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US 500 (SPI) / US Dollar

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SPIUSD trade ideas

SPY where are we going into OPEX and last week of June tradingYesterday was almost an indecision candle on daily. Markets cheered the jobs data earlier in day with a nice green candle, however the pump faded going into FOMC, where AMEX:SPY and SP:SPX were around 600/ 6000 at 2pm. FOMC event mostly turned out to be a "non-event". While the no rate cut and 2 for 2025 were largely expected, Powell spooked the markets commenting that he expects higher inflation in months ahead due to tariffs. Off course this set of a set of comments from Trump which was expected as well. While markets are closed today (Juneteenth) futures are open, and in after hours and now we have drifted downwards... as of this writing SPX is around 5950. Bulls lost the 9 sma yesterday and now are trying to defend the 20 sma. Tomorrow is OPEX so expect some volatility and movement to where big money is positioned. Certainly bulls can show up and reclaim 9 ma at 6003 or if we lose 5950, the next level down is below 5800. Meanwhile JPM collar is intact... Do we go down from here. Tomorrow will be key as we will know if we have lost 20 sma or regained 9 sma and how this week candle looks like. Bulls can charge but is there enough gas in tank to make meaningful upside move? Maybe possible pump to open next week (around 6060 was recent high), but bears are now lurking to take us down towards that 5800 level next week. As I said earlier tomorrow will be telling and I will update over the weekend.
FOREXCOM:SPX500
by Options_Life_
Geopolitics vs. Fed: SPX500 Trading Below Key Pivot at 5966SPX500 – Overview Geopolitical Tensions & Rate Decisions Keep Markets on Edge Investor focus has shifted from monetary policy to geopolitics, as speculation grows over a potential U.S. military strike on Iran. According to Bloomberg, senior U.S. officials are reportedly preparing for possible action in the coming days. This comes as global markets remain cautious ahead of key central bank meetings that are expected to provide updated guidance on growth and inflation. Technical Outlook: SPX500 remains under bearish pressure as long as the price trades below 5966. A break and hold below 5966 targets 5938, with further downside toward 5902 and 5885 For a shift to bullish momentum, price must stabilize above 6010 • Support: 5938 / 5902 / 5885 • Resistance: 5989 / 6010 / 6041
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by SroshMayi
SPX500 at New ATH – Will NFP Fuel the Next Leg Up? SPX500 Outlook: Trade Optimism Fades as Focus Shifts to U.S. Jobs Data Caution prevails ahead of today’s high-impact U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls report, which could be pivotal for the July rate cut narrative. A weaker print may support risk assets and push SPX500 higher, while a strong report could dampen momentum. Technical Analysis (SPX500): SPX500 has printed a new all-time high and is now targeting 6287, especially if the index closes above 6246 on the 1H chart. As long as price holds above 6225 (pivot), the bias remains bullish, with potential upside targets: 6287 & 6325 However, a 4H close below 6213 would suggest a correction toward: 6190 & 6143 Key Levels: • Resistance: 6287 / 6325 • Support: 6190 / 6143 Stay alert — today's NFP report could trigger major moves across indices and FX.
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by SroshMayi
S&P 500 - Confirmed New All Time HighPlease refer to our last post: The S&P could now be gearing up for the run towards our 1.618 extension around $7k. We just had a confirmed daily candle breakout above our white box which we have been eyeing for so long. This is the first signal of a major ATH breakout rally for the S&P. However there is only one thing that could potentially hinder this rally. That would be the orange trendline I have drawn. If price gets rejected somewhere along this orange trendline and price falls back below the white box that would signal a few warning signs. The first would be a failed breakout and the second would be a massive bearish divergence forming on the HTF. With higher highs in price but strength continuing to get weaker keep an eye out for that. So far things just look great, but just wanted to point that out as a potential scenario.
SP:SPX
by VIAQUANT
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CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by Thief_Trader
US500 Will Go Up! Long! Take a look at our analysis for US500. Time Frame: 1D Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is testing a major horizontal structure 6,165.52. Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 6,451.04 level soon. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
TRADENATION:US500Long
by SignalProvider
1
V2. US S&P Zones - PMI Manuf, USINTR, Inflation, DXY & QEV2. US S&P Zones - PMI Manuf, USINTR, Inflation, DXY & QE US S&P Zone Analysis -- Correlation with 1. Leading Economic Indicators (PMI Manufacturing Index, PMI Services Index, Building Permits) 2. US Interest Rates (MEAN 1.97 from Jan 2003) 3. US Inflation Rate YoY 4. Dollar Index (DXY) 5. Quantitative Easing Episodes WHY CHANGE IN APPROACH? As per Ammar Bhai, Red and other Zones for US and developed markets shall not follow only Interest Rates after 2000. Traditional single impact of Interest Rate is not Enough. NOTE ABOUT INFLATION ABOVE 5% It was also noticed that if inflation was about 5% that coincided with Red and Yellow zone and it must be avoided for stock trading. NEW APPROACH NEW GREEN ZONE 1. PMI Manuf Index is RISING or ABOVE 50 2. Interest Rates are FALLING or LEVELED or BELOW MEAN (Expansionary Policy in Effect) 3. Inflation is FALLING or AROUND TARGET 4. DXY is FALLING or SIDEWAYS 5. Stock Market RISING NEW APPROACH for RED ZONE 1. PMI Manuf Index is FALLING or BELOW 50 2. Interest Rates are RISING or LEVELED or ABOVE MEAN (Contractionary Policy in Effect) 3. Inflation is RISING or SIDEWAYS. (Also Check if Inflation rate is above 5%) 4. DXY is RISING 5. Stock Market FALLING or SIDEWAYS NEW YELLOW ZONE 1. PMI Manuf Index is RISING or ABOVE 50 2. Interest Rates are RISING or LEVELED 3. Inflation is RISING or SIDEWAYS (Also Check if Inflation rate is above 5%) 4. DXY is RISING or SIDEWAYS 5. Stock Market RISING or SIDEWAYS NEW ORANGE ZONE 1. PMI Manuf Index is SIDEWAYS or BELOW 50 2. Interest Rates are FALLING or LEVELED or BELOW MEAN (Expansionary Policy in Effect) 3. Inflation is FALLING or SIDEWAYS (Also Check if Inflation rate is above 5%) 4. DXY is FALLING or SIDEWAYS 5. Stock Market RISING or SIDEWAYS Historically whenever Interest Rates are dropping, US market goes down for some months: US somehow try to control Inflation before bringing the interest rates down. When Inflation is under control and Growth has not gone down much, then they decrease the interest rates Because in past whenever Interest rates were decreased, growth also fell for some months and then improved. Then FED does QE, which bring surplus cash in the market, Which drops Dollar rate, that helps the Stock Market grow.
SP:SPX
by haroonraees
Generally bullish sentiment heading into next weekWednesday's AUD CHF trade finally stopped out. I've been a little surprised by CHF resilience considering the 'risk on' environment. I have read an interesting article suggesting CHF and EUR strength can be attributed to holding relatively high amounts of gold reserves. I'm not sure how much long term credence I'd give that theory but it does make sense. Meanwhile, the USD turned out to be the currency to short this week as the market starts to price in more rate cuts than thought a few weeks ago. It could be a tricky road ahead for the FED, as softening data, and now today's higher than forecast PCE data means the dreaded 'stagflation' word will be mentioned. But with the VIX well below 20 and the S&P touching all time highs, in the absence of Middle East re-escalation or fresh tariff concerns, I'll begin next week with a mind to continue looking for 'risk on' trades. For today, I will let Friday's price action do what it's going to do and start fresh next week.
SP:SPXLong
by johnelfedforexblog
SPX500 Macro Fibonacci Projection – Eyeing 7190+ 🗓️ Posted by Wavervanir International LLC | June 26, 2025 The S&P 500 continues to respect key Fibonacci zones on the macro scale. After a strong recovery from the recent correction near the 0.5–0.618 retracement region (4800–5100), price is now hovering near critical confluence at the 1.0 level (~6150). We’re tracking a bullish extension path toward 1.382 and 1.618 Fibonacci levels, which gives us a primary upside target zone between 7,190 and 7,795 — aligning with the projected long-term wave expansion. This structure favors a continued institutional accumulation phase, supported by macroeconomic resilience and liquidity conditions. 🔶 Key Levels to Watch: Major Support: 4838.28 (0.5 Fib Retest) Immediate Resistance: 6170–6200 Target Range: 7190.71 → 7795.41 🧠 Bias remains bullish unless price breaks back below 5830 with volume. This is not financial advice. Shared for educational and strategic insights. Let me know your thoughts, traders! — #SPX500 #Fibonacci #WaverVanir #MacroTrends #StockMarket2025 #QuantitativeAnalysis
FX:SPX500Long
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
Your investor profileEach investor has unique characteristics: The amount of their current investments and savings Their capacity to generate future income and allocate it to savings Their personal and financial circumstances that may condition their liquidity needs Their motivations and objectives for saving Their discipline Their willingness to learn The time available for monitoring Their knowledge and experience Their risk aversion All these characteristics are called investor profile . Unless all these characteristics of your profile change, you must stay true to your investor profile. Bullish market environments are a temptation to take on more risk than we should. It is also important to keep in mind that your investor profile changes with your life cycle . While it’s great to share experiences, your investor profile is unique . When making your decisions, take advice based on your individual characteristics. It is very important that you seek advice from trusted platforms and professionals and pay special attention to ensure that there is no clear commercial bias that could lead you to certain products or operations that may not suit your investor profile. It is not a wise decision to copy from others : friends or forums created by entities with an obvious commercial bias, because your investor profile is unique. Did you like it? Share with your friends. by HollyMontt
SP:SPXEducation
by hollymontt
1
rePOST - SPX Weekly Technical Breakdown – Week of June 22, 2025 SPX Weekly Technical Breakdown – Week of June 22, 2025 After consolidating in a tight range earlier this month, SPX printed a subtle but significant outside day on Friday — breaking Thursday’s high by just 0.01 and forming a broadening formation. Like QQQ , this pattern reflects indecision and a potential shift in structure as bulls and bears battle for control. The short-term range is wide, with support at 5963.21 and resistance near 6026.68. Holding above 5963 can keep buyers in and opens the door for a retest of the psychological 6000 level, followed by 6059.40 (all-time high). However, a close back below 5963.21 could open the path for a quick flush toward 5900. Key intraday levels to watch include 5929, 5940.03, 5954.06, 5974.86, 5989.43, 6002.32, 6012.94, 6026.68, 6044.56, and 6059.21. Technical Summary • Structure: Outside day Friday formed a broadening formation • Event Note: Slight break of Thursday’s high by 0.01 confirms outside bar structure • Daytrade Pivots: 5929, 5940.03, 5954.06, 5974.86, 5989.43, 6002.32, 6012.94, 6026.68 • Macro View: SPX improves technically above 6000; breakout confirmed over 6026.68 • Downside Risk: Failure to close above 5963.21 could trigger fast move toward 5900 • Momentum Bias: Neutral to bearish until 6000+ is reclaimed and defended Key Levels to Watch 🟢 Upside Resistance: 5974.86, 5989.43, 6002.32, 6012.94, 6026.68, 6044.56, 6059.21, 6059.40 (ATH) 🔴 Downside Support: 5963.21 (must hold), 5954.06, 5940.03, 5929 Trade Plan • Hold above 5963.21 keeps upside scenario intact — look for reclaim of 5974.86 and 6000+ • Close below 5963.21 flips structure and may accelerate toward 5929, possibly 5900 • Scalps remain viable near 5954–6002 using intraday reactions at key levels Decision Map 🟩 IF SPX HOLDS ABOVE 5963.21 → reclaim 5974.86 → target 5989.43 → 6002.32 → breakout toward 6026.68 → 6059.40 (ATH) 🟥 IF SPX BREAKS BELOW 5963.21 → watch 5954.06 → 5940.03 → 5929 → 5900 possible flush Primary Trade Zone: 5954–6002 Alert Levels Set alerts above: 5974.86, 6002.32, 6026.68 Set alerts below: 5963.21, 5940.03, 5929 This Week’s Key Catalysts for SPX This week’s economic calendar is packed with market-moving data that will likely influence SPX and broader risk appetite. • Tuesday, June 24: Fed Chair Powell testifies to the House Financial Services Committee. His tone and guidance on future policy will be a primary driver for market direction. The same day also includes Consumer Confidence (June) and Fed commentary from Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack — both potentially impactful. • Thursday, June 26: Heavy data day with initial jobless claims, durable goods orders (May), core goods data, and the second revision of Q1 GDP. These reports will offer insight into both the labor market and the broader health of the U.S. economy. • Friday, June 27: The most important inflation data of the week arrives with the PCE index and Core PCE (May). These are the Fed’s preferred inflation gauges and could shape expectations for a rate cut later this summer. Overall, market participants will be closely watching Powell’s tone, inflation data, and any sign of slowing growth. Combined with Friday’s outside day and broadening structure, SPX is positioned for a move — the catalyst will determine the direction.
SP:SPX
by MoneyFlow_Options_Community
S&P 500 - Pay Attention All the world events going on right now has put the S&P in a very interesting position. Even on the brink of war we have seen the SPX pushing towards all time highs. Right now it is entering the major supply zone (where we have seen many tops form) between $6,090 and $6,150. This supply zone has been forming since Dec 2024 and is very important to keep and eye on. Either price will create a macro double top/M pattern and lead us back towards the lows, or we will break above this supply zone a start the expansion phase towards our 1.618 which is currently just slightly below $7k. The macro looks amazing as our lower white line represents of 2021 previous ATH and during the tariff collapse perfectly got flipped into a new level of support which we represent as our 2025 Macro Low. The short term is also looking decent. We have identified price is about to enter major resistance so if we do see a pullback we want to target that $5,800 level as the level buyers need to hold to continue momentum. If buyers can push price to new highs in the short term we expect to see that move towards $7k by the end of the year.
SP:SPX
by VIAQUANT
Short SPX500Elite Live Analysis Weekly Market Structure: Price tapped into a key structure level and showed clear rejection. Daily Market Structure: Currently bearish, actively pulling price lower. 4H Market Structure: A new structure has just been confirmed, providing fresh short-term context. Expectations: Looking for a structure-to-structure move on the Daily timeframe, aligning with the broader bearish bias. Targets: Primary targets are areas of structured liquidity and liquidity pools resting below current price levels.
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by TheEliteTrading
S&P 500 Wave Analysis – 23 June 2025- S&P 500 reversed from support area - Likely to rise to resistance level 6065.00 S&P 500 index recently reversed from the support area between the support level 5930.00 (which reversed the price multiple times from the start of June) and the 50% Fibonacci correction of the sharp upward impulse 1 from last month. The upward reversal from this support area stopped the previous minor ABC correction 2 from the start of June. S&P 500 index can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 6065.00 (which stopped the previous minor impulse wave 1).
CBOE:SPXLong
by FxProGlobal