SPX trade ideas
Why to short SPX HEAVYAs you have seen my previous analysis. As per my analysis this is a double top pattern on SPX . I believe that we will see spx 5860 soon to fill those gaps. Earning season will be the catalyst
testthis is only a test. we are testing our lack of technical skills on the transfer of power from tv to yt
Correction down for SPX500USDHi traders,
Last week SPX500USD came into the 4H FVG's and rejected from there to the upside making a new ATH.
Next week we could see a corrective move down and after that more upside.
Let's see what the market does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for a bigger correction down to finish. After that you could trade longs.
If you want to see more from my analysis, please make sure to follow me, give a boost and respectful comment.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis.
If you don't agree, that's fine but I don't need to know it. I do not provide signals.
Don't be emotional, just trade!
Eduwave
time to rotate back to valuepff
too many gaps anyways
and
we have a 4 hourly rsi bear div
and
declining volume
and a swing fail pattern on our latest ATH
along with an RTH (regular trading hours) CVD ( cumulative volume delta) bearish divergence
and all of you are way too bullish anyways
its bear time
Prediction for Recession once SPX hits 6666Prediction for Recession once SPX hits 6666 and a large world event to around the 4500 below area sharply in May 2025
Similar to the drop February 2006, we hit 666
Lets see if my prediction plays out
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Jan 24, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
During this week's trading session, the S&P 500 successfully achieved our predefined target of Outer Index Rally, 6123, corresponding to the Key Resistance established at 6090. The market is currently exhibiting a phase of consolidation, as the bullish trend appears to be transiently suspended following the conclusion of the outer index rally. It is, however, essential to acknowledge that the absence of a significant corrective pullback may facilitate the re-initiation of a bullish trajectory toward additional rally targets. Such a development would position the market advantageously for the forthcoming phase of the bullish trend.
The gap was closed Some colleagues say that based on the 4H chart, we will have a correction to the 5970 area. Based on the support from the accumulated volume, which is more important, this is the 6070 area. But I ask what is the basis/fundamental of this correction and why now?
I do not see any reason for this. Moreover, at the close of the session yesterday there were strong purchases, probably an entry, as well as even at the close of the market. 1H support was not broken, and at the end we even returned above 5 and 15 min ones. The gap was closed and I do not see signals for such a correction. Please share your opinion?
SP500 key zones SP500 liquidated all-time high and is now expected to return into the range. On the 4H timeframe I've identified a potential bullish zone for a possible pullback while the 30-minute chart highlights a bearish zones where sellers might step in. These levels will guide the next move depending on how price reacts.
US500 will continue go upIt just begin the up trend in W1 chart, and continue go up for a couple of weeks
The Golden Age 7000 EOY SPXThe Golden Age (year) is here!
Have cash ready for May in April. Be heavy hedges going in to 26.
We're going to juice earnings with all the investments pouring in for just about every single industry. Once the injection is complete, we will reset while all the invested money completes projects.
GL!
Better Buy Bitcoin
Global Liquidity Index Overlaid on S&P 500 Tracking the Global Liquidity Index with the S&P 500 helps understand liquidity's impact on market performance and predict future moves. The GLI offers a unified view of central bank balance sheets, converted to USD, excluding currency-pegged banks, with reliable data since 2007.
Rising liquidity often leads to market growth, while declining liquidity could signal pullbacks or increased volatility.
Liquidity Spikes: Sudden rises in the GLI may boost the S&P 500.
Liquidity Dips: Falling liquidity may signal market decline due to higher volatility and trading difficulties.
Divergence between the GLI & S&P 500:
If stocks rise while liquidity falls, a correction might be coming. If liquidity rises while stocks fall, the market might catch up to the liquidity increase.
The GLI indicates that risk appetite is starting to decline. High liquidity encourages risk-taking; low liquidity leads to safer investments, increasing volatility and potential market declines.
Thanks for Liking and Sharing! 🥕🐇
S&P 500: Bullish Breakout or False Move?Chart Analysis:
The S&P 500 is at a critical juncture, trading just below a significant horizontal resistance level near 6,114.
1️⃣ Key Resistance Level:
The horizontal level at 6,114 represents a pivotal resistance, as prior attempts to breach this zone were met with selling pressure.
A successful breakout above this level could signal further upside potential and a continuation of the bullish trend.
2️⃣ Moving Averages:
50-day SMA (blue): Rising around 5,980, providing dynamic support and reflecting sustained upward momentum.
200-day SMA (red): Trending upward near 5,628, confirming the long-term bullish trend.
3️⃣ Momentum Indicators:
RSI: Hovering near 65, indicating strong bullish momentum but approaching overbought conditions.
MACD: Bullish momentum remains intact, with the MACD line rising and staying above the zero line.
What to Watch:
Traders should monitor for a confirmed breakout above 6,114 on increased volume to validate further upside potential.
Failure to break above this resistance could lead to a retracement toward the 50-day SMA or previous support levels.
Keep an eye on RSI for any bearish divergence or signs of momentum weakening.
The S&P 500 is at a make-or-break level, and its reaction at 6,114 will determine the next directional move.
-MW
$SPX Analysis, Key Levels & TargetsThe expected move for today is between 6185 and 6150 and that is a .50% move today and the only level we have in our trading range today is that 35 EMA you could see it’s been a pretty support all week and then we have that up gap from This Wednesday, which could give some added support at the bottom of the trading range. Monday’s contract at the bottom takes us in the middle of that gap and with how extremely overbought we are that 50 day moving average could be a really great target for next week.
S&P 500 hits all-time highsUS stock index futures were a touch lower this morning, pulling back following gains for all four majors on Thursday. Yesterday the S&P 500 finally broke above 6,100 to hit a fresh all-time high, while also posting a record close. The Dow and NASDAQ 100 were both around 1% below their respective all-time highs, while the mid-cap, domestically-focused Russell 2000 is now 6% adrift. Bear in mind how the Russell outperformed the other indices in the aftermath of Trump’s decisive electoral victory in November. Could this suggest that there are problems in the broader US stock market, away from the giant multinationals? The yield on the 10-year Treasury note is unchanged from yesterday at around 4.63%. The pullback in yields since last week’s benign inflation data is giving equities some support. The US dollar has fallen from the 26-month highs hit just under a fortnight ago. The Dollar Index has lost around 2.5% since then which is a significant move. Prior to Trump’s inauguration, the dollar had rallied, partly on the expectation that he would impose immediate swingeing tariffs from ‘Day 1’ as he threatened while on the campaign trail. The dollar retreated as tariffs weren’t forthcoming, and it fell further overnight following Trump’s call for an immediate cut in interest rates. His call comes just ahead of next week’s Federal Reserve monetary policy meeting. Although the probability of another cut from the Fed is realistically zero. The fourth quarter earnings season has had a positive start, and this is helping to support equities. Today brings results from a range of corporates across different sectors including American Express, Verizon Communications, NextEra Energy, HCA Healthcare and some regional banks. There are also updates on US Manufacturing and Services PMIs.
Situational Awareness – Morning of January 18th, 2025Market Overview:
Asia:
China has been strong this morning, continuing its base breakout.
Japan: Up for six consecutive days, showing steady upward momentum.
South Korea (Kospi): Range-bound since January 8th.
Europe:
EU50: Up approximately 8-9% YTD.
Germany: Up nearly 8% YTD, with eight consecutive positive days.
France: Continues to show strength this year.
Bitcoin and Ethereum:
Bitcoin: Trading in a tight range for the last 5-6 days, consolidating.
Ethereum: Also consolidating, showing potential for a breakout.
Key Indicators and Sectors:
VIX: At 15.07, remaining low.
Gold: Showing strong momentum over the last 30+ days.
Copper: Taking a breather, currently at $4.30.
RSP (Equal-Weighted S&P 500): Stable for three days, continuing its strength since January 13th.
QQE (Equal-Weighted Nasdaq): Fairly stable for the past two days, holding gains from January 13th.
Russell 2000: Seven consecutive days of gains, showing resilience.
FANG Stocks: Breaking out of a rectangular box pattern, indicating potential for special moves.
XLE (Energy ETF): Strong since December 20th, now facing three down days.
XLV (Healthcare ETF): Trending upward since January 17th; could be a sector to watch in the coming days.
XLU (Utilities ETF): Took a breather after a strong week. Weekly momentum remains upward.
XLF (Financials ETF): Flat this week after a strong previous week.
XLI (Industrials ETF): Continues upward momentum since January 13th.
Semiconductors: Eight consecutive positive days, but approaching resistance levels where previous reversals occurred.
DAPP (Digital Transformation ETF): Hovering near its baseline with false breakouts so far; a breakout would be noteworthy.
Plan of Action:
Focus on potential range expansions in individual tickers that show strength.
Consider two reversal bullish plays during the latter part of the trading day if setups present themselves.
Overall, the market looks stable with no significant red flags at the moment.
S&P 500 Index Sets Record HighS&P 500 Index Sets Record High
As shown by the S&P 500 chart (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen), the stock index:
→ has increased by approximately 3.5% since the start of the year;
→ surpassed its previous all-time highs set in December.
Market participants’ optimism was driven by:
→ a strong start to earnings season and expectations of robust reports from major tech companies;
→ statements made by Donald Trump at the Davos forum, where the US president urged Saudi Arabia to lower oil prices and expressed the view that interest rates should be reduced. Overall, such measures are expected to foster economic growth.
Reuters quoted Lindsay Bell, Chief Strategist at 248 Ventures: buyers "like the idea of interest rates coming down, of oil prices coming down. All in all, the market is optimistic the more they hear about Trump policies. We're just seeing a reflection of that optimism."
Technical analysis of the S&P 500 chart (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) reveals:
→ At the end of 2024, price fluctuations formed an ascending channel (marked by blue lines).
→ The December dip appears to be a correction within the prevailing uptrend. Bears managed to push the price below the lower blue line, but only for about a week.
→ After breaking the correction channel (shaded in orange), bulls faced brief resistance (indicated by the arrow) at the 6040 level.
→ The RSI indicator is in the overbought zone and signals divergence. This suggests a minor pullback could occur, potentially testing the aforementioned 6040 level.
Trade on TradingView with FXOpen. Consider opening an account and access over 700 markets with tight spreads from 0.0 pips and low commissions from $1.50 per lot.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
S&P500 INDEX (US500): To The New Highs
US500 updated the All-Time High violating a significant
daily resistance cluster.
The broken structure turned into a potentially strong support.
The index is likely to continue a rally and reach 6150 soon.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
SPX500 Long Trade Setup Entry BreakdownThis is the last setup that I posted, I wanted to show what it looks like zoomed in the 15m. Price approached the level of reaction during NY session, made a high and a low, if it breaks higher we buy, in this case we bought when buyers broke the range, that's the confirmation. Because we always buy when price breaks highs and sell when price breaks lows. Stoploss placed under the low and targeted the highs from the previous setup. ICC, we simply follow what price tells us it wants to do.
SPX500 ICC Long Trade SetupPrice dropped from 6070 creating the bottom (L).
Before that bottom, price made that push upside (H).
After (L) price broke above (H), giving us an indication.
We knew that every time price broke back above (H) buyers were ready to buy.
First entry was valid, it was on session and zooming in the 15m buyers were strong and price was creating higher lows.
Although price didn't hit TP, stopped us and continued down to grab the liquidity sitting below the last low (L).
Then again, higher supports, zoom into 15m around the level of reaction to find highs breaking highs.
Back in session, price broke above the level so we re-entered buys, same trade as before, same SL and TP.
Some we lose some we win, what's important is sticking to the plan and managing risk!
