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USD/JPY_SPT - USD/JPY

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USD/JPY (30M) Analysis – 25-03-2025📊 USD/JPY (30M) Analysis – 25-03-2025 📉 Current Price: 150.547 🟢 Demand Zones (Support): 149.851 - 149.955 – First potential reversal zone. 149.500 - 149.537 – Key support area. 🔴 Supply Zone (Resistance): 150.600 – Recent high acting as resistance. 📌 Market Outlook: Price is rejecting the supply zone and showing signs of reversal. Scenario 1: If price breaks below 150.500, expect a drop towards 149.851 (TP1) and 149.500 (TP2). Scenario 2: If price holds above 150.500, bullish continuation may occur. ⚡ Trade Setup: 🔻 Sell Setup: If price breaks 150.500 with confirmation. 🎯 TP1: 149.851 🎯 TP2: 149.500 🛑 SL: Above 150.650 #FXFOREVER #FXF #USDJPY #Forex #SmartMoney #PriceAction
Short
by FXFOREVER_87
Fundamental Market Analysis for March 25, 2025 USDJPYThe Japanese yen (JPY) declined against its US counterpart for the fourth consecutive day, taking the USD/JPY pair to 151.000, or a three-week high, during Tuesday's Asian session. Sentiment regarding global risk is being fuelled by hopes that US President Donald Trump's so-called retaliatory tariffs will be narrower and less harsh than originally anticipated. In addition, optimism over a possible peace agreement between Russia and Ukraine, and reports that China is considering including services in a subsidy programme to boost consumption, have further bolstered investor confidence, undermining the safe-haven yen. Meanwhile, minutes from the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) January meeting showed that policymakers discussed under what conditions the central bank should raise interest rates further. However, the minutes gave no clues as to the likely timing of the BoJ's next move and failed to make much of an impression on the JPY bulls. The Bank of Japan's hawkish outlook is at odds with the Federal Reserve's (Fed) forecast of two 25 basis point rate cuts before the end of this year. This could deter dollar bulls from making aggressive bets and support a low-yielding yen, which should limit the upside of USD/JPY. Trade recommendation: BUY 151.000, SL 150.200, TP 152.150
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
USD/JPY TRENDLINE BREAK OUT BUY ZONETrade Setup Rationale Entry Point: 149.500 Likely triggered by a bullish breakout above a descending trend line (resistance). Entry might be near the breakout level, assuming the price retests the trend line (now support). Example: If the breakout occurs around 150.00, a pullback to the 150.00-151.00 zone could serve as the entry point. Take Profit (TP) Targets TP1: 152.60 (near prior resistance or a measured move). TP2: 154.80 (extension of the bullish momentum, possibly a multi-month high). Stop Loss (SL) 148.25 (placed below the trend line/swing low to protect against false breakouts). Risk-Reward Considerations Scenario: Entry at 150.00, SL at 148.25 (175 pips risk). TP1 (152.60): +260 pips (1:1.5 risk-reward). TP2 (154.80): +480 pips (1:2.7 risk-reward). Note: Wider stops may suit swing traders, but ensure alignment with your strategy. Key Factors to Validate Trend Confirmation: Confirm bullish momentum with indicators (e.g., RSI > 50, MACD crossover). Fundamentals: Monitor BoJ intervention risks or Fed policy shifts impacting USD/JPY. Price Action: Watch for a clean breakout with volume.
by JAMES_GOLD_MASTER_MQL5
Elliott Wave View: USDJPY Rallying in Double ZigzagShort Term Elliott Wave view in USDJPY suggests that rally from 3.11.2025 low is in progress as a double zigzag structure. A double zigzag structure is a 7 swing double three Elliott Wave structure. There are 2 sets of ABC zigzag structure connected together, thus why the name is double zigzag. Up from 3.11.2025 low, wave A ended at 149.2 and wave B ended at 147.4. Wave C higher ended at 150.1 and this completed the first zigzag structure and end wave (W) in higher degree as the 45 minutes chart below illustrates. Pullback in wave (X) ended at 148.1 and pair has resumed higher in wave (Y). Internal subdivision of wave (Y) is unfolding as another zigzag structure. Up from wave (X), wave ((i)) ended at 149.66 and wave ((ii)) pullback ended at 148.6. Up from there, pair is nesting higher in wave ((iii)). Wave (i) ended at 149.95 and wave (ii) pullback ended at 149.48. Wave (iii) higher ended at 150.94. Expect pullback in wave (iv) to find support for more upside. Near term, as far as pivot at 148.16 low stays intact, expect dips to find buyers in 3, 7, or 11 swing for further upside.
by Elliottwave-Forecast
1
USDJPY INVERTED HS PATTERN BREAKOUT 350 PIPS CAN BE EXPECTED In the event that a head and shoulders pattern develops in USDJPY, please refrain from risking more than 2% of your capital investment. It is crucial to perform your own research before making any trading decisions. To ensure the pattern's accuracy, it is advisable to use the premium version of the TradingView Auto Chart Indicator, as the free version may not offer dependable indicators for this pattern. While the free version can be used to check the auto chart pattern, it may not display it correctly. Those with access to the premium version are invited to share their observations in the comments section. Thank you All
Long
by profits2win
1
BUY opportunities on USD JPYRR 1:1 - conservative RR 1:2 - aggresive Please do not trade as my analysis might be incorrect. I encourage constructive feedback. If you did trade, make sure the drawing is respected, don't use exact values as they might differ from a broker to another. Explanations: MIN - last minimum point MAX - last maximum point BOS - break of structure SMS - shift in market structure SL - stop loss TP - take profit RR - risk reward OB - order block OB (15) - order block (based on M15) timeframe
Long
by gabisuciu
USDJPY Wave Analysis – 24 March 2025 USDJPY: ⬆️ Buy - USDJPY broke the resistance zone - Likely to rise to the resistance level 151.35 The USDJPY currency pair rose strongly after breaking the resistance zone between the resistance level of 150.00 and the resistance trendline of the daily down channel in January. The breakout of this resistance zone accelerated the active intermediate impulse wave (3) from the start of March. Given the strongly bullish US dollar sentiment seen today, USDJPY currency pair can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 151.35 (the high of wave iv from last month).
Long
by FxProGlobal
USD/JPY - Strong rejection of lower pricesOn USD/JPY , it's nice to see a strong buying reaction at the price of 148.890. There's a significant accumulation of contracts in this area, indicating strong buyer interest. I believe that buyers who entered at this level will defend their long positions. If the price returns to this area, strong buyers will likely push the market up again. Strong rejection of lower prices and high volume cluster are the main reasons for my decision to go long on this trade. Happy trading Dale
by Trader_Dale
1
Weekly Forex Fundamental Overview - March 24 - March 28 2025Key Economic Calendar Events This Week: Monday, March 24 AUD/JPY/EU/UK/US Flash Manufacturing & Services PMIs BOE Gov Bailey Speaking (Taking Questions) Tuesday, March 25 German IFO Business Climate US S&P/SC Composite-20 HPI y/y US Consumer Confidence US New Home Sales US Richmond Manufacturing Index AUD CPI Wednesday, March 26 UK CPI UK Annual Budget Release US Durable Goods US FOMC Members Speaking Thursday, March 27 US GDP US Unemployment Claims US Pending Home Sales JPY CPI Friday, March 28 UK Retail Sales CAD GDP US PCE US University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment & Inflation Expectations Deeper Dive: - UK Inflation Trends The UK's Consumer Price Index (CPI) for February, scheduled for release on Wednesday, will provide insights into the country's inflation trajectory. In January 2025, the CPI rose by 3.0%, up from 2.5% in December 2024. Monitoring whether this upward trend continues is essential for anticipating potential monetary policy adjustments by the Bank of England. - U.S. Inflation Indicators and Federal Reserve Outlook The PCE Price Index release on Friday is pivotal, as it's the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge. A higher-than-expected reading could influence the Fed's monetary policy stance, potentially impacting the value of the USD.​ - Housing Market Health The S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Index and New Home Sales data will shed light on the U.S. housing sector's condition. These indicators are crucial for assessing economic stability, as housing trends can influence consumer wealth and spending behaviors.​ - Consumer Confidence and Spending The Consumer Confidence Index and University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index will provide insights into U.S. consumer optimism. High confidence levels typically correlate with increased consumer spending, a key driver of economic growth.​ - Business Investment Trends Durable Goods Orders data will reflect U.S. business investment levels. An increase suggests optimism about future economic conditions, while a decrease may indicate caution.​ Market Outlook: Currency Bias for the Week USD: Neutral/Bullish – Strong PCE data could bolster the dollar if it suggests higher or persistent inflation.​ GBP: Neutral/Bullish – Anticipation of the CPI release may lead to increased volatility. Higher inflation could strengthen the pound on expectations of tightening policy.​ EUR: Neutral – With limited high-impact Euro data, the Euro may trade in response to other factors like outside economic data releases or geopolitics.​ JPY: Neutral/Bearish – Global risk sentiment and U.S. economic indicators could influence the Yen along with geopolitics. ​ AUD: Neutral – Commodity prices and global risk appetite will be key drivers.​
by stefanosfx
2
USD/JPY.. Treand line break out...The USD/JPY trade setup you've described appears to focus on a bullish trend line breakout, but there are inconsistencies in the terminology and risk-reward structure that need clarification. Here's a refined interpretation and analysis: --- ### *Trade Setup Rationale* 1. *Entry Point 149.500 *: Likely triggered by a bullish breakout above a descending trend line (resistance). Entry might be near the breakout level, *assuming the price retests the trend line (now support)*. - Example: If the breakout occurs around *150.00, a pullback to **150.00-151.00* could serve as the entry zone. 2. *Take Profit (TP) Targets* (mislabeled as "support"): - *TP1: 152.60* (near prior resistance or a measured move). - *TP2: 154.80* (extension of the bullish momentum, possibly a multi-month high). 3. *Stop Loss (SL): 148.25* (placed below the trend line/swing low to protect against false breakouts). --- ### *Risk-Reward Considerations* - *Scenario: Entry at **150.00, SL at **148.25* (175 pips risk). - TP1 (152.60): *+260 pips* (1:1.5 risk-reward). - TP2 (154.80): *+480 pips* (1:2.7 risk-reward). - *Note*: Wider stops may suit swing traders, but ensure alignment with your strategy. --- ### *Key Factors to Validate* 1. *Trend Confirmation*: Confirm bullish momentum with indicators (e.g., RSI >50, MACD crossover). 2. *Fundamentals*: Monitor BoJ intervention risks or Fed policy shifts impacting USD/JPY. 3. *Price Action*: Watch for a clean breakout with volume support and no false spikes. --- ### *Adjusted Trade Plan* - *Buy Entry: On confirmed trend line breakout (e.g., daily close above **151.00*). - *TP1: **152.60* (partial profit). - *TP2: **154.80* (final target). - *SL: **148.25* (strict risk management).
Long
by Algo_Trading_Mql5
3
USDJPY 1.2850 Long in Profit: Next Week's Take - Profit GuideThis week, the long position signal on USDJPY at the 1.28500 level has already started yielding profits. As we look ahead to next week, it is advisable to commence position closing once the price reaches the pre - determined target levels. Rest assured, I will persist in furnishing precise trading signals. I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate for a whole month in a row. If you also need them, please click on the link below the article to obtain them.
Long
by JohnGonzalez7
Yen Weakens Toward 150 on Weak DataThe Japanese yen weakened toward 150 per dollar, extending losses as disappointing business activity data overshadowed the BOJ’s hawkish stance. Japan’s private sector contracted in March for the first time in five months, with manufacturing shrinking for a ninth month and services slipping into negative territory. While the BOJ kept its policy rate at 0.5% last week and maintained a careful tone before Trump’s predicted April 2 tariff announcement, the central bank is still expected to raise rates later this year due to steady inflation and wage growth. Ongoing external pressures also continued to weigh on the yen. Key resistance is at 150.30, with further levels at 152.00 and 154.90. Support stands at 147.00, followed by 145.80 and 143.00. 
by ChartMage