Nasdaq’s Next Move Revealed This Week – Don’t Miss the Breakout Following a strong surge at the start of the trading week, the Nasdaq reached a new high since March 26th. At this juncture, I anticipate a potential pullback before any sustained upward movement. My analysis suggests monitoring for a retracement to the New Week Opening Gap (NWOG), where price action will likely provide critical insights. I see two probable scenarios:
1. A move to the NWOG, followed by a strong bounce, potentially targeting a new all-time high, as some market commentators have suggested.
2. A weak reaction at the NWOG, leading to a breakdown below this level, with 16,000 as the next key support target.
This week's price action will be pivotal in determining the Nasdaq's near-term direction. I recommend close observation of these levels and disciplined risk management when positioning for either outcome.
UNF1! trade ideas
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 5/12/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2025
- PR High: 20474.75
- PR Low: 20376.75
- NZ Spread: 218.75
No key scheduled economic events
Unfilled weekend gap up over 1%
- Gap fills below 20160
- Auction pausing at March 26 pivot
Session Open Stats (As of 12:15 AM 5/12)
- Session Open ATR: 551.42
- Volume: 47K
- Open Int: 260K
- Trend Grade: Bear
- From BA ATH: -10.9% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 20954
- Mid: 19246
- Short: 16963
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
Nasdaq -Bitcoin’s $104K Frenzy Steals Nasdaq’s ThunderAs Bitcoin surged to $104,350 (up 9.5% weekly), retail traders pivoted to crypto, leaving Nasdaq’s momentum muted despite Lyft’s 21% pop on buyback news .
Going forward, I will be interested to see if Nasdaq is lagging behind Bitcoin and we can see bullish price action up into premium PD arrays.
NQ 1W Following weeks before summerIn my opinion these are the key levels which we have to look at to determine short narrative. If we consider higher prices then I would prefer the grey fvg stay unfilled and retest the current weekly tail. After which we shall run up strongly through the imbalance and likely revisit 21k.
On the other hand if we anticipate slower growth or even consolidation, I would like to see these levels inverted for this case. Important to mention we ve got a large monthly candle tail which can be easily rebalanced to during the summer season when less volatility can appear, which will be seen in consolidation and further continuation later on
2025-05-08 - priceactiontds - daily update - nasdaqGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Market closed where it opened, after the early rally from Globex to mid EU session and then another one after the US open bear trap. I could not believe that bulls would do another strong move up after such a rejection above 20250 but meh. Can they really do another tomorrow after yet another strong rejection? Until bears print lower lows, the answer is "probably”. Clear bull wedge and bears need to break below 19970 for more downside. If we stay above 20100 we can do higher highs until we ultimately hit 20536 or higher.
current market cycle: trading range
key levels: 19700 - 20600
bull case: Bulls printed two amazing rallies and they we not enough to make meaningful higher highs and accelerate upwards. Usually that price action would have been enough for more bears to give up but once market began to stall on new highs, bulls vanished and bears overwhelmed them. I don’t have much for the bulls tbh. 5 tries and they are still failing.
Invalidation is below 19100.
bear case: Bears need to break the bull wedge and print below 19970. That’s about it. The rejections from new highs are good but the follow-through is trash. Going below 19600 into the weekend is me next wet dream.
Invalidation is above 20400.
short term: Neutral. Bulls grinding but for how many more tries? If that is bad English, you can do you.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-04-20: My most bearish target for 2025 was 17500ish, given in my year-end special. We are +18% from the lows and I do think, once this turns again, it will easily be the short trade of the year.
trade of the day: Shorting new highs continues to print money.
NQ: 186th trading session - recapI really gotta reflect on this in my personal journal but spoiler: I probably should've taken that. Focusing on the minute details might be okay when looking for a S+ setup, but what about S / A setups? Plus, structure is really one of the least of things to worry about - well atleast on a concious level, subconciously it's probably on of the most important parts: Our brain IS wired for pattern recognition etc blah blah, I really do not know how to overcome that lmao
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 5/8/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2025
- PR High: 19957.25
- PR Low: 19910.75
- NZ Spread: 103.75
Key scheduled economic events:
08:30 | Initial Jobless Claims
13:00 | 30-Year Bond Auction
Auction remains inside week range, 19920 to 20200
- Contained inside Friday's range, advertising return to 20280 high
- Strong value increase through Asian hours
Session Open Stats (As of 12:35 AM 5/8)
- Session Open ATR: 578.32
- Volume: 43K
- Open Int: 257K
- Trend Grade: Bear
- From BA ATH: -10.9% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 20954
- Mid: 19246
- Short: 16963
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
Nasdaq DUMP and PUMP! The Nasdaq has demonstrated notable resilience in its recent upward movement, retracing approximately 50% of the decline experienced during the first quarter. Importantly, price action has reclaimed the anchored Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) from the all-time high (ATH)—a technical milestone often interpreted as a bullish signal. This is particularly significant considering that the last time this level was tested, the index subsequently declined by nearly 15%.
Currently, price is consolidating within what appears to be a bearish wedge formation. Should this pattern resolve to the upside, it could signal a broader market reversal. In such a scenario, key levels to monitor include the golden fib 618 and the anchored VWAP from the recent low—both potential zones of support. A decisive breakdown below these levels, however, would carry bearish implications, likely opening the door to new lows.
At the moment, I have plotted a potential 1-1 extension of what can be an ABC pattern within the wedge, in confluence with a daily level of liquidity. This is the major level I will be paying attention to.
For now, a prudent approach is to assess the market on a level-by-level basis and remain agile in identifying the next viable trading opportunity.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 5/7/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2025
- PR High: 20133.75
- PR Low: 19799.50
- NZ Spread: 746.25
Key scheduled economic events:
10:30 | Crude Inventories
14:00 | FOMC Statement
Fed Interest Rate Decision
14:30 | FOMC Press Conference
Temporary AMP margins increase for upcoming FOMC (25%)
- Session open volatility creates 334 point initial range
- Maintaining Friday's range, holding 20200 rotation advertisement
Session Open Stats (As of 12:55 AM 5/7)
- Session Open ATR: 592.41
- Volume: 57K
- Open Int: 257K
- Trend Grade: Bear
- From BA ATH: -11.5% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 20954
- Mid: 19246
- Short: 16963
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone