US 500 Index forum
BTCUSDT Is inflation making a comeback? The U.S. economy appears to be overheating, as evidenced by Friday's red-hot Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report of 256k, far surpassing the expected 164k. Following last week's macroeconomic data, hopes for imminent rate cuts have evaporated, leading to a sharp decline in equities. Adding to inflation concerns are potential Trump-era tariffs back in the spotlight.Despite these macroeconomic challenges and lingering uncertainty from the Silk Road case, crypto markets have shown resilience, with 91k and $3100 support levels holding firm for now. Implied volatility remains relatively low and continues to decline, with only a slight put skew on the short-term horizon, extending into the period after Trump's inauguration.
However, crypto's position remains precarious. The looming macroeconomic challenges—upcoming PPI (January 14), CPI (January 15), and Unemployment Claims (January 16)—could stir further volatility. As the U.S. economy heats up, this week could be a pivotal moment for crypto to prove its worth as an inflation hedge.
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XAUUSDBTCUSDT The Trump administration plans to appoint about 24 CEOs and founders to its proposed crypto advisory council to provide guidance on digital asset policy and work with Congress to draft cryptocurrency legislation. The council also plans to build a strategic Bitcoin reserve. It will also work with key government agencies, including the SEC, CFTC, and Treasury, to promote regulatory clarity and promote a pro-crypto environment. SPX NDX DXY 
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SPX Repeating Friday statement regarding breaking below the weekly 20MA...if price continues down Monday look for a correction to the 5500/5600 range before a true trend reversal. Futures (ES) are down from Friday close FYI.BTCUSDT This week, the United States will release the December PPI annual rate and the December unadjusted CPI annual rate. Currently, the probability of maintaining the current interest rate unchanged at the first interest rate decision of this year on January 29 is as high as 97.3%SPX NDX DXY XAUUSD
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US30Hi, In my point of view, I see and I understand the reason of that bearish wave. Which I expected as you know from its beginning by date and by price even which I see that no one here from analysts or anywhere else noticed. May you wonder how I knew! And how I expected a huge breaish waves would hit the markets on those levels!!
And the answer is in one date. The date of 05.08.24. I will reveal it here for the first time. Yes in this date! All you remember the huge bearish wave which hit the USA indexes? The carry trade when Japan raised interest rate by 25 basis points and that caused huge panic? That caused insane bearish wave, then on 05.08.24 a huge bullish retrace happened leaving behind gaps and even from before.. When Warren buffet (one of my idol leaders and examples with Robert Kiosaki) sold his shares he was expecting the problem of the carry trade from before and he knew that later on whatever they would go up (due to rate cuts), the sell day would come no doubt! They he would jump in!!
The US 30, the US 100 and the S&P 500 are paying the price now back!!!
So imagine with me that all those bullish waves by all its candles from the 05.08.24 till the ATHs were deleted and imagine that we are now stucked in this date 02.08.24, and ask yourselves one question, where the price would go if we were on 02.08.24 as per your chart patterns and analysis!
You answered!? Perfect
I hope you understood my words and what I meant 😉
SPX The RSI from the average of SPX stocks above DMA (20, 50, 100, 200) is forming a bullish divergence. Are we in for a positive surprise? Let's wait and see.
DAL Delta reported a 9% year-over-year increase in Q4 revenue, reaching $15.6 billion, surpassing estimates by $1.08 billion. Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) came in at $1.85, beating expectations by $0.11. The airline noted strong demand for premium seating and international travel, with premium revenue growing six percentage points faster than main cabin revenue. Investments in upscale offerings, such as enhanced lounges and high-end cabins, continue to attract both leisure and business travelers.CEO Ed Bastian described the supply-demand dynamics as the best he’s witnessed, driven by double-digit growth in corporate travel and a resurgence in transatlantic bookings. Looking ahead, Delta forecasts its best financial performance in FY25, projecting adjusted EPS above $7.35 and free cash flow exceeding $4 billion. The company also announced a new partnership with Uber for its SkyMiles program, replacing its previous collaboration with Lyft.
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US500 The current price action on the US500 has brought us to a critical bullish order block, which previously set up the ATH and has held as support twice before. This reinforces the importance of this level. However, we recognize that while the market is oversold, confirmation through a bullish change of character (CoCh) is essential to validate the retracement move we are anticipating.Our focus is to remain patient and wait for the market to show us signs of recovery—specifically, a break in the minor downtrend to confirm buyer strength at this level. Acting prematurely without confirmation risks catching a falling knife, especially in a market still aligned with a larger downtrend. By waiting for price to validate our analysis, we can confidently position for a potential move toward the 0.618 to 0.786 Fibonacci extension levels, aligning with a likely lower high and the descending triangle structure.
This disciplined approach ensures that we remain aligned with the market’s signals rather than forcing trades. Follow us for more in-depth trade setups, actionable insights, and strategies designed to keep you one step ahead of the market. Let’s trade with substance and precision!