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USD/JPY_SPT - USD/JPY

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USDJPY_SPT trade ideas

JPY/USD Trading Setup – Falling Wedge Breakout & Bullish MoveThe JPY/USD 1-hour chart is displaying a well-defined falling wedge pattern, which is typically a bullish reversal setup. This pattern forms as price action moves within converging trendlines, indicating that selling pressure is gradually weakening. The breakout from this pattern signals a potential trend reversal, and the price may be heading toward key resistance zones and an eventual bullish target. This analysis will break down the chart structure, market psychology, key levels, and a trading setup to help traders make an informed decision. 1. Understanding the Falling Wedge Pattern The falling wedge is a common price action pattern characterized by: 🔹 Lower highs and lower lows forming within two downward-sloping trendlines. 🔹 Decreasing volume, indicating that sellers are losing momentum. 🔹 A breakout above the upper trendline, confirming a shift in trend and signaling the start of bullish momentum. Market Psychology Behind the Wedge Pattern: 📉 During the wedge formation, the market is in a downtrend, and sellers are in control. However, with each new lower low, the price finds strong support, and buyers start stepping in. 📊 As the wedge narrows, the downward momentum weakens, and sellers struggle to push the price lower. Eventually, demand exceeds supply, leading to a breakout to the upside, which is exactly what we see on this chart. 2. Key Levels & Market Structure 🔹 Support Zone & Reversal Area: The support zone between 0.006660 - 0.006680 acted as a strong demand area, preventing further downside. This is also labeled as a reversal area, meaning buyers were aggressive in this zone. The final touch at this support led to a strong bounce, initiating the breakout. 🔹 Resistance Level: The price is now approaching a key resistance area at 0.006780 - 0.006800, which previously acted as a supply zone. A break and retest of this level would further confirm bullish momentum. 🔹 All-Time High (ATH) & Target Level: The ATH region is marked on the chart as a historical resistance level where price faced strong selling pressure before. If the current breakout holds, price action could aim for the 0.006851 target level, completing the measured move from the wedge pattern. 3. Trading Strategy & Execution Plan 📈 Entry Strategy: There are two main ways to enter this trade: 1️⃣ Aggressive Entry: Enter immediately after the breakout above the falling wedge. 2️⃣ Conservative Entry: Wait for a breakout AND retest of the previous resistance turned support (0.006780 zone) before entering long. 🔻 Stop-Loss Placement: To manage risk, traders should consider placing stop-loss orders: Below the previous support zone (0.006660) to minimize downside risk. Alternatively, below the wedge breakout point if using a tight stop-loss. 🎯 Take-Profit Targets: 1️⃣ First Target: 0.006780 (near-term resistance level). 2️⃣ Final Target: 0.006851 (based on wedge breakout projection). 4. Confirmation & Risk Management 🔎 Key Confirmation Factors for a Strong Breakout: ✅ Price breaks above the falling wedge with strong bullish candles. ✅ Volume increases, showing strong buying interest. ✅ RSI or other momentum indicators confirm bullish divergence. ⚠️ Potential Risks to Consider: False Breakout: If price falls back inside the wedge, this could invalidate the bullish setup. Rejection at Resistance: If buyers fail to push price above the 0.006780 resistance, it could lead to another consolidation. 5. Final Thoughts & Trading Outlook 📌 This JPY/USD chart presents a high-probability bullish setup due to the breakout from a falling wedge pattern. 📌 The breakout, strong support zone, and bullish price action indicate further upside potential. 📌 Risk management is key—waiting for confirmation can increase the probability of success. 💡 Final Verdict: Bullish Bias – Watching for Retest & Continuation to Target! 🚀
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
Yen Slips to 149 as Inflation EasesThe yen fell to around 149 per dollar on Friday, ending a two-day rally, after Japan’s core inflation eased to 3% in February from 3.2% in January, still above expectations of 2.9%. This marked the second month of stronger inflation, reinforcing the case for future rate hikes. Earlier, the BoJ held rates at 0.5% and maintained a cautious stance, citing global uncertainties, particularly rising U.S. tariffs. The bank also reiterated its focus on monitoring currency moves. A stronger U.S. dollar further pressured the yen amid global growth and trade concerns. Key resistance is at 150.30, with further levels at 152.00 and 154.90. Support stands at 147.00, followed by 145.80 and 143.00. 
by ChartMage
USDJPY Will Go Lower! Short! Please, check our technical outlook for USDJPY. Time Frame: 8h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The price is testing a key resistance 149.408. Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 147.585 level. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1
USDJPY: Volatility and Key LevelsThe recent trend of the USD/JPY has been highly volatile. On the economic data front, the rise in Japan's unemployment rate and the decline in corporate capital expenditure have triggered selling pressure on the Japanese yen. However, factors such as corporate wage growth provide grounds for the Bank of Japan to consider raising interest rates. From a technical perspective, key support levels are situated around 147.7 and 146.5, whilst the resistance levels are now between 150 and 151. Amid the ongoing battle between bulls and bears, the pair is likely to continue trading within the range of 147.00-149.00. That said, given the current upward momentum, a technical pullback followed by further gains in the short term cannot be ruled out. USDJPY buy@148.000-149.000 tp:150.000-151.000 I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate for a whole month in a row. If you also need them, please click on the link below the article to obtain them.
Long
by JohnGonzalez7
USDJPY SELL SETUP!!From a technical perspective, examining the USD/JPY chart, we might notice that prices are forming a lower high, which often indicates a potential downtrend. The price respecting Fibonacci retracement levels can also suggest that the market is reacting to key support and resistance levels. When traders see the price approaching these levels and behaving predictably, it can bolster their confidence in the direction of their trades. Overall, the expectation is for a continuing strength in the yen, especially if the market sentiment remains focused on potential rate hikes from the Fed. This scenario might lead to more bearish moves for the USD/JPY pair, making it important to watch for any significant economic data releases or comments from central bank officials that could signal changes in monetary policy.
Short
by ShinForex1
3
USD/JPY 15M Prediction for 21-01-2025 - Key Demand & Supply Zone📊 USD/JPY 15M Prediction for 21-01-2025 - Key Demand & Supply Zones! 📈 Current Price: 149.405 🔴 Supply Zone: 149.826 - 149.847 🟢 Demand Zones: ✔ 149.201 ✔ 148.970 ✔ 148.696 📌 Trading Outlook: Price is currently near resistance. If it rejects the 149.847 supply zone, we may see a retracement towards 149.201 or 148.970. If price breaks above 149.847, bullish momentum could push it higher. ⚡ Trade Setup: 🔻 Sell Near: 149.826 - 149.847 🎯 TP1: 149.201 🎯 TP2: 148.970 🛑 SL: Above 149.900 #USDJPY #ForexTrading #PriceAction #SmartMoney #TradingAnalysis 🚀📊
Long
by FXFOREVER_87
Bullish rise?USD/JPY has reacted off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 148.96 1st Support: 148.34 1st Resistance: 149.97 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
Short Opened 4 short positions (1 trading side divided into 4 small sizes): 148.622 has been the major support area  USDJPY was struggling to break below since last December, however, it finally broke and closed below that level on March 4th 25 (red vertical line in 4H chart).   Since then, USDJPY has been oscillating between 150.24 and 146.55, but this morning it decisively broke and closed below the key level.   Price is below EMA 200 in Daily and 4H. Daily MACD is in bear territory and Daily stochastic has reached over bought territory and starting to come down. All momentum indicators in 4H are forming negative divergence.   Entry price - 148.556 S/L - 149.39 (just above the previous week high) Target 1: 147.30 (previous low in 4H) Target 2: 146.55 (previous low in 4H)  Target 3- 145  Target 4: 142.26 (Fib 1.618 in Daily)  If Target 1 and 2 are hit successfully, I will adjust SL   I will update the progress. 
Short
by EbonyFalcon