#USDJPY : Huge Risk To Buy Read The Description Trading JPY pairs is risky due to the market's volatility.
USDJPY fell below our buying zone due to JPY's bullishness and USD's weakness. While USD has yet to recover, JPY is consolidating. The market is undecided, leading to unusual market movements. We have three targets in this chart analysis. Use it as an alternative bias and have your own analysis and trade management.
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USDJPY_SPT trade ideas
USD/JPY(20250414)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
Fed Collins: It is currently expected that the Fed will need to keep interest rates unchanged for a longer period of time. If necessary, the Fed is "absolutely" ready to help stabilize the market; Kashkari: No serious chaos has been seen yet, and the Fed should intervene cautiously only in truly urgent situations; Musallem: The Fed should be wary of continued inflation driven by tariffs.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
143.41
Support and resistance levels:
146.00
145.03
144.40
142.41
141.79
140.82
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 144.40, consider buying, the first target price is 145.03
If the price breaks through 143.41, consider selling, the first target price is 142.41
USD/JPY SENDS CLEAR BULLISH SIGNALS|LONG
USD/JPY SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 143.111
Target Level: 151.918
Stop Loss: 137.243
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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USD/JPY - Potential TargetsDear Fellow Traders,
How I see it:
This Major pair has the potential for a correction/small bounce.
My "BULLISH" targets in case Daily "Trend Support" holds-
* TP1 & TP2 as indicated.
My "BEARISH" targets in case Daily "Trend Support" are breached-
* TP1 & TP 2 as indicated.
Feel free to ask if anything is unclear.
Thank you for taking the time to study my analysis.
WHY USDJPY BULLISH ??DETAILED ANALYSISUSDJPY is currently reacting strongly from a well-established demand zone near the 142.50–143.00 level. After a sharp correction, price has shown signs of exhaustion at support, suggesting a potential bullish reversal is underway. If this bounce sustains, we could see a significant upside move toward the 157.00 region, aligning with the previous high and maintaining the longer-term bullish structure.
From a technical standpoint, this level has historically acted as a key pivot zone. The bullish engulfing candlestick pattern forming here hints at renewed buyer interest, and with risk-reward highly favorable, this could be an ideal entry point for swing traders. The risk remains limited below 139.00, while the upside potential offers over 1:3 reward.
Fundamentally, the divergence in monetary policy between the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan continues to support a bullish outlook for USDJPY. Recent U.S. inflation data came in hotter than expected, reigniting speculation that the Fed may delay rate cuts. Meanwhile, the BoJ has shown minimal inclination to shift away from ultra-loose policy, keeping the yen pressured.
This pair remains one of the top-watched on TradingView, drawing high search volume due to its volatility and potential breakout structure. With market sentiment leaning risk-on and yield differentials favoring the dollar, this rebound from support could be the beginning of a new leg up. Keep an eye on DXY movements and U.S. treasury yields for confirmation.
USD/JPY...4H chart pattren..USD/JPY – Buy Setup (Daily & 30M Confluence)
Current Price: 143.000
Action: BUY NOW
Reason: Strong bullish momentum building off support zones
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Chart Pattern Analysis (30-Minute Chart)
Structure: Likely forming a bullish flag or breakout from consolidation
Trendline Breakout: If broken upward, confirms momentum continuation
Support Zone: 142.80 – 143.00 (historical buying interest)
Confirmation: Bullish candle close above intraday resistance (e.g., 143.20+)
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Target Levels:
Target 1: 147.500 – Previous swing high / resistance
Target 2: 150.000 – Major psychological level and historical resistance
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Stop Loss:
Below 142.50 (tight risk control below structure)
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Technical Indicators to Watch:
RSI (30M & 1D): If rising but under 70 = healthy momentum
MACD: Bullish crossover supports upward momentum
EMAs: Price above 50 EMA and 200 EMA = trend continuation
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Trade Management:
Consider taking partial profits at 147.500
Trail stop for potential extended move to 150.000
Reassess near 147.000 – expect pullback before continuation
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Want a visual chart for confirmation? I can mock one up or help you read your current chart screenshot.
USDJPY LONG FORECAST Q2 W16 D14 Y25USDJPY LONG FORECAST Q2 W16 D14 Y25
We caught a the long play for a similar setup. We need more this time around.
Why? To be sure of the weekly order block rejection. Compared to EURUSD and EURGBP for example... That is the type of weekly order block rejection we prefer. With that said we will not give up on USDJPY. We simply must await more levels of confluences.
15' break of structure, Order block creation as a result of the BOS. Pull back into area, lower time frame break of structure.
Let's see what USDJPY provides us with.
FRGNT X
USDJPY Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Potential bearish drop?USD/JPY is reacting off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 143.93
1st Support: 139.48
1st Resistance: 147.12
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USDJPY SELLSPrice is currently in an AOI for sells. Price gapped up so I'd hold off on sells until price forms bearish structure on the lower timeframes. Once price resumes bearish structure, look for sells towards 140.500. If price breaks above H1 resistance, I'd look for price to push towards 145.
Weekly FOREX Forecast: Wait To Buy JPY vs USD!In this video, we will analyze JPY futures and USDJPY. We'll determine the bias for the upcoming week, and look for the best potential setups.
The Yen is strong, and will outperform the USD in times of uncertainty. It is the worlds' safe haven of choice.
Look for a small retracement before JPY pushes higher.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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USD/JPY Outlook – Potential Bearish ContinuationUSD/JPY Outlook – Potential Bearish Continuation
Escalating trade war tensions are increasing market uncertainty, triggering risk-off sentiment. In times of global risk, investors typically seek traditional safe-haven assets like the Japanese Yen. With growing fears over trade disruptions and slowing global growth, USD/JPY faces potential bearish continuation as Yen demand strengthens amid market uncertainty.
USDJPY: Major turning point ahead?🧩 On the weekly and monthly timeframes, the structure of CAPITALCOM:USDJPY FX:USDJPY OANDA:USDJPY FOREXCOM:USDJPY FX_IDC:USDJPY remains highly ambiguous. The key question now is: are we on the verge of a long-term trend reversal and the beginning of yen appreciation, or is this just another phase in an ongoing uptrend?
📌 Why it matters: The Carry Trade Effect
The yen has traditionally been a key funding currency in carry trades — a strategy where investors borrow low-yielding yen to invest in higher-yielding assets abroad. However, the unwinding of the carry trade, which started in August 2024 and continues today, is leading to yen strength and broad risk-off across global markets, from equities to crypto.
📊 What does the technical picture say?
Looking at the structure since 2022, we see a series of zigzag formations that collectively resemble a triangle or other corrective pattern.
📌 Base scenario:
We're likely in the development of wave C of a triangle. This wave could extend to the 140–138 area, where we find:
key trendline support
200-week moving average
high volume support zone (VPVR)
or
📌 Alternative view – Ending Diagonal
If the current structure turns out to be an ending diagonal, it may signal a full trend reversal and the start of a deeper cycle of yen strength. This remains an alternate view for now, but one worth tracking.
⚠️ Fundamental triggers for yen strength:
Aggressive Fed rate cuts in 2025
Rising geopolitical risks
Institutional unwind of carry trades
Continued hawkish stance from the BoJ (dependent on inflation metrics)
📍 Bottom line:
This is a pivotal moment. The decision of large players here could define the trend for years to come. Watch the 140–138 zone and volume reactions. A breakdown below this area would confirm the beginning of a strong yen trend.
USDJPY: Expecting Bullish Continuation! Here is Why:
Our strategy, polished by years of trial and error has helped us identify what seems to be a great trading opportunity and we are here to share it with you as the time is ripe for us to buy USDJPY.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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USDJPY - Bearish Momentum Points to Further Downside PotentialBased on the USD/JPY 4-hour chart, the higher probability move appears to be to the downside. The pair has established a clear downtrend since early February, with lower highs and lower lows, and recently broke below the significant support level around 144.00. The recent steep decline from late March to early April shows strong bearish momentum, with price now hovering near 143.50 after a modest retracement. The charted projection suggests further downside movement with potential targets around 142.00-141.00 in the short term, while the highlighted support zone around 142.00 and major support at 139.64 could attract price action. With resistance firmly established in the 147.00-148.00 region and the overall bearish structure intact, sellers appear to have control of this market for the foreseeable future.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
USDJPY AnalysisThis chart displays a 1-hour candlestick chart for USD/JPY (U.S. Dollar vs. Japanese Yen) as of April 13, 2025, using data from OANDA on TradingView. Let’s break down the key elements and provide a technical analysis:
🔍 Chart Overview
• Current Price: Around 143.47
• Trend: The market has been in a clear downtrend from the 151.5 level to around 143.
• Key Tools/Indicators Used:
• BBandLE/BBandSE: Bollinger Band-based Long/Short Entry signals.
• Support & Resistance Zones: Highlighted by the red/purple rectangular zones.
• Risk-to-Reward Trade Setup: Shown using the green (profit target) and red (stop loss) shaded areas.
📊 Support & Resistance Levels
1. Resistance Zones:
• ~151.5 (significant sell-off zone)
• ~147.8–148.3 (where multiple BBandSE entries occurred)
2. Support Zones:
• ~143.0–142.9 (price bounced here recently)
• ~141.9 (potential final support from April 11th)
🔄 Buy Signals
Multiple BBandLE (Buy entries) occurred at:
• ~146
• ~144
• Most recent one around 143, suggesting a potential bottom/reversal.
These coincide with the support zone around 143–142.9, indicating possible accumulation or institutional buying.
📉 Sell Signals
• Several BBandSE (Sell entries) occurred around:
• 151.5
• 148.5
• 147.5
These acted as strong resistance, confirming the bearish momentum that led to the current low.
🧮 Trade Setup
From the chart:
• Entry: Around 143.4 (current level)
• Stop-loss: ~142 (below recent support)
• Target zone: ~147–148.3 (resistance level)
• Risk-to-Reward: Estimated at around 1:3, making it a favorable setup if the reversal holds.
⚠️ Risks
• False breakout risk below 143: Could test 141.9 support or fall further if broken.
• Yen intervention or USD-related economic data could cause sudden volatility.
• Current market sentiment is still bearish, so early entries might need tight management.
✅ Conclusion
• Technical Bias: Short-term bullish reversal potential, but overall trend still bearish.
• Strategy: Ideal for a short-term counter-trend long trade, with tight stop-losses and partial profit-taking near the 147–148 zone.
• Confirmation needed: Wait for a higher high above 144.5–145 to confirm the reversal.