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SPX trade ideas

SPX ready for the correctionhi traders, This is probably not what most traders want to see but we must be realistic. The monthly close is upon us and it's not gonna be a bullish close. A lot of selling pressure and it may be just the beginning. A 13 % correction on SPX is more than likely in my opinion. If the price loses the upsloping support, we will see the mark-down pretty soon. Stoch RSI suggests that the bears are taking control. My target for SPX is between 5200 and 5000. Get ready to buy cheap stocks and cheap crypto!
SP:SPXShort
by vf_investment
4
SPX Peaks at 6,100; Correction Toward 4,600 LikelyThe SP:SPX ’s rally, which kicked off at 3,500 in late 2022, climaxed around 6,100 in February 2025. Since then, the trend has clearly reversed, and I expect the correction to persist. As long as the index remains below 5,800 (supply), downward momentum should continue. A pullback toward 4,600 by 2026 appears plausible, with that level likely acting as resistance or support—warranting a fresh assessment upon arrival. In the near term, the SPX is likely to trade within a 5,100–5,700 range.
SP:SPXShort
by The_Quantastic
Hellena | SPX500 (4H): LONG to resistance area of 5682.Colleagues, I think that the deep downward movement is over and at the moment I expect an upward movement in a five-wave impulse. At the moment I expect a correction in wave “2” to the area of 5100, after which I expect the development of wave “3” at least to the resistance area of 5682. There are two possible ways to enter the position: 1) Market entry 2) Pending Limit Orders. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by Hellena_Trade
10
US500 - Long-Term Long!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈US500 has been overall bullish trading within the rising channel marked in blue. Moreover, it is retesting its previous all-time high at $4,800 and round number $5,000. 🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of previous ATH and lower blue trendline acting as a non-horizontal support. 📚 As per my trading style: As #US500 approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:US500Long
by TheSignalyst
4
Please criticise on this strategy using SPXI have not backtested this strategy and to use the "REPLAY" button would costs me some money so you can say, it is biased since the candles were already formed ahead. Strategy - Time frame - 1H Risk/Reward - Keep to 1:2 strictly Example : Trade Setup 1 11 Apr 25 candles closed above 10 Apr 25 - LONG SL at closing of 10 Apr Profit target - 1 : 2 You can see that you are stopped out AFTER you set up Trade set up 2 (21 Apr red candle), ie 10 days later , you are in a LOSS position. Trade setup 2 - Long on 17 Apr got stopped out on 21 Apr when it gapped down. See the power of having a SL else your losses will magnified overnight!!!! So in this chart, there were 5 trades, 3 in profits and 2 in losses. Overall, you gained because your rewards are 2x so in this case you won 3 multiply by 2x = 6x but your losses are 1x or 3 multiply by 1x= 3x so nett off you gained 3x I would avoid using leverage to trade and keep to the strict rules of 1- 2 trades per week and strictly 1:2 risk/reward ratio. Of course , if you manually watch the chart live (meaning you need to stay awake to glue on the computer) you might gained more than 1:2 risk/reward but that is not the essence of this strategy. Keeping the frequency low tame your emotions (greed) of increasing your position size and risk/reward. What you want is CONSISTENCY not huge spike up and down. Don't think you can make 5x in a day and go on holidays for the next few days. You gotta put in the work (sufficient charting skills allow you to be more nimble and confident but not to inflate your ego by excessive trading). I suggest paper trade for a good 1-2 months and see the results yourself BEFORE you say it work or doesn't. Paper trade is good especially for beginners but once you surpassed this stage, I think using your own money to trade is the real game. Staring at 10% loss is very real and some can take it well while others can't handle it and will manually adjust the SL or PT to modify the strategy. Keep it simple until you gained consistent profits. As usual, please DYODD
SP:SPXLong
by dchua1969
The SPX Sell Off at 5500Hi all, It has been a while since we posted as we waited for a really good trade setup. The SPX is hovering at 5500 and we believe it is the right level to sell. 1) There is a shark pattern at this level 2) RSI is overbought on every time frame except H4 and D1 3) There are smaller patterns to sell 4) There is very strong structural resistance at 5510 to 5520 The first target will be 5306 which has a great risk to reward of 1:5. We will wait for M15 divergence and a trend line break to enter.
SPREADEX:SPXShort
by JavonDias_Trading
SPY/SPX500: Bearish Setup Ahead of Key Macro Events🔍 15-Min Chart Analysis – April 30, 2025 The S&P 500 (SPX500) is currently facing resistance near the 5,560.65 zone, a confluence of a key Fibonacci level (0.382 retracement) and a rising wedge upper boundary. Price has shown signs of rejection after a recovery from the ORB low of 5,505.88, and is struggling to break above 5,557–5,560, which aligns with a prior supply zone. 🔧 Technical Breakdown: Bearish Rising Wedge Formation: Price is respecting the wedge trendlines, suggesting a potential breakdown. Fibonacci Confluence Zones: Resistance: 0.382 at 5,557.18 Support: 1.382 extension aligns with 5,508.75, which is just above the ORB low and a possible target. Short Bias Trigger: A clean break below the wedge support (~5,545) could accelerate downside. Target Zones: 🎯 First target: 5,524.39 (ORB low) 🎯 Second target: 5,508–5,505 area (Fibo 1.382 + ORB range support) 🔮 Probability Outlook: Bearish bias: 65% Bullish breakout: 25% Sideways consolidation: 10% 🧠 Macro Context: With U.S. GDP and FOMC decisions imminent, volatility is expected to spike. A break below wedge support could trigger a retracement toward key support zones. Be cautious of false breakouts as macro catalysts come into play. 📌 Watch the 5,545 level closely. Rejection + volume drop = high-probability short setup.
FX:SPX500Short
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
S&P500 INTRADAY resistance at 5510A wave of earnings reports is due today, with Microsoft and Meta in focus. The tech sector remains under pressure, highlighted by a 15% drop in Super Micro Computer after disappointing results. In Europe, banks are seeing strong revenue growth, benefiting from recent market volatility linked to Trump’s trade policies. However, Mercedes and Stellantis have joined the list of companies withdrawing guidance due to uncertainty. Donald Trump has again criticized Fed Chair Jerome Powell and defended his tariff strategy during an event marking his 100th day in office. Investors are now awaiting key US data, including inflation and GDP figures. Meanwhile, China’s factory activity has contracted to its lowest level since December 2023, signaling the early impact of US tariffs and increasing pressure for government stimulus. US consumer companies are also sounding cautious, pointing to a weaker economic outlook ahead. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 5670 Resistance Level 2: 5740 Resistance Level 3: 5820 Support Level 1: 5380 Support Level 2: 5310 Support Level 3: 5236 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:US500
by TradeNation
Will April Close with a Bang?You ever get that feeling the market’s just waiting for a reason to move? That’s where we are. It’s been a quiet start to the week – barely a pulse. And Tuesday? One signal. Just one. But it was a bullish pulse bar, and it paid. Price is still coiling, compressing tighter, and Bollinger Bands are pinching harder than a crab on Red Bull. We’re seeing the classic signs of range contraction – which usually means a range expansion is coming. So what’s the move? Stay bullish. Stay patient. And be ready to pounce the moment price breaks free. Today’s calendar gives us a few nudges – ADP, GDP, ECI, PCE – nothing major, but enough to cause a wobble or spark. The bias is bullish. The system’s ready. And if we break out of this pinch, I’m looking at 6106 on the swing. Even a dip to 5400 wouldn’t change the structure – just another spot to reload the bulls. Let’s finish April strong. Let’s grab another one by the horns. --- SPX Market View Let’s call it like it is – the market’s been locked in a deep freeze. Monday and Tuesday barely moved. Why? No real news. Month-end positioning. And a crowd of big players too busy doing their internal accounting gymnastics to push buttons. But while it looked like nothing happened, Tuesday’s single bullish pulse bar delivered the goods. One bar. One setup. One result: Profit. Now as we roll into Wednesday, things get spicy – not because the economic data is explosive… but because compression like this doesn’t last. The Bollinger Band width is pinched tighter than a tax refund cheque. And we know what that means: Tight range = pressure building. Breakout = opportunity waiting. So today’s plan? Stay bullish until proven otherwise. Use the pulse bar system to play range edges or trigger entries. Look for breakout confirmation to ride it toward 6106. Remain calm if we dip toward 5400 – structure still holds. Economic data today (ADP Jobs, GDP, Employment Costs, and Core PCE) might trigger volatility, but it’s not about reacting to the numbers… It’s about watching how price responds. We’re not forecasting. We’re not feeling. We’re waiting for the setup – then pulling the trigger. Price is whispering right now. Soon, it’ll yell. Be ready. --- Expert Insights: Mistake #1: Assuming news equals movement. Just because data drops doesn’t mean price pops. Fix: Always wait for price confirmation. Pulse bars > economic guesses. Mistake #2: Ditching the bias at the first wobble. A dip isn’t a collapse. Fix: Know your structure. Dips to 5400 are still within a bullish regime. Mistake #3: Forgetting the role of compression. Tight ranges often precede big shifts. Fix: Don’t ignore the squeeze. Bollinger Band pinch = breakout fuel. --- Rumour Has It… In a desperate bid to solve market stagnation, Wall Street has reportedly hired a motivational speaker named Terry the Turnaround Candle. His credentials? He once convinced a doji to become a dragonfly. Sources say he opens every session with, “Are you going to let that Bollinger Band define you?!” Meanwhile, the Fed is beta-testing new AI price models based on squirrel hoarding patterns in Central Park. Traders remain cautiously optimistic. Squirrels remain heavily long acorns. This section is entirely made-up satire. Probably. --- Fun Fact Did You Know? The term “month-end rebalancing” sounds official… but it’s really just fund managers shuffling things around so their spreadsheets look prettier. They often trim winners, pad laggards, and balance sector weights. But in low-volume markets like this week, even tiny shifts can cause weird little waves that trigger setups. So when price “randomly” spikes or dips late in the session on month’s end? It’s often not news – it’s bookkeeping chaos in disguise. Which is why we trust setups, not headlines.
SP:SPXLong
by MrPhilNewton
SPX500 rebound will finish in the range of 5650 to 5750.Trump’s tweet on April 9 regarding the moderation of tariff measures triggered a strong market rebound. Retail investors are buying the dip, contributing to this recovery, while institutional investors are actually net sellers. In April, capital flowed out of U.S. equities and mid- to long-term U.S. Treasury bonds. We anticipate that both the Nasdaq and S&P 500 will rebound to the Fibonacci 0.618 level or slightly above, recovering about 62% of the entire decline since December 2024. We believe this rebound will be temporary, followed by another decline. Currently, both indices are approaching the Fibonacci 0.618 level. While many people focus on tariffs and the trade war, the Trump administration is also facing an imminent national debt crisis. The total national debt stands at $36 trillion, with interest payments this year expected to be around $1 trillion—about one-fifth of the federal government's tax revenue. Additionally, $8 trillion will reach maturity this year, and $6 trillion will need to be rolled over in June. This is a significant amount, yet demand for mid- to long-term U.S. Treasury bonds remains weak. The Federal Funds Rate (short-term rate) is currently between 4.25% and 4.5%, while the yield on 10-year U.S. Treasuries is around 4.3%, both of which are high. Trump wants to see these rates much lower, but Powell must first assess the inflationary impact of the tariff measures before considering any rate cuts. If inflation resurges beyond expectations, the Fed may be reluctant to cut rates. Consequently, the U.S. stock market could experience a sharp and rapid decline amid these uncertainties. A recession is likely arriving.
FX:SPX500Short
by AlbertCheng
5
Buy Fear, Not Euphoria: The Trader's EdgeWhen you look back at the greatest trading opportunities in history, they all seem to share a common element: fear. Yet, when you're in the moment, it feels almost impossible to pull the trigger. Why? Because fear paralyzes, while euphoria seduces. If you want to truly evolve as a trader, you need to master this fundamental shift: buy fear, not euphoria. Let's break it down together. ________________________________________ What Fear and Euphoria Really Mean in Markets In simple terms, fear shows up when prices are falling sharply, when bad news dominates the headlines, and when people around you are saying "it's all over." Euphoria, on the other hand, is everywhere when prices are skyrocketing, when everyone on social media is celebrating, and when it feels like "this can only go higher." In those moments: • Fear tells you to run away. • Euphoria tells you to throw caution to the wind. Both emotions are signals. But they are inverted signals. When fear is extreme, value appears. When euphoria is extreme, danger hides. ________________________________________ Why Buying Fear Works Markets are pricing machines. They constantly adjust prices based on emotions, news, and expectations. When fear hits, selling pressure often goes beyond what is rational. People dump assets for emotional reasons, not fundamental ones. Here’s why buying fear works: • Overreaction: Bad news usually causes exaggerated moves. • Liquidity Vacuums: Everyone sells, no one buys, creating sharp discounts. • Reversion to Mean: Extreme moves tend to revert once emotions stabilize. Buying into fear is not about being reckless. It’s about recognizing that the best deals are available when others are too scared to see them. ________________________________________ Why Chasing Euphoria Fails At the peak of euphoria, risks are often invisible to the crowd. Valuations are stretched. Expectations are unrealistic. Everyone "knows" it's going higher — which ironically means there's no one left to buy. Chasing euphoria often leads to: • Buying high, selling low. • Getting trapped at tops. • Emotional regret and revenge trading. You’re not just buying an asset — you're buying into a mass illusion. ________________________________________ How to Train Yourself to Buy Fear It's not enough to "know" this. In the heat of the moment, you will still feel the fear. Here's how you build the right habit: 1. Pre-plan your entries: Before panic strikes, have a plan. Know where you want to buy. 2. Focus on strong assets: Not everything that falls is worth buying. Choose assets with strong fundamentals or clear technical setups. 3. Scale in: Don’t try to catch the bottom perfectly. Build positions gradually as fear peaks. 4. Use alerts, not emotions: Set price alerts. When they trigger, act mechanically. 5. Remember past patterns: Study previous fear-driven crashes. See how they recovered over time. Trading is a game of memory. The more you internalize past patterns, the easier it is to act when everyone else panics. ________________________________________ A Recent Example: April 2025 Tariff Panic Very recently, at the start of April, Trump’s new tariff announcements sent shockwaves through the market. Panic took over. Headlines screamed. Social media was flooded with fear. But if you looked beyond the noise, charts like SP500 and US30 told a different story: the drops took price right into strong support zones. At the time, I even posted this : support zones were being tested under emotional pressure. If you had price alerts set and reacted mechanically, not emotionally , you could have bought into that fear — and potentially benefited from the rebound that followed just days later. This is the essence of buying fear. ________________________________________ Final Thoughts In trading, you are paid for doing the hard things. Buying when it feels terrible. Selling when it feels amazing. Remember: Fear offers you discounts. Euphoria offers you traps. The next time the market feels like it's crashing, ask yourself: • Is this fear real, or exaggerated? • Is this an opportunity hiding under an emotional fog? If you can answer that with clarity, you're already ahead of 90% of traders. Stay rational. Stay prepared. And above all: buy fear, not euphoria. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:US500Education
by Mihai_Iacob
US500 TRADE IDEAhi again The US500 has shown strength by breaking the resistance at 5483.5 and is now at 5535. If the price reaches 5604.6 and a pullback occurs, targeting a temporary decline at the 50% Fibonacci retracement level is a good strategy. Fibonacci retracement is often used to identify potential support and resistance levels where the price might pause or reverse. The 50% level is one of the commonly watched levels by traders as it often indicates a significant turning point in price movement. good luck all **My trading strategy is not intended to be a signal. It's a process of learning about market structure and sharpening my trading my skills also for my trade journal** Thanks a lot for your support
CAPITALCOM:US500Short
by mytw0cents
SPX: Good push at EOD 4/30, but…Possible H&S? Hear me outGood push at end of day on 4/30 at close. Zooming out, it’s starting look like it’s forming a H&S. I’m starting to see a lot of people flipping bearish as well. But, also near close today, volume was not promising, declining at the close. I swung short-term puts on SPY, I like SPX puts for a day trade due to this formation but this H&S can possibly out within the end of week with more data and uncertainty or the following week. I’m short at the touch of the light red line: 5655.79 to the downside. Gaps below 5354.76, 5206.44 Would say by EOW to next week, if we pull back, may form/complete the right shoulder. Do your DD! Let me know your thoughts! #NFA
SP:SPXShort
by sweatytrigger