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SPX trade ideas

S&P 500 Weekly PotentialVolatility, expressed through standard deviation, quantifies market elasticity and presents a level of probability and precision that humbles us all. This week with SP:SPX bi-weekly trends have risen to just below our monthly values and are currently expansive over the markets IV prediction. Right now as I see it, HV10 is going resonate alongside our monthly values showing continued strength over IV. We could full regression to quarterly means as we move our of corrective territory then see consolidation to cool the markets down. BOOST the post, drop a follow and comment, BUT don't circle back at the end of the week to revisit and observe how our trending markets preformed!
SP:SPX
by splitmyIVandmelt
SPX potentials for resistance & lowsI do dowsing & that's where I get my information from. I am expecting a move up tomorrow and then a high Wed./Thurs. with a reversal back down. I've had levels around the 5450 area even since September, as well as dates suggesting a return to prices even lower from around November/December 2023, which if you recall, was the start of this big run up. I'm only showing the more near term idea, because that's what seems more clear. The areas at the top are likely resistance in the near term. I'm not sure on timing for lows, but suspect something big in June/July. I have some potentially important dates including this Thursday, as well as April 18th, 23rd, June 2nd and twice I get July 14th as well.
SP:SPX
by JenRz
3
SPX: time to digest the uptrend?The S&P closed the week at 5,958, continuing its climb along a steep uptrend that’s been in place since mid-April. While momentum remains bullish, we’re now entering a zone where digestion or short-term pullbacks would not be surprising. And not because of weakness, but after every run is a period of digestion. In this video I first go through how I clear out the noise to focus on the outlook for the next few weeks, re-chart my levels and trendlines, and walk through potential scenarios for the coming week.
SP:SPX
by emanuelaelias
S&P 100Trade Plan BUY S&P 100 ENTRY-1 Entry-1 5720 SL 5578 RISK 142 REWARD 1717 Target as per Entry 7437 RR 12.1 Last High 6147 Last Low 4843 Trend: All timeframes are in a clear UP trend, suggesting bullish sentiment across the board. Demand Strength: As we move from macro to micro, the demand zones are increasing: Macro demand: 4750 (lower) Mid-term demand: 5398 (higher) Micro demand: 5668 (highest) Implication: The upward trend across all timeframes and rising average demand zones suggest strong bullish momentum. If price pulls back, the 4750–4807 zone could act as strong macro support. For short-term entries or intraday trades, 5668 is the key support level to watch. 🔹 Macro View (Long-Term Demand Zones) Time Frame Trend Proximal Distal Avg Yearly UP 4818 4682 4750 Half-Yearly UP 4818 4682 4750 Quarterly UP 4818 4682 4750 Macro Avg UP 4818 4682 4750 🔹 Mid-Term View Time Frame Trend Proximal Distal Avg Monthly UP 4931 4682 4807 Weekly UP 5720 5578 5649 Daily UP 5787 5692 5740 Mid-Term Avg UP 5479 5317 5398 🔹 Micro View (Short-Term) Time Frame Trend Proximal Distal Avg 240 Min UP 5691 5644 5668 180 Min UP 5691 5644 5668 60 Min UP 5691 5644 5668 Micro Avg UP 5691 5644 5668
SP:SPXLong
by pradyammm
Tariffs Shocked the World, But Look What Happened NextTrump's “Liberation Day” reciprocal tariff announcement triggered a sharp selloff in the S&P 500 on the 2nd April. A classic policy shock! But the market has since clawed back every point. So what now? Let’s break it down by strategy. 🔎 Long-Term Investors: Stay the Course 1) This recovery reinforces one truth: When you own quality businesses, Volatility ≠ Risk. Policy creates opportunity, not exit signals. 2) Stick with great companies, buy on fear, and ignore the noise. The next 10 years won’t be won by panic. ⚡ Momentum Traders: Technical Reversal Delivered 1) S&P 500 bounced above its 30-day MA. With the May 12th’s bullish gap (post temporary tariff pause) confirming the trend shift. 2) This was a textbook momentum setup. But if you didn’t plan for the whipsaw, you missed the edge. 📈 What This Means Now Short-term volatility is likely to continue as tariffs, rates, and elections are all on the table. Watch for pullbacks into structure and keep risk tight as news-driven moves will be fast and brutal. Choose your timeframe. Respect the trend. Don’t confuse noise with signal. The edge now isn’t in prediction — it’s in preparation.
SP:SPX
by JinDao_Tai
Weekly SPX Has A Bottom W Pattern Prompting More Upside!Hey Traders and Followers! SPX is going up! Sounds crazy despite the tariff news floating around but charts never lie. Here's what we got on the weekly SPX/USD; We have a bottoming W pattern. What's that mean? We going higher people. 5690.7 is the beakline area, price above invites bulls to a party. Target for this long is at 6198.9 area. Support sits at 5579.4 for this one. I'm letting you know about this party so up to you if you want to have a good time. See you all there with bells on and cash for all $ for those who show up. Best of luck in all your trades $ Cheers!
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by Trade-Farmer
1
Upper Band Holds Post-Breakout - Classic Trend Signal in PlayDéjà vu? Not quite - but today’s session feels a lot like yesterday’s. We’ve got a fresh mechanical bear trigger from a late-day Tag ‘n Turn setup. But much like the previous session, price action is telling us a different story. Let’s walk through what I’m looking for. --- SPX Market Briefing Yesterday’s session started with a bearish bias. But by the end of the day, the market voided the setup via the hedge trigger - and since I wasn’t positioned bearish, it was a clear signal to flip bullish. Same playbook again today. I entered yesterday bullish and didn’t babysit the charts. Today, I’m starting with a bearish mechanical trigger, but futures are holding up. There’s also a post-breakout continuation in play that’s clinging to the upper Bollinger Band - a strong sign of bullish trending momentum. Bollinger himself suggested this as one of the most reliable signs of strength. So what’s the move? Bearish trigger? Yes. Bear entry? Not yet. I’ll defer bearish entries unless price breaks below the 5880 area, with a v-shaped entry. If price stays above 5910, I’ll resume bullish activity as needed. This is shaping up to be another go/no-go decision day - no need to guess, no need to jump early. Let price make the choice. I’ll respond when it does. GEX Analysis Update 5900 is looking like the key GEX level again. --- Expert Insights: Mistake: Taking every mechanical setup without confirming price action Fix: Use price structure (like Bollinger Band holds) to confirm trend integrity Mistake: Jumping in without clear invalidation levels Fix: Predefine bull/bear flip zones - today: 5880 and 5910 Mistake: Over-monitoring slow sessions Fix: No need to stare at charts - mechanical setups do the heavy lifting --- Rumour Has It… Bollinger Band Declared Emotional Support Tool Sources say traders have begun using the upper Bollinger Band like a weighted blanket. “As long as we’re above it,” one trader whispered from beneath a desk, “I feel safe.” Psychologists confirm it's become a market-wide security blanket, replacing support/resistance zones in all therapy sessions. This is entirely made-up satire. Probably! Breaking scoops courtesy of the Financial Nuts Newswire-because who needs sanity? --- Fun Fact John Bollinger designed his bands in the early 1980s - not just to spot reversals, but also to identify sustained breakouts. When price hugs the upper band after a breakout, it’s often signalling continuation, not exhaustion. It’s a feature of trend momentum, not a warning of collapse. Today’s chart is textbook. The system gives us the setup. But the context? That’s where discretion adds juice to the edge.
SP:SPX
by MrPhilNewton
U.S. Bulls Take Charge: S&P 500 Set to Break OutHello, 📊 S&P 500 Market Outlook – Pro-Bullish Perspective 🔥 Market Recap: The S&P 500 recently saw a significant dip, marking a 1-year low at 4805.92, largely attributed to the shockwaves caused by President Trump’s sweeping tariff announcement on April 2. This move sent markets into a tailspin, creating heightened volatility levels not seen since the early pandemic days. However, savvy traders recognized opportunity amidst the panic and entered strategic buy zones around those lows. Since then, the index has managed to stabilize above key technical levels, signaling potential bullish momentum building from the ground up. 🧭 Current Key Technical Levels to Watch: 1W Pivot Point (PP): ✅ Holding above 5224.13 1D Pivot Point (PP): ⚠️ Testing resistance at 5297.05 1M Strong Support/Resistance: ⛔ Acting as resistance at 5329.31 🚀 Bullish Confirmation Pathway: To fully confirm a bottom-up bullish reversal, we’re looking for: ✅ Sustained close above the 1D PP @ 5297.05 ✅ Break and hold above the 1M Resistance @ 5329.31 ✅ Momentum toward the 1Y PP @ 5550.97 If these levels are conquered with conviction, it opens the door for an extended upside move toward 5878.58, aligning with a broader bullish sentiment. 🛑 Cautionary Downside Scenario: Although currently less likely, a failure to maintain support above the 1W PP @ 5224.13 could reopen downside risk in the short term. We remain watchful of that level as a bull-bear pivot. 🌐 Macro Overview – Tariff Shock & Earnings Spotlight: Trump’s abrupt tariff move has reshuffled the global economic deck, and investors are still processing its implications. The S&P 500 is currently down ~14% from its February highs, but showing resilience. Earnings season is now center stage, with major players like Tesla, Alphabet, IBM, and Boeing under the microscope. ⚠️ Volatility Index (VIX) is down from post-tariff highs (~60) to ~30, still elevated from the long-term median of 17.6, signaling cautious optimism. 💬 CEO Sentiment Matters: As JJ Kinahan from IG North America noted: “The view of CEOs going forward has never been more important.” With traditional guidance uncertain, investors are leaning on transparent, scenario-based outlooks like United Airlines’ “dual roadmap” approach. 🔋 Magnificent Seven on Watch: Alphabet: -20% YTD Tesla: -40% YTD These leaders are key sentiment barometers. If they bounce, the broader market is likely to follow. 🏛️ Fed & Trump Tensions: Trump recently stated that Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s termination “cannot come fast enough,” pushing for rate cuts. Powell, however, remains cautious, citing the need for more economic data before acting. ✍️ Final Note – A Cooling Tariff War? 💬 According to Trump’s latest statement, the tone around tariffs is beginning to cool, hinting at possible de-escalation. This development adds further bullish tailwinds to the broader market outlook. ✅ Summary: We are leaning bullish here with the base-building process in motion. Key levels are aligning, volatility is easing, and clarity from corporate earnings could be the catalyst to propel markets upward. Watch for a clean breakout above 5329 — that’s where the real confirmation begins. Eyes on the prize: 5878.58 👀📈 The Support and Resistance outlined in green and red are the respective support/resistance for this pair currently for 1M-1Y timeframes! No Nonsense. Just Really Good Market Insights. Leave a Boost TradeWithTheTrend3344
VANTAGE:SP500Long
by TradeWithTheTrend3344
2
S&P 500 index Wave Analysis – 12 May 2025 - S&P 500 index broke resistance area - Likely to rise to resistance level 5930.00 S&P 500 index recently broke the resistance area between the resistance levels 5800.00 (top of wave 4 from March), 5700.00 (which stopped wave 1 at the start of May) and the 61.8% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse from February. The breakout of this resistance area is aligned with the short-term impulse wave 3 of the intermediate impulse wave (3) from April. S&P 500 index can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 5930.00, former support from January and February.
SP:SPXLong
by FxProGlobal
S&P 500 – an ascending channel on Daily Daily Chart (D1) : I'm observing an ascending channel, with a potential manipulation near its lower boundary. If that happens, we may see the formation of a bullish pivot point. Hourly Chart (H1) : I've marked the boundaries of the daily channel on H1. There’s an unfilled gap below, and price might revisit that area. I’m watching the 5690.7 level closely — it could act as a key zone for potential long setups. 📈 If 5690.7 holds , possible long targets include: 🎯 A break above the local high at 5848 🎯 The upper boundary of the channel, which closely aligns with the anticipated bullish pivot point target 📉 If price fails to hold above 5690.7 and breaks lower, I’ll start considering short scenarios and will update this idea accordingly.
OANDA:SPX500USD
by AzbelTrades
Continuation of bullish trendSeems that the trade deal between China and USA is behaving well with the general market, in my opinion the market will continue up for a while, however we need to be aware that at some point will need to breath and at least pull back to one of the EMAs, plus since it is now touching the top of the BB it will most likely pull-back at some point in the future, that doesn't mean it will reverse, but instead, give us another opportunity to enter the markets again, in line with the general market and at a good position to capitalize from the market movement.
ICMARKETS:US500Long
by GonzooTrading