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US 500 (per 1.0)US 500 (per 1.0)US 500 (per 1.0)

US 500 (per 1.0)

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Samthecarpetman
SPX Market Probability Outlook: Week of June 9–13

📈 Monday, June 9 – 66.7% chance of climbing → Bullish bias.
Note: 2008 saw the second-worst June ever—Dow -10.2%, S&P -8.6%, only 1930 was worse. NASDAQ: -9.1% in June 2008, -9.4% in June 2002.

📉 Tuesday, June 10 – 38.1% chance of climbing → Weak setup.

📉 Wednesday, June 11 – 38.1% chance of climbing → Same low odds as Tuesday.

📈 Thursday, June 12 – 61.9% chance of climbing → Leaning bullish.
“The longer you can look back, the farther you can look forward.” – Winston Churchill

📈 Friday, June 13 – 61.9% chance of climbing → Another day leaning bullish.
CJBlueNorther
SPX What are the odds the entirety of the 2020's decade plays out as a gigantic head-and-shoulders pattern? Then concluding just in time for the "Agenda 2030 Great Reset".
Snapshot
SonicTrex
SPX 📉 SPX: The cost of undermining credibility

Markets aren’t just responding to rates — they’re reacting to credibility risk.

Talk of attempting to fire Powell again sends a dangerous signal:
that monetary policy could become subordinate to political objectives,
rather than guided by data and long-term economic mandates.

The S&P 500 is priced on confidence — in earnings, in stability, and in the central bank’s independence.
Removing that foundation doesn’t lead to a soft landing.
It leads to revaluation, volatility, and risk repricing across asset classes.

You don’t restore growth by removing discipline.
You accelerate instability.

#SPX #S&P500 #FedIndependence #FirePowell #MarketRisk #MacroVolatility #CredibilityCrisis #MonetaryPolicy #InstitutionalTrust
US500 I don't like this, it's caught in a limbo. Either Monday following through with this momentum or hard pullback.
Rizq-FX
🧠 SPX500USD – June 6, 2025 (Midday Update)
Pennant Pinball.. be mindful of Friday risk off close

📊 Current Price: 5,996.25 (+1.08%)
🟢 Bias: Bullish (Confirmed by structure & momentum)

🔹 Macro + Data Recap:

NFP: 139K vs 130K expected ✅

Hourly Earnings MoM: 0.4% vs 0.3% forecast ⚠️

Unemployment steady at 4.2%

Used Car Prices: -1.4% MoM → disinflationary

🔹 Options Flow (SPX):

Gamma Flip: 5950

Max Pain: 5940

Call Wall: 6000C → Price pushing into dealer hedging territory

Put/Call Ratio: 0.75 (Bullish lean)

🔹 Chart Insights:

Reclaimed VWAP and broke ORB high at 5990

Smart Buy actived with 80% confidence

Volume remains thin – moves can overextend fast

🎯 Targets:

TP1: 5973 ✅

TP2: 6024

Macro TP: 6065+

⚠️ Risk:

If price drops below 5950, we may flip back into negative gamma territory.

Liquidity remains shallow – tight stop management recommended.

🛡️ Titan Protect Strategy:
Momentum + structure align. Let price confirm continuation through 6000.
No chasing — only scale into strength.

Take Profit, Not Chances. Manage Risk to Accumulate.

👉 Follow us for NAS100USD & Watchlist sentiment next.
Snapshot
SonicTrex
SPX 📈 SPX Is Addicted to the Pivot — But the Fed Isn’t Coming

Since early 2024, the market has been holding onto one narrative: “The rate cut is coming.”
Month after month, CPI prints, labor data, and Fed speakers say otherwise — and yet, SPX keeps pricing in a dovish pivot that never arrives.

This is no longer optimism — it’s dependency.

🧠 The Fed’s dual mandate is not to protect asset prices, but to ensure price stability and employment. With unemployment still historically low and tariffs likely to reignite inflation over the next 4–6 months, there is no rational case for a cut in the near term.

Markets are too desperate, too early.
We’ve been stuck in the “rate cut soon” cycle since Q1 2024 — and that hope trade is long in the tooth.

📉 The longer the Fed waits, the harder the unwind.

#SPX #FederalReserve #RateCutHope #MacroRisk #EquityMarkets #CFA #Inflation #TariffLag #LiquidityTrap #TradingView