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USD/JPY_SPT - USD/JPY

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USDJPY_SPT trade ideas

“USD/JPY 4H-30M Precision Trade Setup: Reversal in Premium Zone”This trade Concept, focuses on the USD/JPY pair, using a top-down analysis to identify a reversal opportunity from a higher timeframe premium zone down to a key discount area. 4H Analysis On the 4H timeframe, the market has been in a bullish rally, but it reached a critical supply zone marked near 158.200. This zone occur simultaneously with an inducement (IDM), where liquidity was likely trapped as buyers entered early into the trend. • Bearish Clues: The price structure has shifted from higher highs (HH) to lower lows (LL), signaling a weakening bullish trend and a potential reversal. 30M Analysis Dropping to the 30M chart, the price maintains a bearish structure, respecting the key IDM zone. Inducements and liquidity traps are evident, supporting the intention of a price rejection and continuation downward. The entry was refined within the 156.500 area for precision. Trade Parameters • Entry: 156.500 • Profit Target (TP): 153.725 • Stop Loss (SL): 156.700 (above the supply zone to account for volatility) Expectations: I anticipate price to continue breaking lower, targeting liquidity at previous swing lows (154.000) before heading to the higher timeframe demand zone around 152.300. The bearish momentum aligns with the overall 4H and 30M structures, making this a high-probability trade. Let me know your thoughts on this setup or if you have questions about the analysis. Bless trading!
Short
by Juicemannn
USD/JPY: Will the Fed or BoJ Dominate the Tug of War?The USD/JPY exchange rate has shown both resilience and vulnerability in recent trading sessions, shaped by competing factors from monetary policy shifts to global economic developments. On the positive side, the U.S. dollar remains underpinned by Federal Reserve rate decisions, with market expectations of steady rates in the near term supporting its strength. Tariff threats from the U.S. administration further bolster the dollar’s safe-haven appeal, particularly as external economic pressures persist. Additionally, the pair has demonstrated an ability to recover from lower levels, such as rebounding to 155.50 during Tuesday's Asian trading, aided by softer Japanese service-sector inflation data. However, the Japanese yen has also gained momentum due to the Bank of Japan’s recent 25 basis point rate hike, which reflects a confident stance on inflation and wage growth trends. This decision has increased the yen’s attractiveness as a safe-haven asset, exacerbating pressure on the USD/JPY pair, particularly as global uncertainties and shifts in risk sentiment encourage investors to diversify into safe havens like the yen and the Swiss franc. Market sentiment surrounding U.S. economic vulnerabilities, including concerns over tariffs and a potential dovish shift by the Federal Reserve, has further weighed on the dollar. Traders are now pricing in a 50 basis point rate cut by the Fed later this year, a factor that could erode the dollar’s appeal if realized. Overall, while USD/JPY has displayed moments of strength, the competing influences of U.S. dollar dynamics, Japanese yen strength, and global market sentiment create a volatile environment where traders must remain vigilant of economic data and central bank decisions.
Long
by Forex48_TradingAcademy
1
USDJPY Massive Long! BUY! My dear subscribers, USDJPY looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details: The market is trading on 154.29 pivot level. Bias - Bullish My Stop Loss - 153.64 Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation. Target - 155.59 About Used Indicators: The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
1
USD/JPY: Long Position Targeting 5th Wave Move to 156.55 Overview: Elliott Wave Perspective The USD/JPY pair is presenting an exciting long setup based on Elliott Wave principles. After finding support at 153.72, the pair has been consolidating within a well-structured 5-wave impulsive framework. Currently, the price action indicates we are in the midst of a 5th wave move, which could potentially drive the pair to a target at 156.55. What makes this setup particularly compelling is the alternation between corrective waves: Wave 2 unfolded as a Zigzag, while Wave 4 is forming an Expanded Flat. This alternation strengthens the probability of the Elliott Wave structure playing out as expected. Here's a detailed breakdown of the analysis: Wave Analysis Breakdown 1. Wave 1 Start: 153.72 End: 154.72 Wave 1 was a leading diagonal, establishing the base for the ongoing 5-wave structure. The clean price action during this wave confirmed bullish momentum entering the market. 2. Wave 2 (Zigzag Correction) Start: 154.73 End: 154.50 Wave 2 corrected a textbook Zigzag pattern (A-B-C), retracing approximately 61.8% of Wave 1, which is typical for a corrective wave of this nature. This wave also respected Fibonacci retracement levels, providing strong support at 153.72, coinciding with a prior key level. 3. Wave 3 Start: 154.50 End: 155.94 Wave 3 unfolded as a strong impulsive wave, which aligns with Fibonacci projection guidelines. This wave demonstrated clear bullish continuation, further confirming the impulsive nature of the structure. 4. Wave 4 (Expanded Flat) Start: 156.00 A leg: Decline to 155.985 B leg: Spike back to 156.30 C leg: Decline to 155.20 (potential low) Wave 4 is currently developing as an Expanded Flat, characterized by the B wave overshooting the high of Wave 3 before the C wave retraced below the end of Wave A. This expanded flat pattern introduces the element of alternation when compared to the simpler Zigzag seen in Wave 2. 5. Wave 5 (Projected Target: 156.55) Start: ~155.20 Wave 5 is expected to rally toward a Fibonacci extension target of 156.55, based on the following confluences: 61.8% Fibonacci extension of Wave 1-3 projected from Wave 4. Strong psychological resistance at 156.50-156.60, where prior resistance aligns with our technical target. Momentum indicators suggest bullish continuation, with RSI bouncing from oversold levels and MACD beginning to cross bullishly on the 4-hour chart. Key Supporting Factors Alternation Principle The corrective structures of Waves 2 and 4 follow the alternation guideline: Wave 2 = Zigzag (sharp, simple correction). Wave 4 = Expanded Flat (complex correction with deeper retracement). Fibonacci Confluence Wave 4 found support at the 50% retracement of Wave 3, near 155.20, strengthening the case for a bullish continuation. Wave 5 projection aligns with the 61.8% extension level. Market Sentiment The broader USD/JPY trend remains bullish, supported by strong USD demand amid rising Treasury yields. Any dips during Wave 4 consolidation have been met with buying interest, signaling bullish conviction. Trade Plan: Long Position on USD/JPY Entry Consider entering long near the 155.20- 155.50 zone, which aligns with Wave 4 support levels and the lower boundary of the expanded flat. Stop Loss Place a stop loss below 155.05, just beneath the Wave 4 low. This ensures protection against invalidation of the bullish Elliott Wave structure. Target Primary Target: 156.55 (Wave 5 projection). Secondary Target (if bullish extension occurs): 157.00. Alternate Scenario: Bearish Breakdown If the 154.72 level is breached, this would invalidate the current Elliott Wave count. , However, as long as the pair holds above 154.70, the bullish outlook remains intact. Conclusion The USD/JPY pair presents a high-probability long setup, driven by a clear Elliott Wave structure. With Wave 4 completing as an Expanded Flat and strong Fibonacci confluences supporting a bullish Wave 5 move, a rally to 156.55 appears likely. Traders should remain vigilant, using proper risk management while monitoring price action near critical levels.
Long
by TheSignalService
USD/JPY Hits Target Again! Massive 500 Pips Move! What's Next?By analyzing the USD/JPY daily chart, we observe that the price has dropped precisely from the 156.75 zone, as anticipated in our analysis, and has hit the 154 target! The key demand zone is between 153 and 154.3, while the significant supply zones are 155.40, 157 to 158.2, and 158.8, respectively. The total return from this analysis has exceeded 500 pips so far! With your support, this analysis will be updated soon! Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban The Latest Analysis : |
Short
by ArmanShabanTrading
10
USD/JPY We have reached a strong oversold areaHi guys we are going to take a look into the USD/JPY Currently we can see that the price had a very sharp decline, which one of the main causes was the BoJ (Bank of Japan) implementing a 0.25% interest rate increase , making the interest rates from 0.25% to 0.50%. Currently Japan is indicating to continue increasing the interest rates so they can bring stability to their economy, and more specifically the Japanese Yen. Now on the other side of the spectrum we saw that we would have a limited amount of interest rate hikes in the U.S. for the yaer of 2025 , but a bold statement coming from President Donald Trump, indicates that we can see more interest rates than analysts predicting. This trade we are looking in is more short-mid term. Entry: 153.900 Target 1: 154.650 Target 2: 155.200 Target 3: 155.900 SL: 153.050 As always my friends happy trading! P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my community so you can follow up with me in private!
Long
by DG55Capital
Fundamental Market Analysis for January 28, 2025 USDJPYThe Japanese yen (JPY) weakened during the Asian session on Tuesday, moving away from the six-week high recorded earlier against the US dollar (USD). The weakening was driven by investor concerns over the impact of US President Donald Trump's trade policy. Tougher rhetoric on trade tariffs, in particular statements about new duties, undermined the yen's position as a defensive asset. An additional pressure factor was the rise in US Treasury bond yields, which attracted capital flows into dollar assets. Amid the recovery of the US dollar, which reached the lowest level since 18 December, the USD/JPY pair approached 155.00. Despite the current weakness of the yen, analysts believe that its significant decline is unlikely. This is due to expectations that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will continue to raise interest rates, supporting the national currency. On the other hand, the US Federal Reserve (Fed), according to forecasts, may cut interest rates twice in 2025, which will put pressure on the dollar. A rate cut could reduce the attractiveness of US assets and hamper further growth of the USD/JPY pair. Investors will closely follow macroeconomic data and speeches of central bankers. USD/JPY is expected to remain in the range of 154.50-155.50, but any change of rhetoric from the Fed or BoJ can significantly affect the market dynamics. Trade recommendation: Watching the level of 155.00, trading mainly with Sell orders
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Could the price reverse from here?USD/JPY is rising towards the pivot which is an overlap resistance and could drop to the 1st support. Pivot: 156.60 1st Support: 154.22 1st Resistance: 158.16 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
USD/JPY -H1- Bearish FlagThe USD/JPY Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Bearish Flag Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 154.30 2nd Support – 153.52 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
15
USDJPY BEARISH PROJECTIONUSD/JPY experienced a strong decline, breaking below key hourly support and a significant trend line. The pair has since recovered from its lows, holding near the 50% retracement level and a support zone identified on the left after filling a crucial fair value gap. However, downside momentum still appears likely once the market settles from the current pullback, as the price has fallen below a critical resistance zone. We anticipate further downside movement, with potential retests of the lows at 151.6 and 149.3.
Short
by traderchamp_