S&P 500 Breaks Out — Trump, Tariffs & Bullish Island PatternDonald Trump has mentioned the US stock market in every meeting he has held in the past few days, which has caused the US stock market indices , including the S&P500 Index ( SP:SPX ), to rise:
"Better go out and buy stocks now".
President Donald Trump told a crowd in Saudi Arabia on Tuesda
The Macro Importance of the 4.23 Breakout or Fake-outWe are at an incredibly interesting and unique point in SPX. I am fascinated to see how this ends up resolving.
Based on everything I know, these things predict extreme trend events come next.
First let's take a moment to qualify the idea the 4.23 is going to be important. The idea of using a lin
US500: Bullish Trend Holds Despite Moody’s DowngradeUS500: Bullish Trend Holds Despite Moody’s Downgrade
On Sunday, Moody’s downgraded U.S. debt to AA1, citing rising interest costs and unsustainable debt growth. They noted that U.S. debt funding costs are much higher compared to similar economies, with interest payments significantly exceeding tho
The Bullish view under ELLIOT WAVE top of 3 6181/6235Based On what has been happening in the structure in The SP 500 I tend to think the sp cash sees a retest at 6417 or extend the rally to 6181 alt 6230 for the top of #wave 3 or Wave B . both should see a 350 point decline back to 5830/ If 5 is equal to One a 646 point rally should be seen in
Hellena | SPX500 (4H): SHORT to 38.2% - 50% Fibo lvl 5489.Colleagues, I have reviewed the waves a bit and I believe that when the strong psychological level of 6000 is reached, a reaction and correction in wave “2” is possible.
I propose to consider this movement as a strong five-wave movement. Wave “1” will be over soon.
I consider the 38.2% - 50% Fibona
Moody’s U.S. Downgrade – Why Markets May Stay ResilientMoody’s downgrade of the U.S. credit rating from Aaa to Aa1 is notable but unlikely to trigger a major market sell-off. Here’s why:
Why a Severe Drop Is Unlikely:
Already Priced In: Follows similar actions by S&P (2011) and Fitch (2023); markets may have already adjusted.
Minimal Regulatory Impact
S&P500 Short: Update to Wave StructureAs mentioned, this is the 4th attempt to catch the peak for S&P500 (and Nasdaq). Over here, I break down the details of the wave structure to the subminuette level at the final wave. I believe this to be the final peak given that I do not see any more extension possible without changing the entire u
SPX : A Classic Blow-Off Top FormationWhat we are seeing now is NOT healthy. The rise is not due to a great economy. This rise is due to great stress in the system - no fundamentals, just positioning, leverage, and illusion. All the clues are there for all to see.
And when this time it collapses, it would be UGLY.
This is another GOOD
If SPX Uptrends Above 86 Fib, It's Buy All DipsIt's really surprising to see SPX rallying again today after the 86 fib hit - with the drop off it holding basic trending conditions.
This doesn't happen very often. When you look at all instances of this in SPX history you'll find about 80% of the time it drops much more from here. Whether it's a
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