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US 500 (SPI) / US Dollar

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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Sunday Update: Expect Extreme VolatilityThis update is somewhat general in context for a reason. I spent more than 25+ hours over the past few days using my predictive modeling and other advanced AI tools to identify what was going to happen over the next 12-36+ months and where traders could find opportunities for profits. Right now, almost everything I've been sharing and talking about is about to unfold. This is bigger than you could ever imagine. And, if you know when and where the markets are going to make the next big turn or run, you can really profit from these moves while protecting your capital. I have been warning all of you for the past 12-24+ months about how the markets are going to move in a very volatile phase and how the SPY/QQQ could double or triple over the next 5+ years. I hope you guys were paying attention to all the details I shared. The next big move in the market is going to be incredible. I don't think anyone is ready for what's next. What I do know is my predictive modeling systems are showing one key element is at play right now. And over the next 3 to 10+ weeks, we'll know exactly how the next 12-24+ months will play out. Get some.
FX:SPX500Long
by BradMatheny
S&P 500 Futures Rise on Ceasefire Relief, Eyes on Fed PowellSPX500 OVERVIEW U.S. Futures Rise as Ceasefire Eases Tensions, Focus Turns to Powell U.S. stock futures climbed on Tuesday, with S&P 500 futures up 0.8%, extending gains from the previous session as Middle East tensions eased following a ceasefire announcement. President Trump confirmed a ceasefire agreement between Israel and Iran, which appears to be holding for now—though early signs of potential violations have already emerged. Market attention is now firmly on Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s testimony before Congress today, where traders hope to gain more clarity on the Fed’s economic outlook and rate path. TECHNICAL OUTLOOK – SPX500 The price touched resistance at 6,098 and is currently hovering near that level. Failure to break above 6,098 may trigger a short-term correction toward 6,041, before another push higher. A confirmed breakout above 6,098 would open the path toward the All-Time High (ATH) at 6,143, followed by extended targets. Support Levels: 6041 → 6010 → 5966 Resistance Levels: 6143 → 6175 → 6225 Stability above 6,098 confirms bullish continuation, while failure to hold may suggest a temporary pullback before resuming the uptrend.
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by SroshMayi
4
US500 Eyes 6317 and 6510 After Historic BreakoutUS500 Eyes 6317 and 6510 After Historic Breakout The US500 has broken out above its previous all-time high near 6147, following news of a ceasefire agreement between the U.S., Israel, and Iran. Since then, equity markets have surged, with indices leading the rally. US500 has now reached a fresh all-time high at 6220, confirmed by a strong weekly candle close above the former peak, adding technical value to the breakout. Looking ahead, the US500 appears poised to extend its gains toward the 6317 and 6510 levels on the daily chart. A stronger-than-expected Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report could further fuel this bullish momentum. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by KlejdiCuni
1
[06/16] Weekly GEX Roadmap - Diagonal Spreads or Put Hedges?📊 Weekly GEX Map (SPX) This week’s GEX profile looks nearly identical to last week: Positive bias above 6020 up to 6100 But a sticky chop zone remains from 5975 to 6020 Below 5950? That’s where things get interesting… ⚠️ What Happens If 5950 Fails? In that case - welcome to negative gamma territory: Delta becomes unstable → fast, erratic moves Gamma loses influence → hedging effectiveness drops Dealer hedging lags → market makers chase, not lead Vega + theta distort readings → charm decay accelerates Result: GEX zones lose clarity. Pinning breaks down. Reactions become nonlinear and emotional. If we drop below 5950, we might see acceleration instead of stabilization — despite the positive GEX profile. 💡 Trade Idea of the Week – With Caution If not for Wednesday's macro risk (Fed rate decision), I'd suggest a bullish diagonal spread toward 6100–6150: Limited downside Defined risk Covers the full squeeze zone But with FOMC looming, I'd only hold this trade until Thursday and close once the debit doubles or earlier. 🧨 Macro + Geo Risks Fed is priced for “no move” → any surprise = volatility spike Rising tensions with Iran → oil and futures could react violently Recommendation : Avoid OIL this week, especially futures and naked strategies 🛡️ Prefer Downside Protection? If you expect weakness on SPX weekly: Consider a put debit spread with the short leg at 5950, where the second strongest Put Support sits. This type of structure can offer up to 6:1 reward-to-risk, making it one of the most efficient bearish hedges for this week. If you enjoyed the above breakdown, feel free to check out my previous weekly analyses or explore my tools as well. Until next time – Trade what you see, not what you hope, – Greg @ TanukiTrade
SPREADEX:SPX
by TanukiTrade
5
SPXI've been waiting patiently for a real correction in everything, but my timing was drastically off. Looks like FOMO is still in charge. My guess, stock market to ATH after ATH for a while and a final wave of FOMO for crypto will enter the air. I believe the majority are expecting a COVID-like rebound, followed by rally continuation, but the majority tends to be wrong. What I can tell you is the true crypto bull run will not begin on optimism, as it has been... It will begin on pessimism.
SP:SPX
by ovvnyou
SPX500 | Bulls Need Break Above 6225 to Regain ControlSPX500 | Market Overview The price has reached the previously mentioned resistance level at 6225. As long as it trades below 6225, a technical correction is likely, with downside targets at 6161 and 6143. From there, the index would need to stabilize above 6143 to resume a bullish structure. However, a 1H candle close below 6143 would confirm a deeper bearish move toward 6098. On the upside, a 1H close above 6225 would reinforce bullish momentum, with potential to reach 6250 and 6287. Key Technical Levels Pivot Level: 6191 Support: 6161 / 6143 / 6098 Resistance: 6225 / 6250 / 6287
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by SroshMayi
SPX: new ATH, despite allEconomy, geopolitics, trade tariffs, inflation, Fed moves. It seems that the market got tired of all news during the previous period, and decided to take the optimistic side, despite all. The S&P 500 reached a fresh, new all-time highest level on Friday's trading session, at 6.185. With the latest move, the S&P 500 managed to erase all losses from April this year, when the index tumbled around 20% after the implementation of trade tariffs. The weekly trade tariffs news brought a termination of talks between the U.S. and Canada. However, what moved the market the most was the news that the US Administration settled a deal on trade tariffs with China. Although details of the deal were not publicly disclosed, still the market reacted very optimistic about it. At the same time, the latest macro figures for the US are showing that the tariffs are slowly starting to reflect in the U.S. economy. The Fed's favorite inflation gauge, the PCE index increased by 0,1% in May, which was expected. However, the Personal Income and Personal Spending in May missed heavily market estimates. The Personal Income dropped by -0,4% for the month, while Personal Spending dropped by -0,1%. Analysts are pointing that these figures are showing that the US consumers are spending less due to increased prices of goods, after implementation of tariffs. At the same time, there was a slowdown in the U.S. GDP growth rate, final for Q1 was negative for the quarter, at the level of -0,5%. Tech companies continued to be in the focus of investors' interest. APPL closed the week at $210,08, with a modest weekly gain of 0,24%. MSFT gained 3,87% for the week, closing it at $495,94. Market favourite NVDA surged by 9,74% within a week, closing at $157,75. AMZN also had a good week with a surge of 6,33%. Despite higher volatility, TSLA ended the week at 0,33% higher, underperforming other tech companies included in the index.
SP:SPX
by XBTFX
SPX500 Extends Rally on Fed Hopes and China Trade DealS&P 500 Set to Extend Record Highs U.S. stock futures climbed on Friday, continuing this week’s strong momentum on hopes of eased trade tensions and growing confidence in multiple Fed rate cuts later this year. Futures tied to the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 pointed to fresh record-high openings, while the Dow Jones was set to rise by 150 points. Adding to the bullish tone, Commerce Secretary Lutnick announced a trade agreement with China, reducing tariff risks and easing concerns over rare earth shortages. TECHNICAL OUTLOOK – SPX500 The index has broken into new all-time highs (ATH) and stabilized above the 6,143 resistance level, confirming bullish strength. As long as the price trades above 6,143, the uptrend is likely to continue toward 6,225, with potential short-term pullbacks to 6,143. A 1H candle close below 6,143 could trigger a deeper correction toward the pivot zone at 6,098. Key Levels Resistance: 6,175 → 6,225 Support: 6,098 → 6,041 previous idea:
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by SroshMayi
06/30 Weekly Gamma Exposure Outlook🧠 SPX Weekly Outlook — Gamma Breakout + Short Week Setup The bulls finally broke through after weeks of painful grinding — and they did so with force. 📈 Thursday & Friday brought a textbook gamma squeeze as SPX sliced through the long-standing 6100 call wall , triggering sharp upside acceleration. We are now firmly in positive Net GEX territory. 🔺 Entire GEX structure has shifted higher. 🎯 New squeeze zone at 6225 , with major call resistance near 6200 . 🔍 What Just Happened? 📊 The 6060–6120 zone acted as a tough resistance range for weeks — until last week’s breakout. 💥 Put skew collapsed , suggesting downside hedges are being unwound. 📉 VIX and IV keep dropping , confirming a shift toward lower-volatility environment . 🧲 Strong Net GEX across expiries created sustained upward dealer pressure → we’re in long gamma mode . ✅ Bullish Bias — But Stay Tactical We're in a bullish gamma regime , so dips are likely to be bought. Key pullback zone to watch: 6125–6060 . 🛠️ Strategy Ideas: • Wait for a 6060–6125 retest before re-entering longs • Use shorter-DTE bull put spreads or 0DTE gamma scalps above 6130+ • Scale out or trim risk near 6200–6225 ⚠️ Risks to Watch We’re overextended short-term. 🚨 Losing 6130–6125 could spark a quick flush to 6050 . Bearish signals to monitor: • IV spike or renewed put buying • Loss of 6100 = no-man’s land without confirmation • Consider short-term debit put spreads if breakdown confirms 🗓️ Short Trading Week Note 🇺🇸 U.S. markets closed Friday, July 5 for Independence Day. This compresses flows into 4 sessions. Expect: 📌 Early week dealer hedging 📌 Possible positioning unwind on Thursday 💡 Weekly Trade Idea — Structure in Place 💼 Setup: • Put Butterfly below spot • 3x Call Diagonal Spreads above spot (5pt wide) • Slight net negative delta , 11 DTE 🎯 Why it works: • Leverages IV backwardation • Profits from time decay • Favors a stable or modestly bullish week • Takes advantage of horizontal skew (July 11 vs July 14) 💰 Profit Target: 10–20% return on ~$1,730 risk. Take profits before time decay kills the center valley — don’t overstay. 🏃💨 📌 Final Thoughts: The 6100 breakout was technically & gamma-structurally significant , but big moves often retest before continuing. Let price breathe. Stay aligned with gamma exposure profile. 🔄
SPREADEX:SPX
by TanukiTrade
The Midyear Mindset Reset: Reboot Your Trading Before Q3Because nothing says "trader growth" like admitting you’ve been winging it for six months. 👋 Welcome to Halftime — How’s Your P&L Looking? June’s closing bell isn’t just a date on the calendar — it’s that awkward moment where traders stare into the middle distance, coffee in hand, and quietly whisper: “Well… that went differently than I expected.” Whether you’ve been racking up wins, nursing drawdowns, or simply surviving market whiplash, midyear is nature’s way of handing you a clean slate. Before Q3 throws its inevitable curveballs, now’s your chance to pause, reset, and actually look at what the heck you’ve been doing. And, of course, prepare for the next batch of earnings reports . Spoiler: if your trading strategy this year has involved equal parts hope and caffeine, you’re not alone. 🔥 The Year So Far: Markets Kept It… Interesting Let’s quickly recap 2025 so far (because trauma processing is healthy). The Magnificent Seven? More like the Magnificent Two-And-A-Half. Meta NASDAQ:META and Microsoft NASDAQ:MSFT ran victory laps while everyone else tripped over AI headlines or regulatory landmines. Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA moonwalked into trillion-dollar territory, then stumbled after export bans — but somehow still has every fund manager whispering “Blackwell” like it’s a secret password. Bitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD set new highs north of $110K (who needs fiat when you can have memes?). The Fed teased cuts, inflation teased persistence, and Trump teased… well, everyone. And summer trading arrived with its usual low-volume traps, giving us breakouts that break hearts and liquidity that disappears faster than your broker’s customer support. In short: volatility? Check. Opportunity? Absolutely. Discipline? That depends on whether you’re still following your rules or trading on vibes. By June, most traders have crafted elaborate narratives in their heads. You know the type: "This breakout is different," "The Fed has to cut next month," and "There’s no way Nvidia can keep running like this." The problem is, markets don’t care about your narrative. They care about price, volume, sentiment — and sometimes, absolute chaos. That beautifully clean chart setup? It’s not asking for your prediction. It’s begging you to respond with discipline, not bravado. The traders who thrived in the first half didn’t win by forecasting every twist in the macro plotline. They won by following the tape. The breakout happened? They took it. The stop-loss hit? They respected it. That’s not luck — that’s execution. 🫶🏻 Emotional Capital: The Real Balance You Should Be Watching P&L tells one story. Emotional capital tells another. By June, a lot of traders aren’t out of money — they’re out of discipline. They’ve been revenge trading after a string of losses, chasing AI headlines that already ran, and convincing themselves they can “make it all back” on the next oversized position. Do you know that feeling? Resetting your trading mindset at midyear means recalibrating that emotional bankroll. Start by reviewing your trading journal (yes, you’re supposed to have one ). Revisit the trades that made sense and the ones that make you cringe. Recognize your patterns — your strengths, but also your weaknesses. Success leaves clues and there are lessons in failures. 💭 Clean Up the Clutter There’s a special type of fatigue that sets in after six months of consuming too much trading content. You start layering on indicators like toppings at a frozen yogurt bar — RSI, MACD, Stochastics, VWAP, Fibonacci, Elliott Waves, Gann fans... until your charts light up like the billboards in Times Square. The truth is, the best traders heading into Q3 are simplifying. They’re not chasing complexity; they’re chasing clarity. They know their setups, they trust their process, and they wait for clean signals. Summer trading especially demands this discipline. Liquidity gets thinner, breakouts fail more often , and the tape gets choppy. Complex systems may amplify the noise. Strip it down. Focus on price structure. Simplify your strategy so you can execute when real opportunities appear — not when your 12th oscillator blinks green. ⚾ You Don’t Need a Home Run At this stage of the year, many traders fall into what we’ll call the desperate hero phase. They feel behind. They want to make up for drawdowns. They want “the trade” that fixes everything. If you’ve missed making bank over the first half of the year, chances are, you want to catch up — and fast. Here’s a secret: The best traders aren’t always looking for grand slams. They’re playing small ball too — consistent singles, tight risk, controlled losses, steady gains. Q3 isn’t about doubling your account. It’s about staying alive long enough for your edge to show up and play out. The traders who make it to year-end consistently profitable aren’t the ones chasing massive wins. They’re the ones compounding quiet, boring, disciplined trades. Midyear Reset: Your Q3 Trading Checklist Here’s your brutally simple plan for the back half: ✅ Journal your biggest mistakes from H1 ✅ Cut your watchlist in half ✅ Size smaller than feels exciting ✅ Trust clean setups over crowded trades ✅ Stay curious — but stay selective ✅ Leave the FOMO trades to the TikTok influencers So the real question heading into Q3 isn’t whether markets will go up or down. It’s whether you will trade better or keep winging it. Happy midyear reset. Trade smarter, not harder.
SP:SPXEducation
by TradingView
16
Is Now a Good Time to Invest in the S&P 500? Is Now a Good Time to Invest in the S&P 500? The chart shows the S&P 500 in a long-term upward trend, with clear channels indicating zones from "extremely cheap" (bottom green line) to "extremely expensive" (top red line). Currently, the index is trading near the upper part of the channel, in the "expensive" to "extremely expensive" area. What Does This Mean for Investors? The current price level suggests the S&P 500 is expensive compared to its historical trend, increasing the risk of a short-term correction. Historically, buying near the top of such channels has offered less margin of safety and a higher probability of pullbacks in the following months. Investment idea It is a good time to start investing gradually (using a dollar-cost averaging strategy, investing a fixed amount each month) rather than making a lump-sum, “all-in” investment with your savings. This approach allows you to benefit from long-term market growth while reducing the risk of entering at a market peak. The risks currently outweigh the potential short-term gains, and we could see better prices in the coming months. In summary: Now is not the time to go all-in on the S&P 500. Gradually investing each month is a sensible approach, given the elevated risk of a correction and the possibility of better entry points ahead.
SP:SPX
by TopChartPatterns
SPX is overheated, a correction is necessary📉 Market Update: No, It Has Nothing to Do with Trump This move has nothing to do with Trump’s dramatic announcements. The reality is simple: the MACD on the daily chart is overheated, and a healthy correction is needed — likely down to the 5,520 level — before resuming the uptrend. Now, does it surprise anyone that Trump acts like a PR agent for his investors? He always seems to drop “bad news” at the exact moment the charts call for a pullback. My guess? They're shorting right now. 🪙 Bitcoin Stalling CRYPTOCAP:BTC is also losing momentum, and looks like it’s in need of a short-term correction as well. This suggests a week of consolidation ahead for the whole crypto market. But let’s be clear: 🚀 The Bull Market Is Not Over The weekly charts remain very bullish, and this trend could last another 4–6 months. The macro bullish structure for crypto remains intact. However, in TradFi, there are cracks: 🔻 20-year bonds sold at 5.1% — a major recession red flag 💸 Tariffs are putting pressure on global trade 📉 The entire traditional market is starting to de-risk 🔮 What to Expect Short-term correction to ~5,518 (first bottom target) A possible rebound after healthy consolidation A continued uptrend in crypto unless key support breaks I’ll publish a new update when conditions change. 📌 Follow me to stay ahead of the market. And as always: DYOR. #CryptoMarket #Bitcoin #MACD #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoCorrection #BullishTrend #RecessionWarning #TradFi #Altcoins #BTC #MarketUpdate #TrumpEffect #DYOR
SP:SPXShort
by CryptoNikkoid
3
SPX500 Detailed Trading Game Plan🎯 Current Market Context: Current Price: 6,000 (Approx.) Trend: Bullish; forming higher highs and higher lows. Key Technical Observations: Strong support and trendline respecting bullish structure. Fibonacci confluence points towards potential upside momentum continuation. Volume Profile indicating key levels at 5,950–6,000. 🚦 Trading Scenarios & Probabilistic Setups: 🟢 Scenario A (High Probability Long Trade ~65%): Entry Zone: Current Levels (6,000–5,950) or retest to 5,863 support. Stop Loss: Below 5,709 (critical structural support). Targets: Primary: 6,262 (100% Fibonacci Extension) Secondary: 6,460 (Key Horizontal Resistance) Risk-to-Reward: Favorable (~1:3) 🟡 Scenario B (Medium Probability Short Trade ~45%): Entry Zone: 6,460–6,500 (strong resistance confluence) Stop Loss: Above 6,600 (clear invalidation) Targets: Primary: 6,100 (structural retest) Secondary: 5,950–5,863 (previous support zone) Risk-to-Reward: Good (~1:2) 🔴 Scenario C (Low Probability but High Reward Long Trade ~35%): Entry Zone: Deep retracement at ~5,408–5,106 (Invalidated if price breaks below 5,107.) Stop Loss: Below 5,107 (firm invalidation) Targets: Primary: 5,950 (key resistance) Extended: 6,460–7,176 (long-term bullish target) Risk-to-Reward: Excellent (~1:5+), but lower likelihood of triggering. 📊 Probability & Risk Management Summary: Scenario Probability Risk Reward Potential A (Long) 65% ✅ Moderate High B (Short) 45% ⚠️ Moderate Moderate C (Long Deep) 35% ❗ Lower Very High ⚙️ Recommended Approach: Primary Strategy: Bullish Continuation (Scenario A) due to current market structure and volume profile confirmation. Secondary Consideration: Watch closely for Short Setup (Scenario B) only upon clear resistance signals. Contingency Setup: Deep retracement (Scenario C) provides excellent value entry if fundamentals trigger a major correction. 🛠 Trade Management Tips: Position Size according to scenario probabilities. Allocate larger sizing to Scenario A, cautious sizing for Scenario B, and small, speculative sizing for Scenario C. Trailing Stops: As price approaches targets, adjust stops to lock profits progressively. 🗓 Timeline & Key Levels for Reference: Immediate actionable trades: Scenario A (Long) setup at current levels. Monitor closely by Mid-August 2025 for Scenario B potential short setup. Watch closely for deep retracement scenario by November 2025 if substantial correction occurs. 🚨 Important Note: Always adjust your trades dynamically based on evolving macroeconomic and geopolitical news. These probabilities are guidelines—not certainties. ⚠️ Disclaimer: Trading involves substantial risk and is not suitable for every investor. The information provided is purely for educational and informational purposes and does not constitute financial advice, a recommendation, or solicitation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Always perform your own analysis, consider your financial situation and risk tolerance, and consult with a qualified financial advisor before executing trades. Past performance does not guarantee future results. You alone bear the full responsibility for any investment decision you make. Stay disciplined, trade wisely, and good luck! 🍀📊
FX:SPX500Long
by Wavervanir_International_LLC