Maybe...According to my analysis, we're very likely to see this.
What are your thoughts on this?
What are your thoughts on this?
USDJPY_SPT trade ideas
USDJPY – Major Symmetrical Triangle Breakdown | Retest PlayUSDJPY has recently broken down from a large symmetrical triangle pattern visible on the 4H timeframe. After a prolonged uptrend that formed the triangle structure, price decisively broke below the lower support line, indicating a shift in momentum from bullish to bearish.
📊 Technical Breakdown
1. Symmetrical Triangle Breakdown
Price formed a classic symmetrical triangle pattern over several months.
A strong bearish breakout occurred from the lower trendline, signaling a potential reversal.
The projected measured move target from this breakdown points toward 141.526, representing a 6.5% decline.
2. Retest Zone
Price has pulled back to retest the broken triangle trendline from below.
This bearish retest setup is a textbook confirmation of resistance turning from previous support.
The current consolidation suggests the market is gathering liquidity before a potential next leg down.
3. Market Structure & Momentum
Lower highs and lower lows are now forming post-breakdown, confirming a bearish structure.
A clear rejection from the retest zone around the 151.500–152.000 level would further validate the short thesis.
🧠 Trade Idea
Entry Zone: On confirmation of rejection near the retest (~151.5 area)
Target : 141.526 (Measured move from triangle breakdown)
Stop Loss : Above the triangle high or above the recent swing (~153.00+)
Risk-Reward : High probability play based on pattern + structure shift
⚠️ Key Watch Levels
Resistance: 151.5–152.0 (triangle retest)
Support/Target: 141.5 (measured move)
Break above 153.0 will invalidate this bearish bias.
JPY: Start shorting next weekJPY has reached the key resistance level. You can start shorting when it reaches 151-151.5 next week. Currently, all the signals have resulted in profits.
Currently, my account balance has grown from an initial $40,000 to $800,000 in profits. I will share accurate trading signals every day, and you have the option to copy my trading orders. If you're interested in getting these signals, you can click on the link below this article.
HERE IS USDJPY TRIANGLE PATTERNHello Guys Here Is Chart Of USDJPY in 4-H AT
Entry Level: SELL Around 148.800
Resistance: 149.300
Target Will Be : 146.800
This analysis assumes the price respects the Triangle Pattern.
DOLLAR/YEN LAST WEEK OF THE 1st 1/4The Bank of Japan (BOJ) raised its interest rate to 0.5% in March 2025, marking a significant policy shift.
This decision was made unanimously during the March 18-19, 2025, Monetary Policy Meeting.
It seems likely that this move reflects the BOJ's confidence in Japan's economic recovery and stable inflation around 2%.
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) as of March 21, 2025, is around 104.0880, showing stability.
It seems likely that the Bank of Japan's (BOJ) rate hike on March 19, 2025, had minimal impact, with the dollar slightly strengthening afterward.
Research suggests the dollar's strength is driven by U.S. economic growth and monetary policy differences, despite global rate changes.
USDJPY 1H#USDJPY 1H
Last week, the target of 150 was seen with high accuracy.
The analysis of the market is bearish with a target of 147.8
and will be analyzed if it consolidates above 149.4.
Beware of fake moves and market deception
Weekly FOREX Forecast Mar 24-28: Buy CAD, CHF, JPY vs USD!This is an outlook for the week of March 24 - 28th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX markets:
USD Index
EUR
GBP
AUD
NZD
The USD Index is entering a Daily +FVG, which is nested in a Weekly +FVG. This is a bearish indication for the USD, which is a potential bullish situation for EURUSD, GBPUSD, AUDUSD and NZDUSD. This will be potentially bearish for the USDCAD, USDCHF, and USDJPY. Wait for the market structure shift going in the direction of your TP, and enter on the pullback.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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USD-JPY Move Down Ahead! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
USD-JPY is trading in a
Downtrend below the falling
Resistance line and the pair
Will soon hit the resistance
From where we will be
Expecting a further move down
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
USDJPY 15 Minutes Time Frame look 1629SGT 21032025Closer look at how the USDJPY's entry setup look like.
1630SGT 21032025
JPY/USD Technical Analysis - Head & Shoulder Chart Bearish Move1️⃣ Chart Type & Timeframe:
Market: Japanese Yen (JPY) / U.S. Dollar (USD)
Timeframe: 1-hour chart (H1)
Platform: TradingView
This is an intraday chart used by traders to identify short-term price action and trend reversals.
2️⃣ Identifying the Key Chart Pattern – Head & Shoulders
The dominant pattern on this chart is the Head & Shoulders (H&S), a well-known bearish reversal signal that forms after an uptrend. Let’s break it down:
A. Formation of the Pattern
Left Shoulder: The price forms a peak, then retraces down to a support level.
Head: A higher peak is formed, followed by another decline, indicating buyers are losing control.
Right Shoulder: The price attempts another rise but fails to reach the previous high, showing bearish momentum is increasing.
B. Neckline & Trendline Support
The neckline acts as a key support level. A break below it confirms the bearish move.
The trendline, which has been supporting price action for a while, is also at risk of breaking.
3️⃣ Key Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance Level (0.006750 - 0.006819):
This is the previous high area where sellers are active. A stop-loss is placed above this level.
Support Level (0.006567 - 0.006468):
Key demand zones where buyers may step in. These are the take profit (TP) levels.
4️⃣ Price Action & Expected Movement
📉 Bearish Outlook – A potential breakdown from the neckline and trendline would confirm further downside.
If price breaks the trendline, a pullback to retest resistance is expected before dropping further.
Take Profit (TP) 1: 0.006567 – Minor support, possible bounce.
Take Profit (TP) 2: 0.006468 – Stronger support, deeper correction possible.
🚨 Stop Loss: Above 0.006819, just beyond the right shoulder and all-time high (ATH).
5️⃣ Trading Strategy & Execution
💡 Entry Strategy:
Sell Breakout Entry: Short the market when the neckline/trendline is broken with strong volume.
Retest Confirmation: Wait for a pullback to the broken trendline and enter when price rejects it.
📌 Risk Management:
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:2 or higher for an optimal setup.
Use trailing stop-loss to secure profits if TP1 is hit.
6️⃣ Market Psychology & Smart Money Behavior
The Head & Shoulders pattern reflects buyer exhaustion and increased seller strength.
Smart money often enters after the breakdown when weak hands get stopped out.
Conclusion: Trade with Confidence!
This chart presents a high-probability bearish trading opportunity based on a textbook Head & Shoulders formation, support/resistance dynamics, and trendline analysis. A disciplined approach with risk management will ensure better execution.
📉 Final Verdict: Bearish Breakdown Expected – Sell the Retest!
🔥 Tags for TradingView Idea:
#JPYUSD #ForexTrading #HeadAndShoulders #TechnicalAnalysis #BearishReversal #SmartMoney #PriceAction #RiskManagement #TradingSetup #TrendlineBreak
USDJPY SELSExpecting price to take out the structural liquidity then sell off from the QMR supply block
A POSSIBLE HEAD & SHOULDER PATTERN IN FORMATION?Price seems to be in consolidation phase as a reversal pattern (head and shoulder ) is currently in formation. We’re likely to see the right shoulder pattern form in months coming. Keep a close watch as there could be a medium term sell in USDJPY this year .
USDJPYUSD/JPY Fundamental Analysis for Next Week
Based on recent developments and market sentiment, here’s a breakdown of key drivers and potential price action for USD/JPY in the coming week:
Key Drivers
Fed Policy and US Economic Data:
Fed Rate Cuts: Markets expect two Fed rate cuts in 2025, which could weaken the USD. However, the Fed’s cautious stance (e.g., Powell’s emphasis on “unusually elevated uncertainty”) may limit immediate USD declines.
US Leading Economic Index (LEI): A forecasted rise to -0.2% (from -0.3%) could signal stabilizing growth, supporting the USD.
BoJ Policy and Japanese Data:
BoJ Rate Hikes: The BoJ maintained rates at 0.5% but faces pressure to hike further if inflation persists. Hawkish rhetoric from Governor Ueda could strengthen the JPY.
Japanese Inflation: February’s core CPI rose 3.0% YoY, down from 3.2% in January, reducing urgency for immediate BoJ action.
Geopolitical and Trade Risks:
Trump’s Tariffs: Reciprocal tariffs on April 2 could slow global growth, boosting safe-haven demand for the JPY.
Ukraine Peace Talks: Optimism about US-Russia negotiations may ease risk aversion, pressuring JPY.
Yield Differentials:
Narrowing US-Japan Yield Spreads: The downward trajectory of US-Japan yield spreads (e.g., 10-year Treasuries vs. JGBs) supports a medium-term USD/JPY downtrend.
Bearish Case: A break below 148.471 could target 146.499 driven by JPY safe-haven demand or BoJ hawkishness.
Bullish Case: A rally above 150.1-149.496 might test 151.8, but faces resistance from narrowing yield spreads and Fed dovishness.
BoJ Policy Guidance: Any hints of delayed rate hikes may weaken JPY, supporting USD/JPY.
Tariff Implementation: Markets will monitor Trump’s April 2 tariff deadline for trade war escalation risks.
Conclusion
USD/JPY is likely to remain volatile, with bearish bias dominating due to:
JPY Safe-Haven Demand: Geopolitical risks and trade tensions.
Narrowing Yield Spreads: Reduced USD appeal as US-Japan rate differentials shrink.
BoJ Policy Uncertainty: Hawkish rhetoric vs. delayed action.
Oscillator from Williams and stochastic This custom oscillator is designed to provide dynamic support and resistance levels based on price action, the highest and lowest prices, and an exponential moving average (EMA). It calculates four different lines:
1. Price to Midline: This line shows the ratio of the current price to the midline (average of high and low prices).
2. High to Midline: This line represents the ratio of the highest price to the midline.
3. Low to Midline: This line represents the ratio of the lowest price to the midline.
4. EMA to Midline: This line tracks the ratio of the EMA (Exponential Moving Average) to the midline, providing a dynamic view of price action.
These four lines help identify key levels of overbought or oversold conditions, potential trend reversals, and dynamic support/resistance zones. The oscillator can be used to assess market strength and trend direction.
The period for calculating the high/low, as well as the EMA period, can be customized in the settings to adjust the sensitivity to market conditions.
Expect a Bearish Move from around 152.449 on USDJPY The USDJPY is approaching a premium level of price around 152.449.... which could be a Bearish sentiment and a opportunity for traders so therefore I'm going short when price gets to 152.449.
USDJPY Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDJPY for a selling opportunity around 149.500 zone, USDJPY is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 149.500 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
USDJPYAre you ready for scalp?
Buy USDJPY
Entry: 149.098
SL: 149.043
TP: 149.373
The reward is 4 times greater than your risk.
USDJPY analysis for a SELL idea!!!!USDJPY - 4H Chart Sell Analysis
Market Structure & Price Action
• The price has been in an uptrend but is currently rejecting a key resistance zone around 149.796 - 150.000.
• Multiple liquidity grabs (wick rejections) are visible around this area, indicating strong selling pressure.
• A clear double top or liquidity sweep pattern is forming around the highs, signaling a potential reversal.
Key Resistance & Supply Zones
• The red supply zone around 149.500 - 150.000 has been tested multiple times, showing sellers are stepping in.
• Previous support turned resistance zones (highlighted in gray) are aligning with this area.
• The last bullish move failed to break convincingly above 150.000, indicating exhaustion.
Bearish Confirmation
• Price has rejected the supply zone and is currently showing signs of a breakdown.
• If price remains below 149.500, it confirms that sellers are in control.
• The lower high structure aligns with the Smart Money Concept (SMC) of distribution.
Potential Target Areas
• First target: 148.500, aligning with previous demand and a liquidity area.
• Final target: 146.920, where the next major demand zone and liquidity pools are visible.
Trade Setup
• Entry: Below 149.500 after a retest.
• Stop Loss: Above 149.800 - 150.000 (above recent highs).
• Take Profit: 148.500 - 146.920.
Confluence Factors
1. Liquidity Grab: Price spiked above previous highs but failed to sustain.
2. Supply Zone Rejection: Strong rejection from 149.796.
3. Bearish Market Structure Shift: Potential lower high formation.
4. Risk-Reward Ratio: Favorable setup towards 146.920.
Final Outlook
• If price stays below 149.500, bearish momentum should continue.
• A break below 149.126 confirms further downside.
• A close above 150.000 invalidates this sell idea.
USDJPY: Critical moment for the 2 month Channel Down.USDJPY is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 46.506, MACD = -0.960, ADX = 25.882) as it is on the tightest range possible between the 4H MA50 and 4H MA200. This consolidation is taking place at the top of the 2 month Channel Down. As long as it holds, the trade is short, aiming for a -3.20% bearish wave (TP = 145.500). If the price crosses above the 4H MA200 though, go long, aiming for the R1 level (TP = 154.835).
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USDJPY Short from ResistanceHello Traders
In This Chart USDJPY HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today USDJPY analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (USDJPY market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on USDJPY Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
USDJPY BOJ and FEDS ,the bank of japan policies lately is shorting dollar and recovery is limited from further downslide.yen is keeeping its gains ,but will support level hold???
Bullish momentum strong, breaking resistance. Watch for pullback*"Bearish momentum is steadily depleting as selling pressure weakens. The price is struggling to make new lows, indicating that sellers are losing control. If key support levels hold, we could see a shift in momentum as buyers step in, potentially driving a reversal or a period of consolidation before the next move."*
