Hidden positive divergence on S&P 500Hidden positive divergence on 1d and 1w + bottom of the channel. Should make a big bounce soon. Valid as long as the price doesn't update January 13-14 low.
SPIUSD trade ideas
$S&P500 macro analysis , market approaching correction °•° $SPXHi 👋🏻 check out my previous analysis ⏰ on SP:SPX macro bullish analysis ⏰
As provided it went up up 🚀 completed my target's 🎯 💯💪🏻 ✅ ✔️
Click on it 👆🏻 just check out each and every time updates ☝🏻 ☺️
•••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••
NOW I was completely 🐻 BEARISH on the market with in upcoming months SP:SPX
📌 Expecting liquidation pump $6500 - $6700
Invalid 🛑 when complete month close above $6700
¹support - $5500 ( 🎯 ¹ )
²support - $5130 ( 🎯 ² )
🎯 3 ... Will be updated based on market conditions by that time ☺️
📍 A wise 🦉 man said - always having patience " is " always gaining only /-
NASDAQ:TSLA ( i accumulate slowly until it cross above $400 )
rest of stocks i will follow index ☝🏻 i will invest based on market conditions ..... ✔️
SP500 | Long | 3hrsThis technical analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Remember to always research and consult with a professional before making investment decisions. Good luck! 📈💼🚀
Market SnapshotI really wonder how 1600 Pennsylvania Ave is going to explain away what happens later this year and into the next
This is not good people...this is not good
S&P500 Is Nearing The Daily TrendHey Traders. in today's trading session we are monitoring US500 for a buying opportunity around 5850 zone, S&P500 is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 5850 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
SPX500USD| BEARISH VOLUME HELLO
SPX500
The price followed my previous analysis, experiencing a sharp decline. After such a steep drop, a corrective movement is necessary, and currently, the price is in a retracement phase toward the 5886 level. If it manages to break above this level, the price is likely to extend its upward correction, potentially reaching the upper boundary of the channel or even testing the 5947 resistance.
However, despite this short-term correction, the overall bearish trend remains dominant. Once the correction phase is exhausted, we anticipate the price to resume its downward movement, breaking through all intermediate support levels until it reaches the primary bearish target at 5777. This expectation aligns with the prevailing downtrend structure, reinforcing the continuation of bearish momentum.
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Feb 28, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
In the recent weekly trading session, the S&P 500 did not succeed in retesting the Mean Resistance level of 6082. Instead, the index experienced a notable decline, reaching the Mean Support level of 5939 and narrowly approaching the Key Support level of 5827.
Following this downturn, a significant rebound occurred, resulting in the establishment of a new Mean Support level at 5860. The index is now positioned to target the Mean Resistance level of 5967. Should the index initiate an upward movement from its current level and successfully surpass the critical Mean Resistance of 5967, it may continue to rise toward the Mean Resistance level of 6032, potentially reaching the Key Resistance level of 6143.
Conversely, if the index declines from its present position, it may create a retest pullback to revisit the Mean Support level of 5860 before resuming further upward momentum.
Getting CloserLately the market has been confusing. It appears traders are not clear minded on the economy, the recently voted in administration's policies, and that uncertainty is definitely showing up in the price action.
Be that as it may be, this is an update on the SPX cash index I posted last week as more of the price action fills in. I'll try to update this weekly.
Best to all,
Chris
SPX BOUNCETop is in unless a new ATH, this is the start of a longer leg down. We had a great close over the 50% fib the last few days so i am ready for a bounce to reload shorts. It s tight stop, if we fail to hold above the 50% of this current move around 6030-6050 then the move is over and the leg down will continue. Also we could just take out this current low and go for 5800.
SP500USD| BEARISH CONFIRMATION AND KEY SUPPORT LEVELSHello traders,
The price has stabilised below the support zone, reinforcing the bearish trend as long as it continues to trade beneath this level. Remaining below this zone is likely to drive the price down to 5,947. If this level is breached, the price will encounter the channel, which must be broken with a 4-hour candle close to confirm the bearish trend. Beyond this, a strong support zone lies ahead, which may cause multiple upward rebounds before the price eventually breaks through.
The bullish trend is activated by passing the three main levels of 6002, 6074, and 6102.
We are in for a mini bear market Just use this situation for buying before 2026 and next rounds of lowering interest rates
Spy Path?With the market in extreme fear at the moment (2/28/25) with only a slight 2% pull back I wonder what a 20% would look like.. A golden opportunity while everybody will be predicting the end? Or it bounces Monday for a blow off top and new highs? Guess we shall see..
S&P500 Index Goes 'Floundering', ahead of Bearish HarvestWhile the S&P 500 is generally expected to perform well in 2025, with forecasts suggesting gains ranging from 9% to 14.7% depending on the source, there are several factors that could lead to a less favorable performance or even a decline:
High Valuations: The S&P 500 is currently trading at high valuations, with a P/E multiple of 22 times projected earnings, which is above historical averages. This elevated valuation increases the risk of market downturns if there are negative economic shocks.
Economic Uncertainties: The economic landscape is filled with uncertainties, including potential inflation increases and geopolitical tensions. These factors can impact investor confidence and lead to market volatility.
Interest Rates and Bond Yields: Higher bond yields can reduce the attractiveness of stocks compared to bonds, potentially leading to a decline in stock prices.
Earnings Growth Expectations: While earnings are expected to grow, there is a risk that actual growth may not meet these expectations, which could negatively impact the market.
Policy Risks: Changes in trade policies, such as tariffs, and shifts in fiscal policy could also affect the market's performance.
Historical Patterns: Achieving three consecutive years of high returns (above 20%) is rare for the S&P 500, suggesting that 2025 might not see such strong gains.
Overall, while there are positive forecasts for the S&P 500 in 2025, these potential risks could lead to a less robust performance or even a decline if they materialize.
// While salmon make up the bulk of their diet, Coastal Brown Bears also enjoy a fresh flounder now, and again.
Best wishes,
PandorraResearch Team 😎
S&P500 Channel Up bottomed. Huge reversal expected.The S&P500 index (SPX) had been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the August 2024 Low and yesterday broke below its 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time in 20 days. Since January 17, every such break below the 4H MA200 has been a technical buy opportunity.
This time it is even stronger as the index appears to be replicating the Channel's first price structure and more specifically Leg (d). What followed after Leg (d) bottomed, was a symmetrical with (b)-(c) +7.05% rise to form a top at (e).
The confirmation for this rise came when the 4H MACD formed a Bullish Cross. As a result, we are waiting for this confirmation to continue with additional buying on S&P and target 6330, which would be a +6.22% rise, symmetrical with (b)-(c).
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S&P500 -Weekly forecast, Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasMidterm forecast:
5677.80 is a major support, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend.
Technical analysis:
There is a divergence in RSI and price between the peak at 6107.47 on 2024-12-06 and the peak at 6150.07 on 2025-02-19, the probability of uptrend continuation is decreased and the probability of beginning of downtrend is increased.
While the RSI downtrend #1 is not broken, bearish wave in price would continue.
A peak is formed in daily chart at 6150.05 on 02/19/2025, so more losses to support(s) 6031.27, 5875.31, 5777.28 and minimum to Major Support (5677.80) is expected.
Relative strength index (RSI) is 49.
Supports and Resistances:
5568.78
5398.95
5194.10
5039.36
4944.41
4843.23
4662.99
4544.26
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U.S. Indices on the Brink: A 10-15% Market Correction Ahead?At Vital Direction, our Elliott Wave, Fibonacci, and Gann analysis suggests that the S&P 500, Nasdaq, Russell 2000, and broader U.S. markets are approaching a major topping formation, setting the stage for a sharp 10-15% correction.
We anticipate this downturn to unfold between now and mid-April, with potential bottoming phases emerging either in early March or mid-April. From there, we expect a strong recovery, leading indices back to their all-time highs or near them by August to November 2025 before a massive reversal unfolds.
Investor Caution Advised!
Sentiment remains extremely bullish, but we urge traders to prepare for heightened volatility and downside risks in the short term. This could be a pivotal moment before the next major bullish phase!
S&P INTRADAY previous support new resistance?S&P (US500) index pair price action sentiment appears bullish, supported by the longer-term prevailing uptrend. The recent intraday price action appears to be a sideways consolidation after a retest of an all-time high on 19th Feb ‘25.
The key trading level is at the 5918 level, the consolidation price range and also the previous support is now a newly formed resistance zone. An oversold rally from the current levels and a bullish breakout above the 5918 level could target the upside resistance at 5967 followed by the 6014 and 6056 levels over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed rejection at the 5918 resistance and a daily close below that level would negate the bullish outlook opening the way for a further retracement and a retest of 5853 support level followed by 5827 and 5780.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Shorting the S&P at 6000We previously picked the turning point of the S&P at the all time high.
We now expect this to continue with the downtrend as it approaches the strong 6000 resistance.
1) There is pattern
2) H4 and D1 are down
3) M15 is overbought, awaiting divergence
We target the low of 5915 which will give a 1:2.5 R:R
Strangle options $SPX target +/- 300 points RSI weakness is quite notable . Friday volume raise and large red candle suggest more volatility into coming weeks . suggest wide swing +/- 300 points so SPX heading to 5700 or 6300 . My idea is to watch Monday close then enter the strangle options combo .
Bounce Doesn't Look Convincing SPX made a bit of a bounce off the support levels but it's not shown the strong properties I'd have expected to see in the bat D leg or the C leg I spoke of.
All trailing stops on longs hit.
If we can continue to break out to the upside I'll probably have to buy breaks with tight stops but I think the more likely looking setup here is we make a new low.
If a new low comes from the setup we have a butterfly forms just under the last lows. This is a big inflection point. Either a low is made or we trend down strong under it.
This would also agree with the big 1.61 inflection area.
Starting to think I was wrong about the bigger bull trap idea and we might see a break. Back in shorts.
"SPX500USD" Indices Market Bearish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
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Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the "SPX500USD" Indices Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish thieves are getting stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Sell below (5930) then make your move - Bearish profits await!"
however I advise placing Sell Stop Orders below the breakout MA or Place Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest. I Highly recommended you to put alert in your chart.
Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at 6025 (swing Trade Basis) Using the 4H period, the recent / swing high or low level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯:
Primary Target - 5875 (or) Escape Before the Target
Secondary Target - 5750 (or) Escape Before the Target
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📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook:
"SPX500USD" Indices Market is currently experiencing a Bearish trend., driven by several key factors.
👉Fundamental Analysis
Earnings Growth: The SPX500 earnings growth rate is expected to slow down in 2025, driven by economic uncertainty and trade tensions.
Valuation: The SPX500 forward P/E ratio is around 17.5, slightly below the historical average.
Dividend Yield: The SPX500 dividend yield is around 2.0%, relatively attractive compared to other asset classes.
👉Macro Economics
GDP Growth: The US GDP growth rate is expected to slow down in 2025, driven by economic uncertainty and trade tensions.
Inflation: The US inflation rate is expected to remain around 2.0% in 2025, slightly above the Federal Reserve's target.
Interest Rates: The Federal Reserve is expected to keep interest rates relatively stable in 2025, with a possible rate cut in the second half of the year.
👉COT Data
Commitment of Traders: The COT data shows that large speculators are net short SPX500, indicating a bearish sentiment.
Open Interest: The open interest in SPX500 futures is decreasing, indicating a declining interest in the market.
👉Market Sentimental Analysis
Bearish Sentiment: The market sentiment is currently bearish, with many investors expecting the SPX500 to continue its downward trend.
Risk Aversion: The market is experiencing high risk aversion, with investors seeking safe-haven assets such as bonds and gold.
👉Positioning
Short Positions: Many investors are holding short positions in SPX500, expecting the index to continue its downward trend.
Long Positions: Some investors are holding long positions in SPX500, expecting a potential bounce or reversal.
👉Next Trend Move
Bearish Trend: The current trend is bearish, with the SPX500 expected to continue its downward trend driven by economic uncertainty and trade tensions.
Support Levels: The next support levels are seen at 5700 and 5600.
👉Overall Summary Outlook
Bearish Outlook: The overall outlook for SPX500 is bearish, driven by economic uncertainty, trade tensions, and slowing earnings growth.
Volatility: The market is expected to remain volatile, with investors closely watching economic data, earnings reports, and geopolitical developments.
👉Real-Time Market Feed
SPX500 Price: 5990.0
24-Hour Change: -1.2%
24-Hour High: 6050.0
24-Hour Low: 5950.0
Trading Volume: 2.2 billion
👉Prediction Next Target
T1: 5875 (short-term target)
T2: 5750 (medium-term target)
T3: 5650 (long-term target)
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
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US500 SHORT TRADEYestersday's price action in alignment with the previous week's consolidation is more than enough reasons for price to short
I plan to take the trade on the 15min FVG. I also plan to do so by 8:30 NY Time. If price breaches the FVG before that time, the trade is invalidated for me
SPX: Buyers are thereOn SPX as you can see on the chart buyers are present. An upward trend is expected.
