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SPX500: Possible bounce from key support toward 5,980?FOREXCOM:SPX500 has reached a significant support zone, highlighted by previous price reactions and strong buying interest. This area has acted as a key demand zone, increasing the likelihood of a bullish bounce if buyers step in. The current market structure suggests that if the price confirms support within this zone, we could see a bullish reversal. A successful rebound could push the price toward 5,980 . However, if the price breaks below this zone, the bullish outlook may be invalidated, opening the possibility for further downside. Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management. Best of luck!
FX:SPX500Long
by TrendDiva
29
Bollinger Bands: Basics and Breakout Strategy🔵 What are Bollinger Bands? Bollinger Bands are a popular technical analysis tool developed by John Bollinger in the early 1980s. They help traders analyze price volatility and potential price levels for buying or selling. The indicator consists of three lines plotted over a price chart: Middle Band: A simple moving average (SMA), typically set to a 20-period average. Upper Band: The middle band plus two standard deviations. Lower Band: The middle band minus two standard deviations. 🔵 How Are Bollinger Bands Calculated? Middle Band (MB): MB = 20-period SMA of the closing price. Upper Band (UB): UB = MB + (2 × standard deviation of the last 20 periods). Lower Band (LB): LB = MB - (2 × standard deviation of the last 20 periods). The bands expand when volatility increases and contract when volatility decreases. length = 20 basis = ta.sma(src, length) dev = mult * ta.stdev(src, length) upper = basis + dev lower = basis - dev 🔵 How to Use Bollinger Bands in Trading Bollinger Bands provide insights into market volatility and potential price reversals. Traders often use them to: Identify overbought (price near the upper band) and oversold (price near the lower band) conditions. Spot volatility contractions, which often precede significant price moves. Confirm trend strength and potential reversals. 🔵 Bollinger Bands Breakout Strategy One effective strategy involves preparing for breakouts when the upper and lower bands contract, indicating low price momentum. Strategy Steps: Identify Low Volatility Zones: Look for periods when the bands are close together, signaling a potential breakout. Prepare for a Breakout: Monitor price action as it approaches either the upper or lower band. Entry Signal: Enter a trade when the price closes above the upper band (for a long position) or below the lower band (for a short position). Stop Loss Placement: For long entries (break above upper band): Set stop loss at the lower band. For short entries (break below lower band): Set stop loss at the upper band. Profit Target: Use a risk-reward ratio of at least 1:2 or close the position when price shows signs of reversal. Example Charts: 🔵 Final Thoughts This Bollinger Bands breakout strategy is simple yet effective. By recognizing periods of low volatility and preparing for breakouts, traders can capitalize on significant price movements. Always complement this strategy with proper risk management and confirmation indicators for optimal results. This article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading involves risk, and traders are solely responsible for their own decisions and actions.
VANTAGE:SP500Education
by BigBeluga
16
S&P500 -Weekly forecast, Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasMidterm forecast: 5677.80 is a major support, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend. Technical analysis: There is a divergence in RSI and price between the peak at 6107.47 on 2024-12-06 and the peak at 6150.07 on 2025-02-19, the probability of uptrend continuation is decreased and the probability of beginning of downtrend is increased. While the RSI downtrend #1 is not broken, bearish wave in price would continue. A peak is formed in daily chart at 6150.05 on 02/19/2025, so more losses to support(s) 6031.27, 5875.31, 5777.28 and minimum to Major Support (5677.80) is expected. Relative strength index (RSI) is 49. Supports and Resistances: 5568.78 5398.95 5194.10 5039.36 4944.41 4843.23 4662.99 4544.26 __________________________________________________________________ ❤️ If you find this helpful and want more FREE forecasts in TradingView, . . . . . . . . Hit the 'BOOST' button 👍 . . . . . . . . . . . Drop some feedback in the comments below! (e.g., What did you find most useful? How can we improve?) 🙏 Your support is appreciated! Now, it's your turn! Be sure to leave a comment; let us know how you see this opportunity and forecast. Have a successful week, ForecastCity Support Team
VANTAGE:SP500Short
by ForecastCity
17
Hellena | SPX500 (4H): LONG to resistance area of 6140.Dear Colleagues, price has gone lower than I thought it would and now we need to redraw the waves. Apparently, the price has updated the minimum of wave “2”. Therefore, I believe that the price will soon continue the upward movement in wave “3” anyway. The “ABC” correction seems to be completed and the 5915 area served as support for the second time. I expect the price to touch this area once again and then continue to the resistance area of 6140. Or it will immediately start moving towards this area. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by Hellena_Trade
11
Hellena | SPX500 (4H): LONG to 100% Fibo lvl 6214.4.Colleagues, I believe that the upward movement is not over yet and the lower and middle order wave “3” is not yet complete. This is a good chance to go long, but it should be remembered that even though a correction to the uptrend line is possible, I do not recommend selling. The target area is the 6214.4 level area - this is slightly higher than the 100% Fibonacci extension level. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by Hellena_Trade
10
S&P500 Channel Up bottomed. Huge reversal expected.The S&P500 index (SPX) had been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the August 2024 Low and yesterday broke below its 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time in 20 days. Since January 17, every such break below the 4H MA200 has been a technical buy opportunity. This time it is even stronger as the index appears to be replicating the Channel's first price structure and more specifically Leg (d). What followed after Leg (d) bottomed, was a symmetrical with (b)-(c) +7.05% rise to form a top at (e). The confirmation for this rise came when the 4H MACD formed a Bullish Cross. As a result, we are waiting for this confirmation to continue with additional buying on S&P and target 6330, which would be a +6.22% rise, symmetrical with (b)-(c). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TRADENATION:US500Long
by TradingShot
S&P 500 Will Correct to Pivot 6010 and THEN!S&P 500 (SPX500) Analysis – February 26, 2025 The S&P 500 remains in a bearish structure, trading below the pivot zone (6010-6031), which previously acted as support but has now turned into a resistance level. The price is currently attempting a correction toward 6010, but unless it stabilizes above this level, the bearish trend is expected to resume. Technical Outlook: 🔻 Bearish Scenario: As long as SPX500 remains below 6010, downward momentum is likely to persist, targeting 5966 as the next support level. A 4H or 1H candle close below 5966 will further confirm a decline toward 5920 as the next bearish target. 🔹 Bullish Reversal: A sustained move above 6010 could indicate a shift in momentum, with potential upside targets at 6069 and 6102. 🔄 Correction Phase: The price is currently attempting to retest the pivot line (6010) from 5979 before confirming the next trend direction. ⚠️ Market Impact: The market remains highly volatile due to concerns over U.S. tariff policies, impacting investor sentiment. Growing geopolitical tensions and trade restrictions are adding pressure on equities, reinforcing the bearish outlook. Key Levels to Watch: 🔸 Resistance: 6010 | 6031 | 6069 🔹 Pivot Zone: 5979 🔻 Support: 5966 | 5920 | 5879 📉 Directional Bias: Bearish below 6010 – A confirmed breakdown below 5971 would strengthen downside momentum.
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by SroshMayi
2
Selling could be exhausted. Excellent few trading weeks,. During this time we've done over 30% profit on low risk (for context, our max drawdown to get that is less than the SPX drop of the high, and we've done 3 times the annual SPX average in a little over a week) with the best trade coming yesterday paying close to 3,000 on OTM daily puts. But I feel the tides may be turing. We maybe see a capitulation wave 5 in the end of yesterday. I do longer have a bear bias for the immediate future. Exited all indices/crypto and stocks shorts.
SP:SPXLong
by holeyprofit
2
S&P500 Bearish Strengthens Amid US-China Tech War EscalationMarket Overview: US-China Tech War Intensifies Amid Global Market Decline European and Global Market Outlook – February 25, 2025 A wave of risk sentiment is sweeping across Asian markets as tensions between the United States and China escalate. The U.S. has intensified its technology war with China, targeting sectors including artificial intelligence, quantum computing, and aerospace. This geopolitical pressure is contributing to a broad risk-off sentiment across global financial markets. S&P 500 Technical Analysis The S&P 500 has confirmed its bearish momentum, despite cutting 2.3% since Last Friday as we mentioned , with the price stabilizing below the 6,010 level, reinforcing the likelihood of testing 5,979. A confirmed 4H or 1H candle close below 5,979 would validate a further bearish extension toward 5,920. Bullish Reversal Scenario: For the S&P 500 to shift towards a bullish structure, it must reclaim and break above the pivot zone (6,010 - 6,031). A successful breakout above this range could lead the index toward 6,068 and 6,102. Key Levels to Watch: Resistance: 6031 | 6068 | 6102 Pivot Zone: 6010 Support: 5979 | 5952 | 5920 Directional Bias: Bearish – The trend remains downward as long as the price continues to trade below 6,010. Breaking below 5,979 will open the door for further declines toward 5,920. ⚠️ Market Outlook: Geopolitical tensions between the U.S. and China could further fuel volatility in equity markets, with investors remaining cautious in response to ongoing economic and technological disputes.
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by SroshMayi
1
Up for SPX500USDHi traders, Wow! Last week the price action of SPX500USD went exactly to the target as predicted in my outlook. On Monday it dropped and after a correction up it took the liquidity under the previous lows and filled the 4H FVG. I've updated the wave count. Now next week we could see a corrective upmove to the higher 4H FVG. Let's see what the market does and react. Trade idea: Wait for a small correction down to finish and after that a change in orderflow to bullish to trade longs. If you want to see more from my analysis, please make sure to follow me, give a boost and respectful comment. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis. If you don't agree, that's fine but I don't need to know it. I do not provide signals. Don't be emotional, just trade! Eduwave
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by EduwaveTrading
3
SPX's Multi Month Stall at Resistance. A decision in SPX has to be due soon. For 4 months now it's barcoded at the same 1.61 general inflection zone. From here I find we typically reject or we trade to the 2.20. Both of these would be a 8 -10% move - it's just a question of to which side. SPX has started to shape up a lot like a break. If the bear thesis is correct it needs to be evidenced by a big red monthly bar. I'd estimate it has to be something in the range of about 8% and sometime March/April. Should be fairly obvious. And we're getting to the levels where the break is close to being "Confirmed" (not that I rank the idea of confirmation too high, many of the worst trades ever were "confirmed"). 9/10 sketchy. Looking really sketchy out there.
SP:SPXShort
by holeyprofit
1
S&P500: Bottom is close to the 1D MA100. Be ready to buy this.S&P500 just turned bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 43.037, MACD = 10.020, ADX = 22.686) as it reversed the early gains and is currently on Friday's low levels, getting closer to the 1D MA100. That is the strongest support level in the last 40 days and according to the 1H RSI, the index may be close to a bottom. The 1H Death Cross typically prices the low on this pattern and we expect a reversal starting tomorrow. Go long and target the LH trendline (TP = 6,120). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by InvestingScope
Bounce Doesn't Look Convincing SPX made a bit of a bounce off the support levels but it's not shown the strong properties I'd have expected to see in the bat D leg or the C leg I spoke of. All trailing stops on longs hit. If we can continue to break out to the upside I'll probably have to buy breaks with tight stops but I think the more likely looking setup here is we make a new low. If a new low comes from the setup we have a butterfly forms just under the last lows. This is a big inflection point. Either a low is made or we trend down strong under it. This would also agree with the big 1.61 inflection area. Starting to think I was wrong about the bigger bull trap idea and we might see a break. Back in shorts.
SP:SPXShort
by holeyprofit
1
S&P 500 - What after 6010 – Key GDP Data in FocusS&P 500 (SPX500) Analysis – February 27, 2025 The S&P 500 has declined to 5937, as expected , after rejecting the 6010 pivot zone. Market sentiment remains mixed following Nvidia’s earnings, which were neither overly bullish nor bearish, while investors now shift focus to today’s GDP release: If GDP comes in below 2.3%, a bullish reaction is likely. A stronger-than-expected GDP could reinforce downside pressure on indices. Technical Outlook 📉 Bearish Scenario: As long as the price remains below 6010, the downtrend remains active, with the next key support at 5979 and 5937. A 1H or 4H candle close below 5937 would accelerate the decline toward 5920. 📈 Bullish Scenario: A break and 1H or 4H close above 6010 would indicate a bullish shift, targeting 6031. Stability above 6031 would strengthen momentum toward 6055 and 6086. ⚠️ Market Impact: GDP data will drive today’s market movement—watch for increased volatility. Key Levels to Watch 🔸 Resistance: 6031 | 6068 | 6102 🔹 Pivot: 6010 🔻 Support: 5979 | 5952 | 5920 📉 Directional Bias: Bearish below 6010, but a confirmed break above 6010 could trigger a bullish shift.
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by SroshMayi
Major pullback from AprilAs of now, the S&P 500 stands at a notable 6,013.12. Recent technical analysis suggests potential exhaustion in the market. Key indicators to watch include the moving averages—if the shorter-term average crosses below the longer-term average, we may see a "death cross," signaling a bearish trend. Reflecting on past experiences, on February 3, 2020, the S&P 500 peaked at 3,376 before dropping to 2,439 by early April 2020—a significant decline of about 27.8%. The market then almost doubled, reaching 4,796 on December 1, 2021. However, it dropped again to 3,517 by October 2022, a decline of approximately 26.7%. Since then, the market has nearly doubled again, bringing us to today's high levels. My thesis is that we will see a pullback soon, perhaps from April of ~20%!!
SP:SPXShort
by jamissonbond
1
SPX Finally Moves, Will 6000 Hold?SPX Finally Moves – But Will 6000 Hold? | SPX Market Analysis 24 Feb 2025 Last week’s market action was like watching a cat decide whether to jump off a shelf—hesitation, commitment, regret, and then chaos. SPX pushed through the bull trigger on Wednesday, only to whip back through the hedge & bear trigger, finally showing some real movement on Friday. But before we get too excited, SPX is still stuck inside a larger range, with 6000 as the next key battleground. Will we see a range breakout or another rejection? Let’s dive in. --- Deeper Dive Analysis: SPX Moves – But Is It Just Another Range Play? Last week gave us plenty of action, but SPX hasn’t truly escaped its larger range yet. 📌 What happened last week? SPX broke the bull trigger on Wednesday 🚀 Immediately flipped back through the hedge & bear trigger 🤦‍♂️ Friday’s move finally opened things up 🔓 Now, we’re eying 6000 as the next decision point. 📌 Two potential setups: ✅ Range Reversal – Price rejects 6000 and moves back inside the range ✅ Breakout Trade – SPX clears 6000, confirming a new leg up Either way, I’ll be watching closely for the next trade setup. VIX Says ‘No Crash… Yet’ 📉 The volatility index (VIX) remains below 20, meaning: No imminent crash signals 🛑 Fear is elevated but not panicking Still room for surprises, but not full-blown chaos (yet!) If VIX jumps past 20 and keeps climbing, then we’ll talk about more extreme downside risk. Overnight Futures – A Small Bounce, But No Turn Yet 🌅 Futures are slightly green, but they don’t confirm: A major bullish turn ❌ A full-blown breakdown ❌ Right now, it’s more noise than signal. What’s Next? 📌 I remain bearish on my income swing trades 📉 📌 Waiting for confirmation—either: Bullish reversal (v-shaped price action shift) 🔄 Bearish breakdown (clean range break below 6000) 🚨 For now, it’s another waiting game—but one that could pay off big when the next major move arrives. --- Fun Fact 📢 Did you know? In 2010, the Flash Crash wiped out nearly $1 trillion in market value in just 36 minutes, only to recover almost entirely by the end of the day. The culprit? A single trader’s algorithm running wild. 💡 The Lesson? Sometimes, market chaos isn’t about fundamentals—it’s just a rogue algorithm losing its mind.
SP:SPXShort
by MrPhilNewton
2
S&P 500 - Short - Term Elliott Wave Count - 02/28/25An Elliott – Impulse wave down from the S&P 500 (SPX) all-time high appears to be complete. If so, this could be the first wave of a larger developing bear trend. Evidence from the 15 – minute MACD and RSI support this theory. Both had bullish divergences at the 02/28/25 intraday bottom. This is a typical action after a fifth wave termination. There’s a good chance for SPX to rally in the next one or two trading days.
SP:SPXShort
by markrivest
2