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USD/JPY_SPT - USD/JPY

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USDJPY_SPT trade ideas

USD/JPY Bearish Reversal Key Resistance & Fibonacci Target ZonesOverview: This USD/JPY daily chart shows a potential bearish reversal setup after a break below key support and trendline structure. The pair has recently dropped below a critical demand zone (highlighted in green), which has now turned into resistance. The price is currently attempting a pullback, and a potential rejection from the resistance zone aligns with Fibonacci retracement levels, indicating a continuation of the downtrend. Key Levels & Technical Analysis: Previous Support Turned Resistance: The green zone represents a significant past support area that has now become resistance after a breakdown. Trendline Break: The upward trendline that supported price action for several months has been broken, confirming bearish momentum. Fibonacci Retracement Levels: 0.382 (151.265): A minor resistance level for a possible short-term rejection. 0.5 (148.979): A stronger resistance, aligning with structure. 0.618 - 0.786 (145.053 - 143.582): The ultimate bearish targets, coinciding with Fibonacci retracement extensions. Bearish Projection: The expected scenario suggests a short-term retracement towards the 151.265-148.979 resistance zone. If the price faces rejection, a strong bearish continuation could target 145.053 and ultimately 143.582. Trade Plan: 📌 Short Entry: Around 151.265 - 148.979 if price rejects resistance. 🎯 Target 1: 145.053 (0.70 Fibonacci) 🎯 Target 2: 143.582 (0.786 Fibonacci) 🛑 Stop Loss: Above 152.000 to invalidate the bearish setup. Conclusion: The overall sentiment for USD/JPY is bearish after breaking a key trendline and support level. Traders should watch for a pullback into the resistance zone, followed by a bearish rejection for a potential short trade. However, a break above 152.000 could invalidate this setup, shifting momentum back to the bulls. 📉 Bearish Bias Until Key Resistance Holds! 📉
Short
by NexusTradesZone
USD/JPY Market Analysis – Potential Reversal or Continuation?This 15-minute chart of USD/JPY displays a clear bullish impulse following a Change of Character (ChoCh) and a Break of Structure (BoS) . Price action has reached a key resistance zone, and traders are now anticipating the next move based on market reactions. Key Observations : 1. Change of Character (ChoCh) : - This indicates a shift from bearish to bullish sentiment. - The market rejected lower prices and started forming higher highs and higher lows. 2. b]Break of Structure (BoS) : - This confirms bullish momentum as previous resistance levels are broken. - A strong bullish move suggests demand is dominating. 3. Current Price Action : - The price has approached a liquidity zone (previous high). - Potential rejection at this level suggests profit-taking or a shift in order flow. Possible Scenarios: ✅ Bullish Continuation : - If price retraces into the M15 demand zone (marked on the chart) and finds support, a continuation to the upside is likely. - A break above the current high could push price towards 149.950 or even 150.000. ❌ Bearish Reversal : - If price aggressively rejects the current high and breaks the M15 demand zone , we could see a bearish move towards **149.100 - 148.900**. - This would indicate a deeper correction or potential trend reversal. Trading Plan: - **Wait for confirmation at the M15 demand zone.** - **Look for bullish price action signals for continuation trades.** - **If demand fails, shift bias to bearish setups.** 📌 Conclusion : USD/JPY is at a critical decision point. The next move will depend on whether buyers defend the demand zone or if sellers step in to drive price lower. Stay patient and react to market structure shifts accordingly. 🚀📉
by BeaucoupPips
USDJPY Trading Opportunity! BUY! My dear friends, Please, find my technical outlook for USDJPY below: The instrument tests an important psychological level 154.45 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 155.02 About Used Indicators: Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
1
Fundamental Market Analysis for February 27, 2025 USDJPYThe Japanese yen (JPY) is declining against its US counterpart during the Asian session on Thursday, although it remains near the highest level since October 2024 reached earlier this week. Comments from Bank of Japan (BoJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda last week about a potential increase in regular bond purchases led to a further decline in Japanese government bond (JGB) yields. In addition, concerns over US President Donald Trump's tariff plans and a positive tone on risks proved to be key factors undermining the yen exchange rate. However, a significant Yen depreciation still seems unlikely amid growing market confidence that the Bank of Japan will continue to raise interest rates this year amid rising inflation in Japan. Nevertheless, Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell has made it clear that policymakers are in no hurry to cut interest rates. What's more, previously released U.S. consumer inflation data suggests that the Fed doesn't have much room to cut rates this year. This, in turn, pushed US Treasury bond yields up, widening the yield differential between the US and Japan and limiting the upside potential for the low-yielding Yen. Trading recommendation: BUY 149.200, SL 148.800, TP 150.000
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
USDJPY M30 I Bullish Bounce OffBased on the M30 chart analysis, the price is falling toward our buy entry level at 149.12, a pullback support. Our take profit is set at 149.80, a swing high resistance. The stop loss is placed at 148.56, a swing low support level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/markets): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by FXCM
Short opportunity ?There is a strong line of support and resistance at 148.65 area,    I have a short position I opened a few weeks ago.  I am still patiently waiting for the price to break below this level.   In October 2024, the price tried to break above the same support and resistance area and it took three weeks to properly break above and start the bull trend.  (see blue box in the chart) At the time, the price consolidated in the ascending parallel channel and the momentum indicators were showing clear hidden divergence which is the continuation of the trend. I think the same scenario is unfolding right now.  The price is moving inside the descending parallel channel and RSI is starting to show the hidden divergence.   My overall bias for USDJPY is bearish so I am looking for an entry to short. When the price hit the upper parallel channel and rolle over to the downside, it might be a good place to open a short position.
Short
by EbonyFalcon
4
Dollar weakens amid growing economic uncertainty Persistent tariff threats from the Trump administration and rising concerns over the U.S. economy are weighing on the dollar. Trump reaffirmed his commitment to implementing tariffs on Mexico and Canada according to schedule and reiterated the need for reciprocal tariffs. Meanwhile, weak consumer confidence data further rattled investor sentiment, as the February CB Consumer Confidence Index plunged to 98.3 from 105.3, marking its lowest level since June last year. In Japan, accelerating inflation increases the likelihood of a BoJ rate hike. According to the Ministry of Internal Affairs, Japan’s January CPI rose 3.2%, the largest increase since June 2023. Bloomberg noted that with Japan's inflation among the highest in the G7, the BoJ may continue scaling back stimulus and shifting toward a more restrictive policy stance. After breaking below the ascending trendline, USDJPY shows a persistent downtrend. After EMA21 death-crossed EMA78, it widens the gap and reinforces the bearish momentum. If USDJPY breaks below the support at 148.20, the price could extend its decline toward 145.00. Conversely, if USDJPY tests the resistance at 150.80, it may gain upward momentum toward 153.40.
by inkicho_exness
USD/JPY1-hour time frame technical analysis next move possible.This chart represents a USD/JPY (U.S. Dollar / Japanese Yen) 1-hour time frame analysis. The key elements of the chart include: 1. Support and Resistance Levels: 149.294: A lower support level where price could bounce. 150.643: A resistance level that price may break through. Red Zone (~152.000): A strong supply/resistance area where price may struggle to go higher. 2. Price Action & Prediction: The price is currently around 149.713 and testing support near 149.294. The black arrow suggests a bullish scenario, where price is expected to bounce from support and move towards 150.643, potentially reaching the 152.000 resistance zone. 3. Technical Patterns: A potential breakout setup where price may push higher if it holds above support. Price previously rejected from the red supply zone (~152.000), meaning it could face resistance again if it reaches there. This chart suggests a possible buy opportunity around 149.294, with targets at 150.643 and 152.000. However, if price breaks below support, the setup could become invalid.
Long
by DavidHills110
Usd/Jpy - Key level incoming!USD/JPY Technical Analysis – Reaction at the Lower Trendline Analysis of USD/JPY, we can see a clear reaction from the upper trendline, which has been tested multiple times before the current price decline after the false break on january 25. By cloning this upper channel trendline and projecting it downward, I have identified a potential support level where the price may react. This method provides a logical expectation that the market will respect the parallel structure. I am looking for confirmation in this area before considering a position. If i see a strong reaction and signs of strength from the projected trendline, it could present a solid entry opportunity for potential upside. As always, I am closely monitoring price action and waiting for confirmation signals before making a decision. Risk management is key, and I will use a well-placed stop-loss in case the market breaks through the projected support.
Long
by Norsefx
2
USDJPY InsightHello, subscribers! Please share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to like and subscribe! Key Points - U.S. President Trump stated during a joint press conference with French President Macron that the tariffs deferred for Canada and Mexico until March 4 would proceed as scheduled. - In Germany, there is growing speculation that easing the debt limit will be difficult due to populist parties securing a constitutional veto threshold. - In Japan, Bank of Japan Policy Board Member Hajime Takata hinted at a potential rate hike, stating that if the economic outlook materializes, it will be time to shift gears. Major Economic Events This Week + February 25: Germany Q4 GDP + February 27: U.S. Q4 GDP + February 28: Germany February CPI, U.S. January PCE Price Index USDJPY Chart Analysis After failing to break through the 155 resistance level, USDJPY fell to the expected low of 149. However, it appears to have found support at this level, suggesting a possible rebound toward the 155 level again. In the broader trend, the downward bias remains toward the 140 level, but in the short term, an upward move to 155 remains possible.
Long
by shawntime_academy