SPX long ideaBreakout of descending channel price retested and rejected most previous structure and aligns with 38. fib level on daily.
Targeting 27.2 level first.
Opinions?
SPIUSD trade ideas
S&P500: Buying accelerating as the bottom is confirmed.S&P500 is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 52.628, MACD = -41.490, ADX = 32.588) as it has been volatile during the day but on the long-term, it has resumed the bullish trend, making a strong recovery last week. The bottom is now confirmed (above the 1W MA200) and as the oversold 1W RSI was bought, the index eyes a +28.50% rise on the medium term, same as in early 2024. This falls practically on the previous ATH level (TP = 6,150).
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Getting closeWe're getting close to a top, but I still think 5600 will likely be attempted today or tomorrow. I will change my mind if they start getting under 5450. Vix broke out of a wedge, which is bullish for the vix but I don't think it runs up right away. I will change my mind if they get the vix over 28 again.
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however I advise to Place sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most nearest or swing, low or high level for Pullback Entries.
Stop Loss 🛑:
📌Thief SL placed at the nearest/swing High or Low level Using the 1D timeframe (5500) Day/Swing trade basis.
📌SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 4750 (or) Escape Before the Target
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US500 TRADE IDEAhi again
The US500 has shown strength by breaking the resistance at 5483.5 and is now at 5535. If the price reaches 5604.6 and a pullback occurs, targeting a temporary decline at the 50% Fibonacci retracement level is a good strategy.
Fibonacci retracement is often used to identify potential support and resistance levels where the price might pause or reverse. The 50% level is one of the commonly watched levels by traders as it often indicates a significant turning point in price movement.
good luck all
**My trading strategy is not intended to be a signal. It's a process of learning about market structure and sharpening my trading my skills also for my trade journal**
Thanks a lot for your support
SPX: Good push at EOD 4/30, but…Possible H&S? Hear me outGood push at end of day on 4/30 at close.
Zooming out, it’s starting look like it’s forming a H&S. I’m starting to see a lot of people flipping bearish as well. But, also near close today, volume was not promising, declining at the close.
I swung short-term puts on SPY, I like SPX puts for a day trade due to this formation but this H&S can possibly out within the end of week with more data and uncertainty or the following week.
I’m short at the touch of the light red line: 5655.79 to the downside.
Gaps below 5354.76, 5206.44
Would say by EOW to next week, if we pull back, may form/complete the right shoulder.
Do your DD!
Let me know your thoughts! #NFA
SPX - LONGprice is moving well with trade talks easing and agreements potentially coming into place. I believe price will continue this bullish momentum
Believe or Not- Blue SeasonBefore Donald Trump gets credit based on tariff's or anything like that I wanted to share the future of SPX 500 with everyone. It's definitely about to explode to a new all time high. Watch and learn. Market 101- Let's go USA!
Short Pullback Bigger RallySPX Daily Chart
SPX has made two island reversals and gapped up.
There are two resistances near 5500 and 5700. Some short pull backs in this region.
Thereafter, a rally up to the earlier high of 6200.
Mechanical Over Mood. AlwaysWell, this week really wanted to test both my trading discipline… and my tech patience.
My laptop decided to kick the bucket mid-session.
But honestly? Not even mad.
Because it reminded me of something traders forget too often:
Simple is better. Mechanical is best.
No charts? No problem.
Noisy bias? Ignore it.
Just follow the system and let the setups do the work.
And right now?
The market gave us a Tag off the lower Bollinger Band…
Then a Turn with some clean bullish pulse bars…
Now we’re tagging the upper band again.
Textbook mechanical structure.
No predictions. No overlays. Just rules.
Yes, compression still lingers – the bands are squeezed tighter than my laptop battery casing.
But until something breaks out (or explodes), I’m trading it simple.
---
SPX Market View
Some days the market whispers.
Some days it screams.
And then… there are days like this – where it quietly tags, turns, and retags like a kid playing solo hide and seek.
Welcome to compression.
Welcome to Tag ‘n Turn 2: Return to the Band.
Yesterday gave us exactly what we needed:
Tag off the lower Bollinger Band
Bullish pulse bars firing in sequence
Now back to the upper BB as of this morning
It’s a full mechanical cycle playing out in slow motion.
The band width? Still squeezed.
So unless we get a confirmed breakout – no compounding, no fireworks, no fast lane.
That’s not a problem.
It’s a feature.
Why?
Because in environments like this, the strategy doesn’t just work – it filters the noise.
No guesswork. No hoping. No “is this the one?”
Just a defined setup, and a playbook that responds only when the price earns it.
I’m staying bullish as long as this range holds.
Pulse bars off the highs or lows? I’m in.
Breakout confirmed? Let’s ride it.
Dip to mid-band? Still valid.
The structure is intact.
The setup is valid.
And even if my laptop’s dying breath is a warning beep, I’ll still be trading off what matters.
Trade the system. Trust the sequence. Let the rest break down.
---
Expert Insights:
Mistake #1: Overcomplicating compressed conditions.
Compression doesn’t mean “do more” – it means “do less, better.”
Fix: Let the pulse bar do the talking. Keep your setup clean.
Mistake #2: Ignoring band re-tags as valid setups.
Returning to the upper or lower band doesn’t invalidate the prior move.
Fix: Use structure. Re-tags can still deliver if pulse bars confirm.
Mistake #3: Letting tech failures bleed into trading decisions.
Just because your screen flickers doesn’t mean your system broke.
Fix: Stay mechanical. Even from a mobile. It’s not the gear – it’s the method.
---
Rumour Has It…
Wall Street insiders are reporting that Apple’s next product will be the MacBook Trader, a laptop designed specifically to fail whenever Bollinger Bands compress.
Features include:
An auto-dimming screen whenever pulse bars form
A built-in “Hope Mode” that deletes your rulebook
And a random error that whispers “maybe just this once…”
Traders are advised to plug directly into their mechanical setups or, failing that, scribble strategies on a coffee-stained napkin like it’s 2002.
Rumour has it that a squirrel from Central Park is currently outperforming several hedge funds using nothing but broken Fibonacci tools and pure optimism.
This is entirely made-up satire. Probably!
Breaking scoops courtesy of the Financial Nuts Newswire-because who needs sanity?
---
Fun Fact – Did You Know?
The term “Frankenstein” originally came from Mary Shelley’s story of a scientist trying to control something he didn’t fully understand…
Which is what most traders do with indicators.
They bolt on RSI here, MACD there, sprinkle in some Fibonacci dust, and hope it walks.
But the real monsters aren’t the tools – they’re discretionary trades pretending to be mechanical.
Moral of the story?
You don’t need a stitched-together algo monster.
You just need a clean pulse bar, a set of rules, and the ability to sit still.
Arshitecture / 30 Min Short Position SP500After the price reaches TP1, hold the current short position and consider adding to it on valid signals to ride the move toward TP2. Apply the same strategy for TP3, scaling in cautiously at key resistance zones.
I’ll share the key confirmations on the chart as they appear.
Goodluck BLUEBERRY:SP500
Another reversal 5600 now likelyWe came down to the top of the previous range and with the RSI as low as it got, the chances for reversal was high. I took profits and reversed long. I am now expecting 5600 and the 50 ma to finally get reached.
The SPX Sell Off at 5500Hi all,
It has been a while since we posted as we waited for a really good trade setup. The SPX is hovering at 5500 and we believe it is the right level to sell.
1) There is a shark pattern at this level
2) RSI is overbought on every time frame except H4 and D1
3) There are smaller patterns to sell
4) There is very strong structural resistance at 5510 to 5520
The first target will be 5306 which has a great risk to reward of 1:5.
We will wait for M15 divergence and a trend line break to enter.
Morning update 4-30The market looks bearish this morning, but pattern wise nothing has changed just yet. If we are truly bearish, 5550 will not be surpassed and the overall pattern will have changed.
SPY/SPX500: Bearish Setup Ahead of Key Macro Events🔍 15-Min Chart Analysis – April 30, 2025
The S&P 500 (SPX500) is currently facing resistance near the 5,560.65 zone, a confluence of a key Fibonacci level (0.382 retracement) and a rising wedge upper boundary. Price has shown signs of rejection after a recovery from the ORB low of 5,505.88, and is struggling to break above 5,557–5,560, which aligns with a prior supply zone.
🔧 Technical Breakdown:
Bearish Rising Wedge Formation: Price is respecting the wedge trendlines, suggesting a potential breakdown.
Fibonacci Confluence Zones:
Resistance: 0.382 at 5,557.18
Support: 1.382 extension aligns with 5,508.75, which is just above the ORB low and a possible target.
Short Bias Trigger: A clean break below the wedge support (~5,545) could accelerate downside.
Target Zones:
🎯 First target: 5,524.39 (ORB low)
🎯 Second target: 5,508–5,505 area (Fibo 1.382 + ORB range support)
🔮 Probability Outlook:
Bearish bias: 65%
Bullish breakout: 25%
Sideways consolidation: 10%
🧠 Macro Context:
With U.S. GDP and FOMC decisions imminent, volatility is expected to spike. A break below wedge support could trigger a retracement toward key support zones. Be cautious of false breakouts as macro catalysts come into play.
📌 Watch the 5,545 level closely. Rejection + volume drop = high-probability short setup.
US500 Will Go Down From Resistance! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for US500.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 5,525.49.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 5,306.14 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Stromm | S&P 500 & NASDAQ a RESISTANCE is NearThe S&P 500 and the Nasdaq are basically moving in lockstep right now — their structures look almost identical.
Starting with the S&P 500:
We’re currently trading into a 4-hour Fair Value Gap between $5,546 and $5,634, Sitting just under a 4-hour Order Block that could trigger a short-term reaction.
At the moment, though, it doesn’t really look like we’re going to flush all the way back down toward the $5,000 level (2-hour Order Block sitting much lower).
More likely?
This 4h Order Block just gives us a brief pullback, a minor reaction — and then price pushes higher again.
This would line up perfectly with my original scenario of Wave A completing around $4,805.
Personally, I’m already positioned around $4,800, so obviously, I'd love to see that level hold and price continue moving higher — ideally heading toward $6,000.
That would be the perfect extension — but nothing is guaranteed yet.
Still, structure right now leans bullish unless we see a sudden breakdown.
Now, for the Nasdaq CME_MINI:NQ1! :
Almost the same setup —
We have a 2-hour Order Block just above the current price, acting as short-term resistance,
And another 2-hour Order Block way lower, which now seems less likely to be tested unless something drastic happens.
So for the Nasdaq, the most realistic short-term scenario:
Hit resistance at the current 2h Order Block,
Maybe a small pullback toward 18,900–19,000,
Then continuation higher toward 20,000 or even 21,000 over the next few weeks.
Bullish rise off pullback support?S&P500 has reacted off the support level which is a pullback support and could potentially rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 5,478.47
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Stop loss: 5,349.10
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level;
Take profit: 5,776.02
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly above the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
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Mixed signals in the MarketBoth the market and VIX are showing bullish and bearish signals. I try to explain what the possibilities are if we - rally higher, or sell down below 5550. Good luck
Bearish drop?S&P500 is reacting off the resistance level which is an overlap resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 5,510.94
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
Stop loss: 5,665.52
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
Take profit: 5,324.97
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
A pullback is expectedA pullback is expected but a rally into the open first looks probable. If the pullback looks strong, it could be a C wave down with another move to 5700+ after.
SPX Peaks at 6,100; Correction Toward 4,600 LikelyThe SP:SPX ’s rally, which kicked off at 3,500 in late 2022, climaxed around 6,100 in February 2025.
Since then, the trend has clearly reversed, and I expect the correction to persist. As long as the index remains below 5,800 (supply), downward momentum should continue.
A pullback toward 4,600 by 2026 appears plausible, with that level likely acting as resistance or support—warranting a fresh assessment upon arrival.
In the near term, the SPX is likely to trade within a 5,100–5,700 range.
