USD/JPY in a well-defined downtrendUSD/JPY in a well-defined downtrend
After Trump raised tariffs on Chinese imports to 145%, the U.S. dollar dropped sharply. This was surprising because just days before, when he raised tariffs to 104%, the dollar reacted differently.
The price has fallen below a strong support level at 144.37, which is now acting as resistance. If USD/JPY moves back up toward this level, watch for a possible correction before the bearish trend continues.
Important support levels to watch: 142.00, 140.00, and 138.00.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
โค๏ธPS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading dayโค๏ธ
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
USDJPY_SPT trade ideas
Yen Gains on Recession FearsThe yen rose past 144 per dollar, a six-month high, as U.S. recession fears and a Treasury selloff boosted demand for safe-haven assets. Although Trump paused new tariffs for 90 days, total U.S. tariffs on China now stand at 145%, prompting retaliation with China imposing 84% tariffs on U.S. goods. The U.S.-Japan trade outlook remains in focus, with Japan still facing a 10% U.S. tariff but seeking better terms.
Key resistance is at 145.80, with further levels at 148.00 and 152.70. Support stands at 142.00, followed by 139.65 and 138.00.
Short! I opened two short positions yesterday.ย ย I have a few short positions that I opened last week, but I feel comfortable adding more now.
Entry - blue horizonal line in the chart.
Stop loss - red horizontal line in the chart.
Target 1, 2, 3 - black horizontal lines in the chart.
If it hit target one, I will move a stop loss to the entry position.Target 1 is the previous month low so I anticipate some correction.ย Once it resumes the downward movement, I plan to add position.ย ย
4H RSI provides reliable indication for pull back or trend reversal.ย So I will keep an eye on it.ย ย
If you are interested in knowing my reasoning for my bearish bias, please check out the linked articles I published last week.
USDJPY Will Go Lower! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for USDJPY.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 146.054.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 144.526 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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USD/JPY(20250411)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
The annual rate of the US CPI in March was 2.4%, a six-month low, lower than the market expectation of 2.6%. The market almost fully priced in the Fed's interest rate cut in June. Trump said inflation has fallen.
Technical analysis:
Today's long-short boundary:
145.38
Support and resistance levels:
149.05
147.68
146.79
143.97
143.08
141.71
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 145.38, consider buying, the first target price is 146.79
If the price breaks through 143.97, consider selling, the first target price is 143.08
USDJPY LONG FORECAST Q2 W15 D11 Y25USDJPY LONG FORECAST Q2 W15 D11 Y25
Happy Friday Traders, It has been a week of sitting on capital. Being cautious, awaiting for breaks of structures at key areas and not not getting dragged into trades that do not fully present themselves. The clues have been there. The carrot has been continually dangled however as risk managers... You know how the saying goes.
We stay true to our trading plan.
We hold firm with what we know works.
We are aware of our market edge.
We know our "perfect" set up does present itself.
with that said, we are dynamic! We do of course entertain the "Imperfect" setup. We simply approach with caution.
USDJPY LONG FORECAST Q2 W15 D11 Y25
15' of course, bearish start to the Friday. Perhaps we are asking a lot from UJ today but let's see if we can break 15' structure before taking a deeper look.
Bigger picture, We are in a weekly order block in the long direction so all shorts are OFF until further notice.
Best of Luck Traders.
Continue to manager your capital.
FRGNT X
USD/JPY Bearish Reversal Setup โ Short from Resistance ZoneCurrent Price: ~146.252
EMA 30 (Red): ~146.573
EMA 200 (Blue): ~146.662
The price is below both EMAs, suggesting short-term bearish momentum.
๐ Trade Setup:
Entry Point: 146.551 (marked on the chart)
Stop Loss (SL): 148.514 (above resistance zone)
Take Profit (TP): 142.374 (marked as โEA TARGET POINTโ)
Risk/Reward Ratio (RR): Approx. 1:2.5+
๐ Zone Analysis:
Resistance Zone: 147.6 โ 148.5 (highlighted in purple)
Previous highs rejected from this level multiple times.
Sellers appear to be defending this zone strongly.
Support Zone: 142.3 โ 143.0
Previous accumulation zone marked for the TP.
๐ง Bias & Interpretation:
Bearish Bias: Confirmed by:
Price rejection from resistance.
Below both EMA 30 & EMA 200.
Bearish engulfing patterns near the resistance zone.
Potential Strategy: Short from 146.551 targeting 142.374 with tight SL at 148.514.
โ ๏ธ Watch for:
Any bullish crossover between EMA 30 and EMA 200 could shift momentum.
False breakouts above the resistance zone before actual reversal.
Key U.S. or Japan news that may cause volatility.
USDJPY H4 I Bearish ContinuationBased on the H4 chart analysis, the price could rise toward our sell entry at 144.33, which is a pullback resistance.
Our take profit will be at 1141.36, aligning with the 161.8% FIbonacci extension
The stop loss will be placed at 146.47, a pullback resistance.
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Might going up, but nothing comfirmed. My bias for LSThis is my bias for London session and friday overall.
USDJPY went down alot yesterday due today USA vs CHINA, dont think i have to explain anything.
If sir Trump doesnt do some magic tomorrow we might hit and upward trend and reverse this bearish movement.
2 lines, 1 for resistance and the other for support.
:-)
USDJPY Will Continue Its Down TrendUSDJPY is in a pronounced downtrend.
We expect the price to move at least into the range of the lows from September 2024. Before entering a short trade, however, we recommend waiting for a small return to the entry area shown in order to optimize the RRR. It should also be noted that we are currently in a support zone that formed over the course of last year.
Explosive Rebound on USD/JPY? This Zone Has It ALL...Hi traders! Analyzing USD/JPY on the 1H timeframe, spotting a potential rebound within a descending channel:
๐น Entry: 144.35
๐น TP1: 145.59
๐น TP2: 147.29
๐น SL: 142.993
Price is currently testing the lower boundary of a well-structured descending channel โ a zone that has held as dynamic support multiple times. The RSI is in oversold territory, suggesting the potential for a bullish correction.
If buyers defend this area again, we could see a strong bounce toward the midline and possibly the upper boundary of the channel. Wait for bullish confirmation (e.g., strong candle or volume spike) before entering.
โ ๏ธ DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice. Every trader must evaluate their own risk and strategy.
USD/JPY "The Gopher" Forex Bank Heist Plan (Swing/Day)๐Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!๐
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, ๐ค๐ฐโ๏ธ
Based on ๐ฅThief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis๐ฅ, here is our master plan to heist the USD/JPY "The Gopher" Forex Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. ๐๐ธ"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!๐ช๐๐
Entry ๐ : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bearish loot at any price - the heist is on!
however I advise to Place sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most nearest or swing, low or high level for Pullback Entries.
Stop Loss ๐:
๐Thief SL placed at the nearest/swing High or Low level Using the 1D timeframe (148.800) Day/Scalping trade basis.
๐SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target ๐ฏ: 140.000 (or) Escape Before the Target
๐ฐ๐ต๐ธUSD/JPY "The Gopher" Forex Market Heist Plan (Swing/Day Trade) is currently experiencing a Bearish trend.., driven by several key factors.๐๐๐
๐ฐ๐๏ธGet & Read the Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Quantitative Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Future trend targets... go ahead to check ๐๐๐๐๐
Detailed Explanation Recap โจ
Fundamentals: Policy divergence + trade risks โ๏ธ favor JPY ๐ช.
Macro: US slowdown ๐ + Japan resilience ๐ฑ lift JPY.
Global Markets: Risk-off flows ๐ก๏ธ + yield dynamics ๐ boost JPY.
COT: Speculative unwinding ๐ aligns with bearish pressure.
Seasonality: Mild JPY edge in April ๐ธ.
Intermarket: USD weakness ๐ธ across assets aids JPY.
Quantitative: Technicals confirm bearish ๐.
Sentiment: Broad bearish tilt ๐, retail as contrarian ๐จ.
Trend Prediction: Downward bias ๐ across timeframes.
Outlook: Strong bearish case ๐ป with clear targets.
โ ๏ธTrading Alert : News Releases and Position Management ๐ฐ ๐๏ธ ๐ซ๐
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
๐Supporting our robbery plan ๐ฅHit the Boost Button๐ฅ will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money ๐ฐ๐ต. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.๐๐ช๐คโค๏ธ๐๐
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned ๐ค๐ฑโ๐ค๐ค๐คฉ
5th wave downWe've been tracking this setup for the past few weeks. The market has formed an Elliott Wave structure, and it looks like Wave 4 is now complete. We're likely entering Wave 5 to the downside.
Stop-loss is placed above the wick, with a minimum target at last week's low.
Game of probability lets see how it goes...
USDJPY UPDATESHello folks, this might be trend for next week.
see chart above, might make a new low?
This is only my view, we still have PPI tomorrow friday.
The idea is LONGS.
This is not a financial advice or trade signals.
Trade wisely base on your own understanding.
Good luck.
SEE you next week for new charts on new pair of shoes, joke. new pair of forex market or indices or crypto.
pewwpeww.
SEE the description not the chart, I totally base on my idea on weekly to this USDJPY.
are we going down?