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S&P Outlook for the Coming WeekS&P 500 Update – April 20, 2025 We’re still in a confirmed weekly downtrend (though we have paused our decline), and the daily chart is showing signs of indecision. The sharp bounce on April 9 created a large green candle, and price action since then has been stuck inside that day’s range, forming inside bars and signaling continued indecision. Key Points: Trendlines: We remain under multiple downtrend lines (drawn from both the weekly and daily timeframes), as well as all major moving averages. Resistance: The April 9 high around 5458 has now been rejected twice. Support: We’re currently holding above the short-term uptrend line off the April 7 pivot near 5265. Buyers have defended this level for several days in a row. Neutral Zone: Until we break below this rising trendline or reclaim the EMAs and downtrend lines, this remains a choppy, sideways range. This is a tough environment for swing traders. There’s opportunity on lower timeframes, but without clear direction, larger trades carry more risk. Stay patient, watch for a break in either direction, and keep size light if you choose to participate.
SP:SPX
by emanuelaelias
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of April 17, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: In the recent shortened trading session, the Index recorded steady to lower prices, distancing itself from the Mean Resistance level of 5455, as indicated in the previous week's Daily Chart analysis. This trend establishes a foundation for continuing the downward trajectory, targeting the Mean Support level 5140. Should this downward momentum persist, further declines may extend to the next Mean Support level of 4970 and ultimately reach the completed Outer Index Dip at 4890. Conversely, it is essential to acknowledge the possibility of upward momentum at the current price level, which may challenge the Mean Resistance of 5455 and extend toward the Outer Index Rally at 5550.
SP:SPX
by TradeSelecter
WILL THE S&P 500 COME CRASHING DOWN? TRIPLE RSI DIVERGENCE?!S&P 500 (SPX) Is considered to be one of the primary benchmarks for the U.S economy. Recently it appears to be showing a triple bearish RSI divergence, DMI indicating bearish with ADX above 20, and a bearish MACD on the 1 Month chart. The technical analysis seems to have a highly bearish hypothesis in my opinion. If we give some thought to Ray Dalio's Principles for Dealing with the Changing World Order , some haunting indicators appear to be forming. Could this just be a minor correction? Or is this the beginning of an extended economic downturn? Disclaimer: Not financial advice.
SP:SPXShort
by TRADEABLESKUNK
$SPX - APRIL 16 2025 contract Today’s Trading Range has Downward pressure from the top - you can see it in the way the moving averages come down and their angle. The implied move is 5320-5475 today (1.35%) 5295-5500 tomorrow (1.88%) And 30 day average volatility 5205-5590. (3.53%) That spreads am I looking to today? 5320/5296 Bull put spreads feel too close for me… But I’m still keeping them on my radar. That is 25 dollars wide. If we Trade up 5475/5500 That’s a real possibility because of the 1hr 200MA coming down like that. (That is also a 25$ wide spread today.) But more likely - and especially because we have Jerome powell today at 1:30 ET, I will be looking 5230/5205 bull put spreads & 5565/5590 above. Big Bear gap at the top as well. Let’s see how it goes today.
SP:SPX
by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading
China is about to decided whether retailiate or not. Donald Trump and hes administration went to far and to many direction. EU and China at the same time is just too much but tretening the whole world is just an enormous startegic error. He made woke up not1 but 170 bear at the same time while the bears were sleeping and dreaming. And the dream ended. The USA not enymore realiable, trustworty, and therefore friendly country. The bears are dissapointed and angrys. They dont wanna have does fals dreams at the next time, and its seems that Trump is in a deadend roed. Honestly this story can be continued for pages but lets just speak about the an abnormal situation. BONDS UP 10Y 5Y - trough agressive selling of US debt which is really will tied up the FED hands if the inflation does not happen due to the lack of the tarrifs. 10Y is at the 4,3 The questions can china put the USA in a situation then interest rate cat wount help on the longrun since China and may some of their contries under their influence reaching high detach in a US10Y 5Y and interest rate relation and sending US in to debt cicle. The slow one is that that will slowly sell as much debt of US that they are cancelling the fed rate cuts. The fast one is sending aup rates by at least 6% and making the big boys on the stock market to capitulate. I will update and elaborate this idea better , but I hope if someone reads gets some hints.
PEPPERSTONE:US500
by ElGatoTrade
Bullish bounce off pullback support?S&P500 is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit. Entry: 5,326.10 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 5,211.08 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 5,517.82 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
VANTAGE:SP500Long
by VantageMarkets
SPY: Breakout Brewing?📍SPX500 | Triangle Compression Before Breakout? SPX500 is currently coiling into a symmetrical triangle on the 5-min chart, suggesting a volatility expansion is imminent. 🔍 Fibonacci Levels in Play: Key Support: 5,419 – 5,428 (0.5 to 0.618 retracement) Breakout Target: 5,482.83 (Fib 1.382) Higher Projections: 5,499.94 (1.618), 5,516.82 (1.854) 📈 Probabilities: Bullish Breakout → 5,455 / 5,483 = 65% Sideways Chop in 5,420–5,440 range = 20% Bearish Fade < 5,419 = 15% 🚨 Watching for confirmation above 5,434 with volume for long entry. This setup aligns with our high-probability DSS framework for intraday signals. Mark your levels. Monitor the breakout. 🧠 Discipline is your alpha. 📊 Chart by: Wavervanir International LLC #SPX500 #TradingView #TechnicalAnalysis #Fibonacci #TrianglePattern #BreakoutStrategy #SmartMoney #QuantEdge #Wavervanir #MarketUpdate #DayTrading #DSS #SP500
FX:SPX500Long
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
Caution on Crypto, Tech, SPXI know its a mess, this is just for me anyway. I tend to overcomplicate things so now then, lets over simplify for my monkey brain: Trend line broken = Warning, thing are likely to change ( even though you didnt get the bull market you wanted) Watch said trend retest, look for weakness, struggling price action selling on the retest of the top lows last time would offer you 5% off the peako top, (Thats really good!! stop being a perfectionist) I am very much frustrated with this market, never got the crazy part I was waiting for. But the lack of euphoria is really not that unreasonable when you think about what has been goin on the past 5 years. Everyone is poorer liquidity has been super tight to curb inflation and we still got NASDAQ:NDX up 150% Coinbase NASDAQ:COIN did a 10x and I still am not happy(likely due to the max pain trade of my life COINBASE:ETHUSD ). I have realized that I have been hoping for another 2018 bull run. It may or may not happen, but I can't expect any market to reflect that in any significant way. Markets are much more dynamic than I give them credit for sometimes. They will rhyme but often in ways you do not expect and will not be made clear until that little bastard hindsight kicks in, showing you how obvious it was.
SP:SPXShort
by merchtank19
Bullish??? That was all very sudden, is it over now?The market correction really seamed to be an over reaction. I am hopeful that the worst is behind us, at least for the meantime. maybe this will be closer to 2018 correction and we just keep grinding higher for the rest of the year. I suppose anything is possible. -Everyone got way to bearish to quick - Spidey senses going off! -we never copy and paste last cycle to the next, but people have such a recency bias, sometimes its all they can see ( I may know from experience) - hopefully bullish
SP:SPXLong
by merchtank19
Planning to short a little higher. I made a full pivot on my bear position while we were 6% down on the day into the end of last week, switching to long positioning at 5150 and adding a couple times once the first resis levels broke, now I'm starting to get ready to try to position short again into a move a little higher (5550 or so). My bias at this point is fairly neutral. As a trader, it really doesn't matter which way the market goes. One could equally make the polarised case for us to trend up 1000 points or down 1000 points. Many people think I want to be a bear for the sake of being a bear, but those 1000 points pay the exact same. I'd opt for the one with no systemic risk. After all, the money I make I keep in banks and brokerages. Nicer to know they'll be okay. But markets are not a place for preference. Heading into 5550 is where we have another window of risk for the bear setup. We took a large position (relative to typical exposure) betting 4% long on SPX at 5150 with 100 points stop. Banked on this for 300 points. With the added positions this was a bit over 15%. Basically, we made as much as a non leveraged long would make trading from the absolute low to a retest of the high. Still currently have some light exposure betting on 5550 hitting. If and when we get there, we'll cycle some of our long profits back to shorts. Even inside of a bull market case I could make a reasonable case for 5000 retesting. And if we're actually inside a bear market, then we've just been through the eye of the storm. Over the last few days I've not done much. Caught up on work outside the market (or related to work I do based on the market that isn't trading). Caught up on sleep (because I slept very rarely through March / early April). Whatever way it goes, I think we're going to be back to being super active some time in the next few days. For now, locking in the profits. Through this year the market has made over 50% worth of swings when you add them all up. We caught a lot of them. Covering multiple years of the standard expected gains for the style and low risk setting used. My priority is keeping that. But I can see myself repositioning as a bear in the coming days. I'm undecided of how deep a bear move I'd be targeting. But I do strongly suspect I'll be a short 5550 if it trades.
CAPITALCOM:US500Short
by holeyprofit
S&P500 INTRADAY sideways consolidationThe Trump administration is moving ahead with tariff plans on semiconductor and pharmaceutical imports, launching Commerce Department probes. In response, China has ordered its airlines to halt new Boeing jet deliveries, escalating trade tensions. Despite the trade war, markets are getting a lift after Trump suggested a possible pause on auto tariffs and suspended some consumer electronics tariffs. Japan will meet with the U.S. this week to discuss trade. The talks will test whether close allies like Japan get more favourable treatment. Earnings in Focus: Citigroup and Bank of America report today, following a strong quarter for equity trading across the sector. Johnson & Johnson and United Airlines are also set to report. Oil Market: The International Energy Agency has cut its 2024 oil demand forecast due to trade-related slowdowns and sees a potential supply surplus through 2026. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 5509 Resistance Level 2: 5660 Resistance Level 3: 5787 Support Level 1: 5110 Support Level 2: 4947 Support Level 3: 4816 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:US500
by TradeNation