USDCHF Discretionary Analysis: Bounce at 0.85Hello traders.
I'm anticipating the momentum on USDCHF to carry on. Got my eyes locked on the 0.85 area. It might turn into a strong bounce point. If the signs are there, I'm jumping in with a short.
Discretionary Trading: Where Experience Becomes the Edge
Discretionary trading is all about making decisions based on what you see, what you feel, and what you've learned through experience. Unlike systematic strategies that rely on fixed rules or algorithms, discretionary traders use their judgment to read the market in real time. It's a skill that can't be rushed, because it's built on screen time, pattern recognition, and the ability to stay calm under pressure.
There's no shortcut here. You need to see enough market conditions, wins, and losses to build that intuition—the kind that tells you when to pull the trigger or sit on your hands. Charts might look the same, but context changes everything, and that's something only experience can teach you.
At the end of the day, discretionary trading is an art, refined over time, sharpened through mistakes, and driven by instinct. It's not for everyone, but for those who've put in the work, it can be a powerful way to trade.
USDCHF trade ideas
USD/CHF Breakout Done, Best 2 Place To Sell & Get 250 Pips ClearHere is my opinion on USD/CHF , We have a very good breakout already done with amazing bearish candle , so i think will go back to retest the broken support and then continue to downside , so as i mentioned on my chart we have 2 places to sell from it , if the price touch the first area and give us a good bearish P.A , Then we can enter with small lot size and if the price touch the highest area we can add a good lot size , and targeting 200 pips .
This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
USDCHF: Classic Trend-Following Trading Setup Analyzing the price movement of 📉USDCHF.
Following a significant downward trend, the price started to consolidate within a horizontal channel on a 4-hour chart.
The violation of the channel's lower boundary indicates a strong bearish indication, suggesting a likely continuation of the downward trend.
Goal - 1.4902
USD/CHF BULLISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| LONG
Hello, Friends!
The BB lower band is nearby so USD/CHF is in the oversold territory. Thus, despite the downtrend on the 1W timeframe I think that we will see a bullish reaction from the support line below and a move up towards the target at around 0.814.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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USDCHF Daily, H4,H1 Forecasts, Technical Analysis & Trading IdeaMidterm forecast:
0.84000 is a major resistance, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be downtrend.
OANDA:USDCHF
Technical analysis:
A trough is formed in daily chart at 0.80385 on 04/21/2025, so more gains to resistance(s) 0.83314 and maximum to Major Resistance (0.84000) is expected.
Take Profits:
0.83314
0.84000
0.85430
0.86286
0.87550
0.89147
0.90367
0.92218
0.94400
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USDCHF H4 I Bullish Bounce OffBased on the H4 chart analysis, the price is falling toward our buy entry level at 0.8044, aligning with the 161.8% FIbo extension.
Our take profit is set at 0.8114, a pullback resistance.
The stop loss is placed at 0.8163, a pullback resistance.
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USD/CHF Rebounds from Multi-Year LowUSD/CHF Rebounds from Multi-Year Low
As the charts show, the USD/CHF exchange rate fell below 0.810 US dollars per franc earlier this week. The pair had not traded this low since the 2008 financial crisis. Demand for the Swiss franc as a safe-haven currency was driven by concerns over the escalation of the trade war between the United States and other major economies.
However, the USD/CHF pair has since rebounded and is currently trading above 0.825. This recovery was supported by yesterday’s statement from Finance Minister Bessent at the JPMorgan Private Investors Conference, where he expressed optimism about imminent de-escalation in trade tensions with China.
Technical Analysis of the USD/CHF Chart
The chart indicates that the trend remains bearish, highlighted by the descending channel marked in red. A bullish attempt to push the price into the upper half of the channel earlier this morning (as shown by the arrow) failed to produce any significant momentum.
The price is fluctuating around the median line, a level where supply and demand tend to balance. It is possible that the market has already priced in the positive news from yesterday, and the bears may attempt to reassert pressure, driving the price back towards the 0.810 support level.
Nevertheless, much will depend on the fundamental backdrop. A stronger dollar could follow in response to possible developments such as:
→ a statement from China signalling readiness to de-escalate its tariff policy;
→ signs of progress in trade deals between the United States and key partners such as Japan, South Korea, and India.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
USD/CHF Bearish Tri Breakout - 5 Signs of a Strong Bearish BreakOANDA:USDCHF Bears have started the week off hot with Price having dropped 1.16% at the time of publication since Market Open. This price decline has seen a Breakout and fresh low after price has been caught in a Bearish Triangle Pattern, formed by Lower Highs into a Support Level.
1) Price has been trading well Below the 200 EMA.
2) After Price makes contact of the 34 EMA Band while attempting a Breakout of the Falling Resistance of the Triangle, it is sent back down into pattern.
3) After the rejection at the Falling Resistance, we see an influx of Volume enter the Markets, ultimately leaning Bearish.
4) All the Price Action while in Pattern has happened while the RSI has been Below 50, adding Bearish Pressure.
5) Price has made a strong Bearish Candle Break so far of the Support Level of the Triangle and the currently Low of Price @ .80684 has given us a new Lower Low, breaking the Support Level Low @ .80983, suggesting Bears have taken the Support Level and will turn it Resistance.
** With all Indications combined, I believe we are looking at a True Bearish Breakout of the Triangle and will be looking for a Break & Retest Set-Up!
--> Once Price Confirms the Break and Closes, We should expect a Retest of the Break of Support between ( .80983 - .81141 ) to deliver potential Short Opportunities!
Now, Fundamentals:
Price Action lately has heavily been influenced by a couple factors:
- Federal Reserves current dilemma with deciding to not cut Interest Rates in the assumption that the Tariffs will Rise Inflation while the CPI y/y on April 10th printed a -.4% drop from 2.8% to 2.4% which could create complications later if Interest Rates are not cut soon enough.
(If Global Trade slows, that alone will Inflate prices, Tariffs (once applied) will affect as well)
- ECB has made the decision to cut Interest Rates 25 bps from 2.65% to 2.4%. This alone in-time will start the act of slowing the economy so the euro doesn't inflate too much and, in theory, will make the Euro seem less attractive for foreign investment.
This could leave investors to lean towards one of the worlds most "Safe-haven" currencies, the Swiss Franc with the Franc currently hitting a 10-Year High!
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USDCHF LONG FORECAST Q2 W17 D23 Y25USDCHF LONG FORECAST Q2 W17 D23 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Trade confluences
- Weekly order block rejection
- Weekly imbalance to be filled
- Daily bullish close
- 4H 50 EMA supporting long position
- Intraday breaks of structure
- 15’ order block created
- Tokyo ranges to be filled
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
USD/CHF Breakout Done , Long Setup Valid With 250 Pips Target !Here is a 4H Clear Breakout , so we can wait the price to go back and retest the broken res that forced the price to close below many times for many days , and finally we have a very good closure above it with clear Bullish Price Action , so we can enter a buy trade with retest and targeting 250 pips at least cuz the price go down very hard without any retracement .
USDCHF Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow Analysis !In this video I will be sharing my USDCHF analysis today, by providing my complete technical and order flow analysis, so you can watch it to possibly improve your forex trading skillset. The video is structured in 3 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the COT data analysis, so how the big payers in market are moving their orders, and to do this I will be using my customized proprietary software and then I will be putting together these two different types of analysis.
USD/CHF New Entry Valid After D Closure , Do You Agree ?Here is my opinion on USD/CHF After it gave me +50 Pips 0 Drawdown , if you checked my first analysis on USD/CHF This week , you will see that the price follow the analysis 100% and i`m waiting for second entry on this pair after D Closure above this strong Res shown in the chart , if we have this closure , i`m sure we can add new entry with 250 pips target .
This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
USDCHF – 15-Minute Chart Analysis (April 17, 2025)📌 Key Observations:
🔴 Supply Zone:
0.89180 – 0.89489 (approx)
Marked by the olive green box and red SL zone.
Price previously touched this zone → strong rejection → created a valid Supply Zone.
🔹Resistance Flip at 0.88800:
Clearly respected on retest after the drop.
Price came back to retest this area and failed to close above it — confirming it as a strong resistance (RTO – Return to Origin).
📉 Bearish Market Structure:
After rejecting from supply, price made lower highs and lower lows.
The recent consolidation near 0.8840–0.8850 indicates potential for another leg down.
✅ Trade Setup (Shown on Chart):
Sell Entry: Around 0.88400–0.88500
SL: Just above 0.89489 (above the last supply rejection wick).
TP: Looks to be around 0.8718 or further, possibly targeting a FVG fill or demand zone.
⚖️ Confluences Supporting the Short:
Technical Element Status
Supply zone rejection ✅ Confirmed
Bearish BOS (Break of Structure) ✅ Done
RTO at resistance ✅ Valid
Consolidation before potential drop ✅ Present
Risk:Reward ✅ Appears to be 1:4+
⚠️ Watch Out:
Agar price breaks and holds above 0.8890–0.8910, then bearish bias weaken ho sakta hai.
Aggressive NY or economic news can also spike price for liquidity grab.
Bearish reversal off pullback resistance?USD/CHF is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 38.2% and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.8364
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 38.2% and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.8511
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.8212
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bullish bounce off 50% Fibonacci support?USD/CHF is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.8114
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.8067
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.8241
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
USDCHF: One More Bearish Wave Ahead?! 🇺🇸🇨🇭
It looks like USDCHF has successfully completed a consolidation
after quite an extended bearish rally.
A breakout of a support line of an ascending triangle pattern
on a 4H time frame provides a strong bearish confirmation.
We can expect a movement down at least to 0.81 level.
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USDCHFHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on USD/CHF?
On the weekly timeframe, USD/CHF has broken below a major support zone that has acted as a key reversal area multiple times over the past two years. This support zone, has now been clearly breached. Additionally, price has also fallen below the long-term ascending trendline, signaling a potential shift in market structure.
A corrective move (pullback) back toward the broken support zone is expected, after which the pair is likely to resume its downtrend.
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