NQ trades with 350+ ticks in profit for longCaught a solid long setup on NQ during the Asia open session, following clean price action and key demand zone confirmation. Two take-profits were hit, and one position closed at break-even — locking in 350+ ticks overall.
Patience and precision paid off today. Zones marked in advance using my custom supply/demand indicator.
#NQ #NasdaqFutures #FuturesTrading #SupplyAndDemand #DayTrading #MicroFutures #PriceAction #TradingViewIdeas #AsiaSession
UNF1! trade ideas
#202524 - priceactiontds - weekly update - nasdaq e-mini futuresGood Day and I hope you are well.
comment: I do think we will continue to print lower highs from 22094. Very clear invalidation price for that thesis is a print above 21855. 21000 is my target for the next days/weeks. A strong daily bear close below the daily 20ema around 21450 would be my confirmation. Above 21855 we continue to chop sideways and could retest 22094.
current market cycle: trading range most likely for now until we have a daily close below 20ema
key levels for next week: 21450 - 21855 (below 21450 - next target is 21000 and above 21855 next target is 22000)
bull case: Bulls outdid themselves by almost completely reversing the strong sell-off on Friday. That certainly was unexpected but now is decision time. Can they keep the market above 21500 a second time? If so, most bears will likely be quick to give up again and we can continue sideways 21500 - 22100 or even higher. Since we did not close below the daily ema, bulls remain in control.
Invalidation is below 21450
bear case: Bears see the bull wedge as broken and want to trade down from here. The top we have formed is a credible double top with ath 22656 and good for swing shorts. Bulls have been given two amazing macro numbers last week, especially the cpi print and we could not break strongly above. Instead we got a spike and it crumbled afterwards. Those are the type of things that don’t happen in bull trends.
Invalidation is above 21855
short term: Neutral for now and I wait for the breakout to either side. I want to favor the bears but they were so weak after the Globex sell spike on Friday, it’s not wise to hope they suddenly become strong.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-06-15: Daily close below 21450 is my validation for the new bear trend which has the first bigger target at 21000 but I think we will printed below 20000 again this year. Structure is obviously not yet bearish, so don’t be early if you want confirmation and can’t/won’t scale in to shorts higher.
NASDAQ (NQ) ANALYSIS FOR THE WEEKI've been studying NQ & others and want to share my analysis. Trading involves probabilities, so it's essential to be confident and prepared. Study the market thoroughly before trading with real money.
Let's test strategies this week. You may use a live account if you have capital, and manage your stop losses carefully. Next week, I'll provide more details on entry points and stop losses. Wait for trades at specified levels and avoid positions in the middle to minimize losses. Be patient and trade from one edge to the other.
Good luck and make money.
For one-on-one sessions: $20k per person. You'll learn weekly, monthly, and yearly calculations. Weekly subscriptions are also available for $500 per person.
Disclaimer:
The forecasts provided herein are intended for informational purposes only and should not be construed as guarantees of future performance. This is an example only to enhance a consumer's understanding of the strategy being described above and is not to be taken as Blueberry Markets provides personal advice.
For tomorrow’s Asia open (6 PM EST):NASDAQ Futures Setup – Asia Open Outlook (6 PM EST)
Watching price action closely around zone #24. If we reject this level, I’m anticipating a potential short setup targeting zones #25 and #26, with a final support area near #27. Will reassess if price breaks above and holds #24.
Stay nimble — volatility around session opens can offer great opportunities.
#NASDAQ #MNQ #Futures #AsiaOpen #PriceAction #DayTrading #S&P500 #MicroFutures
NASDAQ Daily Observation Scenarios & Probabilities In ContextCME_MINI:NQ1! CME_MINI:MNQ1! IG:NASDAQ BLACKBULL:NAS100 EIGHTCAP:NDQ100
Well obviously they're 3 possible outcomes but the idea is how we read the context in the upcoming week as the market unfolds each day. But, weighing the outcome based on the current news / fundamentals I would be leading towards 2/3 the the Bullish Long-Term Trend still holds true.
My assumptions would be holding on to the news development of the Iran Israel conflict.
Based on TA heavy we would be still be bullish but a good retracement as the Negotiations of ceasefire with market volatility increase as each time there's a news update with the Conflict & top that with the current Trump Tweets, Tariffs, FED Rate cuts.
Market is weighing the value of this Conflict escalation and deciding the time to price it in. Because market is always forward thinking, IMO.
I personally will be trading these scenarios each-day as the market updates me with NEWS, TA and mainly the Key Levels. As a day futures trader, I will be preparing for volatility. Not as much as the "Liberation Day Sell Off" or the "90 Day Tariff Extension Rally", but futures traders thrive in these kind of market conditions.
It is also sad to hear about the news, or course fundamentally. I am also hoping for the market to make a strong stance absorbing it all with a positive outlook.
Bullish Scenario:
- Market ignores all the war in the Middle East and a rally continuation to make New All Time High.
- News updates on the development of de-escalation war negotiations each day which ends up with a Weekly positive green candle.
Neutral/Consolidation
- News updates brings about both positive & negative impact causing market to range giving the opportunity for accumulation / distribution.
Bearish
- Bad news WAR escalation, Tariffs, Not enough Rate Cuts, Bearish Data.
- Sell side Liquidity wipeout
NOTE:
* 2/3 outcome leaning Bullish because even when a retracement / pullback happens we will rally back up
* since it's a daily observation, i will be looking into the Daily Key Levels of Support/Resistance, Fib Levels, Liquidity Zones, Volume Levels to be tested.
* I wish all good luck and god bless. Thank You.
NASDAQ Weekly Analysis TA & Fundamental News Alignment CME_MINI:MNQ1! IG:NASDAQ CME_MINI:NQ1! NASDAQ:NDX BLACKBULL:NAS100
Highest Probability for the upcoming week?
Not looking good with the Friday news tension of Israel Iran war escalation.
Not much of a selloff coming in, I guess the market is still in the wait and see mode of the upcoming weekend news development; could even be in the next week if the success of de-escalation negotiations.
The TA sure look eerie though, big a** H&S formation completion of the last leg. If successful, could we well be in the recession? Will this scare off the FED and force them to CUT RATES?
Smart money opportunity to buy another big dip?
Have we been in a real proper pullback after a massive rally from "Liberation Day" ?
I wonder why we can't break this level in the last week, could it be that the Smart Money selling to Retail?
It sure does look like an exhaustion point doesn't it?
BEARISH SCENARIO:
- Final Leg of the H&S lead to a massive selloff by Retail and Smart Money buying the dip.
- News WAR breakout with Iran vs Israel, with every development leading to a sell-off / rollover.
- Weekend news leading to a massive gap lower in the Monday Asia Open.
- Last week weekly candle close RED wick/shadow suggesting a strong resistance/ rejection level. A high-probability of the next candle will also be a RED Weekly Continuation?
BULLISH SCENARIO:
- Healthy Retracement and holding strong support levels.
- Even for any bearish news the market holds & the participant buying power will maintain a healthy pullback.
- Sweep up to the liquidity making New All Time High.
NOTE:
*This is a weekly analysis, Price Action within the week will reflect differently from day to day.
*The outcome will only be projected by the end of next week.
*Please do comment on your thoughts, a healthy discussion is always welcomed.
*I am publishing my thoughts and context to the way I interpret the market, in no way I am giving any financial advise.
NQ100 → Entering the Danger Zone?📈 1. Technical Context (Price Action & Structure)
The daily chart shows a strong bullish continuation from the 17,350 area, with price now extending toward the 22,000 USD zone.
We are currently within a weekly/monthly supply, with:
Mild RSI divergence in overbought conditions
Temporary rejection at 22,050–22,200
A potential liquidity sweep above highs before distribution or pullback
The monthly structure shows a strong swing low that may serve as anchor for a future reversal
🧠 2. COT Report – Commitment of Traders (as of June 3)
Commercials (Smart Money):
+4,041 long | +3,320 short → Net +1,455 → hedging phase, not trend expansion
Non-Commercials (Speculators):
–2,237 long | +125 short → net exposure reduction
Open Interest increasing → new positions building, but no extreme imbalance
📌 Conclusion: Tactical neutrality, slight bullish lean from commercials.
📆 3. Seasonality
June has been historically bullish, especially in the past 2 years (+700 pts avg)
10Y average still leans bullish
⚠️ September is a clear seasonal reversal month across all timeframes
📌 Conclusion: Seasonal tailwind through end of June; cyclic reversal risk into Q3.
📰 4. Macro Calendar
High-impact USD week:
CPI – Wed, June 11
PPI – Thu, June 12
These will be critical to:
Validate the disinflation narrative
Set expectations for a Fed cut by Sep/Nov
📌 Conclusion: Expect explosive mid-week volatility — watch for liquidity spikes above 22,000 if CPI surprises.
⚙️ Operational Outlook
✅ Primary scenario (bullish continuation):
🎯 Target: 22,260 → fib extension + structure
❌ Invalid below 21,350
🔄 Alternative scenario (mean reversion):
🔻 Short from 22,050–22,200
🎯 Target: 20,950 → liquidity + FVG zone
🔁 Trigger: weekly engulf or hotter-than-expected CPI
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 6/13/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2025
- PR High: 21915.75
- PR Low: 21861.75
- NZ Spread: 120.5
No key scheduled economic events
Session Open Stats (As of 12:45 AM 6/13)
- Session Open ATR: 389.53
- Volume: 66K
- Open Int: 267K
- Trend Grade: Neutral
- From BA ATH: -4.9% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22096
- Mid: 20383
- Short: 19246
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
2025-06-12 - priceactiontds - daily update - nasdaq
Good Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Neutral around 21900. 21700 was the lowest I expected and we printed 21716.5. Weekly close around 21900 is the most likely outcome for me. We have no acceptance above 21900 and none below 21800 as well. A trend day tomorrow would surprise me.
current market cycle: trading range
key levels: 21700 - 22100
bull case: Bulls want to close the week above 21800 to print a green one. They had spikes above 21900 but nothing else. They are still somewhat in control because we are not making meaningful lower lows and are still at the highs but price action is neutral since last week so no side has the clear advantage. Weekly close above 22000 would be a surprise to me.
Invalidation is below 21680.
bear case: Bears have to close the gap down to 21680 if they want more downside. Until then they have to fade everything above 21900 since that has been profitable for a week now. A weekly close below 21800 would be a decent sell signal going into next week and a clear break of the wedge. Problem for the bears is the same as for bulls on the other side. On the 4h chart we have big tails above and below bars. Market is completely in balance around 21850ish and therefor I expect a weekly close around that price.
Invalidation is above 22100.
short term: Completely neutral. New high or low would surprise me tomorrow. I expect a choppy session where mean reversion will likely be king.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-05-24: Will update this section more after the coming week but in general the thesis is as for dax. Down over the summer and sideways to up into year end. I don’t think the lows for this year are in.
trade of the day: Longing 21730 because it was support all week and the obvious trade.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 6/12/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2025
- PR High: 21894.25
- PR Low: 21827.25
- NZ Spread: 150.0
Key scheduled economic events:
08:30 | Initial Jobless Claims
- PPI
13:00 | 30-Year Bond Auction
Session Open Stats (As of 12:25 AM 6/12)
- Session Open ATR: 376.45
- Volume: 24K
- Open Int: 268K
- Trend Grade: Neutral
- From BA ATH: -3.6% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22096
- Mid: 20383
- Short: 19246
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
Nasdaq Futures: Tariff Talk, Tech Fatigue Turn TideHaving surged more than 20% from the April lows, we could be nearing a turning point for Nasdaq 100 futures.
Bullish momentum is showing signs of shifting lower, while Wednesday’s inverted hammer candle—on a day when tech stocks were given every excuse to rally thanks to the soft U.S. inflation report and subsequent decline in Treasury yields—warns the rally may be running out of steam.
With Donald Trump talking about setting firm tariff rates for individual nations within the next two weeks, we’re already seeing signs of weakness in futures, bolstering the prospect for a three-candle evening star pattern being completed. Sitting in a rising wedge, directional risks seem to be skewing lower.
If the price breaks and closes beneath wedge support, it would create a setup where shorts could be established with a stop above Wednesday’s high to protect against a resumption of the bullish trend.
21436 is a minor support level that screens as an initial target, although 20800—where the price bounced strongly from on May 23—makes for a more appealing case from a risk-reward perspective.
A push and close above 21969—a minor resistance level established earlier this year—would invalidate the bearish bias.
Good luck!
DS
200 EMA Futures Strategy Recap: June 10–11Description:
Market Context:
During my trading window (11:00–17:00 ET), price remained decisively above the 200-period EMA.
Key Rule:
• As one of several entry conditions, the model only goes long when price is above the 200 EMA.
June 10–11 Trades:
NQ Strategy: Two long entries—one on June 10 and one on June 11.
ES Strategy: One short entry on June 11 (all other rules aligned).
Feel free to ask questions or share feedback!
Potential Head and Shoulders PatternHow to identify head and shoulders patterns?
We’ll use the current example from the Nasdaq or the US markets. We can quite clearly observe that a potential head and shoulders formation is developing. This means that if the price breaks below the neckline, we may see a deeper correction from the April low.
I will go through the rules on how to identify a head and shoulders formation.
We will also cover how to recognize when the pattern is invalid — meaning the market may continue pushing above its all-time high.
Finally, we’ll discuss how we can position ourselves early, before waiting for a break below the neckline for confirmation.
Let’s first go through the rules of identifying head and shoulders with rules stated.
Next, how to recognize when the pattern is invalid, the market continues pushing above its all-time high. The key is in the closing price above the all-time high.
Lastly, how we can position ourselves early, before waiting for a break below the neckline for confirmation.
Of course, we can wait for the break to come as a confirmation, but usually I would like to be a little more active than being passive. So this is just for your reference. It may not be for everyone.
This is where I always get into its micro view by first acknowledging where is the macro is, which we had just discussed. Please refer to the following video:
So what do you think that the market likely or unlikely to fulfill this head and shoulders set-up?
I’d like to hear your thoughts on this.
Micro Nikkei Futures
Ticker: MNQ
Minimum fluctuation:
0.25 index points = $0.50
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
Trading the Micro: www.cmegroup.com
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Ether Leads Markets HigherThe crypto markets move to the upside continued in today's session, with Ether futures leading the way higher trading up over 8% while Bitcoin rose nearly 1.5%. There has been significant strength from the Crypto markets over the last few weeks, and Ether is now trading right near the 50% retracement mark from the December 2024 high price when looking at a daily chart. Along with Bitcoin and Ether, the Solana market also saw a sharp rise over 5% on the session while XRP saw slight losses.
Outside of the Crypto markets, the Equity Indices traded slightly higher near 0.5% with Tesla leading the Nasdaq higher on the session. This is the third session in a row with a new higher high price for the S&P and could support a strong market at these levels. There have also been continued talks between President Trump and China about tariff policy, and the outcomes could add significant volatility to markets globally when resolved.
If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs tradingview.com/cme/
*CME Group futures are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of loss. Copyright © 2023 CME Group Inc.
**All examples in this report are hypothetical interpretations of situations and are used for explanation purposes only. The views in this report reflect solely those of the author and not necessarily those of CME Group or its affiliated institutions. This report and the information herein should not be considered investment advice or the results of actual market experience.
Nasdaq Potential Daily ReversalIPDA Speaking + Contract closure we can see speed take place to reach BSL outside IPDA range but why whould the just past 20 days HRLR instead of moving higher with speed
Because of Intermarket striction
maybe to build more stops there but it would be greater in terms of liquidity efficiency to place a fake D high in here and reverse, take the liquidity lower on D HRLR and then continue higher to reach 22,672.00.
The key here is: do we breach above the D SIBI or do we react from it.
one of two will unlock the next 20 to 40 trading days of delivery.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 6/11/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2025
- PR High: 21983.75
- PR Low: 21937.00
- NZ Spread: 104.75
Key scheduled economic events:
08:30 | CPI (Core|YoY|MoM)
10:30 | Crude Oil Inventories
13:00 | 10-Year Note Auction
Session Open Stats (As of 12:25 AM 6/11)
- Session Open ATR: 380.78
- Volume: 24K
- Open Int: 272K
- Trend Grade: Neutral
- From BA ATH: -3.4% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22096
- Mid: 20383
- Short: 19246
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone