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USD/JPY_SPT - USD/JPY

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USDJPY_SPT trade ideas

USD/JPY Trade Breakdown | Price Action + SMA StrategyUSD/JPY Trade Breakdown | Price Action + SMA Strategy In this video, I break down my latest USD/JPY trade setup using clean price action combined with key moving average levels. You'll see how I used market structure, momentum shifts, and simple confirmations to identify a high-probability entry. ✅ Timeframe: ✅ Strategy: Trend-following with 20/200 SMA + price action ✅ Direction: ✅ Entry, Stop Loss, and Take Profit levels included ✅ Ideal for scalpers and intraday traders If you found value in this breakdown, don’t forget to leave a comment or follow for more trade insights. Stay sharp and patient in the markets!
by dominicdrock
Short All weekly momentum indicators IMACD, RSI and Stochastic) are all bearish, so I have been looking for a short opportunity in 4H and daily charts. $151.85 is the major resistance and support zone (black horizontal line in the chart).  On Feb 6, USD/JPY broke and closed below the area, but it failed to continue to the downside. In the following few days, it retraced to Fib 0.5 area but started to move down. Today the price broke below Fib 0.236.   I like the yesterday's strong red candle, cancelling all the buy pressure from the previous day.  I opened a short position this morning.   Entry at $152.83. Stop Loss: $155.145 Target 1: $149.52  (move stop loss to the entry level once it hits this level) Target 2: $147.395
Short
by EbonyFalcon
4
Short! I opened two short positions yesterday.   I have a few short positions that I opened last week, but I feel comfortable adding more now. Entry - blue horizonal line in the chart. Stop loss - red horizontal line in the chart. Target 1, 2, 3 - black horizontal lines in the chart. If it hit target one, I will move a stop loss to the entry position.Target 1 is the previous month low so I anticipate some correction.  Once it resumes the downward movement, I plan to add position.   4H RSI provides reliable indication for pull back or trend reversal.  So I will keep an eye on it.   If you are interested in knowing my reasoning for my bearish bias, please check out the linked articles I published last week.
Short
by EbonyFalcon
USD/JPY - ShortWeekly (Bias Validation) - Price between EMAs → ❌ Ranging - Major Swing Point High: 158.880 Low: 146.543 D1 (Daily): Trend Bias - Price below 200EMA & 50EMA on D1 → ✅ Bearish Bias - Major Swing Point High: 154.804 Low: 146.543 - ✅ Break of Structure (BoS) + Volume Imbalance - Price below Weekly VWAP → ✅ Bearish Bias
 H4 (4-Hour): Trend Bias - Price below 200EMA & 50EMA on D1 → ✅ Bearish Bias - Major Swing Point High: 151.214 Low: 149.684 - ✅ Break of Structure (BoS) + Volume Imbalance - Price below Weekly VWAP → ✅ Bearish Bias - High-Probability Entry Zones (H4 OTE) - H4 OB (OTE) H1 (1-Hour): Trend Bias - Swing Point High: 150.953 Low: 149.684 - ✅ Break of Structure (BoS) + Volume Imbalance - H4 OB → (OTE) - H1 OB → (OTE) 🔲 Validate with VWAP:
✔ ✅ H1 VWAP must align with H4 OTE before entry
✔ ✅ If price rejects H1 VWAP + OB midpoint, strong trade setup 🔲 Entry Options:
✔ Option 1 (Limit Order Entry): * Place a limit order at the OB midpoint inside OTE * Set stop-loss below OB (for longs) / above OB (for shorts) ✔ Option 2 (EMA Confirmation Entry): * ✅ Enter when 9EMA crosses 21EMA near OTE * ✅ Must have Volume Imbalance Confirmation 🔲 Final Confirmation:
✔ ✅ High Volume on Structure Break → Confirms strong move
✔ ✅ Low Volume on Pullback → Smart money accumulation
Short
by warsam
USDJPY Analysis: A Short Opportunity Ahead Based on EASY TradingThe EASY Trading AI strategy signals a selling opportunity on USDJPY at the entry point of 149.207. The trade target is set at 148.70633333, with a protective stop loss established at 150.09433333. The decision to sell aligns with the AI model indicating an overbought scenario near the current resistance levels. Technical indicators within EASY Trading AI strategy suggest weakening bullish momentum, increasing probabilities of a corrective downward move. Traders are advised to monitor closely and maintain risk management at recommended levels.
Short
by ForexRobotEasy
Dollar-yen tanks, retesting seven-month lowsHavens generally had a significant boost from Donald Trump’s latest announcement of sweeping new tariffs, with the yen in particular showing strong overall gains in most of its pairs. Flight to safety has been the primary driver for the yen in the last couple of days. The yen’s expected higher yield later this year could now be questioned because the impact of tariffs on Japanese inflation might not be very large while exports will almost certainly be lower than previously expected. When the Bank of Japan will hike next remains a significant intrigue; September seems less certain in light of the latest developments. ¥146.50 is still the key support, last month’s low and the area of lows in March last year also. If the price breaks below there successfully, there might be significant continuation before the next possible support. However, volume has been relatively low for dollar-yen in the last couple of days compared to early March, so an immediate move lower is somewhat questionable. A bounce above ¥149 is probably less likely still given both the technical and fundamental situation. The price couldn’t move clearly above ¥151 last month amid low volume, with the 200 SMA functioning as a dynamic resistance. As for euro-dollar, dollar-yen’s next major movement is likely to depend on the reaction to 4 April NFP. If the result isn’t particularly surprising and the trade situation remains confused, consolidation seems to be possible in the next few days. This is my personal opinion, not the opinion of Exness. This is not a recommendation to trade.
by Michael_Stark_Exness
USD/JPY(20250403)Today's AnalysisMarket news: US trade policy-① Trump signed an executive order to establish a 10% "minimum base tariff" for all countries, and will impose reciprocal tariffs, including 20% ​​for the EU, 24% for Japan, 46% for Vietnam, and 25% for South Korea. The tariff exemption for goods that meet the USMCA will continue, and the tariff for those that do not meet the requirements will remain at 25%; ② The US Treasury Secretary called on countries not to retaliate; ③ The base tariff will take effect on April 5, and the reciprocal tariff will take effect on the 9th. In addition, the 25% automobile tariff will take effect on the 3rd, and the automobile parts tariff will take effect on May 3rd; ④ Gold bars, copper, pharmaceuticals, semiconductors and wood products are also not subject to "reciprocal tariffs". Today's buying and selling boundaries: 149.61 Support and resistance levels 150.97 150.46 150.13 149.08 148.75 148.24 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 148.75, consider buying, the first target price is 149.08 If the price breaks through 148.24, consider selling, the first target price is 148.00
by BraveTigercat
ONENTRYUSD/JPY Asian Range Pullback Strategy Timeframe: 30 Minutes Key Session: Asian Market Hours (00:00 - 05:30 +2GMT) Strategy Rules 1. Identify the Asian Range Mark the high and low of USD/JPY between 00:00 - 05:30 ( +2GMT ) Only trade if the range is >25pips (avoids noise). 2. Wait for Breakout + Pullback Breakout: Price must close outside the range (candle body, not wick). Pullback: Enter on a 50% retracement of the Asian range. Longs: Breakout above range → buy at 50% pullback. Shorts: Breakout below range → sell at 50% pullback. 3. Trade Execution Entry: 50% retracement level of the Asian range. Stop Loss: Longs: Below the range low (for breakouts above). Shorts: Above the range high (for breakouts below). Take Profit : 1:1 Risk-Reward (RR). ENTRY 194.82 SL 194.68 TP 194.95
Long
by ONENTRY
Triangle Breakout in JPY/USD – Bullish Move Ahead?This TradingView chart represents a detailed technical analysis setup for the Japanese Yen (JPY) against the U.S. Dollar (USD). The main focus of the chart is a symmetrical triangle pattern breakout, a common formation that signals potential price movement. In this detailed breakdown, we will analyze the following aspects: Technical Pattern: Symmetrical Triangle Formation Support and Resistance Levels Breakout Confirmation Trading Setup Explanation Risk Management Strategy Market Expectations (Bullish & Bearish Scenarios) Conclusion & Trading Plan 1. Technical Pattern: Symmetrical Triangle Formation The chart showcases a symmetrical triangle, which is a continuation pattern that typically occurs in trending markets. It indicates a period of consolidation where buyers and sellers struggle for dominance, leading to an eventual breakout. Characteristics of the Symmetrical Triangle in This Chart: Converging Trendlines: The upper trendline (resistance) is sloping downward, showing lower highs. The lower trendline (support) is sloping upward, showing higher lows. Apex Formation: As the price moves closer to the triangle's apex, volatility decreases, creating a squeeze effect. Breakout Possibility: Once price reaches a critical point, a breakout is expected in either direction. Why is This Pattern Important? Symmetrical triangles suggest that the market is indecisive, but once a breakout occurs, it can trigger a strong price movement. Traders wait for the breakout direction to confirm the trade before entering a position. 2. Key Support and Resistance Levels Support and resistance levels are crucial for identifying potential entry, stop-loss, and target areas. Resistance Level: A horizontal resistance zone (highlighted in beige) is drawn at the top. This zone represents historical price rejection levels, where sellers have previously stepped in. A confirmed breakout above this level would indicate strong bullish momentum. Support Level: The lower support zone (marked in blue) acts as a buying interest area. Price has bounced off this zone multiple times, confirming it as a strong support level. A break below this zone would signal a bearish reversal. Trendline Support: The lower boundary of the symmetrical triangle also acts as dynamic support. If price respects this trendline, it suggests bullish strength leading to a breakout. 3. Breakout Confirmation & Market Reaction The most important part of the setup is the breakout, which occurs when the price successfully moves beyond the triangle's trendline resistance. Key Observations from the Chart: Breakout Zone: The breakout occurs near the right edge of the triangle (circled in red). The price breaks above the upper trendline, confirming a bullish breakout. Confirmation Candle: A bullish candle follows the breakout, confirming buying pressure. Traders should wait for a retest of the trendline before entering. Volume Consideration: Strong breakout moves are typically accompanied by a rise in volume, increasing the likelihood of follow-through. 4. Trading Setup Explanation This trade follows a trend-following breakout strategy, where traders capitalize on price momentum after confirmation. Entry Point: The ideal entry is just above the breakout candle. Traders can also wait for a retest of the broken trendline before entering. Stop Loss Placement: The stop loss is placed slightly below the previous swing low at 0.006652. This prevents excessive drawdowns in case of a false breakout. Profit Target Calculation: The profit target is set at 0.006795, which is calculated based on: The height of the triangle formation projected from the breakout point. The next major resistance level, aligning with historical price action. 5. Risk Management Strategy Risk management is a critical component of any trading strategy. Here’s how it is applied in this setup: Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR): A good trade setup maintains an RRR of at least 2:1. If the stop loss is 33 pips (0.000033) and the target is 112 pips (0.000112), the RRR is 3:1, making this a high-probability trade. Position Sizing Consideration: Risk per trade should be limited to 1-2% of the total account balance. Leverage should be used cautiously, as breakouts can sometimes retest the breakout zone before continuing. 6. Market Expectations (Bullish & Bearish Scenarios) Bullish Scenario (Successful Breakout): ✅ If price sustains above the breakout level, it will likely continue to rally toward the target at 0.006795. ✅ A strong bullish momentum candle would confirm further buying pressure. ✅ If volume supports the breakout, trend continuation is highly probable. Bearish Scenario (False Breakout or Reversal): ❌ If price falls back inside the triangle, it indicates a false breakout. ❌ If price closes below 0.006652, bears take control, and price may drop further. ❌ A breakdown below the support level would shift the market sentiment bearish. 7. Conclusion & Trading Plan This chart presents a classic symmetrical triangle breakout trade with a clear entry, stop-loss, and target strategy. Summary of Trading Plan: Component Details Pattern Symmetrical Triangle Breakout Direction Bullish Entry Point Above the breakout confirmation candle Stop Loss 0.006652 (below support) Take Profit (Target) 0.006795 Risk-to-Reward Ratio Favorable (3:1) Market Bias Bullish (if price sustains above breakout) Final Considerations: Always wait for confirmation before entering. Monitor volume and price action for additional validation. Stick to the risk management plan to minimize losses. If executed correctly, this setup offers a high-probability trade with a strong risk-to-reward ratio, making it a profitable trading opportunity in the JPY/USD market.
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
ONEUSD/JPY Asian Range Pullback Strategy Timeframe: 30 Minutes Key Session: Asian Market Hours (00:00 - 05:30 +2GMT) Strategy Rules 1. Identify the Asian Range Mark the high and low of USD/JPY between 00:00 - 05:30 ( +2GMT ) Only trade if the range is >25pips (avoids noise). 2. Wait for Breakout + Pullback Breakout: Price must close outside the range (candle body, not wick). Pullback: Enter on a 50% retracement of the Asian range. Longs: Breakout above range → buy at 50% pullback. Shorts: Breakout below range → sell at 50% pullback. 3. Trade Execution Entry: 50% retracement level of the Asian range. Stop Loss: Longs: Below the range low (for breakouts above). Shorts: Above the range high (for breakouts below). Take Profit : 1:1 Risk-Reward (RR).
Short
by ONENTRY
Will the BoJ's hawkish approach affect the yen's strength? US equity markets plunged amid growing concerns that the Trump administration's tariffs, set to be announced on April 2, could be aggressively implemented. Goldman Sachs warned that US tariff rates could reach as high as 18%, potentially shaving 1.0% off GDP growth and pushing the unemployment rate to 4.5% this year. Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda signaled a continued tightening stance, stating that if persistently rising food prices lead to broader inflation, the central bank would consider raising interest rates. USDJPY broke below the support at 149.50 before retracing to 150.00. However, failing to reenter the channel, the price hovers near the channel’s lower bound. If USDJPY fails to reenter the channel, the price may break below 149.50 again. Conversely, if USDJPY reenters the channel, the price could gain upward momentum toward the resistance at 151.30.
by inkicho_exness
USDJPY InsightHello, subscribers! Please share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to like and subscribe! Key Points - The White House spokesperson mentioned unfair trade practices in a press briefing, citing examples such as the EU’s 50% dairy tariffs, Japan’s 700% rice tariffs, India’s 100% agricultural tariffs, and Canada’s 300% butter and cheese tariffs. As Japan was specifically mentioned, yen volatility has increased. - Ahead of President Trump’s reciprocal tariff implementation on April 2, discussions within the ECB are strengthening around the need to hold interest rates steady in April, considering the impact of Germany’s fiscal stimulus. This Week’s Key Economic Events + April 1: Reserve Bank of Australia interest rate decision, Eurozone March CPI + April 2: U.S. March ADP Non-Farm Employment Change + April 4: U.S. March Non-Farm Payrolls, U.S. March Unemployment Rate, Fed Chair Powell’s speech USDJPY Chart Analysis The pair has recently shown strong upward momentum, reaching the 151 level before facing resistance and retreating to the 149 level. As the current support and resistance range is quite narrow, it is crucial to observe the market for further direction. >>If the 151 level is breached, an upward move toward the 154–155 range can be expected. >>If it fails to break above 151, support at the 148–149 range will need to be confirmed. A further breakdown below this level could lead to a decline toward the 144–145 range.
by shawntime_academy