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USD/JPY_SPT - USD/JPY

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USDJPY_SPT trade ideas

USDJPY H1 | Bearish Drop Based on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price has just reacted off our sell entry at 154.33, which is a pullback resistance. Our take profit will be at 153.42, an overlap support level that aligns close to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. The stop loss will be placed at 155.07, which is a pullback resistance level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/markets): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
USDJPY US CPI triggered spikeThe USDJPY currency pair price action sentiment appears bearish, supported by the longer-term prevailing downtrend. The key trading level is at 155.50, which is the current swing high. An oversold rally from the current levels and a bearish rejection from the 155.50 level could target the downside support at 152.76 followed by 151.50 and 150.90 levels over the longer timeframe. Alternatively, a confirmed breakout above 155.50 resistance and a daily close above that level would negate the bearish outlook opening the way for further rallies higher and a retest of 156.00 resistance level followed by 156.74 and 157.70. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
USD/JPY: Fibonacci Support Sparks a ReboundChart Analysis: USD/JPY finds support at the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level (151.50), leading to a sharp recovery above the 200-day SMA. 1️⃣ Fibonacci Retracement Levels Holding: The recent pullback tested key Fibonacci retracement levels, with buyers stepping in at 151.50 (38.2%). Further support levels sit at 149.23 (50%) and 146.95 (61.8%), which remain key downside targets if weakness resumes. 2️⃣ Moving Averages as Key Pivot Points: 50-day SMA (154.97): Price is testing this level after the rebound. 200-day SMA (152.74): Successfully held as dynamic support, confirming broader uptrend remains intact. 3️⃣ Momentum Indicators Show Recovery: RSI: 49.69, recovering from oversold conditions but still lacking bullish confirmation. MACD: Bearish momentum is fading, but a crossover signal is yet to emerge. What to Watch: Sustained move above 155.00 could trigger a fresh rally toward December’s highs. A break back below 152.00 would shift focus to deeper Fibonacci support levels. Watch for a MACD crossover as a confirmation of renewed upside momentum. USD/JPY remains at a critical inflection point, with Fibonacci support holding but further strength needed for a bullish confirmation. -MW
by FOREXcom
USD/JPY 1HOUR CHART TECHNICAL ANALYSIS NEXT MOVE POSSIBLE This chart is a technical analysis of USD/JPY on the 1-hour timeframe, showing a successful breakout prediction. Here’s what it means: Breakout Move: The price surged past resistance and reached the red circled area at the top, indicating a strong bullish move. Target Confirmation: The yellow zone around 153.635 was the first confirmation target, which was successfully hit. Potential Reversal Setup: The chart suggests a possible pullback to the lower red zone, marked as "Setup," where a new trade opportunity might arise. It seems like you predicted this breakout correctly. Are you planning to update your TradingView post with this result?
Short
by DavidHills110
2
Scenario on USDJPY 12.2.2025On this chart, this scenario makes the most sense. If I should take a short, the first levels are around the monthly level, which is at the level of 157.503, the next one is around the price of 160, which is above the bulls zone, which could also mean the continuation of the uptrend, and therefore I have two options. If I should take a long, then not earlier than at the price level around the monthly level of 151.875, then below the current sfp on the price 148.806 where the next monthly level is located.
by Sony97
Will the USDJPY pair trend increase ?News: 🔆Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, speaking before the Senate Banking Committee on Tuesday, took a more hawkish stance, describing the economy as strong with a robust labor market. He noted that while inflation was moving toward the 2% target, it remained slightly elevated, indicating that policymakers were in no hurry to cut interest rates. 🔆U.S. President Donald Trump signed executive orders imposing 25% tariffs on imported steel and aluminum, effective March 12. He also suggested the possibility of additional tariffs on automobiles, pharmaceuticals, and computer chips, pledging broader reciprocal tariffs to counter those placed on U.S. goods by other countries. This development heightened concerns over global trade tensions and posed a risk to Japan’s economy, putting pressure on the Japanese Yen while supporting the USD/JPY pair’s continued recovery. 🔆Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda reiterated earlier today that the central bank would conduct monetary policy appropriately to reach its 2% inflation target. Additionally, recent wage growth data and persistent inflationary pressures in Japan suggest the BoJ may consider another rate hike at its March meeting. 🔆Investors are now focusing on the upcoming release of U.S. consumer inflation data and Powell’s testimony before Congress, which could further influence the U.S. dollar and the USD/JPY exchange rate. Personal Opinion: 🔆Powell’s relatively hawkish comments on Tuesday dampened expectations of a significant narrowing in the U.S.-Japan interest rate gap. This led to capital outflows from the lower-yielding Japanese Yen, though speculation that the Bank of Japan may raise interest rates again kept bearish traders cautious. Many market participants may prefer to hold off on making strong bets on USD/JPY until the release of U.S. consumer inflation data later today. Plan: 🔆 Price Zone Setup: 👉Buy USD/JPY 153.20 -153.05 ❌SL: 152.60 | ✅TP: 153.70 – 154.20 – 154.8
Long
by FM-ForexMastermind
1
USD/JPY extends rally on hot CPIThe USD/JPY extended its rally following the release of hotter-than-expected US CPI data, which fuelled a surge in bond yields and strengthened the dollar. Headline CPI rose 0.5% month-over-month, surpassing the expected 0.3%, while Core CPI climbed 0.4% versus the 0.3% forecast. On an annual basis, CPI reached 3.0% and Core CPI hit 3.3%, both above expectations. This reinforced market sentiment that the Federal Reserve will delay interest rate cuts, pushing US 5- to 10-year yields at least 10 basis points higher. As a result, traders increased their bets on further USD/JPY gains. The market will now focus on the second day of Powell’s testimony, with PPI data and retail sales still to come later in the week. From a technical standpoint, USD/JPY has shown resilience, rebounding from support at 151.00 and breaking above the key 200-day moving average near 152.50/60. The pair has cleared resistance at 153.70-154.00, and if it holds above the 200-day average, it could extend its advance toward the significant 155.00 level. However, a failure to maintain this breakout could see support tested back at 153.70, with further downside levels at 152.50/60 and 151.00. With the bullish momentum reinforced by strong CPI data and higher yields, USD/JPY traders will closely watch price action determine if the uptrend can sustain. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with Forex.com
by FOREXcom
USD/JPY Approaches Demand Zone: A Contrarian Trading OpportunityThe USD/JPY currency pair is currently approaching a demand zone, prompting us to set a buy limit order in anticipation of a potential upward movement. This area is significant as it often indicates a point where buyers are likely to step in, which could lead to a reversal in price direction. At the same time, the 6J1! futures contract has already made contact with the Supply zone. This zone is crucial for our analysis, as it represents levels where selling pressure typically emerges, potentially leading to a decrease in price. We are closely monitoring this situation and are looking for a possible retest of the Supply area. A successful retest could trigger a subsequent drop in prices, aligning with our trading strategy. Interestingly, it’s worth noting that retail traders currently appear to be on the bullish side of the market, favoring an uptrend. This sentiment could create opportunities for us, as our strategy is to look for short positions despite the prevailing optimism in the retail sector. By carefully analyzing market dynamics and positioning ourselves accordingly, we aim to capitalize on potential price corrections when the market reaches key resistance levels. In summary, we are preparing to take action in both the USD/JPY and 6J1! futures markets. We're setting up for a buy in the approaching Demand area while simultaneously positioning ourselves for a short trade should the 6J1! futures retest the Supply zone and exhibit signs of a downturn. This balanced approach takes into account the conflicting trader sentiments and aims to maximize potential profit opportunities. ✅ Please share your thoughts about USD/JPY in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Long
by FOREXN1
3
USDJPY → Fake Breakdown Gives Bulls a Chance!FX:USDJPY The price dips into support and creates a false breakdown below the lower boundary of the current trend. Meanwhile, the dollar is gaining strength, which could provide an opportunity for the currency pair to rise. The price has paused near a strong support zone, as the fundamental backdrop has been increasingly unstable and heavily influenced by developments in the USA. Attention has shifted away from Japan's interest rate hikes, with market participants now closely monitoring economic data from the West. From a technical perspective, the chart presents two potential triggers—one for buying and one for selling. However, given that both the global and local trends are upward, the bias leans toward buying. If the currency pair manages to sustain above the 151.9 - 151.95 level, short- to medium-term growth toward the targets marked on the chart is likely. Resistance levels: 151.94, 153.7, 153.97 Support levels: 150.95, 149.52 That said, if the dollar's correction persists and buyers fail to capitalize on the false breakdown of support, a drop back to 150.95 could trigger a breakdown, potentially leading to a decline toward 148.64.
Long
by PIPsOptimizer
USD/JPY : Another Bearish Move Ahead ? Let's see! (READ CAPTION)By analyzing the daily USD/JPY chart, we can see that, as expected from the previous analysis, the price continued its downtrend, correcting down to 151. Currently, USD/JPY is trading around 153.620, and I expect it to resume its decline soon from the current zone (153.68 - 155.3). This analysis will be updated as price action develops. The next potential bearish targets are 152.70, 151.70, and 151. Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Short
by ArmanShabanTrading
14
Pricing extreme, CPI soonWe like hedging with shorts here after catching the EURJPY longs from past setup: look for momentum crash setups, no LTF confirmation, no entries CPI causing yield miss can turn it into runners Souring in risk sentiment can increase the momentum as well (while not our base case yet, we sure on the look out on how the news print) Check out our socials links for some nice insights information created and published doesn't constitute investment advice! NOT financial advice
Short
by Mabelm
USDJPY - Demand Ready for Lift-Off (Technical Analysis)As it stands we're currently holding short positions on USDJPY since last week. The current short term still suggests that this pair is bearish - We have seen lower lows and institutional manipulation to the upside as well, so we will continue holding our shorts until we see a reversal on the lower time frames. Previous Analysis: We traded down to the Daily demand levels (which price has now reached). The current price cycle indicates it's still distributing but now is the time to watch for potential bullish reversals - more-so when we combine this with our DXY analysis as well as current Geopolitical moves, we could definitely see a bullish surge in the next few days. Trading Considerations: All signs point to a pending bullish reversal, don't engage without considering the LTF trend, we would ideally like to see it reverse first. Trade what you see, not what you think you might. Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves substantial risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. OANDA:USDJPY TVC:DXY
Long
by Apexfx_Alpha
2