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US100 if you draw a trendline from the top 2021 to the top 2024 in dec and to today you see that we got a reaction to that line.

Do what you want with that info. Have a great weekend

US100 looking for something along these lines for next week.
Snapshot

๐ŸŒ€ Macro Beats. BTC Breaks. SPX Still Stuck.
๐Ÿ“† Friday, July 18, 2025 | โฐ 17:00 London / 12:00 NY
๐Ÿ“ฆ Market Context: Solid housing and sentiment beats met with intraday market indifference โ€” Silver leads, BTC traps.

NDX SPX GOLD SILVER - Weekend Profit Take, or Unwind?

๐Ÿ“‰ Data Recap:
โ€ข ๐Ÿ”ผ Housing Starts: 1.321M vs 1.30M forecast (+4.6% MoM) โ†’ surprise upside
โ€ข ๐Ÿ”ผ Consumer Sentiment: 61.8 vs 60.5 forecast โ†’ emotional lift
โ€ข ๐Ÿ”ป Inflation Expectations: 4.4% vs 5.0% prior โ†’ disinflation tilt building
โ†’ Macro = constructive, but price = uncommitted. Divergence growing.

๐Ÿ“Š Key Ticker Moves (AM โ†’ Now):
โ€ข BTCUSD: 120,553.94 โ†’ 117,851.43 (โ€“2.24%) ๐Ÿ”ป
โ€ข QQQ: 561.80 โ†’ 561.23 (โ€“0.10%)
โ€ข NDX: 23,081.05 โ†’ 23,089.84 (+0.04%)
โ€ข SPY: 628.04 โ†’ 627.71 (โ€“0.05%)
โ€ข SPX: 6,297.36 โ†’ 6,300.79 (+0.05%)
โ€ข DJIA: 13,925.29 โ†’ 13,896.50 (โ€“0.21%)
โ€ข RTY: 2,265.20 โ†’ 2,251.10 (โ€“0.62%) ๐Ÿ”ป
โ€ข DXY: 98.616 โ†’ 98.616 (0.00%)
โ€ข XAUUSD: 3,334.65 โ†’ 3,352.05 (+0.52%) ๐ŸŸข
โ€ข XAGUSD: 38.1335 โ†’ 38.2585 (+0.33%)
โ€ข WTICOUSD: 67.647 โ†’ 67.443 (โ€“0.30%)
โ€ข VIX: 16.51 โ†’ 16.41 (โ€“0.61%)
โ€ข VVIX: 92.90 โ†’ 93.52 (+0.67%) โš ๏ธ

๐Ÿ” Flow Notes:
โ€ข SPX: Macro-positive but still compression-bound. No vol escape yet.
โ€ข NDX: Flat but stable. Relative strength vs SPX holds.
โ€ข BTC: Cracked. +2% turned โ€“2.2% = full sentiment reversal.
โ€ข Gold: Climbing on disinflation beats = flow turning defensive.
โ€ข DXY: No reaction. Suggests macro already priced or ignored.

๐ŸŽฏ Trade Ideas:
โ€ข ๐ŸŸข Long Bias: Silver โ€” Macro-sweet spot asset, leading tactically.
โ€ข ๐Ÿ”ด Short Bias: BTC โ€” Failed breakout + macro beat rejection = signal break.
โ€ข โš–๏ธ Neutral: SPX โ€” All the right data, none of the move.

โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”
Best Wishes and Success to All
๐Ÿ›ก๏ธ Take Profits, Not Chances.
๐Ÿ’ฐ Manage Risk to Accumulate.
๐ŸŽฏ React with Clarity, Not Hope.
๐ŸŒŠ Flow with Intelligence, Not Noise.

โš™๏ธ Views are Personal & Educational, reflective of our Analysis and Research.
๐ŸŽฏ Summary posts only. Full context via DM.
โš ๏ธ Educational content only. Not investment advice.
๐Ÿ“‰ Macro Pulse data reflects releases as of July 18, 2025
Snapshot

NAS100 Closed my short from 23,140 with a small profit. Back next week.

US100 I have to say I'm starting to get tired of seeing Trump appear in the media every day, both his name and his face. It's a kind of celebrity effect where you start to get sick of it. Why didn't America at least elect some hot milf? Next time ban old men from candidature.

NAS100 recent post was just mentioning who had reported earnings :)

NAS100 | Company | Ticker | Has Reported? | Earnings Date (Q2/Next Q) |
|------------|--------|----------------|-----------------------------------|
| Netflix | NFLX | โœ… Yes | July 17, 2025 (Q2โ€™) |
| Apple | AAPL | โŒ No | July 31, 2025 (Q3 est.) |
| Microsoft | MSFT | โŒ No | July 30, 2025 (Q4 FY25 est.) |
| Meta | META | โŒ No | July 30, 2025 (Q2 FY25 est.) |
| Amazon | AMZN | โŒ No | Late July 2025 (est.) |
| NVIDIA | NVDA | โŒ No | Late July/Early Aug 2025 (est.) |
| Alphabet A | GOOGL | โŒ No | Late July 2025 (est.) |
| Alphabet C | GOOG | โŒ No | Late July 2025 (est.) |
| Tesla | TSLA | โŒ No | Late July 2025 (est.) |
| Others | โ€” | โŒ No | Late Julyโ€“Early Aug 2025 (est.) |


NAS100 Also Fridayโ€™s are one of the worst days to trade.