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S&P INTRADAY - Stronger Growth, Labour Market ResilientUS Q4 GDP (Annualized) came in at 2.4%, beating forecasts of 2.3%, signalling resilient economic growth despite higher interest rates. A stronger-than-expected economy supports corporate earnings but may also reinforce the Fed’s cautious stance on rate cuts. Initial Jobless Claims (4-week average) declined to 224K from 227K, pointing to continued labor market strength. A tight job market supports consumer spending, which is crucial for corporate revenue but may keep inflationary pressures elevated, influencing Fed policy expectations. Market Impact: S&P 500: The better-than-expected GDP and healthy labor market data suggest economic momentum remains intact, supporting corporate earnings and risk appetite. However, persistent strength may delay Fed rate cuts, potentially leading to market volatility. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 5780 Resistance Level 2: 5844 Resistance Level 3: 5920 Support Level 1: 5660 Support Level 2: 5604 Support Level 3: 5540 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:US500
by TradeNation
4
[W] SP500 - 24.3.2025This has been an unusually disturbing prediction that I have ever made, and yet so long expected. It's also probably for the first time, I do it on a weekly chart! The huge question mark here, is how FED will react to stagflation turning into a recession, and to recession with a looming threat to progress further. At some point, they might be tempted to act with low rate and EQ, which will further increase already high Gini index and might eventually cause defaults on loans and mortages. Thus, causing a crisis not seen since 2008. The current president Donald Trump might want to distract from the increasingly worsening domestic situation by seeking and external (and internal) enemy, further strengthening his grip on power. While the entire situation might provide a temporary boost to the defense sector alongside with utilities, foreign capital and trade will likely diminish. Unlike the 2008 crisis that was caused predominantly by internal factors, this case might be marked by geopolitical isolation which threatens to leave a much deeper scar.
SP:SPXShort
by KenzoYagai
What Do the S&P 500 and Nasdaq’s Charts Say?Let's take a look at charts for the S&P 500 SP:SPX S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite Index NASDAQ:IXIC to see where the market might be heading. The S&P 500’s Technical Picture Take a look at the S&P 500’s chart going back to early January: Check out the market action from last Friday (March 14) -- a day when New York Stock Exchange winners beat losers by roughly 16 to 3. Advancing volume took a commanding 90.1% share of composite NYSE-listed trade, and an almost as impressive 80.8% share of composite Nasdaq-listed activity. However, aggregate trade nonetheless dropped 3.1% on a day-over-day basis across NYSE-domiciled names and 0.8% for Nasdaq-listed ones. In other words, there was less conviction in last Friday's rally than was visible in any of the recent down days that led to that session. As a matter of fact, that Friday was the quietest trading day for S&P 500 stocks since Feb. 20 -- more than three weeks earlier. Hence, we could probably not call Friday’s rally a change in trend. Then came the Federal Reserve’s latest monetary-policy statement and press conference this past Wednesday (March 19). The Fed left rates unchanged, but its “dot plot” reiterated that the central bank still expects to cut rates by 50 basis points this year – news that helped send the S&P 500 and Nasdaq up more than 1% each. Would technical analysis have told us to expect this? Well, readers will note that the chart above shows a so-called “double top” pattern of bearish reversal from early January through late February (marked “Top 1” and “Top 2” in the red boxes above. Next, the S&P saw what we call "Day One" of the bearish change in trend on Feb. 21, marked with an orange box in the chart above. A “Day One” isn’t necessarily the first day of a trend change. Instead, it’s merely the first day of a trend change that occurs broadly and on sharply increased trading volume. The S&P 500’s “Day One” above was followed by a so-called "Confirmation Day" on Feb. 27. A “Confirmation Day” is a session that confirms a trend change. It can come anywhere from two days to several days after the Day One. However, a Confirmation Day must represent a broad move and come on increased trading volume -- and there’s also a catch. There must be a pause in between the Day One and the Confirmation Day. This suggests that portfolio managers took some time, thought about what they were doing and then continued to either increase or decrease exposure depending on the Confirmation Day’s pattern (up or down). Without this pause, what we would have is one long move that doesn’t confirm anything technically. In the above chart, all of what we saw was a spot-on sign of a double-top pattern. But next came a so-called "Outside Day" on March 3 -- a one-day pattern that hinted at increased volatility to come. An Outside Day occurs when the trading range of a given day completely envelopes the day prior and the open and close of said day also encompass the open and close of the day prior. This one-day pattern often signals a coming period of increased volatility. Next, the S&P 500 saw a so-called "faux Day One” last Friday, March 14. That could have kicked off a bullish change in trend, but the S&P 500 rose on light trading volume. Additionally, the SPX never made a serious run at retaking its 200-day Simple Moving Average (or “SMA,” marked with a red upwardly sloping line above). Technical analysis won’t tell us much about the S&P 500 (or the Nasdaq Composite, for that matter) as long as those indexes trade below their 200-day SMAs. That often keeps portfolio managers on the sidelines. In fact, much of the swing crowd tones down their activity as well as long as the major indices don’t even make a run at their respective 21-day Exponential Moving Averages (or “EMAs,” denoted by the green line above). Also note that even on the down day of March 18, the S&P 500’s trading volume (marked with gray bars in the chart above) continued to tail off a bit, indicating increasing uncertainty. That said, readers will see a slight uptick in trading volume for this past Wednesday (Fed Day). The S&P 500 was up nicely that day, and got off to a good start on Thursday (March 20) as well. Alone, that’s not enough to christen a new "Day One" of a bullish trend reversal, partly because the Nasdaq Composite was not as active (as readers will see below). Typically, Wall Street would like to see both major indexes up on sharply increased trading volume to declare a “Day One” bullish reversal. The SPX and Nasdaq have come very close to allowing us to do that, but don’t appear to be there yet. Technical Analysis for the Nasdaq Composite Index Next, let’s look at the Nasdaq Composite’s chart going back to early December: The Nasdaq appears more challenged than the S&P 500 at this time, but both are close to giving us the first step of what the bulls need to see. As with the SPX, the Nasdaq Composite saw a “double-top” bearish pattern in December and January (marked “Top 1” and “Top 2” above). The index then saw a “Day One” and a “Confirmation Day” in late February, followed by an “Outside Day” on March 3. It then saw an “Up Day” on March 19, although on lower trading volume. And as with the S&P 500, the Nasdaq Composite has yet to retake its 200-day SMA (the upwardly sloping red line in the chart above). The Bottom Line Add it all up and the major US equity indices look like they remain in a downtrend. We still need to see a "Day One” move to the upside, then a pause and then a "Confirmation Day." That could take up to a week, but to rush into things without confirmation is closer to gambling than it is to trading. Again, the 200-day SMA is perhaps the most important item to watch on these charts. That's where large flows of capital will come from … if portfolio managers decide to increase their overall long-side exposure. (Moomoo Technologies Inc. Markets Commentator Stephen “Sarge” Guilfoyle had no position in the securities mentioned at the time of writing this column.) This article discusses technical analysis, other approaches, including fundamental analysis, may offer very different views. The examples provided are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to be reflective of the results you can expect to achieve. Specific security charts used are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Past investment performance does not indicate or guarantee future success. Returns will vary, and all investments carry risks, including loss of principal. This content is also not a research report and is not intended to serve as the basis for any investment decision. The information contained in this article does not purport to be a complete description of the securities, markets, or developments referred to in this material. Moomoo and its affiliates make no representation or warranty as to the article's adequacy, completeness, accuracy or timeliness for any particular purpose of the above content. Furthermore, there is no guarantee that any statements, estimates, price targets, opinions or forecasts provided herein will prove to be correct. 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SP:SPX
by moomoo
1
The Election Was Support. Has it Become Resistance?Last year’s presidential election was a catalyst for stocks. Today’s idea considers its potentially shifting impact on sentiment. The first pattern on today’s S&P 500 chart is the range between 5597 and 5783. Those prices are the low of November 4 and the high of November 5, the Monday and Tuesday of election week. On January 13, SPX pulled back to find support at the top of the range. That bounce seemed to reflect ongoing optimism about the coming administration. (Inauguration was exactly a week later.) The index remained above that zone through early March before sliding below it. Prices have now rebounded but appear to be stalling at the bottom of the price range. Does that show a newer anxiety about policy? Next, Wilder’s relative strength index (RSI) made lower highs from early December -- despite SPX making incrementally higher highs. That kind of bearish divergence may be consistent with a longer-term trend fading. Third, SPX is under its 200-day simple moving average (SMA). Staying here may confirm a break of its longer-term uptrend. Finally, the 50-day SMA recently crossed below 100-day SMA. Both are falling. That may also suggest prices have stopped rising. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
SP:SPX
by TradeStation
SPX500 H4 | Bullish uptrend to extend further?SPX500 is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 5,704.90 which is a pullback support. Stop loss is at 5,590.00 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit is at 5,848.75 which is an overlap resistance that aligns close to the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:SPX500Long
by FXCM
S&P500 Short: Expecting Price to Fall back below trendlineFor this idea, there are 2 things to take note: 1. I believe the breakout to the upside to be a false breakout. Thus price should fall back into the channel. 2. The "C" wave is slightly shorter than "A" wave, but it shouldn't matter since corrective wave does not conform to the "3rd wave cannot be the shortest" rule. If you are an active trader, you can choose to place your stop where I indicated. But if you are really more swing trader and can take wider swings, then I recommend putting stop above where the Fibonacci shows 1. Good luck!
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by yuchaosng
5
Nikkei, S&P500, Nasdaq, Hang Seng Short: Educational UpdateThis is really an extra video that I made because I see some educational value. I use Nikkei 225 to show repeating of patterns and the fractal nature of the market, S&P and Nasdaq to demonstrate the usage of Fibonacci levels and study of historical support and resistance, and finally Hang Seng to discuss on placing stop losses and how noise in lower time frames may require us to ignore certain "unclean" waves. Overall, I still put this idea as a short because all the indices used are still short ideas in my opinion. Good luck!
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by yuchaosng
S&P 500 Correction Channel Keeps Bulls in Control, for NowThe S&P 500 has formed an uptrend channel after breaking out of the "tariff panic" downtrend, which had dragged the index down more than 10%. But is this new short-term uptrend merely a correction, or has the real direction changed? That’s the key question, one that will likely be answered in early April when the new tariffs take effect. February consumer confidence data didn’t look promising, but much of the negativity had already been priced in during the earlier 10% sell-off. However, this week’s PCE report, combined with next week’s tariffs and jobs report, could become a catalyst for determining the short- to medium-term direction. The 200-hour SMA has now reached the upper line of the trend channel. Together, they may create a strong resistance level. To the downside, 5700 is a key horizontal support level. By the end of this week, it will converge with the lower boundary of the channel, right as both the GDP and PCE data are released. Including the time factor, this confluence could mark the main short-term support. As long as the trend channel holds, bulls remain in control.
SP:SPX
by ftdsystem
1
S&P 500: The Correction Is Not Over Yet – Targets Around 5000At the moment, the S&P 500 is holding relatively stable, but I believe the current decline is just part of a larger correction following decades of growth. Right now, the index is retracing to the 50% pullback area (marked on the chart), which aligns with a typical retest before a potential continuation of the downward move. In this zone, a manipulation is likely, after which the decline may resume. An additional confirmation of this scenario is the unfilled gap below, which remains uncovered. Historically, the market tends to close such gaps. Moreover, there are untested price levels lower on the chart, suggesting a high probability of further downside movement, with targets around 5000 points. I will keep monitoring the situation and update my outlook as new data emerges.
CAPITALCOM:US500Short
by MonetarioMan
Trading a Pause in the Price Action Some candlestick patterns shout their intentions, while others quietly mark a pause before the next move. The Doji falls into the latter category—it doesn’t tell you which way the market is going next, but it does highlight a moment of indecision that often precedes a meaningful move. While traders sometimes mistake it for a reversal signal, the real significance of a Doji comes when price decisively breaks beyond its range. Let’s explore what a Doji represents, why its range is key and how traders can use it in different market conditions. What Is a Doji? A standard Doji forms when a market opens and closes at or very near the same price. This creates a candle with a thin or non-existent body and wicks on either side, showing that price moved up and down during the session but failed to establish a clear direction by the close. The key takeaway? A Doji does not indicate a directional bias—it simply reflects the natural market cycle between indecision and decisive direction. It tells us that neither buyers nor sellers had the upper hand during that period. Standard Doji Pattern Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results The Doji’s Range: Why It’s Important Rather than trading the Doji itself, the focus should be on its high and low. When price breaks and closes beyond the Doji’s range, that’s when a potential trade setup forms: • A close above the Doji’s high suggests buyers have taken control, increasing the likelihood of further upside. • A close below the Doji’s low signals sellers are in charge, making downside continuation more probable. This makes the Doji a pattern that doesn’t rely on lagging indicators. It provides a forward-looking view, allowing traders to anticipate where momentum might emerge. A single Doji can be significant, but clusters of Doji candles—where price hesitates over multiple sessions—can create even stronger setups, particularly when they resolve with a decisive breakout. Doji’s Range Becomes Significant Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Doji Breakout Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results How to Use the Doji in Trading The Doji pattern works across all timeframes, from intraday charts to daily and even weekly price action. Looking at USD/JPY on the daily timeframe (see chart below), four Doji formations highlight how the pattern plays out in real-world trading: USD/JPY Daily Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Pattern 1 (Monday, 25th November 2024): A Doji formed, followed by a strong break below its range, leading to a clear move lower. Patterns 2 & 3 (Early December 2024): Two Doji candles appeared close together, forming a Doji cluster. This hesitation phase was followed by a steady directional move higher. Pattern 4 (Early February 2025): The initial break below the Doji’s range led to a short-lived move lower. However, price then pulled back, retested the Doji, and only after that retest did a more sustained downside move develop. These examples show that the Doji is not a trading signal in isolation—it needs a decisive break to confirm the next move. Trading the Doji Breakout If a trader is looking to enter based on a Doji setup, they should consider the following: • Wait for Confirmation – The most important factor is the breakout. A Doji on its own is just indecision; it’s the next candle that provides the real clue. • Identify the Key Level – The high and low of the Doji form a mini-range. A close outside this range is the real signal. • Manage Risk Properly – A common approach is to place a stop-loss just beyond the opposite side of the Doji’s range. Because Doji candles highlight hesitation, they often form at key support or resistance levels. When price is already in an established trend, a Doji can act as a temporary pause before continuation. Summary: The Doji is a pause in price action, not a guarantee of reversal or continuation. The real significance lies in how price reacts after the Doji forms—a decisive break and close beyond its range is the key trigger. While traders often focus on patterns that appear to provide clear direction, the Doji offers something different—it marks the moment before clarity emerges. Whether it leads to a breakout, a trend continuation, or a reversal depends entirely on the price action that follows. Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents. Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 83% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
CAPITALCOM:US500Education
by Capitalcom
Mastering Market Movements: Understanding Impulses and CorrectioHello, Navigating the stock market successfully isn’t just about luck—it requires a keen understanding of market trends and the ability to spot price patterns. One of the most useful concepts traders rely on is the interplay between impulses and corrections. Recognizing these alternating phases can provide valuable insights into potential price movements, allowing you to make more confident and informed trading decisions. In this article, we’ll break down what impulses and corrections are, how to identify them, and how you can use them to improve your trading strategy. Understanding Impulses and Corrections Stock prices move in cycles, alternating between strong trends (impulses) and temporary retracements (corrections). These movements are driven by market psychology, where shifts in supply and demand dictate price action. Impulses: The Driving Force of Trends Impulses are powerful, directional moves in the market that reflect strong momentum. These often occur when sentiment aligns with fundamental catalysts, such as positive news, strong earnings reports, or broader market trends. Impulses are the backbone of trends and can provide great opportunities for traders who know how to recognize them. To spot impulses, look for: Strong Price Movement: Impulses are characterized by significant and sustained price shifts, indicating a surge in buying or selling pressure. This is as shown in the Volume Expansion: When an impulse occurs, trading volume typically increases, confirming that more market participants are involved and supporting the price movement. Break of Key Resistance or Support Levels: Impulses often push through important technical levels, signaling strength and the continuation of a trend. Corrections: The Market Taking a Breather Corrections, also called retracements or pullbacks, are temporary price reversals within an ongoing trend. They provide opportunities for the market to pause before resuming its dominant direction. To identify corrections, watch for: Counter-Trend Price Movement: Corrections move against the main trend but usually retrace only a portion (25% to 50%) of the previous impulse. Lower Volume: Unlike impulses, corrections occur on decreased trading volume, suggesting a temporary decline in market participation. Support and Resistance Levels: Corrections often find support or resistance at previously established price levels, which can serve as potential reversal zones. Applying Impulses and Corrections in Trading Understanding these market phases can significantly improve your trading approach. Here’s how: Identifying Trends: By observing a sequence of impulses and corrections, you can determine the overall market direction and align your trades accordingly. Finding Entry and Exit Points: Impulses signal strong trends, while corrections present opportunities to enter trades at better prices before the next move higher or lower. Managing Risk: Setting stop-loss levels strategically—such as below key support levels during corrections—can help minimize losses while allowing room for potential gains. Final Thoughts Recognizing and utilizing impulses and corrections can make a huge difference in your trading success. By learning to identify these patterns, you’ll gain deeper insights into market behavior, improve your timing, and enhance your ability to make smart, strategic moves. Take a look at the US500FU chart—it clearly illustrates impulses and corrections in action. Good luck, and happy trading! Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:US500FUEducation
by thesharkke
Still more upside for SPX500USDHi traders, SPX500USD did exactly what I've predicted. Last week I said we could see a (corrective) upmove to the higher Weekly FVG. It depends if the upmove is corrective or impulsive what we will be the move after that. But also fundamentally we could see more longer term downside for this pair. This scenario is still in progress for next week. So let's see what the market does and react. Trade idea: Wait for a small correction down to finish on a lower timeframe to trade longs. If you want to see more from my analysis, please make sure to follow me, give a boost and respectful comment. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis. If you don't agree, that's fine but I don't need to know it. I do not provide signals. Don't be emotional, just trade! Eduwave
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by EduwaveTrading
Buy SnP500Ready to Rally? I think so. My best trading strategy is to follow the big money—to follow the actions of the market conductor. Right now, I see buying activity in the market and believe this idea has strong potential. This is a med-term trade, so size your position wisely to avoid overloading your portfolio with a single trade. There are and will be plenty of great opportunities in the market. Give this position the time and space to realize its full potential. Exact targets are unknown. The best way to proceed here is by using a trailing stop-loss. The first Stop Loss is set at 5495. As the asset rises. move the stop loss higher.
SP:SPXLong
by kventinka
1
S&P 500 Below 200-Day Average: Double Top Targets 5400I wrote before about the S&P 500 when it was at its peak, showing that "head and shoulders" pattern, and it hit its target. Now, the index has been tradin’ below the 200-day moving average for 10 sessions and is strugglin’ to get back above it. There’s also a "double top" pattern formin’, targetin’ around the 5400 level. Next week’s gonna be big—needs to climb back above that 200-day average, or the odds of more downside are gonna go up. And that 5400 level might not be the final stop, ‘cause there are other patterns that ain’t done yet. Once it hits that level, they’ll complete and signal even lower targets.
SP:SPXShort
by ALRASHYD_