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USD/JPY_SPT - USD/JPY

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USDJPY_SPT trade ideas

USD/JPY Technical Analysis – March 6, 2025 Market Structure & Price Action USD/JPY is currently trading at 149.182, showing a weak bullish reaction but still respecting the broader descending trendline resistance. The pair has been following a well-defined bearish channel, making lower highs and lower lows. Key Observations: 📉 Trendline Rejection: The price has tested the descending trendline and faced rejection, indicating sustained bearish pressure. 📊 Double Top Formation: A potential double top near 149.500 further supports a bearish outlook. 🔵 Support Zone at 148.900 - 149.000: This level has acted as strong demand previously. However, repeated retests weaken its reliability. 📌 Break and Retest Setup: If the price breaks below the support, a continuation to 148.000 and possibly 146.500 is likely. Bearish Scenario: A confirmed breakdown below 148.900 could trigger a sharper decline toward the 147.500 - 146.500 range, as highlighted in the projected move. A failure to hold above the descending trendline signals strong selling momentum. Bullish Scenario: If buyers defend 148.900 support, the price could retest 149.500 or even attempt a breakout towards 150.000. However, the overall trend remains bearish, favoring further downside. Conclusion: Bias: Bearish 📉 Key Levels to Watch: ✅ Resistance: 149.500 – 150.000 ✅ Support: 148.900 – 147.500 A break below the support zone could accelerate selling pressure, aligning with the downtrend structure.
Short
by MangoMan4
USDJPY BUY OPPORTUNITY The USD/JPY pair has broken out above the 148.2 resistance level, which has now become a support level. This breakout suggests that the pair has gained significant bullish momentum and is likely to continue rising. _New Support Level:_ 148.2 _Target Levels:_ - _TP1: 149.3_ - _TP2: 150.1_ - _TP3: 151.2_ - _TP4: 152.3_ - _TP5: 155.0_ _Reasons for the Breakout:_ 1. _Technical Reversal:_ The USD/JPY pair has formed a technical reversal pattern, indicating a potential change in trend. 2. _Momentum Indicators:_ The Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicators are showing bullish signals, indicating a potential rise in prices. 3. _Fundamental Analysis:_ The USD/JPY pair has been influenced by positive economic data from the UK, including a strong labor market and rising wages. _Trading Strategy:_ Buyers may look to enter the market at the new support level of 148.2, with a stop-loss below 146.5. The TP levels can be used to take profits, or to adjust the stop-loss to break-even. Keep best wishes to Travis 👍
Long
by Expert_Travis
USDSJPY continuation of the selling pressure below 152.50Bearish Scenario: The Japanese Yen (JPY) continues to strengthen against the US Dollar (USD) as expectations for additional Bank of Japan (BoJ) rate hikes gain traction. This has reinforced a bearish sentiment in the USD/JPY pair, which remains aligned with the longer-term downtrend. From a technical perspective, 152.50 serves as a key resistance level, marking the recent swing high. If an oversold rally occurs and faces rejection at 152.50, the bearish outlook is likely to persist, with downside targets at 149.30, followed by 147.80 and 147.20 over a longer timeframe. Bullish Scenario: A confirmed breakout above 152.50, accompanied by a sustained daily close above this level, would negate the bearish bias. This could shift momentum toward the upside, paving the way for further gains, with 154.30 and 155.70 emerging as potential resistance levels. Conclusion: The 152.50 level remains the key pivot for determining the next directional move. A rejection from this resistance would reinforce the downtrend, while a breakout above it could signal a bullish reversal. Traders should closely monitor price action around this level for confirmation of the next move. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
3/3/25 [Short Term] Long On USDJPY As we can see on thhe 1 hour chart; the trend is switching from down trend to a up trend. We are looking forward to long in the 1 hour timeframe; We can also see that the IMPORTANT zone 150 has been tested mutliple time before broken up with powerful candles breaking through the 150 zone, Therefore we can look for possible set up to long the USDJPY @ 150 zone. The way I am seting it up is by; For example; If I am doing a 2% Risk per trade of my account I will place a "testing" trade (half of my risk 1%) at the 150zone which I have already done. Just to secure the entry. If @ 150 zone, the market is giving me a long confirmation candle such as (engulfin candle, pin bar or inside bar) I will enter another trade with the confirmation candle (1% as well). Therefore it will still be a full size trade of 2% risk of my account and a lowering the risk. My stoploss will be @149.768 My TP; I will always cut half of my position when it comes to 1:1RR and let the other half position goes as long as possible. Happy Green week~
Long
by TRDBB
USDJPY: Consolidating below the uptrend channel!Dear Traders! Recently, USDJPY has made a strong breakout, completely exiting the uptrend and stabilizing below a new support level, as highlighted on the 1-hour chart. The pair is currently trading around 149.20. This stability above the new support is driven by U.S. President Donald Trump's tariff policies, which have boosted risk-off sentiment and increased demand for the U.S. Dollar as a safe-haven asset. However, expectations of a BoJ rate hike and concerns over a global trade war continue to support the Japanese Yen, keeping gains limited below the lower boundary of the previous uptrend channel.
Long
by Trader_LinaScalping
USD/JPY - Fresh Outlook for the WeekThe setup is lining up clean—(4H SSL swept), priming the market for bullish intent. My focus? (Buys on the 30M TF,) targeting either (4H internal supply ) or a full reach toward (4H highs). Game plan is simple: • Wait for the market to open. • Watch for bullish momentum and confirmation on the 30M TF. Now, (one thing to note)—we still have (untapped internal supply )from recent structure that could cause a reaction. But here’s what’s giving me conviction:( major 4H/12H SSL inducement has been taken,) signaling that price could push higher. At this point, it’s all about (letting price show its hand.) I’ll wait, watch, and (strike when the confirmations align. )Let’s see how it plays out. Bless Trading!
Long
by Juicemannn
USDJPY My Opinion! BUY! My dear friends, Please, find my technical outlook for USDJPY below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 147.21 Bias -Bullish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 148.63 About Used Indicators: The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
1
More fall ahead?USD/JPY remains under intense selling pressure to trades near 149.50 in Friday's Asian trading. Despite dismal Tokyo CPI and Japan's Retail Trade data, the Japanese Yen stands resilient due to risk aversion. The US Treasury bond yields sell-off weighs heavily on the pair ahead of US PCE data. In the past, weakness in the Japanese currency has been attributed to the difference between the U.S. and Japanese interest rates as lower rates tend to pressure currencies, while higher rates lift them up. Japan had negative rates for about eight years, keeping it's currency weak compared to the dollar. Thus, USD/JPY is positively correlated with oil. The pair will usually rise when oil prices are rising and fall when oil prices are falling. Demographic factors, such as Japan's aging population, and the geopolitical rise of China and other East Asian competitors may be underlying, non-economic factors. Researchers have produced papers delineating possible reasons why the Japanese economy sank into prolonged stagnation.
by TRADINGACPVIP
USDJPY H4 | Bullish Bounce OffBased on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is falling toward our buy entry at 150.04, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Our take profit will be at 151.15, which is a pullback resistance close to the 38.2% Fibo retracement. The stop loss will be placed at 148.96, which is a multi-swing low support level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/markets): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by FXCM
USD/JPY H1 Analysis: Key Levels and Market TrendsThe USD/JPY pair has shown significant movements in the H1 timeframe, with key levels to watch for potential trading opportunities. Recently, the pair tested the 148.720 level, indicating a possible support zone. Resistance is observed near the 151.135 level, which could act as a barrier for upward movements. Key levels to monitor: Support: 145.720, 145.235 Resistance: 151.135, 150.650 The market has been volatile, with notable price swings between 15 Feb 2015 and 5 Mar 2015. Traders should keep an eye on these levels for potential breakouts or reversals. The recent price action suggests a consolidation phase, which could lead to a decisive move in either direction. #Forex #USDJPY #TradingAnalysis #MarketTrends #SupportResistance #TradingStrategies #ForexSignals #PriceAction
Short
by IRGELD
USD/JPY testing THIS key resistance ahead of US dataAfter rising in the last three sessions, the USD/JPY was up again today, testing a key resistance area between 151.00 to 151.35. This is a massive resistance zone, having previously provided support. With Japanese yields on rise again, I wouldn't be surprised if the UJ were to resume lower from here. If so, watch for a possible bounce at 150.00. If 150.00 then gives way decisively, we could see a new low below the double bottom low of 148.65ish. The key risk to this bearish forecast if the upcoming US economic data today and later this week, with ISM Manufacturing PMI up next. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
Short
by FOREXcom
USD/JPY – Precision Short Trade Breakdown🔥 Executed a precise short trade on USD/JPY this morning, aligning with institutional order flow and Prime Market Terminal insights. Here’s the full breakdown of how this setup played out! 🔍 Trade Setup & Analysis: 📌 Entry: 149.300 – Price rejected a key supply zone & Fibonacci retracement level. 📌 Stop Loss: 149.558 – Above key liquidity & invalidation area. 📌 Take Profit: 148.504 (first TP), 148.213 (final target). 📌 Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:3 📊 Prime Market Terminal Insights That Confirmed This Trade: 🔻 Institutional Positioning & Market Flow: ✔ Smart Money Report: Large institutions were heavily net short USD/JPY, with leveraged funds reducing their long exposure. Dealer intermediaries (banks and liquidity providers) also added more short positions, indicating further downside momentum. ✔ COT (Commitment of Traders) Data: Open interest showed a significant drop in long positions, suggesting weakness in USD/JPY. Hedge funds and asset managers increasing short exposure aligned with my bearish bias. ✔ DMX Open Interest: 66% of institutional traders were short on USD/JPY, confirming my sell-side setup. Short positioning had increased by 34% in the last session, reinforcing my downside expectation. 🔻 Volatility & Liquidity Insights: ✔ Average True Range (ATR) Analysis: ATR showed a high probability of an extended move, suggesting the potential for price to hit my targets. Recent daily ranges indicated USD/JPY had room to move another 100+ pips to the downside. ✔ Session Range & Market Structure: Liquidity grab above 149.300 supply zone, followed by strong rejection and sell-off. Previous session lows were swept, indicating smart money targeting deeper liquidity. Institutional orders clustered around 148.200, suggesting a likely downside target. 🔻 High-Impact News That Influenced USD/JPY: 📢 Japanese Unemployment Rate (Actual: 2.5% | Forecast: 2.5%) → No surprise, minimal impact. 📉 Business Capex (MOF YY) (-0.2% vs. 8.1% previous) → Indicated economic slowdown, weakening JPY demand. 📰 U.S. Economic Data Later Today: Redbook YY (USD) expected at 6.2% – could impact USD sentiment. Fed’s Williams speech on monetary policy could affect USD volatility, reinforcing our bias. 🎯 Trade Execution & Outcome: ✅ TP HIT! Price dropped as expected, hitting both targets with precision. 🚀 Perfect confluence of: ✅ Smart money selling pressure ✅ Liquidity sweep & supply zone rejection ✅ High-probability move from ATR analysis 📸 Prime Market Terminal Screenshots Included: 📊 DMX Open Interest → Confirmed institutions were net short. 📊 COT Data → Showed decline in long positions. 📊 ATR & Volatility Charts → Supported extended downside movement. 📊 Session Ranges & Market Structure → Confirmed liquidity grab & supply zone rejection. 🔑 Key Takeaways from This Trade: ✔ Trade with institutional momentum – Always check positioning before entering! ✔ Multiple confirmations = High probability setups – Don’t rely on a single indicator. ✔ Liquidity is key – Smart money moves price to hunt liquidity, trade accordingly. ✔ Fundamentals matter – Weak JPY capex data helped push price lower. 💬 What’s your view on USD/JPY? Will we see further downside? Drop your thoughts below! 📊 Follow for more trade setups, market analysis & strategy breakdowns!
Short
by LDForex_