, and the index is now approaching a critical confluence support zone between 37k and 37,700. 📌 My Outlook: • I believe this support will hold in the near future, presenting a buying opportunity. • Resistances: 40k and 41,600 are important technical levels and potential targets for bulls. 💡 Alternative Scenario: • If DJI starts rising without testing the long-term confluence support, I will focus on selling opportunities, particularly around the 41,500 zone, as we have 2 unfilled gaps from last week. ________________________________________ S&P 500 (SPX): Bear Market Territory, But Still Holding Uptrend (posted main chart) According to classical theory, SPX is now officially in bear market territory. However, we are still above the ascending trend line established from the 2020 pandemic low, and approaching a confluence support zone around 4,820 - 4,900. 📌 My Outlook: • I will be looking for buying opportunities if the index continues its decline towards the 4,820 - 4,900 zone next week. • Target: Filling the first gap at 5,400. 💡 Alternative Scenario: • If the week begins positively, and SPX doesn’t reach the 4,900 support zone, I will focus on shorting opportunities on gap filling, aiming for a return to 5,000. ________________________________________ Nasdaq 100 (Nas100): Hovering Above Key Support Unlike DJI and SPX, Nas100 is still well above the ascending trend line from the 2020 pandemic low. However, it is nearing an important horizontal support defined by the 2021 ATH and the 2024 lows. 📌 My Outlook: • Drops towards 17k or slightly lower could present good buying opportunities, anticipating a potential rise to fill the gaps. 💡 Alternative Scenario: • If the price rises above 18.500k zone without dipping under 17k I will look for selling opportunities. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:US500Long
by Mihai_Iacob
1