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USD/JPY_SPT - USD/JPY

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USDJPY_SPT trade ideas

USDJPY H1 | Bullish Bounce OffBased on the H1 chart analysis, the price is approaching our buy entry level at 149.54, a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Our take profit is set at 150.36, a pullback resistance that aligns close to the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. The stop loss is placed at 148.97, a multi-swing low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/markets): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by FXCM
Bearish drop?USD/JPY is reacting off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 149.50 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that lies up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 149.95 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 71% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 148.66 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
NFP beats but focus is fixated on trade warToday’s NFP report was NEVER going to take much attention away from the trade war – and so it has proved with mixed readings. US rates were being priced lower amid deteriorating trade war risks, which remains the main focal point. Powell is up next, while CPI, PPI and UoM surveys all on tap next week. The nonfarm payrolls data beat expectations, with a headline print of 228K. Most of those gains were in full-time jobs. But the unemployment rate ticked higher to 4.2% from 4.1% unexpectedly. Market’s focus is on trade war, and rightly so. They were never going to go wild on this NFP release. Average earnings came in as expected, rising 0.3% on a month-over-month basis, but the prior month weas revised lower a tad. Year-over-year rate was weaker 3.8% vs. 4.0%. Nothing to get too excited over, but potentially good news as far as inflation is concerned. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
by FOREXcom
USDJPY Will Go Up From Support! Long! Here is our detailed technical review for USDJPY. Time Frame: 1D Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 146.391. The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 150.489 level. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
1
USD/JPY... 4H pair...Here’s a structured analysis and actionable plan for the *USDJPY* trade idea based on the bearish flag breakdown and key technical levels: --- ### *Trade Setup Overview* - *Pattern Identified*: Bearish Flag breakdown (continuation pattern) after a prior downtrend. - *Key Resistance*: 100-period Moving Average (MA) acting as dynamic resistance. - *Entry Trigger: Retest of the broken flag’s lower boundary near **149.300*. - *Targets*: - *TP1: 148.30* (100 pips, aligns with the flag’s measured move). - *TP2: 146.60* (270 pips, targets a major swing low and psychological level). - *Stop Loss: **150.00* (70 pips risk, above the flag’s upper boundary and recent swing high). --- ### *Critical Technical Factors* 1. *Bearish Flag Dynamics*: - The flag’s "pole" (prior decline) suggests a measured move target of *~148.30* (TP1). - A close below the flag confirms momentum; watch for follow-through selling. 2. *Confluence with Moving Averages*: - The 100-MA resistance reinforces bearish pressure. A rejection here adds confidence to the downtrend. - A break below the 200-MA (if applicable) would signal a deeper bearish shift. 3. *Key Support Levels*: - *148.30*: Near-term target (previous swing low). - *146.60*: Long-term support (2023 lows, 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of 2021-2023 rally). --- ### *Risk Management* - *Risk-Reward Ratio*: - TP1: *1:1.4* (70 pips risk vs. 100 pips reward). - TP2: *1:3.8* (70 pips risk vs. 270 pips reward). - *Adjust Stops*: Trail stops to breakeven if TP1 is hit to lock in gains. --- ### *Fundamental Catalysts to Monitor* 1. *Fed Policy*: Dovish signals (rate cuts) could accelerate USD weakness. 2. *BOJ Intervention*: Watch for verbal or direct action to defend JPY above 150.00. 3. *Risk Sentiment*: JPY strength may surge if equity markets sell off (safe-haven flows). --- ### *Execution Plan* 🔽 *Sell Entry*: 149.300 (wait for price to retest the broken flag boundary). 🎯 *TP1*: 148.30 (partial profit-taking). 🎯 *TP2*: 146.60 (requires sustained bearish momentum). 🚫 *Stop Loss*: 150.00 (avoids false breakdowns). --- ### *Will the USD Continue to Decline?* - *Yes, but with caution: The bearish flag and MA resistance favor downside, but JPY’s inherent weakness (BOJ’s ultra-loose policy) may limit sustained USDJPY declines. Focus on **TP1 (148.30)* as a high-probability target, while TP2 depends on broader USD trends and macro drivers. *Key Takeaway*: Trade aligns with short-term momentum, but remain agile given JPY’s sensitivity to central bank policies and risk sentiment.
Short
by Algo_Trading_Mql5
1
UJ ideaGot an early buy during NY PM and got out before london (asian extension) 50-60 pips once i established the minor bullish order flow.. I have been away dealing with Research stuff. However, I see more push to pre4v days high which is my bias for this week unless suggested otherwise but for now ima take the cake piece by piece. New order block identified and it is suggested smart money are positioned there for more buys LQ needs to be generated. But watch out londons#/NY continuation to tackle previous sessions high (London and Asian) u can use same indicators i use),,, Goodluck guys as this is my only watch for the week...
Long
by ThunderFX
USD/JPY Stands Firm, But Volatility ExpectedVolatility has receded with less than 20-hours to go until Trump's tariffs are officially implemented, with traders now clearly in watch-and-wait mode. So while headline risks around tariffs remain in place, moves could remain limited unless traders are treated to any last-minute negotiations. Typically, risk has benefitted when it has been expected that tariffs have been watered down. If that turns out to be the case by Trump's speech at 4pm ET Wednesday, indices could rise alongside the US dollar and the yen weaken. Bit of course, the opposite is true. And that could weigh on USD/JPY. Rightly or wrongly, I'm feeling optimistic and now seeing a bounce on USD/JPY. Two bullish pinbars found support and close above the 20-day SMA and monthly pivot point. The bias remains bullish while prices remain above Monday's low, and a break above 150 brings the 200-day SMA, February VPOPC and 152 handle into focus. Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
Long
by CityIndex
USD/JPY 30-Minute Trade Setup: Bullish Reversal from Key SupportEMA (30, close) - Red Line: 149.488 (shorter-term trend) EMA (200, close) - Blue Line: 149.862 (longer-term trend) Trade Setup: Entry Zone: Around 149.000 (marked by the purple support area) Stop Loss: 148.698 (below the key support level) Target Point: 150.275 (potential profit level) Analysis: Price is currently testing a strong support zone (purple area), suggesting a possible bullish reversal. The 30 EMA (red) is acting as local resistance. The 200 EMA (blue) is positioned above, which may act as further resistance if price moves up. The price action suggests a potential bounce from support, leading to a target around 150.275. Risk-to-Reward Consideration: Stop loss is placed slightly below the support zone for risk management. Target price provides a favorable risk-to-reward ratio of approximately 1:3. Conclusion: A long (buy) trade is expected if price holds above the support zone. If price breaks below 148.698, the bullish setup could be invalidated. A break above 149.862 (200 EMA) would confirm a stronger bullish continuation.
Long
by EA_GOLD_MAN_COPY_TRADE
USD/JPY Bearish Reversal Amid Structural ShiftDisclaimer: This is not professional financial advice; it is purely my personal opinion. Please consult a qualified financial expert before making any trading decisions. Initially, I planned to go long on USD/JPY based on the bullish momentum observed in the 4-hour time frame. However, the external structural high struggled to break, signalling potential weakness. Soon after, price action began forming lower lows, confirming a shift in structure to the downside. A solid change of character (ChoCh) occurred following a liquidity sweep on the opposite side of the chart, reinforcing the bearish outlook. Given this shift, I adapted my strategy accordingly, favouring a short position. Additionally, unexpected news from the Eurozone impacted USD pairs, accelerating price movements beyond my anticipated entry. This volatility was likely driven by macroeconomic factors, including a Dow Jones report on tariffs that may have influenced broader USD sentiment. Key Takeaways: Bearish Structural Shift – Lower lows formed after failure to break external structural highs. Change of Character (ChoCh) – Liquidity sweep indicated a momentum shift. Fundamental Influence – News from the Eurozone and tariff-related updates impacted USD pairs. I'll be monitoring further price action to confirm bearish continuation and potential re-entry points. #USDJPY #Forex #PriceAction #LiquiditySweep #MarketStructure
Short
by clever_jeph
USDJPY Technical AnalysisOur analysis is based on multi-timeframe top-down analysis & fundamental analysis. Based on our view the price will rise to the monthly level. DISCLAIMER: This analysis can change anytime without notice and is only for assisting traders in making independent investment decisions. Please note that this is a prediction, and I have no reason to act on it, and neither should you. Please support our analysis with a like or comment! Let’s master the market together. Please share your thoughts and encourage us to do more by liking this idea.
Long
by dkb14246
1
USD/JPY Ready for Liftoff? Catch This Potential Rebound! Hi traders! , Analyzing USD/JPY on the 1H timeframe, spotting a potential long entry: 🔹 Entry: 145.44 🔹 TP: 146.78 🔹 SL: 144.115 USD/JPY has formed a consolidation zone after a sharp downtrend, indicating a potential bullish reversal. If buyers step in, we could see a move towards 146.78. RSI is recovering from oversold levels, supporting the upside scenario. ⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice. Every trader makes their own decision.
Long
by FXOnTop
USD/JPY Bullish Reversal: Order Block & EMA 200 TargetSMC Trading point update This chart presents a technical analysis of USD/JPY on the 1-hour timeframe. The key insights from this analysis are: 1. Order Block & Potential Reversal The price has dropped significantly and reached a highlighted order block zone (a key demand area). A potential inverse head and shoulders pattern is forming, indicating a possible bullish reversal. 2. Expected Bullish Movement The price is expected to bounce from the order block, creating a bullish structure. The projected move suggests a retracement toward a resistance zone, which aligns with previous price action. Mr SMC Trading point 3. Target Zone & EMA 200 The target zone is around 148.946 - 149.178, aligning with the 200 EMA, a significant resistance level. 4. RSI Indicator The RSI is currently low (~38.93), indicating potential for a reversal as the market may be oversold. Conclusion The chart suggests a bullish retracement after the recent drop, targeting the resistance zone near the 200 EMA. However, confirmation is needed (e.g., bullish price action, volume increase) before taking a trade. Keep an eye on fundamental news that may impact USD/JPY volatility. Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
Long
by SMC-Trading-Point
USD/JPY Trend Update Today - Maintaining Uptrend🔔🔔🔔 USD/ JPY news: ➡️ The Japanese Yen (JPY) maintains its upward bias against a weaker U.S. Dollar (USD) during Asian trading on Tuesday, despite a lack of strong follow-through buying. While escalating concerns over the negative impact of intensification U.S. tariffs on Japan's economy persist, investors appear confident that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will continue raising interest rates in 2025, amid signs of rising domestic inflation. Moreover, fears of global economic disruption stemming from U.S. President Donald Trump's tit-for-tat tariff policies have added to the safe-haven appeal of the JPY. ➡️ Still, a modest sentiment rebound in global risk has curbed aggressive bullish bets on the Yen. On the flip side, the USD came under renewed selling pressure, halting its two-day recovery from multi-month lows seen last week, as markets increasingly price in the possibility that the U.S. Economic downturn caused by tariffs could push the Federal Reserve to resume its rate-cutting cycle faster than expected. This stark contrast to the BoJ’s hawkish outlook suggests that the path of least resistance for the lower-yielding JPY remains to the upside. Personal opinion: ➡️ DXY’s RSI is showing signs of falling after entering the overbought zone, causing USD/JPY to decline in the short term ➡️ The initial uptrend is still maintained, so watch for technical recovery zones to be able to buy at good prices. ➡️ Analysis based on important resistance - support and Fibonacci levels combined with EMA to come up with a suitable strategy. Plan: 🔆Price Zone Setup: 👉Buy USD/JPY 146.20- 146.00 ❌SL: 145.60 | ✅TP: 146.70 – 147.20 – 148.00 FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Long
by FM-ForexMastermind
1
USDF/JPY Trading Trend Today - Short Term Bullish🔔🔔🔔 USD/JPY news: ➡️ The Japanese yen (JPY) started the week on a positive note as U.S. President Donald Trump’s broad-based tariff measures heightened fears of a global economic downturn, boosting demand for traditional safe-haven assets. At the same time, concerns that harsher reciprocal tariffs from the U.S. could negatively affect Japan's economy led investors to scale back expectations for a faster pace of interest rate hikes by the Bank of Japan (BoJ). This, in turn, acted as a drag on the yen and helped the USD/JPY pair recover its earlier losses during the Asian session, climbing back toward its six-month low just below the key psychological level of 145.00, which was briefly touched on Friday. Personal opinion: ➡️ In the short term, USD/JPY is recovering after being sold off late last week ➡️ RSI reversed to the upside after entering overbought territory and creating divergence. ➡️ Analysis based on Volume profile and important resistance - support levels combined with EMA to come up with appropriate strategies. Plan: 🔆Price Zone Setup: 👉Buy USD/JPY 146.10 – 146.20 ❌SL: 145.75 | ✅TP: 146.60 – 147.30 – 148.00 FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Long
by FM-ForexMastermind
1
USDJPY Is Going Up! Buy! Please, check our technical outlook for USDJPY. Time Frame: 1D Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is approaching a key horizontal level 146.824. Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 149.538. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
1